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Syndicalism looks to be on its last legs, but has somehow managed to pull off a pair of damaging encirclements. If you are wondering how I managed to get half a dozen division caught behind the lines of a foe who had just lost 1/3 of their territory are around 100k troops to me - a simple bit of overconfidence. I assumed that one last push would knock the Syndies out, but they proved to have a bit of fight left in them yet.


I dont know very well the games mechanics. It is possible to have a partial victory, and having at the end a certain number of America's ? Or there can be only one for putting an end to this civil war ?

Between the Federalists, CSA and AUS you need to see a winner emerge - although in a scenario where the Federalists are beating both parties the AUS and CSA can make a pact with eachother to fight the Feds. I've not done a playthrough where that scenario played out, so I'm not sure if both even up surviving post war.

In terms of partitions - the PSA can get a truce to go independent in the west while New England can be carved off by the Canadians and survive independent. Although any victorious party in the ACW can later go after the lost states.

But which flag to rally around? That is the question in scenarios like this.

This will presumably cause a mass emigration to Canada for a lot of African-Americans should the AUS win. That is unless Long (or his replacement) sees the writing on the wall and decides to end Jim Crow.

Yes, your comment got me thinking about some of the civilian mass movements in this conflict, which I looked to explore a bit more in this chapter. Most of the heaviest fighting has been in Syndicalist territory to date - so it makes sense that this is where most of the refugee population would come from. But Canada's own population is so tiny, and they are themselves fearful of syndie infiltration, that they are likely to really struggle with a mass movement north.

It's nice to get a closer look at MacArthur's regime...

Are elections within the rump US continuing on normal election years, or is democracy ("temporarily") suspended?

How self-important was Hoover being? Did he see himself as vital to the nation's continued existence?

1938 would be due to be the next election year in the US after 1936, for the mid-terms. So it will be a big question facing both Huey Long and MacArthur whether they allow election to take place and in which form they take if they do.

Hoover entered 1937 still President, so it would feel natural that he would still see himself in a leadership role - and he undoubtedly felt MacArthur's coup was the only way to save the Republic. He was surely very important to MacArthur through his first year, but clearly once established the General wasn't keen on keeping someone of the stature of a recent ex-President in such high office where he could be a competitor to his own authority.

This may be crucial to the US' continued viability (even if it won't get them the winners trophy). If Canada intervenes directly, they will need considerable further support to overcome a victorious American regime (presumably the AUS).

Oh, so he was the bridge-builder. Nice alt-hist twist.

They needed something. They really need to at least eliminate Philadelphia and widen the thin strip of territory they currently control.

I have lots of plans for old Jo Kennedy and his progeny for later down the line in this story - so we won't forget him ;).

The battle for Phili is almost ridiculously elongated at this stage, but still even after everything the Feds just can't crack it.

No matter how MacArthur spins it, he is a military junta leader. Any American claims of spreading democracy if he wins would be tainted.
MacArthur is ironically the greatest traitor in American history. Not even Arnold or Wilkinson would applaud him, for he had opened Pandora's box and forever tainted American democracy. He and his regime must be destroyed for the greater good.

Its no easy thing for the putschist who sent America into the hell of civil war to spin a positive narrative about himself or claim to be the protector of democracy. His only real hope of ending up as anything other than a hate figure in American history is to actually win this war, and shape the narrative for himself.
 
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I have lots of plans for old Jo Kennedy and his progeny for later down the line in this story - so we won't forget him ;).
Does he still lobotomize his wife? Because if that's the case you have to leave in the Kennedy Curse
 
Really loving the AAR so far! Thanks for making this!
Does the AUS keep any troops down south to keep an eye on Red Mexico? How is the convoy war, presumably the Syndy nations are escorting some of the supply convoys to Philly but how are things going for the AUS? What happened to Puerto Rico and Guantanamo? How is Cuba reacting? Who is buying AUS oil/resources?

The Battle off Norfolk really interests me, what battleships/carriers were involved? No doubt it would be the most analysed naval battle ever, with all powers trying to get conclusions out of it. What is the AUS building in ship terms?

What is the PSA's naval strength vis a vis Japan? A lot of their foreign policy would be dictated by the power balance between the two sides I think. How goes the air battle?
Although it is not represented in game I wonder where all the great lakes shipping is. I like to imagine some sort of nomadic floating syndicalist commune originally made up of refugees from Chicago going around. They may be in trouble in winter though. Would the Syndicalists be building gunboats?

I think Canada would be utterly terrified in all of this, Japanese at Denver and Syndicalist Hawaii would be a credible threat to the western seaboard.
Alaska must be a little worried about AUS supporting Russia being next door as well. Thinking about it the situation could be ripe for an AUS convoy raider to get basing rights from the Russian Far East. Japanese would not like that though!

Sorry for the question overload!
 
I like the idea of McCarthy as a spy for the AUS. It amuses me.

It looks like Patton flew a little too close to the sun here. Is he contemplating... finding a government that will appreciate his skills more?

With the formation of the Moscow Accord, Europe looks like it's due for a war... how long will it take for the Second Weltkrieg to break out?
 
Looks like Patton, for all his victories, has been effectively retired. I wonder if he'll do anything to get back in people's good graces.

The new Norwegian flag looks oddly familiar...I'm guessing their policies are mostly the same too (Nordic nationalism and heavy militarization)?

The increased immigration to Canada might force them to send troops, just so the conflict ends and the refugees stop coming.
 
Hot Dry American Summer – May 1938 – October 1938
Hot Dry American Summer – May 1938 – October 1938

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They ill-fated Longist offensives against Detroit and Cleveland of May 1938 had left 10,000s of Baton Rouge’s best troops caught behind enemy lines. The final loss of these soldiers was far from a certainty following their encirclement – with only thing Red lines separating the main of the Longist army from the cut off troops. For the next weeks the Longists, having already worn their fighting potential down through their initial offensives, attempted to secure a breakout and the safe return to friendly lines. The syndicalists, believed to be a spent force just weeks before, showed incredible resilience to hold out against these counter attacks, maintaining their encirclements while launching wave after wave of attacks on the beleaguered Longist troops in the two pockets – slowly wearing them down as their supplies dwindled to nothing.

The first to fall was the Cleveland pocket on 13 June after nearly a month cut off. The Michigan pocket lasted a further 3 weeks – giving in only on 3 July by which malnutrition and disease were claiming lives at a faster rate than syndicalist bullets. All told, almost 40,000 men had been captured and around a 10,000 further lost in the fighting – this included many of the best trained and equipped forces under their command. This represented a loss of a little under a tenth of the entire Baton Rouge army in the field, and a fifth of their total casualties in the war to date. For a military that had spent most of the conflict firmly on the front foot – this was by far the largest disaster the Longists had faced in the war. The offensive potential of Baton Rouge’s army had been seriously degraded, forcing Huey Long’s government to rebuild its lost strength before taking the battle to the enemy once more. As such, the front lines with the syndicalists in the Mid West, after months of progress, settled into stable trenches for the rest of the summer.

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Beyond the United States, the international situation was evolving at pace; with the shadow of syndicalism making great strides across the world. In Europe, the Spanish Civil War, a conflict that had brought the Germans, Third Internationale and Entente into a fiercely contested proxy war, reached its end in July 1938 with the syndicalists triumphant, albeit with Entente-aligned Portugal occupying Galicia. This represented a tremendous victory for the international revolution, expanding the block of European syndicalist states and greatly improving France’s strategic position.

Mere weeks before the victory of the Spanish syndicalists, another was had broken out on European soil in the Low Countries. The Kingdom of Flanders-Wallonia had been unhappily yoked to German imperial power since the end of the Great War. Widespread opposition to German domination had always bubbled close to the surface, before finally erupting in the Belgium Revolution of early 1938 that saw nationalist and monarchist forces collaborate alongside syndicalist revolutionaries to bring down the German-backed regime and restore an independent Belgian state. As the Belgian revolutionaries benefitted from a flood of arms from across the French border, they sought to negotiate their independence from Mitteleuropa and neutrality in the European alliance system. Although some in the Social Democrat-led German government sympathised with the democratic demands of the Belgians, the country was simply too great in strategic significance for Berlin to meekly surrender.

Instead, after a stand off through the spring months, in June 1938 the German Empire invaded with the goal of restoring Flanders-Wallonia. What the Germans had expected would be a short and victorious intervention soon turned into an international embarrassment. The invaders were halted at the Meuse River and quickly driven into a stalemate, with the Belgians even humiliatingly succeeding in counterattacking to retake some land on the east bank of the river later in the summer. The Belgian revolutionaries would proudly fight on until the overwhelming superiority of Germans arms eventually broke their resistance early in 1939 – but not before revealing the limitations of Teutonic power to the entire world.

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This was not the end of European warfare in 1938. Benito Mussolini, charismatic Totalist leader of the Socialist Republic of Italy had been rapidly preparing his country for war for some time. The victory of the Internationale in Spain and the distraction of the Germans in Belgium had appeared to create an ideal opportunity for him to push forward with his dreams of a second Risorgimento, the reunification of Italy. In September, he struck – invading the Italian Republic in the north east and the pro-Entente Kingdom of Two Sicilies in the south. Mussolini’s armies proved highly successful, making rapid progress across the peninsula with the aid of significant French and British assistance.

While the breakout of war in Italy saw the Red tide spread yet further around the world, and excited many leftist Italian-Americans, it represented a depressing milestone for American syndicalists who had been holding on to the feint hope that their European allies might come to their aid through an intervention in the American Civil War through Mexico – especially with the Spanish Civil War coming to an end. Since the collapse of their front in Minnesota and Wisconsin, many American syndicalists had been clinging to the desperate belief that while they might no longer be capable of winning the Civil War outright themselves, they could hold out long enough for their comrades in the Internationale to come to their aid. Now, with Paris and London’s interest drawn back to Europe, the chances of such a major play were greatly reduced.

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While syndicalism was making gains in Europe and struggling for survival in the United States, the revolution reached the crescendo of a rapid expansion across Latin America over the summer of 1938. After Colombia and Venezuela joined Mexico as full members of the Third Internationale earlier in the year, Chilean-Patagonian forces stormed Buenos Aires to achieve total control over the southern cone of South America in September.

Confident of further successes, the syndicalists then turned their eyes to the small and vulnerable republics of Central America. By early 1938, with the exception of Entente-aligned Panama, the entire region had fallen into a state of anarchy, with powerful revolutionary and counter-revolutionary insurgencies, the growth of rampant criminal gangs and without a functioning government to be found. Fearful of extending growing influence of syndicalism to their south, Baton Rouge sought to re-exert American influence in the area – working alongside a cabal of high ranking military officers across Honduras, Guatemala and Nicaragua, agents from Huey Long’s government made plans to restore order to the region and create a strong central government capable of resisting Internationale influence.

Over the spring of 1938, around 5,000 American marines were deployed to support military coups across the region and provided technical aid in a brutal crackdown on syndicalists – which included a joint invasion of El Salvador, where the Reds had been invited as a junior partner in government. In July, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua and El Salvador were formally united as the Central American Republic, under the control of a federal military junta controlled by generals from all constituent nations. The Central America junta would focus on continuing its campaigns against internal enemies, while building up its ability to resist the looming threat of Mexican invasion.

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Baton Rouge’s activist anti-syndicalist policy in Central America was associated with a wider diplomatic push in the wider region. Having burnished its credentials as a power that would actively resist the Red tide in the region and by now appearing to be the most likely eventual victor in the American Civil War, 1938 would see the only two major states in the region that still stood against the Internationale – Brazil and the Peru-Bolivian Confederation – formally recognise Baton Rouge as the rightful government of the United States. By the end of the summer this would result both states offering material aid to the Longists in their fight to restore order in the United States. The Brazilians and Peruvians were undoubtedly motivated by self-interest – seeking to ingratiate themselves with the likely future American government, while also speed along the reconstitution of unified United States that could chase away Europe’s growing influence in the Western Hemisphere.

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The Western Front of the Civil War, waged between Baton Rouge and Sacramento, had only started to truly heat up in the autumn of 1937 as the Pacific Staters launched the First Battle of Denver in an effort to take the key city and open up a path to the Great Plains, while also pushing into Nebraska to the east. Ultimately, the Pacific Staters and their Japanese allies were held back in Colorado and, while capturing the majority of the state, were held back from securing the Nebraskan capital of Omaha. In the spring of 1938, the Longist-Pacific frontier was extended by the collapse of syndicalist power west of the Great Lakes, although the new frontlines in Minnesota proved fairly static as the Longists adopted a defensive posture and the Pacific Staters concentrated their energies elsewhere. Indeed, Colorado, and to a lesser extent Nebraska, remained the foremost battlefields of the continent-spanning front, with the first half of 1938 witnessing two further major assaults in Colorado in the Second and Third Battles of Denver, costing tens of thousands of lives.

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These contests would act as a prelude to the most intense operation on the Western Front to date in the Fourth Battle of Denver. The Pacific Staters would engage in a three pronged attack, assaulting the city from the north and west, with an additional strike aimed at Colorado Springs to the south of Denver – with the aim of cutting off its rail and road connections from the south. Combined, Sacramento fielded around 45,000 American and 20,000 Japanese troops, while the Longists could field a little over half that number – but benefit from the mountainous terrain and heavily entrenched battlelines. With around 100,000 men in the field, the battle was far larger than any previously seen on the front and would rumble on for months.

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For a time, prohibitionism had been one of the most powerful global movements in the Protestant world – shaping legislation from Sweden to Canada and coming close to achieving the grand prize of a nationwide constitutional ban on the sale and importation of alcohol into the United States in the late 1910s. At that time, the American prohibitionist movement possessed bi-partisan majority support in Congress and mass backing among the public – with Catholics and allies of the drinks industry being the only major obstacles to its victory. Yet this marked the peak of the movement, as after the failure to legislate for a constitutional amendment during the Wilson administration, the dray cause went into steady decline – failing to make any progress during the McAdoo Presidency of the 1920s despite the President’s own dry sympathies. William Jennings Bryan’s ill-fated 1928 Presidential campaign, cut short by the Great Commoner’s untimely death, represented the last effort to lead a nationwide political campaign with prohibition at its centre. In the 1930s, the drinks issue would continue to shrink as other social and economic issues took precedence and the energy continued to sap out of the political movement. However, despite its decline, the prohibitionist cause remained popular among many Protestants, particularly in rural area, while most states in the South and West maintained dry laws that limited or banned the sale of alcohol within their jurisdictions.

Through his political career, Huey Long, had attempted to hold a fine line between leaning into the prohibitionist movement while retaining a plausible degree of ambiguity. Attentive to sentiment in Catholic southern Louisiana and his key Catholic allies in the Mid West and Mid Atlantic, Long understood that wets were a key block in his America First coalition – leading to him seeking to quietly push the alcohol issue further down the agenda of the party in favour of more unifying anti-syndicalist and social reformist themes. For a time the outbreak of civil war pushed the prohibition out of minds entirely as all focus moved to the war effort – despite the dominance of dry states among those that sided with Long’s Baton Rouge administration in early 1937.

Unfortunately for Long, a confluence of factors would bring the drinks issue to the forefront of political discourse in Baton Rouge in 1938. Anti-alcohol writers in the press had been pushing the belief that drinking was a major source of ill-discipline on the front since the early stages of the war, while also whipping up popular distaste for big city revelry at an austere time of war. New Orleans, with its Catholicism, relative cosmopolitanism and libertine culture, became a focus of hostility that was only worsened by its use by the Russians as the nerve centre of their operations in America. It would be Gerald Smith and the Christian Nationalists who would skilfully knit together prohibitionist discontent, anxiety over growing Russian influence, anti-Catholicism and rural frustrations.

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Since their formation in July 1937, the Christian Nationalists had been a thorn in the side of Huey Long’s government but had ultimately struggled to win a hearing from outside the America First tent. Indeed, the party spent most of its first six months of existence struggling for its very existence in the face of new anti-extremist legislation passed by Long’s government after the July 1937 Chicago Massacre. After the violence at Chicago, President Long had promised to create an organisation to combat subversion and political violence within the territories under his regime’s control – this would come together in the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC), a Congressional committee with extraordinary powers to investigate broadly defined ‘un-American’ extremism. The HUAC would come under the leadership of Texan Representative Martin Dies, a conservative Bourbon America Firster, who would make the Committee’s main focus the identifying and purging real and suspect syndicalists – supporting the arrests of tens of thousands of civilians. On the extreme right, the HUAC also sought to investigate the circumstances behind ‘politically-motivated’ lynchings of Southern Blacks, violence that had escalated rapidly in the first half of 1937, while deeming ‘non-political’ lynchings as outwith its remit. It also sought to ensure that Huey Long’s mandate for the Silver Legion to be disbanded as an independent organisation was enforced. This drew it into constant conflict with Dudley Pelley, who was accused of attempting to maintain the existence of the Legion as a paramilitary force despite the demands of the government. Smith’s Christian Nationalists found themselves tangled in the prosecutions of the HUAC for most of the rest of 1937 – focussing on defending Pelley, the Legion and the lynchers to the exclusion of all else and leaving themselves painted as an extremist force in the public eye.

Prohibition would be their path to broader appeal. In January 1938, after rumours spread that a large Russian ship had docked in New Orleans filled with vodka, a group of Christian Nationalists – aping the Boston Tea Party – stormed the unguarded vessel and proceeded to seize the liquor held aboard and pour it into the sea. As Gerald Smith celebrated this stand against Russian colonisation and the demon drink. With these actions, Smith and his radicals struck a nerve with the public, and indeed many sympathetic voices within America First. Soon the prohibition question loomed over the government in Baton Rouge, with significant internal and external pressure pushing for immediate action. Despite this pressure, Long attempted to maintain a compromise allowing for even greater restrictions at state and local level while resisted a federal ban. Most disconcertingly of all, the Christian Nationalists appeared to finally be gaining significant public traction organising around the issue.

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With the Longists having been put temporarily on the backfoot by their defeats in the Mid West and the renewed Pacific Stater offensives on Denver, General MacArthur was making positive progress. In the east, his forces had finally completed the total envelopment of Philadelphia earlier in the summer and were in the process of starving its defenders into submission. Given the weakness of the syndicalists, the General sensed an opportunity to redirect his troops to take advantage of the struggles of his more powerful enemy in Baton Rouge. Although the Virginia-Washington front remained caught in the stalemate of trench warfare, the Baton Rouge regime’s long Atlantic coastline offered appetising opportunities for a bold attack. Equally, having conquered the largest part of the old syndicalist territory already, the Longists’ moment of relative weakness was unlikely to last long – the Federalists had to strike now if they had any hope of turning the balance of power.

The Federalists had previously launched an amphibious invasion of the Longist Atlantic coastline in the summer of 1937. But this operation had been supported by barely 30,000 poorly trained militia units – acting as a strategic experiment as much as a concerted effort to alter the balance of power. Operation Gatorclaw would be very different, involving more than four times as many men, including heavily armed and professional troops.

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In early August 1938, this great army was unleashed on the eastern coastline of Florida and Georgia. Quickly the invaders overwhelmed the lightly defended beaches and pushed inland. After just two weeks the crucial port of Miami fell, its 5,000 defenders surrendering to the MacArthurites, to ensure a steady supply line to the invaders. To the north, the invasion faced much stronger resistance around the port of Savannah, where 10,000 Minutemen defended against more than twice their number bravely, and Tallahassee, where General Moseley demanded the Longists fight to the last man. Held up around these two cities, the Federalists were unable to expand their bridgehead as tens of thousands of Longist troops were redirected from other fronts to join the defence. Nonetheless, by the end of September a steady frontline had been established that left almost all of Florida and parts of southern Georgia firmly under Washington’s control.
 
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Despite some really impressive gains at the start of the year when we essentially collapsed 1/3 of the CSA and being the clear strongest party in the Civil War by this point, this represents the lowest point for us in the civil war to date. The PSA is now faced with a single front against a single opponent and is pushing hard, the CSA isn't quite dead and had done some serious damage with those two encirclements and the Feds have opening up a whole new front in Florida.

We also got a chance in this update to take another look at some elements of the internal politics of the AUS - in particular the question of prohibition (which I think should play a bigger role in the mod's narrative than it actually does, especially for the AUS!) and the Christian Nationalists.

Does he still lobotomize his wife? Because if that's the case you have to leave in the Kennedy Curse

It will be some time before we will hear about he fate of the postwar Kennedys - we shall see if they are cursed quite so badly as they were in OTL.

Really loving the AAR so far! Thanks for making this!
Does the AUS keep any troops down south to keep an eye on Red Mexico? How is the convoy war, presumably the Syndy nations are escorting some of the supply convoys to Philly but how are things going for the AUS? What happened to Puerto Rico and Guantanamo? How is Cuba reacting? Who is buying AUS oil/resources?

The Battle off Norfolk really interests me, what battleships/carriers were involved? No doubt it would be the most analysed naval battle ever, with all powers trying to get conclusions out of it. What is the AUS building in ship terms?

What is the PSA's naval strength vis a vis Japan? A lot of their foreign policy would be dictated by the power balance between the two sides I think. How goes the air battle?
Although it is not represented in game I wonder where all the great lakes shipping is. I like to imagine some sort of nomadic floating syndicalist commune originally made up of refugees from Chicago going around. They may be in trouble in winter though. Would the Syndicalists be building gunboats?

I think Canada would be utterly terrified in all of this, Japanese at Denver and Syndicalist Hawaii would be a credible threat to the western seaboard.
Alaska must be a little worried about AUS supporting Russia being next door as well. Thinking about it the situation could be ripe for an AUS convoy raider to get basing rights from the Russian Far East. Japanese would not like that though!

Sorry for the question overload!

We do have to keep some divisions back in case of a Mexican intervention - which remains a real possibility, and could be catastrophic for us given they are in the Internationale. As of yet, they haven't made a move.

In terms of convoys and the naval war - I will return to this in future updates, because it deserves some more space of its own. Suffice to say, we can concentrated on trying to keep some convoys in the field, and whenever we have had some the Russians have rushed us supplies - but the Federalists are constantly wearing our convoy numbers down to nubs.

Great Lakes shipping is an interesting one that I haven't really gone into. Naturally given the geography of the CSA, the Lakes connect their lands better than land routes do (and that was the case even before their recent losses) so that shipping is a genuine lifeline. The Lakes would surely have some level of militarisation as both Canada and the CSA would fear one another - although perhaps not active fighting as both seek to pull back from outright war.

On the Caribbean colonies, Cuba seized Guantanamo early on and is fairly close to the Entente while Puerto Rico went independent and is also friendly with the Entente without being a member.

In terms of the air war, it is different on different fronts. I have left very few planes on the Western Front, so the PSA has the advantage there but their air force isn't all that big to begin with. I concentrated a lot of air resources from the start in the Mid West - so the AUS has the advantage there. The Feds have the biggest air force over all, I have a decent amount of fighters in Virginia - but even then the Feds have the advantage. The Feds are also dominant in Pennsylvania.

The PSA actually gets a fairly big navy as they take a large chunk of the US Pacific fleet. However, the Federalists also take a share and at this stage Japan is clearly the stronger party in naval terms.

And finally on Alaska. In the version of KR I am playing, the entire Russian Far East is under the Japanese-aligned Russian Far Eastern Republic - so the opportunities for the AUS to benefit from Moscow influence around that part of the world aren't there. But that only further emphasises just how strongly placed Japan are at this point - with control over such a vast amount of the Pacific Rim already.

I like the idea of McCarthy as a spy for the AUS. It amuses me.

It looks like Patton flew a little too close to the sun here. Is he contemplating... finding a government that will appreciate his skills more?

With the formation of the Moscow Accord, Europe looks like it's due for a war... how long will it take for the Second Weltkrieg to break out?

I thought McCarthy was a fun little tidbit, and he's the perfect age to be doing something like this and certainly wouldn't be joining up with the Red Guards.

Patton really established himself as a star in the public eye with his successful campaigns through the first year of the war. He won't be happy to 'sit on the bench' in command of a small and unimportant front for long. Time will tell whether he gets subbed back in to a more prominent and offensive role or if he seeks alternatives for himself.

And as for the Second Weltkrieg, Germany's embarrassing failures in Belgium will surely be catching eyes in Moscow and Paris, its only a matter of time before someone moves ...

Looks like Patton, for all his victories, has been effectively retired. I wonder if he'll do anything to get back in people's good graces.

The new Norwegian flag looks oddly familiar...I'm guessing their policies are mostly the same too (Nordic nationalism and heavy militarization)?

The increased immigration to Canada might force them to send troops, just so the conflict ends and the refugees stop coming.

Patton is still in charge of the Minnesota front - but without much resources and with a defensive remit, there's no real opportunity for glory there. He will need to find a way to regain his standing with army HQ and Moseley to be able to play a more active role in the war again.

MacArthur and the Federalists could really use a Canadian intervention at this stage - we just need to see if the strategic situation reaches a point where Ottawa sees no other alternative but to commit to war. Their army might not necessarily be the largest, but Canadian division are of much higher quality than those being fielded in the ACW and could really make a substantial difference.
 
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Were all these Syndicalist revolutions something you had prepared in the game settings when picking AI focus paths, or were these unscripted?

The Christian Nationalists and the reopening of the prohibition issue are the last things Long needs right now. Which of course means it's time for them to come out of hiding.
 
Things look to be heating up around the world... what will be the sides of the Second Weltkrieg? Or will it be a three-way showdown?

I like the idea of prohibition influencing the war effort. I can't imagine that all of the troops are happy with this discussion of banning alcohol...

If Patton wanted to defect, there's hardly a more advantageous time - the PSA is focusing on the AUS, Florida was just lost, and the CSA's chances of winning are still low. Would he side with the PSA or MacArthur if he did defect?

Of course, an opposing candidate who is a war hero that could be spun as unjustly persecuted could be a good line for one of these opposition parties. Is Long even still holding presidential elections in the AUS?
 
this was by far the largest disaster the Longists had faced in the war
That was a bit of a shocker, especially the calibre of the troops lost: the tip of Patton’s spear. Good for the AI Syndies!
In early August 1938, this great army was unleashed on the eastern coastline of Florida and Georgia.
Likewise for the Feds.
He won't be happy to 'sit on the bench' in command of a small and unimportant front for long. Time will tell whether he gets subbed back in to a more prominent and offensive role or if he seeks alternatives for himself.
He had better not go around slapping ‘gun shy’ soldiers in military hospitals for a while. Unless that gets him kudos in the AUS. o_O

Overall, good to see the game fighting back a little at the moment. We don’t want a walkover here, do we?
 
Uh oh. Another front, in the south. Worrisome. And it might destabilize Long's control over the party and country.
 
There are some definite fault lines in Long's coalition that make it look very unstable in the long term, at least in its present arrangement. If/when the war is won, I imagine there are going to be some serious realignments. With Long himself seeming to be the lynchpin that's keeping everyone at least nominally together, I expect military reversals to be quite dangerous not just for any strategic implications but for the political ramifications as well. Too much damage to his credibility/authority and things could get ugly as the various factions angle to replace him.
 
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November Surprise – October 1938 – December 1938
November Surprise – October 1938 – December 1938

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Blue – Full Election (Washington DC Government)
Light Blue – Partial Election (Washington DC Government)
Teal – Full Election (Baton Rouge Government)
Light Green – Partial Election (Baton Rouge Government)
Yellow – Partial Election at Local Level Only (Baton Rouge Government)

Grey – No Elections Held

1938 was an election year in the United States’ traditional bi-annual election calendar. While the Pacific States of America had held national elections the previous November, the two chief claimants to continuity with the old Republic – Huey Long’s Baton Rouge government and General MacArthur’s regime in Washington DC – were presented the challenging question of whether or not to go ahead with elections and in what form they could take. There was obvious precedent over this question, with both the North and South having held elections midway through the First American Civil War, weakening arguments for suspending them outright.

Baton Rouge moved first on this issue, when President Long announced the starting pistol for a midterm election campaign as early as June. MacArthur lagged behind, seeing a divisive political campaign as an unnecessary distraction during a time of war, but ultimately felt compelled to prove the democratic credentials of his regime. In both governments’ territories, no clean and even slate of contests would be possible, with differing levels of stability, civilian control and trust in the local populace influence the nature of elections in different parts of the country.

Under Washington DC, full elections at Gubernatorial, Senatorial, Congressional and State levels with no restrictions on the franchise were held only in New England, while in New York, New Jersey and Delaware were held in parts of the state but under heavy military supervision and with areas with heavy historic syndicalist or Longist presence excluded. Areas on the frontline in Maryland, Pennsylvania and parts of New York were excluded entirely. In Baton Rouge controlled America, a full suite of elections were held in a total of 10 Southern states, with elections were also held in large parts of Virginia, South Carolina, Georgia, Kansas and Arizona that were sufficiently distant from frontlines. Most interesting in the case of the Longist zone was the regime’s treatment of the sizeable collection of Mid Western states that had joined Jack Reed’s rebellion in 1937. In a total of 5 of these states, all of them still under martial law, elections were held for a number of local offices – with a view to restoring a degree of civilian control over domestic affairs. These elections were geographically limited, were carried out under military supervision and without secret ballots and with tight controls on which candidates could run and who could vote – with known syndicalists denied the franchise outright.

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Despite a shared decision to go ahead with elections, the nature of the electoral contests in the two Americas were quite distinct. In Federalist territory, General MacArthur presented himself as above and separate from politics – allowing political debate to operate at a level below his own regime. With both Democrats and Republicans closely tied to the regime, and politics outwith the traditional two parties strictly forbidden, substantive questions over ideology and the conduct of the war were off the ballot. Instead, debate focussed on local issues and key civilian concerns. Progressive-leaning Democrats conducted a number of vigorous campaigns calling for greater state intervention to support civilian economies upended by the war and promoting further measures to integrate African-Americans. These efforts paid fruit, with left-leaning Democrats securing a score of victories, bouncing back from their dreadful performance of 1936. It was notable that Herbert Hoover, despite his side-lining from MacArthur’s Presidential cabinet, chose to place himself at the centre of the Republican campaign – hoping to leverage a strong set of results to rebuild his waning political influence. The poor showing of his party across the region badly damaged his personal prestige and led to his effective retirement from active political life by the end of the year – as he left Washington to take up residence at the Waldorf Astoria Hotel in New York City.

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To the south and west, Huey Long adopted a more pointedly party political campaign in which he would stake his own personal political capital on the performance of his America First Party. The party itself would win the elections comfortably with a simple message of ‘keep calm, and trust President Long’. The was greatly aided by a staunch government-aligned partisanship in the press and a massive organisational advantage over its rivals, going uncontested in more than a third of all the Congressional districts holding elections. Huey Long would be surprised to see his candidates generally underperform their 1936 performances anywhere they were confronted with credible opposition. The biggest beneficiaries of this weakness proved to be the extremist Christian Nationalists, who appealed directly to the Longist base, and won more than two dozen Congressional seats and saw Gerald Smith with the Senatorial election in Arkansas, an impressive victory. The Southern Democrats, organisationally and ideologically distinct from their New England cousins in the Federalist zone, also fared well – making measured gains totally around a dozen additional Congressional seats alongside a variety of down ballot successes. There were even a small handful of Independents and former Republicans elected, particularly in border states. The drink issue proved to be especially damaging for America First, with a groundswell of prohibitionist sentiment powering much of the Christian Nationalists’ success and dampening enthusiasm for the incumbent party.

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The elections held in the five former syndicalist states were, for the most part, tightly controlled affairs won with ease by America First candidates in circumstances that were as distant from free and fair elections. The one exception to this was Ohio. There, the most powerful office up for election, the newly introduced position of Vice Governor – effectively allowing for an elected civilian politician to act as the deputy of a military governor until full reintegration – was won by a certain Robert Taft, running under the banner of Independent Republican.

Taft was American political royalty, his father William Howard Taft having served as President between 1909 and 1913 and then Chief Justice of the Supreme Court from 1921 until his death in 1930. The younger Taft had been a player in Ohio state politics through the 1920s and 1930s, serving in its state legislature for much of this time. As the country fell into civil war in early 1937, Robert Taft’s home at Sky Farm on the outskirts of Cincinnati was occupied by Red Guards – who seized the property, brutally beat Taft himself and killed one of his two younger children who still lived at home before casting him and his traumatised family out. The Tafts would find shelter among friends within Cincinnati who hid them from the syndicalist authorities before the Longists captured the city weeks after the outbreak of fighting – allowing Taft to come out of hiding and return to his property. Following this experience, Taft became an enthusiastic backer of the Baton Rouge government, although resisting pressure to join America First itself. His victory in Ohio added a new blot to the political tapestry of Huey Long’s America.

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Exasperated and downbeat after his party’s humbling electoral performance, Huey Long offered public assurances that his government would respond to popular demands. Hoping to reduce the troublesome influence of Smith and his Christian Nationalists, before the end of the year the President had put legislation before Congress in Baton Rouge that would implement a federal ban on the sale and importation of liquor – with a number of small exceptions including for religious observance and most notably for frontline soldiers, at the behest of key army leaders. Decades of anti-liquor activism had achieved the greatest victory in their history, making the fairly bibulous Long the unlikely face of a bold new ‘Noble Experiment’ in American history.

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Just days after election day, General MacArthur pulled off an unexpected second amphibious landing on the Atlantic coastline of Dixie. Drawing troops from both the North East and Florida, the Federalist took advantage of the withdrawal of much of the Longists’ coastal garrison to fight further south to land tens of thousands of troops along the North Carolina shoreline. Faced with open terrain, through the rest of November the Federalist drove deeply inland – capturing the cities of Charlotte and Raleigh – while also advancing up the coast to retake the crucial port of Norfolk for the first time since Eisenhower’s surrender in spring 1937. By early December the Federalist invasion had run out of steam – held back in the west by the Appalachians while seeing heavy resistance around Richmond in Virginia and Columbia in South Carolina. Nonetheless, they were able to settle into a strong defensive position.

This invasion had a number of consequences. By withdrawing troops from Florida, it left the Federalists undermanned on their most southerly front, and allowed the Longists regain significant ground there. However, the fall of Norfolk left the crucial Longist line south of Washington DC badly exposed, with its supply lines shaky and vulnerable without the port city. Finally it left Baton Rouge’s high command panicked and scrambling yet again as it sought to redeploy sufficient forces to contain and push back the landings.

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The Longists were hit hard by these sudden losses that saw them lose control of the majority of the East Coast – with morale across the board plunging and fear spreading across the South that the war would soon come to their communities. Most notably, the Federalists made use of a new tactic – offering appeals towards Blacks to defect to the Federalist cause. During its campaigns in Florida, the MacArthur regime had been surprised at the level of enthusiasm Federalist forces elicited from African American communities – with thousands in the state volunteering to fight for Washington during their occupation. This had encouraged Federalist military officials, to make a larger effort during the North Carolina campaign to issue propaganda depicting MacArthur as a latter-day Abe Lincoln who would sweep away Jim Crow and raise the Black man to equality with the White man for the first time in American history. This message resonated, and tens of thousands of African Americans would sign up to support the Federalist occupation in North Carolina, while also providing key intelligence to MacArthur’s troops.

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While Baton Rouge scrambled to counter the Federalist campaigns along the eastern seaboard, in the Midwest early December witnessed the first major Longist offensive against the Syndicalists since the Spring. Noticing the difficulties that the syndicalists were having in keeping their supply lines to their outposts in rural northern Lower Peninsula Michigan open in the icy conditions of deepest winter, the Longists sprang a controlled operation in the area. In a matter of weeks, the syndicalists were pushed back into a limited pocket in eastern Michigan around Detroit, Lansing and Flint, with a total of 15,000 soldiers surrendering to the Longists. After a reprieve of several months, the noose was tightening around Red America once again – the ultimate demise of the syndicalist movement appeared certain and close.
 
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Were all these Syndicalist revolutions something you had prepared in the game settings when picking AI focus paths, or were these unscripted?

The Christian Nationalists and the reopening of the prohibition issue are the last things Long needs right now. Which of course means it's time for them to come out of hiding.

I didn't tweak the settings at all other than to give a very modest boost to the Third Internationale (just one extra click on the slider) as I didn't want the Germans to steamroller them in a few months flat as they often do - the syndies just had a really successful pre-war run through Latin America on this playthrough.

And Christian Nationalist activism has pushed Long so far as to reluctantly accept the core prohibitionist policy - this will have big consequences that we will see play out in time.

Life in Baton Rouge-led America is really starting to diverge from the PSA and Federalist zones. In those areas segregation has been done away with and a fairly liberal society prevails in areas away from the frontlines.

Things look to be heating up around the world... what will be the sides of the Second Weltkrieg? Or will it be a three-way showdown?

I like the idea of prohibition influencing the war effort. I can't imagine that all of the troops are happy with this discussion of banning alcohol...

If Patton wanted to defect, there's hardly a more advantageous time - the PSA is focusing on the AUS, Florida was just lost, and the CSA's chances of winning are still low. Would he side with the PSA or MacArthur if he did defect?

Of course, an opposing candidate who is a war hero that could be spun as unjustly persecuted could be a good line for one of these opposition parties. Is Long even still holding presidential elections in the AUS?

The Russians, Syndies, Germans and Japanese will all be getting ready for their dust-up by now - the only question is how long it takes until the shooting starts.

An exception for soldiers at the front from prohibition - just an extra contradiction for a painfully difficult policy to police.

As for Patton - we will hear from him again in the next update ;).

That was a bit of a shocker, especially the calibre of the troops lost: the tip of Patton’s spear. Good for the AI Syndies!

Likewise for the Feds.

He had better not go around slapping ‘gun shy’ soldiers in military hospitals for a while. Unless that gets him kudos in the AUS. o_O

Overall, good to see the game fighting back a little at the moment. We don’t want a walkover here, do we?

Had it not been for those losses I would have been able to finish off the CSA in the summer of 1938 in all liklihood, but it certainly made the game more interesting to put me on the backfoot. If only they had been fighting like that earlier on they could have held on to enough of the Mid West to start the CSA snowball effect that often sees them become the most powerful American faction if given the space to take advantage of their massive industrial advantage.

Uh oh. Another front, in the south. Worrisome. And it might destabilize Long's control over the party and country.

Triple uh oh as MacArthur opens up a third front in North Carolina too! He's stretched himself pretty thin in doing so - with his limited forces now occupying the bulk of the eastern seaboard.

There are some definite fault lines in Long's coalition that make it look very unstable in the long term, at least in its present arrangement. If/when the war is won, I imagine there are going to be some serious realignments. With Long himself seeming to be the lynchpin that's keeping everyone at least nominally together, I expect military reversals to be quite dangerous not just for any strategic implications but for the political ramifications as well. Too much damage to his credibility/authority and things could get ugly as the various factions angle to replace him.

America First is highly factional with distinct and opposing currents within it, and Long is indeed the crucial glue who can relate to its different component parts better than anyone else. The party has been shaken by its underwhelming performance in the polls in the context of a war, and Long is seeing if he can put the wind back into the party's sails by appealing to some of his wavering grassroots. Much of the future of the party will depend on how quickly the Baton Rouge army can respond to MacArthur's invasions along the east coast - those are core territories of the movement that are now being fought over.
 
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and led to his effective retirement from active political life by the end of the year – as he left Washington to take up residence at the Waldorf Astoria Hotel in New York City.
Looks like MacArthur won't have to worry about Hoover as a potential rival. Is there anybody in the Northeast who could challenge the general?
After a reprieve of several months, the noose was tightening around Red America once again – the ultimate demise of the syndicalist movement appeared certain and close.
The CSA is once again on the ropes. And I'm thinking the AUS is much more cautious this time around. Any victory here would be great for Long to distract people from NC and Florida.
 
If MacArthur advances more in the Southeast, could he inadvertently save the CSA? That would be ironic... although he might want that, as it would open up the CSA to conquest by his forces later...

Will these new elections cause significant changes in how the war is conducted? Will the new government in MacArthur's regime attempt to convince African-Americans to defect to them?

How will prohibition affect the war effort?

Is the presence of these elections an indication that presidential elections in the AUS (or even the USA) might be on the table?
 
The biggest beneficiaries of this weakness proved to be the extremist Christian Nationalists, who appealed directly to the Longist base, and won more than two dozen Congressional seats and saw Gerald Smith with the Senatorial election in Arkansas, an impressive victory.
We all suspected they’d be back - so long as they have some dedicated base to appeal to. Still thinking Huey may need a Night of the Long Knives to purge them if they get too powerful. In game, is there as option for him to attempt to shut them down? Or are they mainly narrative by nature?
After a reprieve of several months, the noose was tightening around Red America once again – the ultimate demise of the syndicalist movement appeared certain and close.
The Union may now be thinking they need to eliminate the Reds first, stabilise a north/south line with the PSA and then concentrate on the old USA, who could become even more threatening if they get direct support from Canada and elsewhere.
 
Prohibition, eh. That will surely not backfire at all.
 
Your order is built on sand – December 1938 – February 1939 New
Your order is built on sand – December 1938 – February 1939

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As early as the summer of 1937 the Federalists had secured control of the seas in the Atlantic after decisively defeating Baton Rouge’s fleet, although MacArthur’s forces lacked any ability to project power into the Atlantic. Thereafter, Washington sought to choke its enemies into submission by cutting them off from international trade by aggressively policing the Atlantic Ocean. It quickly became impossible for any shipping sailing under syndicalist or Longist banners to operate beyond the coastline at best. However, both the Combined Syndicates and Baton Rouge possessed foreign friends who were willing to sail to their ports under their own flags.

When faced with this challenge, Washington was cautious. MacArthur was eager to avoid escalating foreign intervention, and therefore avoiding a policy of directly attacking neutral shipping. However, over the course of the second half of 1937 and through 1938, the Federalists would gradually increase the restrictions placed on foreign vessels – claiming the right to board and search any vessel that entered American territorial waters and confiscate goods aboard, later expanding this to international waters in the Atlantic Ocean. For the syndicalists, these policies, coupled with the worsening on-land situation, strangled the ability of their European allies to provided substantive material aid. But for the Longists, Russian and later Norwegian ships continued to find their way to Southern harbours by traversing neutral waters in the Caribbean, and sometimes switching to Cuban or Panamanian flags of convenience, before running Federalist blockades in the Gulf of Mexico – where Baton Rouge retained some residual naval strength and Federalist vessels were far less active, far from their ports.

However, even this game could last only so long. Having heavily invested in submarine technology and made use of Floridian ports during their occupation of the state in the second half of 1938, the Federalists began to take a more aggressive approach in the Gulf of Mexico – prowling its waters and announcing their intention to fire upon any vessel breaching a sizeable exclusion zone of the American coast. This policy of unrestricted submarine warfare would lead the sinking of a number of Norwegian vessels, and violent threats of retaliation from Moscow; but ultimately achieved its primary goal of finally completing the severing of Huey Long’s regime from the international economy. Cut off from the seas, and with no prospects of overland trade with syndicalist Mexico to the south, a hostile Canada to the north and its two domestic enemies to the east and west – Baton Rouge was left in a state of total autarky by the dawn of 1939.

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After the impact of the Federalist landings in North Carolina in November, in December the Longists began their fight back across the East Coast. First, a sizeable force that had made a beachhead just north of Savannah Georgia as early as the first Florida landings months previously was finally forced to surrender on 14 December – with 26,000 men laying down their arms. Meanwhile, to the south the Federalists had withdrawn a significant portion of their strength from Florida to redeploy to North Carolina in November. This had allowed Longist counterattacks to achieve significant breakthroughs even while they were losing land to the north. As the situation in the peninsular state worsened through December, Federalist command decided to begin an evacuation rather than risk losing all their forces in the sector – with just 16,000 men, many of them militia recruited from the local African American population to fill out ranks, left behind to surrender at Tampa on 11 January. This left North Carolina as the last major Federalist enclave south of the Potomac.

These successes further south allowed Baton Rouge to redeploy troops towards the North Carolina front – pushing the Federalists back from their most protruding inland gains before the front line stabilised by late January. However, while the Longists made progress in western North Carolina, in Virginia, Federalist troops were able to pounce forward to recapture the symbolic and logistically crucial city of Richmond for the first time since the spring of 1937. This left the crucial defensive lines along the Potomac that had held steady for more than a year and a half under significant risk.

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Out to the west, the long struggle for Denver was finally coming towards its conclusion. The Four Battle of Denver fought between September and November 1938 had been the largest and bloodiest contestation of the city to date, and left around half of the urban area in the hands of Pacific and Japanese troops, even as the Longists stubbornly held on to the more southerly part of the city. While fighting in Denver temporarily eased through December and January, the Pacific Staters were on the march elsewhere – pushing south from Nebraska into Kansas, while launching continued, albeit unsuccessful, attacks around Omaha and Minneapolis. Facing pressure elsewhere on the long front, the Longists released some of their troops from the Denver area, being particularly concerned about Pacific advances into Kansas – with little standing between the Pacific spearhead and Baton Rouge’s heartland Southern states beyond.

While this tactical redeployment helped to slow the advance in Kansas, it left the battered mountain capital exposed and in February yet another assault, spearheaded by elite Japanese regiments, was unleashed in the Fifth Battle of Denver. This time, the city finally fell, with the Longist General Robert Danford, who had been headquartered in Colorado since the outset of the Civil War, suffering a bullet to the knee as Baton Rouge withdrew its forces into the south of the state at the end of the month.

As a city that had been fought over and held through so much fighting since 1937, Denver enjoyed great symbolic importance to both Sacramento and Baton Rouge. For both, it represented the key fortification maintaining the security of Huey Long’s western frontier – allowing for greater adventurism elsewhere. Now it was lost, and across the Western Front the Longists were outnumbered and on the backfoot. Anxiety over defeat coupled with General Danford’s injury prompted General Moseley at high command to seek to significant reorganise the command structure on the western front. Notably, this would involve the redeployment of George Patton, the hero of 1937, from the frozen wastes of Minnesota, where despite his disgruntlement he had ably held off Pacific Stater attacks through the winter, to take charge of the southern portion of the western front stretching through Arizona, Colorado and Kansas. Meanwhile, Danford himself would, after a short convalescence in Texas, be moved north to take charge of the northern portion of the front through Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota. For Patton in particular, this represented something of a reprieve for Baton Rouge’s most outstanding military talent after his errors in the spring of 1938 had cost his army heavily, with Patton’s new command both larger, more prestigious and far more strategically significant.

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In the New Year, all eyes were pinned on the Mid West where the syndicalist movement was struggling for life. On Christmas Eve 1938, the last starving holdouts in Philadelphia finally surrendered to Federalist forces after almost two years under siege and the better part of half a year cut off from any reliable supply line. MacArthur had finally secured uncontested control of the entire Atlantic coast from Washington to the Canadian border, and the wreckage of America’s third city. By this stage, the situation in the syndicalist-controlled territory was desperate. The area still controlled large cities – Pittsburgh, Detroit and Cleveland – and its population had been further swollen by hundreds of thousands of refugees who had fled previous Longist and Federalist advances, and still had more than half a million men under arms at the end of 1938. With such a limited area under control and with their regime cracking at the seems as defeatism spread throughout society, it was increasingly impossible for the Combined Syndicates to sustain this population. By the winter of 1938 shortages was endemic for both civilians and military personnel – food, fuel, ammunition, clothing, shelter, all were in limited supply. By the winter, there was an estimated 800 calorie deficit.

To the west, on the Ohio-West Pennsylvania front, battlelines had been static since the spring with only small sporadic fighting over than long period as deep trenches and fortifications were built on either side. In the second week of January, the Longists broke this peace with a limited attack against Pittsburgh. Although lacking any significant numerical edge and fighting in urban terrain, the Longists found their enemy with little will left to fight – capturing the city with only modest casualties. The limpness of the defence of such a key city, and the miserable condition of its defenders, provided ample evidence of the drastic situation American syndicalism was in. For all, it was clear that the end of nigh.

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At the fall of Pittsburgh, the Combined Syndicates of America had just weeks left of their existence. Since their December operations in the north of the state, the Longists had been tightening the noose in Michigan – gradually pushing the large syndicalist army in the state back towards the sprawling auto-city of Detroit as their methodically moved forward, capturing Lansing and Flint over the course of January. By the start of February, the syndicalists still had, on paper at least, around 120,000 men defending their capital – but the combat effectiveness of these troops had been degraded to the point of collapse. Despite bold proclamations by revolutionary leaders that Detroit would be a graveyard for the advancing Longists, the battle for Detroit lasted less than a week – with the attack beginning on 6 February and the final capitulation of the city coming on 11 February.

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The battle of Detroit represented the last days of American syndicalism – which had been headquartered in the city since the loss of Chicago in July 1937. As Longist troops approached the city centre, Jack Reed – who had nominally remained President of the United States according the syndicalist movement even after losing effective executive power a year and a half previous – put a pistol to his temple rather than fall to the enemy. Earl Browder, who had seized power from Reed and stabilised the syndicalist cause for a time, announced the final surrender of the city over radio in the late afternoon of 11 February, calling for all syndicalist fighting men still in the field to lay down their arms before following Reid’s example in taking his own life. One member of the syndicalist government, Elizabeth Gurley Flynn, would note down in her journal “Order reigns in America again. But your order is built on sand! The thunder of the working man will return far strong before and bring the light of revolution to the entire world!”

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Major Hood Simpson had taken over command of Baton Rouge’s forces in Michigan in the spring of 1938 following George Patton’s dismissal from his previously sprawling authority across the Mid West. In contrast to the man he replaced, Simpson was a careful and methodical leader who had skilfully led the campaign through Michigan in the winter of 1938-39 with fairly minimal Longist losses. Keenly aware of the bloody scenes at Chicago two years before, Simpson maintained strict discipline over his troops as they advanced through Detroit and harshly punished any instances of civilian killings or unnecessary collateral damage. Despite this, shortly after the fall of the city, instructions were received from Baton Rouge to begin the process of rounding up a long list of syndicalist leaders than ran into the thousands from the city.

Although the relatively peaceful takeover of the city, at least in contrast to the experience of Chicago, had assuaged some concerns, the beginning of political arrests only added to a stampede to the country. Detroit was nestled against the Canadian border, separated from Canada only by the Detroit River to the south, Lake St Clair to the east and St Clair River to the north east of the city. Although Canada had heavily militarised its borders and cracked down on American refugees since the middle of 1938, the winter months brought a renewed push by those trapped in the Detroit pocket to escape the noose tightening around their necks. Such were the numbers attempting to flee, the Canadians destroyed all bridges between Michigan and Ontario in January and banned all crossings of the frontier for any purpose. Despite this, thousands would attempt to swim across the icy waters separating Detroit from Canada while tens of thousands more took to shops of varying sizes to flee east – often with deadly consequences as Canadian authorities attempted to hold them back. This wave of would-be refugees was only ended after Simpson’s troops began to establish full control of the American side of the border in the middle of February.
 
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Almost exactly two years on from MacArthur's coup in 1937, we have our first faction to bite the dust. Its now a three way tussle between Washington, Sacramento and Baton Rouge. The Longists are clearly the stronger, but not both their opponents aren't distracted by other fronts and are solely focused against them.

In the next update we are going to take a deep look at a force far more powerful in the United States of this era than guns, politicians or ideology: religion.


Looks like MacArthur won't have to worry about Hoover as a potential rival. Is there anybody in the Northeast who could challenge the general?

The CSA is once again on the ropes. And I'm thinking the AUS is much more cautious this time around. Any victory here would be great for Long to distract people from NC and Florida.

There are powerful players in the North East, to challenge MacArthur at this point they would need some sort of alliance between key industrial and financial magnates and the political caste. At present, the General is safe but he doesn't have a totalitarian state and there remain alternate sources of power.

The CSA had really gotten simply too small to sustain the size of army it needed to keep fighting. It was something of a miracle they lasted so long after losing their western third in early 1938.

If MacArthur advances more in the Southeast, could he inadvertently save the CSA? That would be ironic... although he might want that, as it would open up the CSA to conquest by his forces later...

Will these new elections cause significant changes in how the war is conducted? Will the new government in MacArthur's regime attempt to convince African-Americans to defect to them?

How will prohibition affect the war effort?

Is the presence of these elections an indication that presidential elections in the AUS (or even the USA) might be on the table?

The Federalists didn't get their balance of forces quite right to be able to hold on to all the land they took through their landings in late 1938. They might well have been better off concentrating all their troops on a single landing front which they could hold and push out from. Nonetheless, the syndies could only keep going so long with such a small territory left under their control.

We will see how all the changes coming out of this set of elections shakes out across both the war effort and American society in the updates to come. More to follow! :D

The next presidential election year would not be until 1940. Whether elections are held and in what form they would take would heavily depend on the military situation at that point in time. If the civil war is sown up, they are surely much more likely than if active fighting remains on going. Unlike midterm votes, a Presidential election would hold the possibility of changing the executive - and thus be much more potentially destabilising.

We all suspected they’d be back - so long as they have some dedicated base to appeal to. Still thinking Huey may need a Night of the Long Knives to purge them if they get too powerful. In game, is there as option for him to attempt to shut them down? Or are they mainly narrative by nature?

The Union may now be thinking they need to eliminate the Reds first, stabilise a north/south line with the PSA and then concentrate on the old USA, who could become even more threatening if they get direct support from Canada and elsewhere.

They don't explicitly have a Christian Nationalist Party in game, but the likes of Dudley Pelley (Silver Legion) and Gerald Smith (Christian Nat leader in our TL) can end up seizing power in the AUS. There is an option to crush the Klan and Legion (which would be the closest approximation to the Christian Nationalist movement in our story) in the AUS tree - which makes sure you aren't under threat of them taking over.

The Reds are finished off, and the chaotic situation on the Atlantic somewhat stabilised. However there's going to be a moment of uncertainty as we see how the fall of the syndies impacts everything - and of course where the Feds and Longists race to take over the lands in Pennsylvania and Ohio that the syndies still occupied at their capitulation.

It might look like a slam dunk for the AUS at this point, but numerically its not over and done with yet. The AUS has 92 divisions in the field compared with around 40-50 for the PSA and 50-60 for the Feds - so they are at best evenly matched and at worst slightly outnumbered even at this late stage with the threat of possible Canadian intervention still looming in the air.

Prohibition, eh. That will surely not backfire at all.

We shall get a chance to see the short and long term impacts of prohibition through later updates. Its quite interesting to have it transplanted to this slightly later timeframe.
 
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