TheHyphenated1 said:
Something tells me dublish is quite eager to tell you how he thinks things will turn out. And that he'll have some interesting facts to support it with .
I don't work well under pressure.
Considering the British lost more than 10% of their projected fighter force to Gruppe II's attack, I'd say you have the air war won. In the general strategy meeting a few updates ago, Canaris claimed a meer 5 divisions defending Britain- based on AI garrison priorities, I'd expect a single division guarding whatever landing site you pick, so you have the land war won as well.
You'll embark from Ghent, Cherbourg or some other large port with a single sea province between you and Britain, and the deciding factor will probably be the location of the RN's Home Fleet (or Med Fleet, Reserve Fleet, East Asia Squadron, or whatever else they have defending the islands). No word on that piece of intelligence, and it changes at the whim of the AI in any case, so I'm not making any prediction there.
The Kriegsmarine expects 5 'minelayers' to be converted in the next 5 months, and 20 more in 1937. Raeder wants 10 more before he crosses the Channel, so I predict an early 1937 operation, probably in February. If we assume those are actually transports (maybe too much of a leap, but I don't know what else a minelayer would be in game terms), I think trekaddict's estimate of 12 invading divisions is spot on. Alternatively, the minelayers could be sent to the sea provinces on either side of the invasion corridor, so the Heer divisions involved might come in multiple waves.
I'm also thinking about the last paragraph of the Germaniawerft update. Financially attractive solutions for restoring the Kriegsmarine are few and far between, so I think Schacht has come up with a radical proposal. How cheap are CVs compared to BBs?