Seelmeister: Well I won't force you to, but sure, go ahead and engage in some forum archaeology if you wish! (might I suggest you start with
The Birth and Rise of the Ishida Shogunate and
The Alexandriad)
Densley: van Bosse becoming Liberale PM is a long way off, to say the least. Thorbecke towered over Dutch politics in a manner which would be almost unbelievable to people observing politics today, accustomed as they are to Nick Cleggs, Tony Blairs and various shades of Milliband as opposed to William Gladstones or Winston Churchills; titans of the industrial and early modern age. Parties were also far more loyal to their leaders, and less likely to throw the captain over the side when waters turned rough. Thorbecke is here to stay, and I can only foresee him leaving the post due to either old age (which to once more invoke the example of Gladstone, might not be for some time) or if he finds himself in the unsavoury position of leading a government which is thoroughly discredited. That might be the more likely occurrence, if the first term of the present incumbent is anything to go by...
Of course it is worth mentioning that van Bosse did rise to the rank of PM in our timeline, and held the office for a period of about three years from 1868 to 17 when he was succeeded... by no less a man than Johan Rudolf Thorbecke.
Stuyvesant: Now I don't know about you, but winning only 41% of the popular vote and a majority of only five seats does not strike me as being a particularly gigantic electoral victory! Thorbecke's newly-found economic acumen should surely mean that he'd be well-equipped to beat and bludgeon Gerrit around the house. Furthermore, van Bosse is now the new shadow Finance minister - and we already know what he can do.
That being said, elections aren't won on
Tweede Kamer debates and performances alone.