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Werewolf CCXXIV: PDXCon 2018

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Well some things have already been said, like who to vote today and everything about the voters of the yellow pack.

With that on mind I decided to analyze a little bit voting patterns and records. The problem is we have a Jeray 2.0 that has missed almost every vote. So it is a big incognito right now. So I will leave him out of this for the time being.

Storm has a sort of really good record against the red pack, very assertive, Doctor, wolf, wolf, villager, wolf, villager. So maybe keep around storm a little bit more, see if that godly aim continues.

Audren has voted also on multiple times wolves. The same as storm has voted only red pack with that on mind, we can clear one or the other.
Ayeshteni similar vote record 2 wolves, rest villagers.

Having in mind that aye and audren are being the ones runned up right now with less than 10 minutes to deadline, and that we need to start finding yellow ones

Vote Audren
 
Day 7 Final Votecount
  • Index
    • DAY 7 FINAL VOTECOUNT
    ​
    Audren: 4
    Arkansas (572)
    Panzer Commader (574)
    Ayeshteni (578)
    Claude LC (583)

    Ayeshteni: 3
    aedan777 (575)
    alynkio (jeray2000 568 -> 576)
    storm77 (577)

    Panzer Commader: 1
    Audren (570)

    jeray2000 v2.0: 1
    alxeu (573)


    Not voted:
    @jeray2000*, @ramius3443

    *Second missed vote.

    Objections?
     
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  • Index
    • GOD DAMMIT

    The one day where I actually pay attention in class rather then keep looking down at my phone, and you idiots lynch the GA.
     
    Day 7 & Night 7
  • Index
    • Day 7
    ​
    Audren, the Devouted Paradox Fan, was way to devouted and got kicked out for stalking Johann endlessly.

    Night 7
    ​
    aedan777 got into a fight which prevented him of coming back to the convention.


    Audren the Blessed Spiritually Attuned Guardian Angel is lynched.
    aedan777 the 3rd in command Priest is hunted.
     
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    • Yeah, that figures.
     
    Capibara said:
    DAY 7 FINAL VOTECOUNT
    ​
    Audren: 4
    Arkansas (572)
    Panzer Commader (574)
    Ayeshteni (578)
    Claude LC (583)
    Click to expand...

    I suspect a good number of our baddies are right here.

    Vote Panzer Commader

    At the very least, I can't imagine all of these people above are good, and Panzer has been suspicious for a long time.
     
    Vote Ayeshtani


    What I should have done an hour ago
     
    alynkio said:
    Little... but it's an interesting accusation.

    Too late to do much now. Hopefully the game didn't just end.
    Click to expand...

    Okay... I was wrong. Sorry.

    alxeu said:
    I suspect a good number of our baddies are right here.

    Vote Panzer Commader

    At the very least, I can't imagine all of these people above are good, and Panzer has been suspicious for a long time.
    Click to expand...

    You know, I agree with this, I just don't think I'm the baddy in there...

    Claude was the one to break the TIE and so was the most crucial voter. He's been really quiet otherwise. I know he voted Jacksonian before, but we also can't expect that in Jacksonian's entire pack there wasn't at least one sellout.

    SO

    VOTE CLAUDE LC
     
    I had to vote Audren to save myself, it's the only reason I did so.

    But as you think I am a follower (apparently), I am not, i'll make an early vote (which I have ALWAYS done), and yes, it resulted in a wolf's death (shock horror, whodda thunked it)

    Vote Le Claude LC
     
    Villager
    Important Goodie
    Part of the EA Pack
    Part of the Ubisoft Pack


    Day 1

    Capage: 6
    Arkasas (120)
    Steed/Jeray mk.2 (139)
    Jacksonian Missionary (storm77 122 -> 151)
    Gen. Marshall (Panzer Commader 104 -> 188)
    storm77 (Rovsea 119 -> Capage 160 -> Panzer Commader 190 -> 193)
    alxeu (Jacksonian Missionary 131 -> BlackCrown 165 -> Panzer Commader 187 -> Gen. Marshall 196 -> 197)

    jeray2000 mk.1: 4
    brovahkiin/Ayeshteni (107)
    aedan777 (121)
    Daleksbane (137)
    Panzer Commader (150)

    k-59: 2
    Rovsea (130)
    johho888 (142)

    Rovsea: 2
    tamius23 (138)
    ramius3443 (144)

    Gen. Marshall: 2
    BlackCrown (alynkio 175 -> Panzer Commader 182 -> 192)
    Capage (Audren 125 -> k-59 141 -> Panzer Commader 183 -> 198)

    Panzer Commander: 1
    alynkio (De Chatillon 118 -> BlackCrown 155 -> 185)

    aedan777: 1
    De Chatillon (105)

    CaesarCzech: 1
    Eternaly_Lost (113)

    brovahkiin/Ayeshteni: 1
    jeray2000 mk.1 (114)

    Eternaly_Lost: 1
    Audren (116)

    Claude LC: 1
    Sleepyhead (Arkasas 127 -> 172)

    Audren: 1
    k-59 (126)

    Not voted:
    Claude LC, Wagonlitz/Yakman, CaesarCzech

    Day 2

    Daleksbane: 10
    aedan777 (229)
    alynkio (246)
    johho888 (251)
    tamius23 (256)
    Claude LC (258)
    Eternaly_Lost (Gen. Marshall 242 -> 268)
    jeray2000 mk.1 (281)
    storm77 (Gen. Marshall 227 -> 287)
    ramius3443 (290)
    Gen. Marshall (Jacksonian Missionary 222 -> BlackCrown 293 -> 304)

    BlackCrown: 6
    Arkasas (245)
    Audren (249)
    Jacksonian Missionary (255)
    Sleepyhead (Claude LC 235 -> 267)
    Panzer Commader (Claude LC 257 -> 269)
    k-59 (Gen. Marshall 225 -> 275)

    Gen. Marshall: 4
    Daleksbane (226)
    BlackCrown (228)
    CaesarCzech (234)
    De Chatillon (238)

    Eternaly_Lost: 1
    alxeu (Claude LC 218 -> Eternaly_Lost 244 -> BlackCrown 282 -> 292)

    Claude LC: 1
    brovahkiin/Ayeshteni (248)

    aedan777: 1
    Steed/Jeray mk.2 (252)

    Not voted:
    Wagonlitz/Yakman

    Day 3

    k-59: 6
    jeray2000 mk.1 (327)
    storm77 (333)
    De Chatillon (343)
    Panzer Commader (346)
    Eternaly_Lost (351)
    Jacksonian Missionary (366)

    Jacksonian Missionary: 6
    aedan777 (345)
    Arkasas (353)
    Gen. Marshall (Eternaly_Lost 324 -> 359)
    k-59 (alxeu 355 -> 362)
    alxeu (Eternaly_Lost 347 -> 365)
    Claude LC (367)

    Eternaly_Lost: 2
    johho888 (338)
    BlackCrown (344)

    alxeu: 1
    ramius3443 (317)

    Audren: 1
    alynkio (339)

    Steed/Jeray mk.2: 1
    tamius23 (340)

    Panzer Commader: 1
    Wagonlitz/Yakman (341)

    ramius3443: 1
    Sleepyhead (348)

    Not voted:
    Brovahkiin/Ayeshteni, Steed/Jeray mk.2, CaesarCzech, Audren

    Day 4

    Sleepyhead: 5
    Gen. Marshall (411)
    storm77 (De Chatillon 394 -> 428)
    Claude LC (De Chatillon 427 -> 429)
    tamius23 (430)
    alynkio (431)

    Eternaly_Lost: 4
    jeray2000 mk.1 (382)
    Ayeshteni (383)
    Sleepyhead (418)
    aedan777 (419)

    De Chatillon: 2
    Audren (397)
    Panzer Commader (416)

    Ayeshteni: 1
    ramius3443 (387)

    Steed/Jeray mk.2: 1
    alxeu (401)

    jeray2000 mk.1: 1
    Eternaly_Lost (410)

    Note voted:
    Arkasas, De Chatillon, CaesarCzech, Wagonlitz/Yakman, BlackCrown, Steed/Jeray mk.2

    Day 5

    jeray2000 mk.1: 5
    Eternaly_Lost (458)
    alxeu (459)
    Ayeshteni (468)
    Claude LC (481)
    Gen. Marshall (jeray2000 450 -> Eternaly_Lost 476 -> 482)

    Audren: 4
    aedan777 (467)
    alynkio (jeray2000 457 -> 469)
    Panzer Commader (470)
    ramius3443 (Steed 464 -> 475)

    Eternaly_Lost: 3
    jeray2000 mk.1 (445)
    storm77 (449)
    Audren (474)

    Steed/Jeray mk. 2: 2
    Arkasas (454)
    tamius23 (461)

    Not voted:
    CaesarCzech, Yakman, BlackCrown, Steed/Jeray mk.2

    Day 6

    Eternaly_Lost: 3
    Ayeshteni (499)
    ramius3443 (507)
    Panzer Commader (527)

    BlackCrown: 3
    Eternaly_Lost (518)
    storm77 (Audren 509 -> 519)
    Gen. Marshall (Ayeshteni 500 -> 526)

    Yakman: 3
    aedan777 (512)
    alxeu (514)
    Audren (516)

    storm77: 1
    Yakman (503)

    jeray2000 mk.2: 1
    Arkasas (508)

    Panzer Commader: 1
    alynkio (523)

    Claude LC: 1
    Claude LC (532)

    Not voted:
    BlackCrown, jeray2000 mk.2


    Day 7

    Audren: 4
    Arkansas (572)
    Panzer Commader (574)
    Ayeshteni (578)
    Claude LC (583)

    Ayeshteni: 3
    aedan777 (575)
    alynkio (jeray2000 568 -> 576)
    storm77 (577)

    Panzer Commader: 1
    Audren (570)

    Steed/Jeray mk.2: 1
    alxeu (573)


    Not voted:
    Steed/Jeray mk.2, ramius3443
     
    DAY 1 Capage villager is lynched.
    Arkansas: Voted Capage a villager first vote.
    Panzer Commader: Voted Jeray version 1.0 a villager, second vote.
    Ayeshteni: Voted Jeray version 1.0 a villager, first vote
    Claude LC: No vote.
    alynkio: Vote Panzar Commander
    storm77: Voted Capage a villager, 5th voter.
    alxeu: Voted Capage a villager, 6th voter.
    jeray2000: Voted Capage a villager, second vote.
    ramius3443: Voted Rovsea villager, second vote.

    DAY 2 Daleksbane the red wolf is lynched.
    Arkansas: Voted BlackCrown the Doctor 1rst vote.
    Panzer Commader: Voted BlackCrown the Doctor 5th vote.
    Ayeshteni: Voted Claude
    Claude LC: Voted Daleksbane red wolf, 5th vote.
    alynkio: Voted Daleksbane red wolf, second vote.
    storm77: Voted Daleksbane red wolf, 8 vote.
    alxeu: Voted E_L red wolf, only vote.
    jeray2000: Voted aedan777 the priest
    ramius3443: Voted Daleksbane red wolf, 9 vote.

    DAY 3 k59 villager and JM cultist lynched
    Arkansas: Voted JM the cultist form the yellow pack 2nd vote
    Panzer Commader: Voted K59 a villager 4 vote
    Ayeshteni: No vote
    Claude LC: Voted JM the cultist form the yellow pack 6th vote
    alynkio: Vote Audren the GA
    storm77: Voted K59 a villager 2nd vote
    alxeu: Voted JM the cultist form the yellow pack 5 vote
    jeray2000: No vote
    ramius3443: Voted alxeu only vote

    DAY 4n Sleepyhead the red wolf is lynched
    Arkansas: No vote.
    Panzer Commader: Voted De Chat villager 2nd vote of 2 votes.
    Ayeshteni: Voted EL red wolf, 2nd vote of 4 votes.
    Claude LC: Voted sleepyhead red wolf, 3rd vote
    alynkio: Voted sleepyhead red wolf, 5th vote
    storm77: Voted sleepyhead red wolf, 2nd vote
    alxeu: Voted Jeray v2.0 only vote.
    jeray2000: No vote
    ramius3443: Voted ayershteni only vote.

    DAY 5 Jeray 1.0 is lynched
    Arkansas: Voted Jeray 2.0
    Panzer Commader: Voted Audren the GA 3rd vote
    Ayeshteni: Voted Jeray v1.0 a villager 3rd vote.
    Claude LC: Voted Jeray v1.0 a villager 4th vote.
    alynkio: Voted Audren the GA 2nd vote
    storm77: Voted E_L the red wolf 2nd vote.
    alxeu: Voted Jeray v1.0 a villager 2nd vote.
    jeray2000: No vote
    ramius3443: Voted Audren the GA 4th vote

    DAY 6 E_L red wolf, BC the doctor, Yakman the red wolf were lynched.
    Arkansas: Voted Jeray 2.0 only vote
    Panzer Commader: Voted E_L the red wolf 3rd vote.
    Ayeshteni: Voted E_L the red wolf 1rst vote.
    Claude LC: Voted Claude (for the tie)
    alynkio: Voted Panzer Commander. Only vote
    storm77: Voted BC the doctor 2nd vote.
    alxeu: Voted Yakman red wolf 2nd vote.
    jeray2000: No vote
    ramius3443: Voted E_L the red wolf 2nd vote.

    DAY 7 Audren the GA is lynched
    Arkansas: Voted Audren the GA 1rst vote.
    Panzer Commader: Voted Audren the GA 2nd vote.
    Ayeshteni: Voted Audren the GA 3rdvote.
    Claude LC: Voted Audren the GA 4 vote.
    alynkio: Voted Ayeshteni 2nd vote
    storm77: Voted Ayeshteni 3rd vote
    alxeu: Voted Jeray 2.0
    jeray2000: No vote
    ramius3443: No vote

    So we have the colored votes but here I condensed who voted who day by day, with the vote being in what pocision.
    Now about everyplayer.

    Arky barky: He voted villager, doctor, JM yellow being, no vote, Jeray 2.0, Jeray 2.0 and Audren the GA.
    Actually this is not the best voting record, the first 2 days can't be taken that in mind because of the little info that there is in. He has being hard about Jeray 2.0.
    Not very much to go with but could be suspicious even voting JM having in mind he was a really early voter of JM. Actually his vote on JM was when k59 had already 5 votes on him, so I suspect if Arkybarky wanted alabai points there would have been a good option.

    Panzer: Villager, Doctor, villager, villager, Audren, red wolf, Audren
    Voted Audren the GA twice, couldnt have known because of the lack of seer, other than that he has only hit villagers, a red wolf and the doctor. He was the 3rd vote on E:L so points on him against the red (dead) pack, can't say he is a villager, but can't hard suspect him also for a wolf, at least not today.

    Ayershteni: Villager, me (claude), no vote, wolf, villager, wolf, Audren the GA.
    He voted E_L tiwce in the game, 2 days before she was lynched and the day of the tie and lynching. Besides that he has only voted villagers (me included having in mind that I'm a villager) and the GA. Nothing really to pick from here.

    Claude: No vote, Dalek the red wolf, JM cultist from the yellow pack, red wolf, villager, myself and Audren the GA.
    So the first day I did not cast a vote, the 2nd day voted a red wolf who was lynched, voted JM the cultist and if I recall a post from yesterday that said that from the voters on JM I was the most supicious one well I would have to disagree, in fact I would be the least suspicious one being the one that brought JM to the tie and was the latest vote between JM and K59, and not only a early vote or something like that.

    Alynkio: Panzer, Red wolf dalek, Audren the GA, red wolf, Audren the GA, Panzer and Ayeshteni.
    So Alynkio is one of the few that have voted still living people, voted the GA twice, voted panzer who is alive twice, killed 2 red wolves and voted Aye the last day. Don't know what to think of Alynkio.

    Storm: Villager, wolf, villager, wolf, wolf not lynched, doctor, ayeshteni.
    In the first 4 days storms votes were among the ones of the lynching. Sometimes early sometimes not so early, but all between villagers and red wolves, and we may see the red pack is gone probably so useful but not that useful. Voted a non lynched wolf then the doctor and last day aye.
    Thinking villager here, could be wrong, but Storm has been active and posting and everything feeling goodie vibes here.

    Alxeu
    Jeray
    Rammius

    I have 3 left to do analysis but have to go for 1 hour and will be back aprox in 1 hour and finish this.
    Any ideas or opinions please be free to comment.
     
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