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I have no problem viewing any images in this AAR. That said, personally I avoid the old hosting sites like ImageShack, if I need to host images for an AAR I use Imgur which is quite reliable in my experience. Since it is more of a social-oriented site than ImageShack et al, availability of images tends to not get restricted by hand-wavey claims about "bandwidth limits". That being said, again I have no problems here so I cannot say anything about what might be the issue for Surt or anyone else who comments.
Just on this ’technical’ stuff … i don’t really have any idea which of these image hosting sites are ‘old’ or ‘new’ in format or function or what that means in terms of how they may encounter display problems (whether from bandwidth issues - of which I’m also completely unaware - or compatibility with third party software).

Given I have probably many thousands of images from the last five years for my current AARs and one past one, I’d be loathe to change now (assuming if I were to stop paying the monthly fee all the old stuff already on the AARs may be suspended). Also, other than the very occasional temporary display glitch, this problem seems to be isolated (though currently very inconvenient for poor @Surt ). Not really sure what, if anything, to do about it. o_O
 
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Just on this ’technical’ stuff … i don’t really have any idea which of these image hosting sites are ‘old’ or ‘new’ in format or function or what that means in terms of how they may encounter display problems (whether from bandwidth issues - of which I’m also completely unaware - or compatibility with third party software).

Given I have probably many thousands of images from the last five years for my current AARs and one past one, I’d be loathe to change now (assuming if I were to stop paying the monthly fee all the old stuff already on the AARs may be suspended). Also, other than the very occasional temporary display glitch, this problem seems to be isolated (though currently very inconvenient for poor @Surt ). Not really sure what, if anything, to do about it. o_O
I say, don't sweat it unless more glitch reports come along from other users. As sad as it may be in the moment, these bandwidth/account-limited image hosting sites often tend to be glitchy in the best of times - as you can see in the comments of many old AARs on these forums!
 
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I also don't have any issues seeing your pictures. I second nuclearslurpee's recommendation of Imgur since it has served me well so far.

Clearing out the pocket in Poland was a big win, but Germany looks dangerous. It seems you're stuck putting out fires from one front to another, never really pulling ahead. Except for East Asia, you're kicking butt there!

It is nice to see the AI Germans launching a solid offensive against you! I don't think they're in danger of breaking through, but there's a decent chance they can retake all the territory you gained. What thoughts do you have in mind to regain the initiative?
 
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Vur ha! Which we can I think still say without feeling too guilty about it.
Cries in Armenian, Greek, Assyrian and several other languages.

In any event the pictures were fine for me also.

Some small wins (withdrawal from Berlin, Soviet tech still being inferior) but overall a stalemate that favours the Red side, particularly once the rapid decline in the Far East is accounted for. The Allied AI throwing away division in doomed missions, like the Finnish invasion, remains a strong ally. Not as strong as the dialectic obviously, but still helpful to the Soviet cause. ;)
 
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The next chapter is ready to go, as I tweak the format once more to get a little quicker and grimier ... ;) so comment feedback first:
Vur ha! Which we can I think still say without feeling too guilty about it.
Vur ha in the TT sense of it, anyway! Over two weeks have passed since then and still the horror grinds on. Putin must pay for this, somehow, one day. Hopefully sooner rather than later. Including for all many young Russian soldiers he has misled and sent to a completely needless death, plus all their families.
...ouch. Ouch. That's some air power right there, for sure...
Yes, I've never seen anything quite like it HOI3, I reckon.
As long as the front is at least a back-and-forth instead of a full retreat, things are not too bad.
Hmm, hold that thought ...
Reinforcements are always appreciated.
They are. In this case, they're really needed.
Next time they should try the direct approach in the form of the "world-famous" NKVD motor rifle divisions!
Alas, they tried that first and it hasn't worked, and their shadow battalions are doing even worse. :eek: Though (the OOC) part of me actually rejoices, if you get my drift.
Given that 61,000 / 7 is less than even 10,000, I would question "full-strength" if not for my familiarity with the absurdly small troop strength numbers represented in vanilla HoI3. Sighs in Paradox...
Yes, most inherited from the AI's efforts from 1936-44. I did start adding new brigades to some since, though that was mainly done in the Far East vs Japan and production has dried up significantly since WW3 began.
Unfortunate news, seems like the war will be going on for a while yet. Germany seems to still benefit from their usual technological lead with no manpower shortage yet in sight.
Unfortunate is the word. And their manpower had a while to recover after WW2 and their recruitment into the Allies. French MP was worse (too big a military for their MP resources to comfortably service under such intensity, I think).
Clearing out the pocket in Poland was a big win, but Germany looks dangerous. It seems you're stuck putting out fires from one front to another, never really pulling ahead. Except for East Asia, you're kicking butt there!
Yes and yes. Germany has gone from the tip of the spear to a splintered shield. But Poland and Turkey are on the improve, the Middle east is now a backwater and Central Asia has at least been stabilised. And we're causing plenty of troiuble for the Allies in Asia, as you say. It will take a long time for the units previously released from the Far East to make their way to the West, but they'll get there eventually. It will be at that point that we'll see if the war is truly winnable, or it would only be an incremental benefit.
It is nice to see the AI Germans launching a solid offensive against you! I don't think they're in danger of breaking through, but there's a decent chance they can retake all the territory you gained. What thoughts do you have in mind to regain the initiative?
I agree. They've made a pretty impressive revival: I thought I had them on the ropes. The withdrawal of many German divisions may have undermined the Allies in Poland and Turkey, but they had to save Germany and have done so in style.

The initial plan is to stabilise, get all those badly damaged and disorganised units back to safety to repair in depth. Shorter term, Poland will become more of a focus, the help with that exposed southern flank of the advance into Germany and provide another and broader avenue into it. We'll do the best with what is at hand until the reinforcements start flowing in from the Far East (especially a lot of the mechanised units) and see if an Operation Michael/1918 German Spring Offensive style breakthrough becomes possible with the repatriated troops. Though we hope it ends better than that one did.
Some small wins (withdrawal from Berlin, Soviet tech still being inferior) but overall a stalemate that favours the Red side, particularly once the rapid decline in the Far East is accounted for. The Allied AI throwing away division in doomed missions, like the Finnish invasion, remains a strong ally. Not as strong as the dialectic obviously, but still helpful to the Soviet cause. ;)
Regaining the nuked and devastated Berlin will be a moral victory for the Germans, anyway, and their offensive is just getting up a head of steam. The Finnish invasion only cost the British one marine division, and otherwise they haven't been too incompetent with those kind of forays.

The dialectic will of course prevail (whether the Red Army does or not) ;) and we shall soon see what transpires in the next ten-day period.
 
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Chapter 51: 1-10 September 1948
Chapter 51: 1-10 September 1948

Note: OK, here we go as I try to return to the Quick and Dirty roots of this AAR series: ten days of intense global war summarised in one shorter chapter, with more of a summary approach and fewer images. As usual, the whole month was played through, but I will avoid spoiling ahead.

And as an aside, the world has come to a sad pass when you start thinking “Hmm, Stalin was a horrible mass murdering tyrant, but at least he helped take down Hitler … the current incumbent, well, no obvious redeeming features at all!”
:(


******

1. East Asia and Indo-China

August had ended with Soviet forces brushing aside the 24th US Marines, which had been almost obliterated by incessant bombing during the approach march. Saigon was occupied at 1400hr on 1 September, after which a weak counter-attack by the marines was swept aside without casualties. Indo-China surrendered and the power-hungry demagogue Pol Pot and his Khmer Rouge faction were installed as the new government [shudder!].

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Four Soviet divisions in Indo-China were soon strategically redeploying to the Thai border.

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A skirmish with the barely 200-man remnant of the 24th Marines was over as soon as it began on the night of 4 September: one Soviet soldier was killed and the marines appeared to shatter and disappear.

Two RAF STRAT wings bombed Vinh, south of Hanoi, on the morning of 7 September, hitting supply and fuel dumps quite hard. But they were intercepted by three wings of Yak-15s from Hanoi and savaged. The same RAF wings tried to hit Thai Binh (immediately east of Hanoi) that afternoon, but this time were very heavily damaged, aborted their mission and were not seen again.

The retreating 3rd Royal Marines (serving under French command) were attacked by 188 SD in Stung Treng on 8 September before they escaped east towards Voeune Sar, being pursued from three directions by converging Soviet divisions – the 2nd Marines had been disembarked from their trucks while moving to the Thai border, so were not yet ready to join in the attack while they reorganised.

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Early on 10 September, due to heavy Allied air attacks over Germany, 11th Air Group (3 x INT) and 15th Tac Gp (1 x MR, 3 x TAC) started the long trek to re-base to the west (Rognozno and Smolensk). Unfortunately, the 11th was ambushed twice on the way back, first by six RAF fighter wings at Yinmabin in Burma, north of Rangoon and then over Tarin Kowt in Afghanistan by two RAF INT wings: one of the Soviet wings was virtually destroyed, but the other two were largely undamaged.

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Situation in Indo-China as at 2300hr on 10 September 1948.

The summary maps I’m using now show who won a land battle (Red V for Soviets, blue L for Allies) while the colour of the date box shows who did the attacking. As usual, the dotted green line is the front as at the beginning of the month.

******

2. Middle East

Sudr was reocuupied by Soviet forces on the morning of 5 September, securing the east bank of the Suez Canal.

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There would be no more meaningful activity on this front, other than one or two short and futile Egyptian probes, for the rest of the month.

******

3. Central Asia

On 6 September, reports came in that a range of disparate Allied units had begun to head east from the front around Afghanistan, thinning the enemy lines somewhat, though leaving them continuously occupied. It was estimated that they may be heading back in response to the fall of Indo-China and the Soviet threat to Thailand. There would be little action by either side on this front for the rest of the month.

******

4. Turkey

The month began with a major Allied attack on five fresh and well-entrenched divisions in Tokat. More than three and a half days of savage fighting would lead to an Allied defeat, suffering huge losses that would in turn badly weaken their defences in the sector.

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The Soviets occupied Kaynar on 3 September but were then counter-attacked and driven back out by the Allied on the 4th (Soviets 1,265, Allies 531 killed). But the Soviets made a massive counter-stroke on Kaynar with six divisions from 4-6 September, emerging victorious against the medium tanks of France’s premier 1st Cuirassier Division (Soviets 212, Allies 1,221 killed). This marked the beginning of a major Soviet counter-offensive in the central and northern part of the line.

Soviet victories followed at 0200-2100hr on 5 September in Turhal (Soviets 113, Allies 459 killed) and Yozgat (0200-1200hr, 8 September; Soviets 89, Allies 1,294 killed).

All the while, the TAC group in Sevastopol provided heavy air support where needed. The Allies did try to bomb Yozgat on 9 September but the 4 x MR based in Tel Aviv Yafo badly hit the two Bulgarian TAC that tried this, while later that day three German INT wings under Adolf Galland attacked the VVS raid on Turhal, causing a little damage but being beaten off when two more INT wings based in Batumi joined the two already escorting the two TAC wings. This was the only Allied air action in Turkey during 1-10 September.

A new Soviet attack was launched on Kirsehir on 10 September, but it met determined resistance and continued as the period ended. A Soviet drive towards Ankara in the centre was complemented by an offensive in the north. The south of the line to Adana remained static on both sides.

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Situation in Turkey as at 2300hr on 10 September 1948.

The lighter dotted yellow line is the new front at the end of the period. Some minor battles and skirmishes are not shown.

******

5. Poland

After success in Poland during August 1948, with the elimination of a major Allied pocket in front of Brzesc Litewski, Stalin decided to keep the pressure on in central and southern Poland, even as the Soviet armies in the German sector continued to back-pedal.

An attack by three Soviet tank divisions on a lone French infantry division in Kamienna (just south of Warsaw) encountered only light resistance on the morning of 2 September. A smaller one-on-one attack on nearby Skierniewice from 2-3 September also ended in Soviet victory (Soviets 380, Allies 523 killed).

Next came a more deliberate Soviet attack (six divisions v three) on Radom that lasted from 3-6 September, another Soviet win (Soviets 1,048/79,984, Allies 1,848/27,803 killed). Skierniewice was occupied on 5 September and a sharp Allied counter-attacked repelled (Soviets 580, Allies 520 killed). But an associated Soviet spoiling attack on Piotrkow was called off at 1300hr on the 6th after heavy casualties were incurred (Soviets 1,256/24,065, Allies 467/38,537 killed).

An attack on Zwolen began at 1000hr on 8 September and would succeed the next day. A successful attack was simultaneously launched on neighbouring Ostrowiec, with victory coming just before midnight. Meanwhile, on 7 September a major Allied counter-attack had been launched on Kamienna. It was not defeated until midday on the 8th in one of the bloodiest battles in the sector all month.

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Around the same time, further south Debica was attacked on 8 September, with victory won by the evening of the 9th (Soviets 455, Allies 1,710 killed). Soviet momentum was starting to build as the Allies were forced further back in central and southern Poland.

All these attacks were heavily supported by one TAC, two CAS on one INT group, with no Allied air opposition to speak of in this period until a sortie by two Hungarian INT wings against the VVS TAC group, with the INT group called into reinforce (VVS 1 x MR, 3 x INT, 3 x TAC). The Hungarian fighters were badly damaged and the VVS continued its bombing run.

Late on 9 September, two recovered INF divs in Warsaw were railed west towards the German front, where the Soviets were in some trouble.

0IvD8b.jpg

Situation in Poland as at 2300hr on 10 September 1948. A good swathe of territory south of Warsaw had been liberated in the ten day period after heavy fighting.

******

6. Germany

The month began with the Soviets under heavy pressure resulting from a powerful German-led counter-offensive, having lost many of their previous gains in northern Germany. Berlin had been abandoned and the Germans poised to retake it, with Allied attacks continuing on Stralsund, Neustrelitz, Landsberg, Frankfurt an der Oder and Wronki. A sole Soviet spoiling attack on Pritzwalk, trying to save Neustrelitz, persisted from August.

The defence of Wronki was well won late on 1 September (Soviets 822, Allies 2,085 killed). This was soon followed by an ironically late announcement of the fall of Berlin – just as the Germans were poised to retake the previously nuked and fought over ruins!

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The exhausted defenders in Stralsund were withdrawn at 1000hr on the morning of 2 September, before they were completely disorganised (Soviets 1,562, Allies 964 killed). By then, the defence of Neustrelitz had been lost (Soviets 1,740, Allies 1,941 killed), rendering the spoiling attack on Pritzwalk (Soviets 712, Allies 857 killed) redundant and the Soviets in Waren exposed – they too were withdrawn that morning.

An hour later, at 1100hr, the Germans reclaimed the ruins of Berlin [Germany 0% surrender progress vs 51.2 % NU]. And at 1500hr, the retreat was made general when nine mainly exhausted divisions defending Frankfurt an der Oder were pulled out – hopefully before they were encircled and destroyed. The Soviet line in Germany was in danger of disintegrating completely.

Late that night, the Germans began probing the single division holding Arnswalde from Kreuz. This province would be soaked in the blood of both sides before the end of the month. And the battle would ultimately be lost two days later (Soviets 491, Allies 360 killed).

More ground was lost on the evening of 3 September, when Küstrin was voluntarily abandoned by its two defending Soviet divisions as provinces either side of them fell or were in danger of doing so. That night, the defence of Landsberg was abandoned as hope of holding it expired [-90% progress] and casualties mounted (Soviets 4,309/24,990, Allies 2,236/44,846 killed).

This was a bitter blow: it meant the Allied bridgehead over the defendable Vistula line would soon stretch from Küstrin, through Landsberg to Kreuz. It endangered Stettin and the many tired Soviet divisions withdrawing towards it from further west.

Worse was to follow, with a light and under-prepared defence of Stargard (immediately south of Stettin) being attacked byGerman panzers from Landsberg at 0100hr. The defence would fail by 1900hr on 5 September (Soviets 451/16,240, Allies 75/7,996 killed). The risk of a large pocket being trapped increased further and the Allied also attacked Soviet rear guards from the west at Schwedt an der Oder and Neubrandenberg as the rest of the withdrawing troops tried to get to Stettin before the trap closed.

The stubborn seven division Soviet defence of Schwedt an der Oder held from early on 5 September until 0700hr on the 7th, with a gallant victory won (Soviets 429, Allies 2,144 killed). Similarly, to the east, reinforcing divisions arrived in Arnswalde in time to defend it, winning a battle that last from 1400hr on 5 September to 1300hr on the 8th (Soviets 528, Allies 1,618 killed).

At that time, a new Allied attack had begun on Schwedt an der Oder, now held by a single fairly fresh and dug-in infantry division [-24%], the rest of the mainly exhausted formations having retreated over the river to Stettin.

By that evening, the divisions evacuated from Küstrin earlier were racing to get to Stargard before advancing Allied troops took it and cut off their withdrawal in that direction. They would narrowly win their race and arrive to make a fresh quick defence of Stargard at 0100hr the following morning.

The last event of 5 September was the withdrawal of the last defending division in Neubrandenburg (Soviets 1,028/42,147, Allies 1,303/45,223 killed) towards Wolgast, where defences were being prepared as Soviet forces withdrew east through it from Greifenswald as the defence of Schwedt an der Oder weakened under pressure [-46%].

In just the fives days from 1-5 September, the Soviet position in Germany had seen persistent Allied pressure and showed signs of possible collapse as a large group of divisions (many exhausted and not fit for combat without rest) still retreated towards the Vistula.

qco68N.jpg

Situation in Germany as at 0100hr on 6 September 1948 - an interim summary map given the amount of action in the sector so far.

******

The newly arrived divisions (9th HArm and 54 SD) that arrived from Küstrin to Stargard were soon under strong attack from 12 Pz Div (from 0200hr on 6 September) and with some initial supply problems following their withdrawal from the south, it looked like they two might be forced out [-73%], despite being at full strength. But they would eventually recover and emerge victorious more than three days later (Soviets 1,088, Germans 1,753 killed). It was at least a temporary reprieve for their comrades still withdrawing from the west.

On the afternoon of 6 September, as the grim defence of Stargard continued, there were seven divisions and two HQs under attack or already withdrawing from Prenzlau – many of them badly damaged or disorganised. One (173 SD under the experienced MAJGEN I.E. Feodorov) was left to hold on as a rear guard while the rest crossed the river to Stettin while that corridor remained open.

Another large group of divisions was withdrawing to Wolgast (where a fresh two-division rear guard was digging in) from Neubrandenburg, while the defenders in Schwedt an der Oder also did their best to hold back the advancing Allies. The Allies were now on the advance or attack on a six province front from Neubrandenburg to Schneidemühl.

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Early on 7 September, the partly entrenched two division rear guard in Wolgast was engaged, while another two that had retreated there from Greifswald kept moving to safety in Stettin (and beyond). Wolgast would still be holding as 10 September ended. But at the same time, 173 SD in Prenzlau was being overwhelmed [-94%] and was pulled out towards Stettin while it retained some organisation (Soviets 572, Allies 207 killed).

A new attack on Schwedt an der Oder began at 1000hr on the 7th, with two days of delay and heavy enemy casualties imposed by the Soviets. The Red Army withdrew when the odds started to deteriorate [-64%] as the Allies stepped up their attack from Frankfurt and Küstrin (Soviets 153, Allies 1,331 killed).

Unfortunately, the ongoing defence of Schneidemühl failed at 0300hr on 8 September, the outnumbered 29 MRD unable to hold the fortified but otherwise open plains (Soviets 1,408/7,952, Allies 323/18,984 killed). If Schneidemühl was lost, it would drive a dagger into Soviet line north of Poznan, exposing Deutsch Krone, the front ; line air base in Rognozno and Wronki to further Allied attack.

Indeed, a new attack on Wronki [-48%] began just four hours later by 1 Pz Div (LArm) on 7 Guards and 25 SD, another battle that would still be in progress as 10 September ended. To make matters worse, a wave of Allied air attacks was launched that afternoon, with the VVS largely unable to intervene due to earlier damage on most of their INT groups defending Germany. It was at this point that the VVS started to bring back aircraft from the Middle East and Indo-China to help stem this renewed aerial assault.

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On the ground, a strong new Allied attack on Arnswalde by the 2éme Cuirassiers (medium armour) began at 1800hr on 8 September [-55%]. This was yet another battle that continued into 11 September.

The battle to hold Stargard had started again on the morning of 9 September, but on the evening of the 10th the defenders (one heavy tank and two rifle divisions) were finally ousted by a mixed German force of heavy panzer, mountain troop and two infantry divisions (Soviets 1,929/40,948; Allies 1,162/51,770 killed).

In the late evening of the 9th, German forces that had just arrived in Prenzlau probed the defences of Stettin but found them too strong and quickly broke off (Soviets six, Germans 67 killed). But Wolgast, Schwedt an der Oder, Stargard and now Arnswalde all looked in danger of falling by that point: the storm was approaching the focal point of the German defence in the sector. Meanwhile, German units needing recovery were shunted to the rear from the city into depth positions so as to relieve supply pressure and crowding.

A German Pz-Gren (mechansied) division beat a Soviet relief force into Schneidemühl, with a short two-division Soviet counter-attack called off at 2000hr on the 9th (Soviets 616/17,747; Germans 314/8,809 killed), despite superior numbers being thrown at a hasty defence. The German dagger was now firmly lodged.

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Situation in Germany as at 2300hr on 10 September 1948. The map shows the ground gained by the Allies since 1 September and major battles fought since 5 September (which were summarised in an earlier map). At least no Red Army divisions had been encircled and captured in the difficult withdrawal so far, but many outfits were in dire need of reinforcement and reorganisation.

More broadly, in the Western Theatre, advances in central Poland and Turkey had been balanced by some severe losses of ground and troops in Germany, with Berlin now well and truly behind Allied lines. In the air, the VVS was on top in Poland and Turkey, but currently almost ineffective over Germany. STAVKA thought this had been a significant contributing factor to the reverses in Prussia and now sought to remedy this perceived deficiency.

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******

7. Intelligence and Research

With foreign spies undermining national unity (which otherwise remained high), a small shift was made in domestic spy assignments on 6 September. There were nine spy teams in reserve, with the only NKVD agents on foreign assignment being those that had long been safely operating in Comintern Romania, boosting local Romanian espionage efforts.

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Three technological advances were made during the ten day period, with the introduction of new light artillery models bringing Soviet infantry equipment up to benchmark contemporary standards (and significantly increasing the upgrade bill, further slowing the production of new units and infrastructure). More aircraft and first aid research was commenced.

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Turkey and the far east going well. The big question on the main front is whether the Red Army could turn the tables by pushing West a bit more in central Poland and then turning North to encircle the Allied spearhead, or whether a safer strategy of shifting troops north to stem the tide would be better. Of course, a total catastrophic breakdown of the line in the North should be avoided, so the real question is how long the line in the North can slow the German advance by trading ground for time, before it breaks entirely, and if that is enough time for an encircling move from the South to work.
It will also be interesting to see how well the VVS manages to deal with that relentless Allied activity in the air over Northern Germany. Will a few fresh wings from the middle east be enough?

Infantry tech leads to massive upgrades bills in the Soviet Union, but at the same time, as leadership tends to be a more limiting factor than Industry (for the USSR), it's simply the reflection of the fact that this kind of improvement will benefit hundreds of Brigades.

I like this new format, even if it is less in depth than the previous one, it does give a good overall picture of the course of the war. I might take some inspiration (not in the Soviet sense) for my next GPW update, whenever I get around to it...
 
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I agree with my esteemed colleague roverS3 this new format gives an good picture of the war while being mercifully shorter. A difficult balance that has been struck well as we return to a quicker and dirtier format.

August had ended with Soviet forces brushing aside the 24th US Marines, which had been almost obliterated by incessant bombing during the approach march. Saigon was occupied at 1400hr on 1 September, after which a weak counter-attack by the marines was swept aside without casualties. Indo-China surrendered and the power-hungry demagogue Pol Pot and his Khmer Rouge faction were installed as the new government [shudder!].
*/Insert 'Are we the Badguys?' Meme/*. To which the obvious answer is "Yes, yes you are."

However such horrors aside some good news from Germany, this Allied thrust looks promising. If nothing else it is disrupting Soviet plans and buying some more time for the larger Allied industrial machine to start making a difference. I hope the AI can maintain this progress, while I'll be amazed if they can one must have some hope, no matter how ridiculous and unlikely. ;)
 
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I will echo my comrades in approving of the new format, which suits the nature of the AAR quite well. I don't really miss detailed battle reports - just the highlights for me!

And as an aside, the world has come to a sad pass when you start thinking “Hmm, Stalin was a horrible mass murdering tyrant, but at least he helped take down Hitler … the current incumbent, well, no obvious redeeming features at all!” :(
I dunno, one could consider abhorrent incompetence a redeeming feature in this case.

Indo-China surrendered and the power-hungry demagogue Pol Pot and his Khmer Rouge faction were installed as the new government [shudder!].
Just in case anyone had the idea that the AAR protagonists were in any way to be considered the "good guys" here...

The month began with a major Allied attack on five fresh and well-entrenched divisions in Tokat. More than three and a half days of savage fighting would lead to an Allied defeat, suffering huge losses that would in turn badly weaken their defences in the sector.
Seems like a good strategy here is to press hardest on the positions manned by French divisions. If we can crush their manpower reserves into dust that will effectively knock a major player out of the fight, then we just have to figure out this Germany situation.

The defence of Wronki was well won late on 1 September (Soviets 822, Allies 2,085 killed). This was soon followed by an ironically late announcement of the fall of Berlin – just as the Germans were poised to retake the previously nuked and fought over ruins!
Typical Soviet propaganda operations. Though at least not outright lies, as in the present! :eek:

In just the fives days from 1-5 September, the Soviet position in Germany had seen persistent Allied pressure and showed signs of possible collapse as a large group of divisions (many exhausted and not fit for combat without rest) still retreated towards the Vistula.
The risk of encirclement is quite big here, and I suspect that losing so many divisions would be close to a death knell for the Red Army.

Situation in Germany as at 2300hr on 10 September 1948. The map shows the ground gained by the Allies since 1 September and major battles fought since 5 September (which were summarised in an earlier map). At least no Red Army divisions had been encircled and captured in the difficult withdrawal so far, but many outfits were in dire need of reinforcement and reorganisation.
Escaping with no permanent losses is indeed a small mercy. The question now is what can be done to blunt the German war machine, which is now turned against the Soviet lines in full force?
 
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A new chapter is ready for upload, so here is the feedback for the last set of comments on the first ten days of September:
Turkey and the far east going well. The big question on the main front is whether the Red Army could turn the tables by pushing West a bit more in central Poland and then turning North to encircle the Allied spearhead, or whether a safer strategy of shifting troops north to stem the tide would be better. Of course, a total catastrophic breakdown of the line in the North should be avoided, so the real question is how long the line in the North can slow the German advance by trading ground for time, before it breaks entirely, and if that is enough time for an encircling move from the South to work.
The current strategy is to try to shift enough troops to stabilise Germany but maintain the pressure in Poland, opening up a new and broader approach to Germany while all those freed up mech units make their slow way back from the far east. A future opportunity for pincer/encirclement in the north will be taken if it develops, but for now it is about trying to regain the momentum and still knock Germany out of the war.
It will also be interesting to see how well the VVS manages to deal with that relentless Allied activity in the air over Northern Germany. Will a few fresh wings from the middle east be enough?
You will soon see how that works out - no spoiler here. ;)
Infantry tech leads to massive upgrades bills in the Soviet Union, but at the same time, as leadership tends to be a more limiting factor than Industry (for the USSR), it's simply the reflection of the fact that this kind of improvement will benefit hundreds of Brigades.
Yes, the upgrade and also reinforcement bills have been pretty big for a while now, but infantry remains the main arm and must be kept well up to date, despite the cost.
I like this new format, even if it is less in depth than the previous one, it does give a good overall picture of the course of the war. I might take some inspiration (not in the Soviet sense) for my next GPW update, whenever I get around to it...
I'm glad you did! Hope you do find time to revisit Odin, 11 et al soon, but in its own comfortable time. :)
I agree with my esteemed colleague roverS3 this new format gives an good picture of the war while being mercifully shorter. A difficult balance that has been struck well as we return to a quicker and dirtier format.
Thanks - merciful for the writer, too. ;)
*/Insert 'Are we the Badguys?' Meme/*. To which the obvious answer is "Yes, yes you are."
:D Definitely the bad guys. This new world war is egregious and uncalled for - but good fun game wise.
However such horrors aside some good news from Germany, this Allied thrust looks promising. If nothing else it is disrupting Soviet plans and buying some more time for the larger Allied industrial machine to start making a difference. I hope the AI can maintain this progress, while I'll be amazed if they can one must have some hope, no matter how ridiculous and unlikely. ;)
It has been well done and the Germans have shown 'they've still got it', exploiting some Soviet over-extension. It has come close once or twice to a Kremlin clique pushing Stalin to conclude a truce-in-place, but they haven't had the guts to move against him. Yet. ;)
I will echo my comrades in approving of the new format, which suits the nature of the AAR quite well. I don't really miss detailed battle reports - just the highlights for me!
Again, thanks, glad it's working. Only the biggest and/or most crucial battles will get the detailed treatment.
I dunno, one could consider abhorrent incompetence a redeeming feature in this case.
Perhaps mitigating rather than redeeming? But I agree the concept. Alas, his (and their) brutal incompetence have worsened the suffering for those caught in the crossfire. Tragic.
Just in case anyone had the idea that the AAR protagonists were in any way to be considered the "good guys" here...
Indeed. Re Pol Pot and the ATL Soviet reputation: "Hello, Nail? This is coffin."
Seems like a good strategy here is to press hardest on the positions manned by French divisions. If we can crush their manpower reserves into dust that will effectively knock a major player out of the fight, then we just have to figure out this Germany situation.
We will where we can, but that will have to be more of a tactic than a strategy I think, which remains more territorial and aimed at taking out the great legion of Allied countries one by one where possible - Germany being the big one for now, but a bunch in Eastern and Central Europe being good intermediate objectives. Per above, the plan for Germany is stabilise, approach from a different angle of advance (Poland) and wait for the Far Eastern mechanised army to turn up to save the day, much as the Siberian army did in 1941.
Typical Soviet propaganda operations. Though at least not outright lies, as in the present! :eek:
Yes, it was almost timed to be one of those old Soviet meme/jokes: "In the Soviet Union, nothing is really a secret but everything is a mystery". ;)
The risk of encirclement is quite big here, and I suspect that losing so many divisions would be close to a death knell for the Red Army.
It would likely make Stalin consider armistice negotiations, notwithstanding better news in Poland, Turkey and Asia and the repatriation of a large part of the Soviet Far Eastern Army. But he really wants to hold the line at Stettin and see if he can maybe re-establish a defensive line along the Vistula, so the carnage will continue. In time we'll see if this leads to Stalin being 'Stalingradded'!
Escaping with no permanent losses is indeed a small mercy. The question now is what can be done to blunt the German war machine, which is now turned against the Soviet lines in full force?
This is indeed the key immediate question and the focus on the German front in the forthcoming ten-day report.
 
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Chapter 52: 11 to 20 September 1948
Chapter 52: 11 to 20 September 1948

Note: This is the second chapter from the completed session for September. There were no events worthy of mention in either the Central Asia or Middle East theatres in this ten day reporting period.

******

1. East Asia and Indo-China

A last foray by the British 8th CAG was intercepted by two VVS INT wings over Ban Napè at midday on 11 September. They were defeated and probably destroyed within an hour. That afternoon, ships (1 x DD, 2 x TP) undergoing repair in the now overcrowded Japanese port of Haikou were sent to Fangchenggang in Soviet-controlled southern China. The main fleet (1 x BB, 1 x DD 1 x LS, 5 x TP) simultaneously made the longer and more dangerous the run to Fangchenggang from Quang Ngai.

The 1st Navy made it to Fangchenggang on the morning of the 12th and immediately picked up three divisions, ferrying them down to Saigon by 1400hr on the 13th. Those division began a strategic redeployment (SR) to the Thai border as soon as they arrived. The fleet headed up to rebase in Vladivostok.

rguuDW.jpg

324 SD had finished its earlier SR to the Thai border at 0200hr on the 13th, but had a 56 hour wait to reorganise after the trip before it could cross the border. Pol Pot’s Indo-China announced its mobilisation that afternoon, but would be bound by a truce with the Allies for a few years yet.

324 SD began to cross the Thai border at 1700hr on 15 September. It would be a slow progress through jungle terrain that the Red Army still did not have specialised equipment for (currently being researched).

A skirmish was fought against the 3rd Royal Marines in southern French Indo-China at Voeune Sar on the afternoon of the 16th as they were harried by Soviet divisions in a prolonged mopping up operation (Soviets 81, British 145 killed).

The combined Red Banner Pacific Fleet was split again after it reached Vladivostok at midday on 17 September to allow remaining repairs for some destroyers and transports to be completed, while the main fleet remained on standby for tasking.

By 1600hr on 18 September, the 2nd Soviet Marine Div had arrived on the Thai border earlier, but awaited fuel before it could advance. 235 SD had just arrived, but needed the 56 hour post-travel reorganisation period to end before it could advance.

Another skirmish was fought against the 3rd RM Div at Prék Drang (Soviets 69, British 159 killed) late on the 20th, as they were pursued east along the border between southern and northern Vietnam.

H8Peem.jpg

Situation in Indo-China as at 2300hr on 20 September 1948.

******

2. Turkey

The Allies counter-attacked the recently regained Turhal at 0700hr on 11 September but the Soviets would record a major defensive victory at midday on the 13th (Soviets 519/41,994; Allies 2,454/17,441 killed).

Two Greek TAC wings tried to bomb Soviet troops in Sungurlu (then under Allied attack) early on 12 September, but were intercepted by VVS fighters out of Batumi. This was followed by a significant Soviet victory in an attack on Kirsehir at 1900hr that evening (Soviets 876/24,987; Allies 1,790/25,980 killed).

The defence of Sungurlu was won on the afternoon of the 13th (Soviets 90, Allies 512 killed), as was another attack on Kirsehir against a recently arrived and now badly mauled Bulgarian division (Soviets 52, Bulgarians 1,099 killed). As those battle were won, a new probe on Kavak quickly overran the exhausted defenders within a few hours.

An attack was also made on Amaysa that evening, the Soviets winning at 1400hr on the 14th (Soviets 244, Allies 254 killed). Another more serious attack was required on Kavak (1300 hr to midnight on 15 September), the Soviets winning again (Soviets 169, Allies 458 killed). The Soviet counter-offensive was building up momentum.

Victories were then won in Terme (defence; 15-16 September; Soviets 40, Allies 1,244 killed), in Amaysa again (attack; 15-16 September; Soviets 125, Allies 802 killed), in the centre at Delice (attack; 16-18 September; Soviets 388/25,766, Allies 1,900/34,136 killed) and then in defence of Amaysa after it was taken on 17 September (18 September; Soviets 278, Allies 164 killed).

A new attack along the coast on Samsun was then quickly won early on 19 September (Soviets 33, Allies 185 killed). Then on 20 September attacks were won at Kizirlirmak (centre; Soviets 157, Allies 1,336 killed) and Duragan in the north (Soviets 352, Allies 253 killed).

Air attacks by VVS TAC based in Sevastopol had kept up regularly during the period, often causing heavy Allied casualties: for example, a single raid on Nevsehir on the afternoon of 20 September killed 820 Allied troops.

The Soviet drive towards Ankara made it to the neighbouring province of Sulakyurt unopposed at 2100hr on the 20th. 209 MRD was attacking the Turkish capital an hour later, finding only HQ units in occupation and winning a quick and bloodless victory. They hoped they could move quickly enough to retake it before Allies reinforcements could arrive. At 0100hr on the 21st, a cross-river probe on Cankiri (to the north of Ankara) was quickly called off when it was realised how strongly it was being held (Soviets 21/7,998; Allies 1/32,037 killed).

uUDQIl.jpg

Situation in Turkey as at 0100hr on 21 September 1948. The yellow dotted line is the front as at 10 September, with dashed red arrows showing gains made in the ten days to 20 September.

******

3. Poland

A two-division Soviet attack begun against an under-strength French division in Sandomierz on the afternoon of 9 September was eventually won at 0600hr on the 11th (Soviets 187, Allies 405 killed).

While the Soviets remained largely on the offensive in central Poland, the Allies were still mounting local counter-attacks. A German attack on Ostrowiec was heavily defeated at 0700hr on 11 September (Soviets 180, Allies 1,332 killed). Another major Allied attack started in Debica that morning and saw the Red Army victorious by the afternoon of the 14th (Soviets 1,936/42,994; Allies 3,276) after more than three days of fierce fighting.

Then the Germans attacked Illichivsk on the Romanian border near Odessa with three divisions on the evening of the 11th, including mechanised and heavy panzer troops, against three dug-in Soviet divisions [-26% initial progress], an attack that would be maintained for some days [alas, there would be no after-battle report for that one, but the casualties must have been prodigious].

Successful major Soviet attacks on Staszów (13-14 September; Soviets 497/42,661, Allies 1,553/44,532 killed) and Kielce (13-14 September; Soviets 158/43,993, Allies 1,659/31,448 killed) kept the momentum going in Poland. A determined Allied counter attack on Staszów after it was occupied (14-16 September; Soviets 207/33,294, Allies 1,613/17,640 killed) was beaten off. Another attack was required on Kielce when the Germans reinforced there before it could be taken (0900-1800 hr 14 September; Soviets 72, Allies 1,476 killed).

More large attacks followed, with the Soviets winning in Tarnów (14-17 September; Soviets 452/45,400, Allies 1,255/28,250 killed) and then in a short but vicious action in Rseszow (0400-1400hr 16 September; Soviets 2,321/58,355, Allies 3,530/26,384 killed).

At 2200hr on 15 September, the German cross-river attack on Illichivsk continued, though the attackers were becoming badly worn out. They called in air support from the Luftwaffe, which was intercepted from Brzesc Litweski in a fierce dogfight (VVS 3 x INT, Luftwaffe 3 x INT, 2 x CAS).

Another crushing attacking victory came at Konskie (17-18 September; Soviets 217/50,986, Allies 2,243/12,702 killed). Meanwhile, a new Red Army attack on Miechow started at 1500hr on 17 September met with stiffer Allied resistance [52% initial progress] and would be won on the afternoon of 20 September ended (no battle report recorded, but 30,287 Soviet troops in four divisions had attacked 42,256 Allied men in five).

Around the same time, a major Soviet attack on Piotrkow at 1700hr on the 17th met with similarly determined resistance [60%] and it would still be going as the reporting period ended (44,990 Soviet troops in five divisions against 27,924 Allied men in four divisions). Kielce was taken on the morning of the 18th and an Allied counter-attack defeated by 1100hr that morning (Soviets 133, Allies 1,051 killed).

All the while, one VVS TAC group and two CAS groups were in almost constant action along the Polish front, supporting attacks or providing defensive air support. For example, single night time raids 20 September on Piotrkow (393), Miechow (543) and Gorlice (357) caused significant Allied casualties and these figures were often significantly higher during the day. They were rarely if ever intercepted by Allied fighters during this reporting period.

FtxeJd.jpg

Situation in Poland as at 0100hr on 21 September 1948. The previous Soviet gains were being extended towards the intermediate objective of Krakow, but the fighting remained hard.

******

4. Germany

Unlike in Turkey and Poland, the momentum in Germany remained with the Allies. The ongoing defence of Arnswalde was lost at 0200hr on 11 September even though the Allies were heavily outnumbered (Soviets 1,504/26,599; Germany 821/7,755 killed).

Allied air attacks had also resumed. To assist with blunting them, the four VVS M/R wings that had been based in Tel Aviv were methodically ‘reserve hopped’ to Königsberg so they were fully organised and ready to fight at 0700hr on the 11th. They were split into two groups of two, to be used as required to begin pushing back harder against Allied sorties. Concurrently, the Allied air base at Breslau (repair capacity 8.11) was identified as having 13 German and French wings operating out of it. A Soviet rocket strike had reduced its repair and AA facilities to almost zero by 0900hr that morning.

Dogfights soon followed on 11-12 September:
  • over Rogozno (3 x Soviet INT v 3 x German INT), where one German wing was almost destroyed and the other two heavily damaged, with one VVS wing badly damaged and another disorganised;
  • in Wolgast (4 x Soviet M/R v 2 x German CAS and 2 x INT), where a CAS wing was very heavily damaged and the Soviets almost unscathed;
  • then again over Wolgast ( 4 x Soviet M/R v 2 x Dutch TAC and 2 x German INT) where one of the Dutch wings was reduced to 0% strength and organisation.
This series of engagements seemed to set the Allied air effort back considerably.

The Germans initiated a new and larger two-division attack on Stettin [-12%] late on 11 September as fighting continued in Wolgast [-58%] to its north-west, where the situation was worsening. The Stettin attack would not end until 1400hr on 14 September, with Soviet victory (Soviets 366/39,464; Germans 1,890/24,299 killed). This held the Red Army in place there while behind it, the Allies threatened to encircle the key city.

Greifenberg – by then Stettin’s only remaining link to the rest of the Soviet line – came under heavy German attack from Stargard at 1600hr on 12 September, while the delaying action to the west in Wolgast continued. Arnswalde had been occupied by German panzers, though a Soviet counter-attack from the east looked like evicting them again. The fighting around Greifenberg, Stargard and Arnswalde would prove pivotal and fierce during this period, with the entire Soviet position in the north hanging in the balance as they dug in to try to hold Stettin.

TjCvmB.jpg

Four hours later, a large VVS raid began on Stargard, trying to disrupt the German attack that threatened Greifenberg, with three TAC wings pounding the enemy. Two Luftwaffe INT wings would try to intercept them over Stargard, but were ambushed by the four VVS M/R wings from Königsberg before they could attack the bombers, the Germans suffering heavy damage in the process and allowing the VVS bombing runs to continue. In the period from 2300hr on 12 September to 0700hr on the 14th alone, four of these raids would kill 277 (night time, contested), 777, 1,028 and then 945 German attackers.

By 0200hr on 14 September, three Soviet divisions had been routed or withdrawn from Griefenberg, but four more had taken their place in reserve, while the Germans had brought in one more division in reserve themselves. Despite the VVS support, the battle remained in the enemy’s favour, but the Soviets’ defensive tactics had at least improved.

By the morning of 13 September, the advantage in Wolgast had swung further in the Allies’ favour [-77%]. Fearing being cut off, after strong resistance the last remaining division there began evacuating to Stettin at 1000hr (Soviets 2,217/50,748; Allies 3,489/32,641 killed). At that time, Stettin was holding strongly but Greifenberg was in trouble [-73%]: a large encirclement still seemed possible.

The Soviet 3rd HArm Div briefly retook Arnswalde at 1700hr on 13 September after evicting their German counterparts. But they were badly disorganised after their exertions and an hour later they were themselves counter-attacked by a fresh German infantry division and forced to retreat by 1900hr (Soviets 17/6,166; Germans 38/7,775 killed).

Their place was taken at 0100hr on 14 September by the under-strength 14 Tank Div, but they found themselves under attack and badly outnumbered by four fresh German infantry divisions. They held out until 1400hr that afternoon, but withdrew as casualties mounted and their position became hopeless (Soviets 733/4,999; Germans 257/33,662 killed). Meanwhile, to the south-east in Wronki, a defensive victory was won by the Soviets at 0300hr on the 14th (Soviets 1,932, Allies 1,944 killed).

pdWAQD.jpg

Situation in Germany as at 0300hr on 14 September 1948. The contest had remained fierce along the line from Wronki through to Wolgast during the first three days of the reporting period, with both sides claiming some victories and Arnswalde changing hands from one side to the other and back. The Germans remained on the attack at that time in Stettin, Greifenberg, Deutsch Krone and Rognozno.

******

The victory in Wronki was soon forgotten as the Allies attacked again at 0700hr on 14 September with four fresh divisions (three German and one Hungarian). Despite one fresh Soviet division having recently arrived, 7 Guards Div was exhausted from the previous hard battle and the defence could not be sustained. The retreated was ordered at 1400hr that afternoon (Soviets 1,838/15,228; Allies 422/31,353 killed). This now threatened the last remaining Soviet bridgehead over the Vistula in Poznan, to its immediate south.

Another late-arriving Soviet tank division in Arnswalde (having participated in the earlier successful Soviet attack) also came under heavy pressure when it arrived and did not attempt to hold, quickly pulling back (Soviets 17, Allies 13 killed). Arnswalde would be left for the Allies to reoccupy for the time being as the Soviet defensive effort remained concentrated on saving Stettin and Greifenberg.

The Luftwaffe sent two unescorted CAS wings to strike Greifenberg at 0200hr on 15 September, but a scratch VVS fighter group (1 x INT, 2 x M/R) fought them off. Then relief came for Greifenberg (still under heavy pressure) when the defensive victory in Stettin allowed a spoiling attack to be mounted on Stargard at 1000hr.

3eUvIg.jpg

After just two hours, the Germans broke off their attack but the Soviets would keep pushing on against Stargard, hoping to retake the crucial province even as Arnswalde was being temporarily abandoned. This was just as well, as a single German mountain division briefly attacked Greifenberg again at 2000 hr on 16 September, but soon broke off the probe (Soviets 19, Allies 29 killed).

The new concerted Soviet counter-strike to retake Arnswalde began with a heavy artillery bombardment at 2100 hr on the 16th, while the Germans mounted a strong defence with three divisions. It would take until 0600hr on 19 September, but this latest attack would prove successful (Soviets 1,796/33,684; Allies 3,467/25,975 killed). The autumn soil of the province ran red with the blood of both sides.

The savage fighting in Stargard continued on the afternoon of 17 September [67%], with heavy VVS air support (single raids in daylight often killing over a 1,000 defenders a time). A new Allied attack by three divisions (two German and one Czech) began on Poznan on the morning of 18 September, but found progress difficult [-9%] against two well entrenched Soviet divisions. Despite this, it would not be resolved before the end of 20 September.

The great battle for Stargard came to a head on the afternoon of 19 September. As we saw earlier, the battle had begun at 1000hr on 15 September as a spoiling attack from Stettin to relieve the imperilled defence of Greifenberg. Incessant heavy air strikes had progressively weakened the German defenders since then, but a key change had come on the afternoon of the 15th, when victory in Greifenberg had allowed five relatively fresh divisions from there to open a second flank on Stargard.

HAMrLk.jpg

This would lead to a great Soviet victory on the afternoon of 19 September. The enormous German casualties from the ground fighting would have been exceeded by those from the heavy VVS air strikes from 15-19 September. By 1700hr, Stargard had been reoccupied in force by the five Soviets divisions from Griefenberg (all of which were somewhat disorganised by then), while those in Stettin held back and recovered as German forces (estimated to be three full corps in strength) massed in the three provinces across the river to their west.

Further east, the Allied pressure on Deutsch Krone saw the Soviets defeated there just two hours later (Soviets 540/8,010; Allies 670/7,571 killed), though a fresh Red Army division would slip in before the end of the day to renew the defence, which would continue throughout 20 September.

The Allied effort in that sector, now based out of their new positions in Wronki, was manifested in a new attack on Rogozno that began at 0300hr on 20 September and still raged as the day ended (one German heavy panzer and one Italian motorised infantry division against five Soviet infantry divisions).

dPdxE2.jpg

Situation in Germany as at 0100hr on 21 September 1948. Net advances made by the Germans since 10 September included Wolgast in the north-west and Wronki in the south-east. In battles since the previous summary for 14 September, the Soviets had defended Greifenberg and lost but then regained Stargard and Arnswalde. The Allies remained on the attack in the south-east at Poznan and Rogozno, but their general momentum had been slowed somewhat over the last ten days, with the return of Soviet air superiority being a key factor.

Overall, the three main active fronts in the West remained a mixed bag in September so far and over the last ten days. Significant advances had been made in Poland and Turkey, but the Allies had made crucial gains in Germany, despite furious Soviet resistance. That front remained evenly poised.

RzGPKx.jpg


******

5. Production, Intelligence and Research

A stockpiled radar station was deployed in Torun on 18 September, to assist with signals intelligence and forward air operations in both Germany and Poland.

The NKVD reported that a German underground resistance cell had been established in Alllenstein on 19 September.

And between 14-19 September, five Soviet research projects were completed, ranging from RADAR advances, to improved ground and air doctrine and a better rocket design to increase their range. New projects were concentrated on improving VVS radar equipment for the STRAT arm and both land and air doctrine.

9h98Lq.jpg
 
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Thailand and Indochina are a side-show, and one that is going well, so no real need to comment there.

Looks like there is a nice opportunity for a small encirclement in Northern Turkey with only HQ's between the units in Daglari and the Black Sea coast.

At the current rate of advance in Poland, a full liberation of Southern Poland seems to be on the cards for the not too distant future. Maybe then, a pivot South to take out Slovakia, as we all know Bratislava is the key to this whole war.

The German front is nicely stabilising, and the VVS has done some more permanent damage to the Allied Air Forces with the elimination of that Dutch Fighter Wing.

Overall, a rather positive 10-day period. Minimal net ground loss against the main Allied offensive in the north outweighed by far by the progress further south in Poland and Turkey. The latter looks like it's turning decisively in the Comintern's favour, especially if the Northern end of the Allied line ends up getting cut off and captured.
 
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Thanks for commenting @roverS3 :)

Thailand and Indochina are a side-show, and one that is going well, so no real need to comment there.
Its main benefit may be to distract the Allies from the Central Asian front.
Looks like there is a nice opportunity for a small encirclement in Northern Turkey with only HQ's between the units in Daglari and the Black Sea coast.
We’re trying, but the terrain is quite rough.
At the current rate of advance in Poland, a full liberation of Southern Poland seems to be on the cards for the not too distant future. Maybe then, a pivot South to take out Slovakia, as we all know Bratislava is the key to this whole war.
Hah - Bratislava, a name to conjure with. The main aim remains blasting another way through to Germany, if we can take out a minor or two along the way, it would be a bonus. With some spare troops an offensive to reclaim Romania, then via Bulgaria to cut off the Allies in Turkey would be nice, but not feasible at present.
The German front is nicely stabilising, and the VVS has done some more permanent damage to the Allied Air Forces with the elimination of that Dutch Fighter Wing.
It was a real worry for a while, and I’m glad I got those fighter wings back. They really helped hold the floodwaters back.
Overall, a rather positive 10-day period. Minimal net ground loss against the main Allied offensive in the north outweighed by far by the progress further south in Poland and Turkey. The latter looks like it's turning decisively in the Comintern's favour, especially if the Northern end of the Allied line ends up getting cut off and captured.
Definitely a better ten days than the last. If we can make some progress in selected areas before the Far Eastern divs return to the west, the some kind of victory may yet be possible.
 
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Maybe then, a pivot South to take out Slovakia, as we all know Bratislava is the key to this whole war.
I doubt Allied morale would recover from the shock of discovering Slovakia existed, let alone losing control of it.
 
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I doubt Allied morale would recover from the shock of discovering Slovakia existed, let alone losing control of it.
Slovakia has actually been mildly active for the Allies in this run through. Maybe I’ll do a sneak peak at some point to see what they have in the field and where!
 
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Slovakia has actually been mildly active for the Allies in this run through.
The spirit of the 2nd (Last Heroes of Paris) Division lives on. Excellent.
Maybe I’ll do a sneak peak at some point to see what they have in the field and where!
Naturally I support this plan. I live in hope that Paradox's awful puppet mechanics mean that Tiso and Tuka are still, somehow, in charge of Slovakia just wearing slightly different hats.
 
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Chapter 53: 21 to 30 September 1948
Chapter 53: 21 to 30 September 1948

Note: the third and last chapter from the completed session for September, including end of month summaries.

******

1. Thailand and Indo-China

On the morning of 23 September, two British armoured divisions were seen crossing from Burma to Thailand. Perhaps not best suited to the largely jungle terrain of the region, but an indication that forces had been transferring from the Central Asian front for some time now. Soviet troops were yet to actually make it across the border into Thailand from Indo-China, but Soviet marines had crossed from occupied French Vietnam in the north-east.

Just south of Quang Ngai (in the south of French Vietnam) another short battle was fought and won on the morning of 24 September in Sông Ha Giao against the constantly retreating British 3rd Royal Marine Div (Soviets 108/20,987; UK 145/7,673 killed). The marines retreated south-east towards Qui Non, but their counterparts were now trying to head them off from the south.

By 1100hr on 26 September, there were six Soviets divisions now crossing the Thai border from west of Battambang, though still the first in the line of march had not reached Thai territory in the slow jungle going.

At midnight on 30 September, the Soviet 1st Marines secured Khon Kaen [1 VP] in Thailand’s north-east, even as reports came in of those British tanks getting closer.

The 3rd Royal Marines were quicker than their Soviet pursuers and they were attacked from the north at Tuy Hoa at 0100hr on 30 September. A short skirmish ensued (no casualties) and the British were soon retreating south along the coast again. And later that day the first Soviet division had crossed the border into eastern Thailand.

CSrlpZ.jpg

Situation in Thailand and Indo-China as at 2300hr on 30 September 1948.

******

2. Central Asia

Early on 29 September, after weeks of little action in Central Asia, the reinforced Soviet line north of Afghanistan decided to test out the apparently depleted Allied defences in the north of the sector at Yelbarsi.

APCTVV.jpg

The single Nepalese division was defeated by 2000hr that night (no battle report available). The Soviets would see whether this initial success might be exploited in October.

ESXhYc.jpg

Situation in Central Asia as at 2300hr on 30 September 1948. There had been little change across the entire front that month.

The first group of largely infantry forces heading towards Central Asia from the Far East at that time were still spread out across Mongolia, a second group passing through Mengukuo.

Once more, there was no change or action in the Middle East theatre, which remained dormant.

******

3. Turkey

In Turkey, the Soviet offensive in the north and centre pushed on with increasing momentum. A powerful attack on the coastal province of Samsun begun at 0700hr on 21 September ended in victory just under a day later with heavy Allied casualties (Soviets 257/60,989; Allies 2,079/10836 killed).

Continuing Soviet efforts to ‘soften up’ Cankiri, north of Ankara, drew two Italian INT wings on the morning of 21 September; they did heavy damage to one of the three VVS tac wings, but were themselves severely damaged and almost completely disorganised by the one M/R escort and additional two INT wings called in to provide further protection.

The big news in the theatre came at 2200hr on 21 September with the liberation of Ankara. Turkey was immediately declared independent once more, this time starting with increased national unity, even while almost two-thirds of the key cities of the Turkish FSR remained under French occupation.

hFz4Li.jpg

A new government ‘of national unity’ was sworn in, a mixture of Communists (in the majority and occupying the positions of President and Prime Minister) but with a significant right wing component (including some familiar faces from the Talking Turkey ATL in supporting roles).

Some more notable Soviet victories followed:
  • An attack on Tosya at 0300hr on 22 September (Soviets 47, Allies 1,791 killed).
  • An attack on Kirrikale at 0000hr on 24 September (Soviets 54, Allies 1,239 killed).
  • A defence of Kirsehir at 0900hr on 24 September(Soviets 174, Allies 505 killed).
  • An attack on Boyabat at 2200hr on 24 September (Soviets 118, Allies 246 killed).
In Cankiri, where days of raids had enormously reduced the defenders’ strength and organisation, some of the remaining 12 Allied brigades being virtually destroyed by 1600hr on 25 September. An attack launched an hour later would succeed by 0800hr on the 28th – the Allies still managing to put up a stern fight (Soviets 236/33993; Allies 927/16,759 killed).

A concurrent major attack on Sinop in the north lasted from 2200hr on 25 September to 0100hr on the 27th (Soviets 769/60,970; Allies 582/35,425 killed, plus VVS support towards the end sometimes killing over 1,000 defenders in a single raid).

The next action in the north began on the night of 27 September, with an attack by a single division on Kastamonu meeting fierce initial resistance: this was the attack attempting to close a pocket of Allied troops to the east along the coast at Ayancik and Sinop. The VVS was called in to support it, with one raid on the morning of the 28th again causing more than 1,000 casualties.

xISmpK.jpg

But this time the Luftwaffe arrived to try to break up the raids the next day. Though more VVS INT were again on hand to support a new escort of one INT wing and they were joined for the first time by two Turkish wings (!), the Germans managed to inflict some heavy losses on the INT and TAC of 3rd Tac Gp in Sevastopol. They had to be put into reserve and a reorganisation would be required to reconstitute the Turkish air support capacity for Turkish operations.

An attack on Ayancik (27-29 September; Soviets 191/26,978; Allies 453/26,673 killed) saw them now retreating to Kastamonu, where fighting continued: the Soviets had reinforced the attack with a second division [74%].

The Turkish Air Force had also returned to Ankara by the afternoon of 29 September, with two of their TAC wings spotted attacking Allied positions in Ilgaz.

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A new attack began on Orta, just north of Ankara, at 1900hr on 30 September and would continue into the following month.

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Situation in Turkey as at 2300hr on 30 September 1948. The front line on 1 September is in dotted green, at end 20 September dotted yellow. The fight for Kastomonu continues, with a large column of Allied troops fleeing there from Ayancik, after Sinop was taken by the Soviets. There was no action or movement in the southern sector all month.

******

4. Poland

A large attack on Jedrzejow (north of Kraków) on 21-22 September ended in a Soviet victory (Soviets 593/45,377; Allies 2,932/34,807 killed). This was followed by a defensive victory to the south in Sanok at 1000hr on the 22nd (Soviets 263, Allies 1,271 killed).

The latest attack on Piotrkow (22-23 September) finally succeeded on the morning of the 23rd (Soviets 80, Allies 2,176 killed). Meanwhile, the victory in and then occupation of Jedrzow opened the way for an assault on Kraków itself late on the 22nd: the Soviets triumphed at 0500hr on the 23rd after a short battle (Soviets 38, Allies 273 killed).

A second attack, ending at 1400hr that afternoon (Soviets 151, Allies 386 killed) would be required after new defenders slipped in, but Kraków was occupied that evening and an Allied counter-attack was repelled by 1900 on the 24th (Soviets 36, Allies 524 killed).

In this sector too, the VVS (one TAC and two CAS groups operating simultaneously) was causing heavy Allied casualties too: one raid on Chestochowa killed 1,077 defenders on the morning of the 26th, for example.

A large action was successfully fought by the Red Army to take Bielsko Biala (south-west of Kraków) from 27-28 September (Soviets 326/53,937; Allies 2,366/35,980 killed), to expand the buffer zone around the major city. During that battle, two unescorted Italian TAC wings tried to strike Chrzanow on 28 September, but 3 x VVS INT attacked and savaged them, either destroying or devastating [0% strength] one of them.

Victories followed at Dzialoszyn (Soviets 62, Allies 1,910 killed), Chestochowa (Soviets 43, Allies 623 killed) and a big action in Grybow (Soviets 830/26,000; Allies 2,697/12,394 killed) during 29 September. Then at 2300hr on the 29th, three Soviet divisions that had occupied Chrzanow attacked two Allied (French and German) divisions in Katowice, an action which would continue into October.

The Allies did still mount some attacks in the sector, with an attack trying but failing to retake Bielsko Biala (south of Katowice) early on 30 September (Soviets 242/44,685; Allies 1,510/25,228 killed). As that was happening, Chestochowa was taken and a brief Greek counter-attack defeated.

At 1600hr on the 30th, a major new Soviet attack began on Krepice with four Soviet divisions (36,994 men) taking on a mixed Allied defensive force of six divisions, two of them (both French) at only around 30% strength. Another forlorn Allied attack on Bielsko Biala was won at 1900hr on the 30th (Soviets 172, Allies 2,197 killed).

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Situation in Poland as at 2300hr on 30 September 1948. With continuous VVS air strikes also factored in, the trend of far heavier Allied than Polish casualties in this sector was continued throughout the month. More good progress had been made by the Red Army in the last ten days of September, with Kraków now well secured, Katowice under heavy attack and the German border being approached.

******

5. Germany

The crucial German front once more saw the heaviest fighting as both sides vied for the upper hand. As fighting continued in Arnswalde (started at 0200hr on 21 September), Rogozno and Deutsch Krone (all Allied attacks) throughout 21 September, a new German attack on Stargard began early on the 22nd. It was not defeated until late on 24 September, with heavy losses on both sides (Soviets 1,651/35,908 killed; Germany 3,559/22,280 killed).

The Luftwaffe (2 x INT) took on the VVS (3 x M/R, 2 x TAC) over Landsberg early on 22 September. One German wing was almost destroyed, while a VVS M/R wing was heavily damaged, but the mission went through.

The defence of Deutsch Krone was won at 0600hr on the 22nd after two and a half days of fighting (Soviets 380, Germany 1,402 killed). This was followed up by a new Soviet attack on Schneidemühl that started late on the 22nd and taking advantage of the German attackers’ exhaustion. This would be won by 1800hr the following day (Soviets 390, Allies 912 killed).

If this province could be secured, it would repair what had been a nasty salient in the Soviet line for days now. And it would indeed be retaken at 1100hr on 24 September, shortening the line considerably. The Germans quickly counter-attacked however, which was not beaten off until midday on the 25th (Soviets 175, Germany 975 killed).

As the Allies continued their long assault on Arnswalde, the Luftwaffe (1 x M/R, 2 x TAC) struck Stargard early on the 27th (839 casualties), Stargard was successfully defended again (24-27 September; Soviets 746/34,942; Germany 3,898/22,318 killed).

The Allied attack from Wronki on Rogozno had begun early on 20 September. Despite a number of reinforcements, the Soviet defence of it failed at 1800hr on the 26th after a ferocious battle (Soviets 3,701/46,809; Allies 2,897/16,798 killed).

At the same time, a Soviet spoiling attack on Wronki, started on the afternoon of the 26th, was being maintained, pinning the Allies in place while more Soviet reinforcements were rushed to Rogozno. The Wronki attack was eventually won on the 27th (Soviets 347/23,817; Germany 1,205/25,610 killed): the Red Army was slowly trying to win back a defensive line along the Vistula and Wronki would be a key part of that if gained and held.

But a new blitzing Allied attack was soon launched on the tired defenders of Stargard at 0900hr on the 27th and was maintained through to 2000hr on the 28th, when the remaining Red Army units were pulled out before they were all completely disorganised (Soviets 1,295/25,347; Allies 444/32,896 killed).

As the latest defence of Stargard was beginning failing early on the 28th, Luftwaffe fighters under Adolf Galland (3 x INT) tried to disrupt a VVS (1 x M/R, 2 x TAC) ground attack on Kreuz, flown as defensive air support for Arnswalde, which still remained under heavy Allied attack [-29%]. The bombers still managed to cause 654 casualties, but it was more evidence that Allied air power over Germany was beginning to recover somewhat.

After over a week of fighting and just before the battle for Stargard was abandoned, the Red Army finally triumphed in Arnswalde on the early afternoon of 28 September. It had started with three divisions on each side on the 21st, but by the end many more had cycled through on both sides.

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A follow-up attack to try to retake Landsberg began promisingly an hour later, but would be ended at 0600hr the next morning (Soviets 355, Allies 523 killed) as the Germans reoccupied Stargard and the focus was returned to stabilising the line, in the form of a massive counter-attack on Stargard, launched at 0400hr on 29 September when the Germans took it.

Another example of German determination (or desperation and lack of air coordination) was an attacked by already damaged and unescorted TAC bombers on Greifenberg on the morning of 30 September, trying to degrade the column attacking Stargard. All four of the recently returned M/R wings intercepted them, reducing one wing to shreds and preventing the Luftwaffe foray making doing any real damage.

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The fighting in Stargard would last until the very end of 30 September, with a Soviet victory declared at 2300hr (Soviets 650/61,022; Allies 2,028/38,737 killed).

A large Allied attack on the defences of Stettin on the afternoon of the 29th proved their aggressive intent, but was an expensive exercise for the Allies (Soviets 48/31,969; Allies 1,438/42,889 killed).

The Allies had not given up on Arnswalde either, with a single German division (the 11 SS Pz-Gren) attacking five Soviet divisions [-25%, down to -13% by early on the 30th], including heavy armour, at 1300hr on the 29th, as the counter-attack on Stargard was still in progress. This attack would continue into October, though by then it was running out of steam [-4%].

Finally, at 1600hr on the 30th, six Soviet divisions (three each from the reclaimed Schneidemühl and Wronki) attacked two German infantry divisions entrenched in the forts of Kreuz (51,594 Soviet in 23 brigades against 16,988 German soldiers in seven brigades) and made good initial progress [71%]. By the end of the day, the Red Army was approaching the brink of victory [88%].

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Situation in Germany as at 2300hr on 30 September 1948. Since 20 September, Schneidemühl and Wronki had been retaken by the Soviets, but Stargard lost, though the latter had just been successfully counter-attacked. But overall since the start of the month, the German offensive had still made significant gains in the west of the sector and they retained their bridgehead in Stargard, Küstrin, Landsberg and Kreuz.

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Situation in the West as at 2300hr on 30 September 1948. Over the course of the month, the Allies had made large gains in the north, though their momentum had been blunted towards the end of the month. Turkey’s government had been reinstalled in Ankara and the Soviet offensive in Poland had made much ground, pushing towards Silesia and the Czech Republic.

******

6. Production, Research and Diplomacy

A new sub flotilla was launched on 23 September, the most advanced yet. Unlike all the earlier launches, these were deployed in Leningrad. Maybe one day the USSR will be able to re-establish a naval presence in the Baltic. If not beyond, if Denmark could one day be secured for the Comintern.

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With Saudi Arabia still neutral, a diplomatic influence campaign was started with them on 24 September.

On 29 September, a new mountain division was deployed, in the Carpathian Mountains at Jablonow, on the Hungarian Border.

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On 30 September, a new radar station was begun for the reserve, to replace the one deployed to Torun earlier in the month.

Two more research projects were complete during the last ten-day period of September, with the VVS the beneficiary of both, as it was for the new projects.

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The majority of IC remained allocated to upgrades and supply, followed by new production items and then reinforcement. The various main combat theatres would all like an additional bomber group of 1 x INT and 3 x TAC each: little wonder after their recent effectiveness.

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Stalin could now count Poland as a Comintern member and only needed to retake Berlin to satisfy the old Operation Bagration strategic objective.

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Of the objectives possible in the short- mid-term, the liberation of Romania and Istanbul would also advance Soviet goals, as would the conquest of Greece and Czechoslovakia. This would see the Comintern approaching some parity with the Allies in the geopolitical context of the times.
 
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Glory to the People's republic of Turkey! Now reborn from it's ashes.

Both Ankara and Krakow are great new assets for the Comintern, and it doesn't look like the Allies are in a position to take them back.

The VVS is also making hay, eliminating a wing of German tactical bombers is a significant victory.

It looks like the arrival of Soviet forces from the Far East will ruin the Allies in Europe. Right now, without those reinforcements, the Red Army is holding fast and even advancing. The Allies are decidedly on the back foot. It's going to be a tough and bloody slog, but right now it looks like the USSR will be victorious in the end. Of course I could be wrong, and the Allies could be moving around units and re-equipping them for a massive offensive, but it just doesn't seem very likely. (knowing the Paradox AI)
 
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Great moves, and very succinct. Glad that there's still a bit of stiff competition for this game.
 
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A new government ‘of national unity’ was sworn in, a mixture of Communists (in the majority and occupying the positions of President and Prime Minister) but with a significant right wing component (including some familiar faces from the Talking Turkey ATL in supporting roles).
What a murderer's row of ministers! Love it a lot :D
 
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