Powderkeg of Europe - Balkans thread

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@fr-rein as far as I know, a lot of them immigrated to the region during the Ottoman days and it's possible that they viewed immigrating back as redundant. There was also the problem with the waves of refugees from places like Thrace and *that other place* who were settling into the country. 1903, 1913 and 1919 especially saw a huge influx and it was hard taking care of all them. Considering the people in Bessarabia weren't being actively targeted, there wasn't really a need to strain the country any further.

There were still some individual Bessarabian Bulgarians that immigrated though. The most famous being Generals Ivan Kolev and Georgi Todorov.
 
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Journal entries for Serbia, part 1
Let's liven up this thread, shall we?

Given that Serbia will most likely not receive much attention in the current game state as it stands, it merits to provide some suggestions using the journal system which will be pretty interesting, and would make Serbia on release much more interesting and educational to play. If not, im sure modders will have a field day with these.

  • Sretenje Constitution - enacted in 1835, it was an incredibly progressive constitution for its time, inspired by the 1791 French Constitution and the American Constitution, with guarantees such as Habeas Corpus and tricameral legislature, however it was soon enough abolished due to pressure by Russia, Ottomans and especially Austria, which was fearful of it being an example for opposition to pursue, threatening their absolutist reigns. As well, Knez Miloš Obrenović was glad to recant the constitution, wishing to secure his absolute reign with a convenient excuse. Subsequently a revised, far less progressive, "Turkish" Constitution was introduced, and Miloš was ultimately forced to abdicate in favour of his son Milan, who reigned for 26 days and died of tuberculosis. Events pertaining to the Constitution's legacy would be interesting, as well as pressure to accept it again if the geopolitical situation allows it.
  • Adding Knez Mihajlo Obrenović as a character, who will be the next in line after Milan, who was ruling on principles of "Enlightened Absolutism", being a patron of arts and seeking efficient, sovereign, absolute rule for himself. This led to his assassination in 1868.
  • Conflict between the Obrenovićists and the Constitutionalists over Serbia's system. In 1842 Mihajlo was forced to abdicate, and Aleksandar Karađorđević(related to national hero Karađorđe who led Serbia in the 1804-1813 uprising) was instated as a figurehead ruler while the faction members ruled in what was essentially an olligarchy, introducing various reforms and institutions that helped Serbia slowly but surely progress. In 1858 they were effectively overthrown in favour of the Obrenovićists who returned to Absolutism under Miloš and Mihajlo, but the conflict between the two would continue until the head of the Obrenović dynasty was assassinated in 1903. There should be interest groups representing the two, and even events possibly.
  • Načertanije, the text that marked Serbia's foreign policy pursuits. I HIGHLY advise the devs to read into the document and the evolution of Serbian foreign policy, how it evolved from Greater Serbia to Yugoslavia pursuits thanks to Garašanin, and the various agreements formed as a result of it. The Wiki article on the text does not do it enough justice. I mentioned the Balkan Federation plan in the first post, also worth noting is a potential union state between Bulgaria and Serbia, the union state agreement between Mihajlo Obrenović and Nikola Petrović(knez, later king of Montenegro), Serbian support of Croatian separatist groups, and much more. It is argued that Načertanije guided Serbian foreign policy pretty much until Yugoslavia was united, and it is valuable to read into for purposes of modelling Serbian ambitions and player end goals...
This will continue later as I have more free time, but these few recommendations can provide some initial ideas on improving Serbian gameplay
 
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I guess the developers will focus on larger powers for the release, but I also hope that Serbia will get its share of flavour, at least in some DLC. I agree that there are plenty of possibilities to make playing as Serbia fun and immersive.

Conflict between the Obrenovićists and the Constitutionalists over Serbia's system. In 1842 Mihajlo was forced to abdicate, and Aleksandar Karađorđević(related to national hero Karađorđe who led Serbia in the 1804-1813 uprising) was instated as a figurehead ruler while the faction members ruled in what was essentially an olligarchy, introducing various reforms and institutions that helped Serbia slowly but surely progress. In 1858 they were effectively overthrown in favour of the Obrenovićists who returned to Absolutism under Miloš and Mihajlo, but the conflict between the two would continue until the head of the Obrenović dynasty was assassinated in 1903. There should be interest groups representing the two, and even events possibly.
Enactment of laws, institutions and reforms is probably something that can be perfectly well represented with the basic game mechanisms. What may deserve the use of Journal system is the very fact that through the entire 19th century Serbia had two rival dynasties: Obrenović and Karađorđević.

There was recently a thread about the French dynasties and how Bonapartists, Orleanists and Bourbons can each be linked to a specific interest group/ideology. I don't think that can apply to Serbia. True, Obrenovićs had a tendency to try to rule in a despotic manner (Miloš as eastern-style despot, Mihailo and Milan as enlightened despots and Aleksandar as... well, the trainwreck despot), but much of that was because of their personality and talents which enabled them to impose their will, something that poor Aleksandar Karađorđević simply didn't have. It is not like constitutionalists should always support Karađorđević, after all, in 1858 it was the Liberals who helped overthrow Aleksandar and bring Miloš back to power.

What the existence of this rivalry actually brings is some inherent instability in the country's political system. In the game, there should always be a chance of some dynastic events and plots. There should always be a chance that the monarch will get assasinated in a quiet afternoon walk through the park. Especially if things in the country are not going smooth and there are some radicals. After all, from 1804 to 1903 there wasn't a single Serbian ruler (except the sickly Milan son of Miloš who ruled for 26 days) who wasn't assasinated, overthrown or exiled.

Apart from that, every time a serious change in the government composition happens, there could be a chance that a ruler from the rival dinasty will take over. But the dynasties themselves shouldn't be the inherent favourites of specific interest groups.

Sretenje Constitution - enacted in 1835, it was an incredibly progressive constitution for its time, inspired by the 1791 French Constitution and the American Constitution, with guarantees such as Habeas Corpus and tricameral legislature, however it was soon enough abolished due to pressure by Russia, Ottomans and especially Austria, which was fearful of it being an example for opposition to pursue, threatening their absolutist reigns. As well, Knez Miloš Obrenović was glad to recant the constitution, wishing to secure his absolute reign with a convenient excuse. Subsequently a revised, far less progressive, "Turkish" Constitution was introduced, and Miloš was ultimately forced to abdicate in favour of his son Milan, who reigned for 26 days and died of tuberculosis. Events pertaining to the Constitution's legacy would be interesting, as well as pressure to accept it again if the geopolitical situation allows it.
Ideally, all of this could be again represented with the historically accurate interest groups and their strengths at the start date. However, the fact that things regarding the Sretenje (Candlemas) and Turkish Constitution were already set in motion before the start date may requre the specific Journal entry / event chain, or at least very active movements for the enactment of certain laws at the game start.

Here's what basically happened (partly in game terms):

After the Second Serbian uprising, the Landowners interest group (basically Turkish feudal lords) was greatly weakened. Feudal lords however still had right to a tenth of an income from lands which were considered to be in their domain. At the same time, there was strong Rural folk interest group - the people were armed and it was one of the things that ensured the Serbian authonomy - Ottomans couldn't subjugate Serbia again without serious military conflict.

The role of Landowners was partly filled by the Miloš's local governors, who had the privilege of peasants doing the forced labour for them. Similar privileges of the Turkish lords were repelled by Miloš in 1821. Things changed after the hatt-i sharif of 1830: the tenth tax was repelled and forced labour was banned, except in one case, peasants still had to do forced labour on ruler's personal possesions.

Local governors wanted to retain the feudal system and practically become the new landed aristocratic class instead of the Turks, but it wasn't allowed by Miloš, who didn't want to see the emergence of a class which could challenge his personal rule. That basically meant the abolishing of serfdom and permanent weakening/marginalizing of the Landowners interest group for the entire game timeframe. However, for Miloš, these events had two unwanted consequences: he alienated the Landowners/local governors interest group, and, strangely, he made enemy of the Rural folk, who were now free from the Landowners, but still weren't free from ruler's whims. This results in Mileta's rebellion in 1835, which was put down, but immediately after that, the movement to enact the constitution appears. The main issue for the peasants is to ensure their private property and ban the forced labour; other interest groups want to limit the Prince's absolute rule. The law passes, but the constitution is too liberal for the tastes of Austria, which basically starts the diplomatic play to force the law repelment, and is backed by Russia and Ottomans. The result is obvious.

However, what remains is the promise to enact some kind of constitution. But this time, Serbia won't be able to enact the law by itself - it will be issued in the form of the Sultan's ferman. That is the situation at the game start date.

What happens then is basically the law enactment process, but it happens in Constantinople. Apart from the Ottomans, it is influenced, by means of diplomacy, lobbying and extensive bribery, by Russia, Prince Miloš, opposition to Prince Miloš and even Great Britain to an extent. Opposition wants to limit the Miloš's rule as much as possible, Miloš wants the opposite, and in the end Russia supports the Miloš's opposition. The result is the 1838 Turkish constitution, which isn't liberal, but still limits the rulers prerogatives enough for Miloš to abdicate in 1839. After very short Milan's rule, Mihailo succeeds the throne. His attempt to get the power back from the hands of "Constitution defenders" is successful at first, but in 1842 he is forced to abdicate. He is succeeded by a weak ruler from the rival dynasty - Aleksandar Karađorđević. The two interest groups which end up in the government are Bureaucrats (mostly corresponding to Inteligentsia default group) and Rural folk. Bureaucrats are led by Garašanin, whose traits enable his interest group to punch above its weight. Rural folk are led by Vučić, who is basically a military guardian of the new regime, but his traits are much better suited for a leader of opposition, and Rural folk end up punching below their weight.

Anyway, I think that the social situation in Serbia around the start date and the composition of Serbia's interest groups are fascinating subjects, and I plan to add a post or two about those - in my spare time. :)
 
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Have we seen any map depicting cities in the Balkans yet?
 
Just give Serbs +4 to AC against Germans
Let's liven up this thread, shall we?

Given that Serbia will most likely not receive much attention in the current game state as it stands, it merits to provide some suggestions using the journal system which will be pretty interesting, and would make Serbia on release much more interesting and educational to play. If not, im sure modders will have a field day with these.

  • Sretenje Constitution - enacted in 1835, it was an incredibly progressive constitution for its time, inspired by the 1791 French Constitution and the American Constitution, with guarantees such as Habeas Corpus and tricameral legislature, however it was soon enough abolished due to pressure by Russia, Ottomans and especially Austria, which was fearful of it being an example for opposition to pursue, threatening their absolutist reigns. As well, Knez Miloš Obrenović was glad to recant the constitution, wishing to secure his absolute reign with a convenient excuse. Subsequently a revised, far less progressive, "Turkish" Constitution was introduced, and Miloš was ultimately forced to abdicate in favour of his son Milan, who reigned for 26 days and died of tuberculosis. Events pertaining to the Constitution's legacy would be interesting, as well as pressure to accept it again if the geopolitical situation allows it.
  • Adding Knez Mihajlo Obrenović as a character, who will be the next in line after Milan, who was ruling on principles of "Enlightened Absolutism", being a patron of arts and seeking efficient, sovereign, absolute rule for himself. This led to his assassination in 1868.
  • Conflict between the Obrenovićists and the Constitutionalists over Serbia's system. In 1842 Mihajlo was forced to abdicate, and Aleksandar Karađorđević(related to national hero Karađorđe who led Serbia in the 1804-1813 uprising) was instated as a figurehead ruler while the faction members ruled in what was essentially an olligarchy, introducing various reforms and institutions that helped Serbia slowly but surely progress. In 1858 they were effectively overthrown in favour of the Obrenovićists who returned to Absolutism under Miloš and Mihajlo, but the conflict between the two would continue until the head of the Obrenović dynasty was assassinated in 1903. There should be interest groups representing the two, and even events possibly.
  • Načertanije, the text that marked Serbia's foreign policy pursuits. I HIGHLY advise the devs to read into the document and the evolution of Serbian foreign policy, how it evolved from Greater Serbia to Yugoslavia pursuits thanks to Garašanin, and the various agreements formed as a result of it. The Wiki article on the text does not do it enough justice. I mentioned the Balkan Federation plan in the first post, also worth noting is a potential union state between Bulgaria and Serbia, the union state agreement between Mihajlo Obrenović and Nikola Petrović(knez, later king of Montenegro), Serbian support of Croatian separatist groups, and much more. It is argued that Načertanije guided Serbian foreign policy pretty much until Yugoslavia was united, and it is valuable to read into for purposes of modelling Serbian ambitions and player end goals...
This will continue later as I have more free time, but these few recommendations can provide some initial ideas on improving Serbian gameplay
Just give it +4 bonus to AC vs German Arch Dukes and thats all the content you need :cool:
 
It is arguable that one of the most notable areas of the Vicky timeline were the Balkans, being a source of many crises, from the decaying Ottoman empire struggling to hold its own against the tides of nationalism, to the ambitions of the newly arisen Nation states like Serbia (Yugoslavia) and Greece (Megali Idea), to an assassination which brought forward World War I.

I feel like it would be of benefit to begin the discussion on the complex situation there, and to provide ideas on how to be as faithful as possible to the situation there while providing enjoyable gameplay for a player seeking to fulfill said ambitions.

In particular, I wish to begin with a discussion on Serbia's sovereignty status, which has been a divisive topic for Vic 2 modders, some opting for sphereling like Vanilla, while others made it a full-fledged satellite.

This is partially due to the diplomatic limitations of Vic2, however it does pose an interesting question on implementation of said subject relations, not only for Serbia, but the Romanian principalities as well, not to mention the various Namestniki in Russia.

Officially, Serbia was an autonomous subject of the Ottoman Empire until 1878, where it became independent at the Berlin Congress. However, in practice its policies were for the most part sovereign since 1830 and the Second Hatisherif which gave it near-complete internal autonomy at the expense of an annual tribute and certain degree of control over foreign affairs, with Russia acting as protector of said rights.

In 1826 we see the formation of a proper ministry of foreign affairs, which allowed Serbia to conduct diplomacy officially.

Come 1836. we see the first proper diplomatic ties being opened in Serbia, by Austria which established a Consulate. In the following years, Britain, Russia, France and others establish their own Consulates, with the French one in particular often answering to the Embassy in Vienna rather than Constantinople. While officially these consulates had to answer to their respective Ottoman Embassies, in practice they allowed Serbia to conduct its own diplomacy, giving it a large degree of diplomatic sovereignty as well, for example in the French case.

These in turn provided Serbia with a large degree of de-facto sovereignty, complete de-facto sovereignty being achieved by 1867.

While many questions remain on the intricacies of Vicky 3 diplomacy, I hope that the system allows to model the complex affairs in a proper manner, without resorting to an extremely inaccurate representation which had to be resorted to in Vicky 2.

As well, I would like to propose mechanics which allow the Balkan nations, and possibly others as well, to ferment national uprisings in foreign countries, as well as coordinate efforts with said groups. While the Balkan Wars are rather well-known, long before Serbia was independent we saw the formation of a short-lived alliance between Serbia, Montenegro, Greece and Bulgarian/Albanian liberation movements to liberate the Balkans in 1866, spearheaded by Serbia's foreign minister Ilija Garašanin, not to mention active propaganda to encourage uprisings in the event of war between Serbia and the Ottomans. Provided they were successful, they would also unite into a federation, however that one is a question on its own.

This in turn would provide means for the player to actively engage in ambitious diplomatic endeavours, and fulfill the goals set out by said countries, in particular the unification of the Southern Slavs, and thereby make gameplay in the Balkans more unique, historically accurate and entertaining.

Thank you for reading!
Here is Romania's piece of history in the balkans:
Romania is well known for being formed after the union of Wallachia and Moldavia in 1859 and later Bessarabia, Bukovina, Translyvania and Banat in 1918 It is very important (at least to Romanians) how and why those territories were taken because it wasn’t just a simple land grab. Those territories had a long history with the Romanians and already had a Romanian majority, although also significant minorities of other nationalities.

This was the territory Romania took in 1918:

RoWW1land1918.png


And this was the population census in 1930:

RoInterPopulation1930.png


No population exchanges were made between 1918 and 1930. And yet, out of 18 million people, 13 millions (72%) were Romanian. Despite Romania more than doubling its size from 137,903 km2 before the war to 295,049 km2 after the war. All the newly gained territory, already had a Romanian majority.

Although the Entente ultimately decided what Romania does and doesn't get, as Romania didn't had the military power to rival the Entente's decision, the taken territories were actually unions where the people of those territories formed their own governments that expressed their own desires to both the Entente and their old oppressors on their own initiative, and came forward with terms and conditions to the Romanian government for the unification with Romania. The de facto unions happened in 1918, the recognition of these unions was made in 1920.

The unions were as democratic as they could get for the 1918-1920 period.

In very short:
- Bessarabia: When the February Revolution started in Russia, the region of Bessarabia created the Sfatul Tarii (a government) and declared autonomy, stating that they wish to become a Federal State within the new Russia, after the October Revolution they gave up any plans for autonomy and declared union with Romania. Originally, it was a conditional union and Bessarabia would become a autonomus region within Romania, but after Bukovina and Transylvania also united with Romania, they modified the 27 March act and changed the union to an unconditional one.
- Bukovina: The Romanians of Bukovina formed the General Congress of Bukovina (a govnerment) and shortly after declared unconditional union with Romania.
- Transylvania & Banat: The Romanians of Transylvania and Banat formed the General Assembly and voted for a conditional union with Romania, the Germans of Transylvania were also in favor of union with Romania. Unlike Bessarabia's conditional union, Transylvania was to become an autonomus region for 5 years, afterwards they would lose their autonomus status, arguing that they would need temporary autonomy until the new Romanian state is ogranized and so they can have a say in the constitution of the new Romanian state. Eventually, Transylvanian Romanians dropped this request in favor of unconditional union when politicians in Hungary started making a case that this is proof that the Romanians of Transylvania don’t truly want union with Romania.

Throught the relevant timeline, Romania looked like this:
fihJLnR.jpeg


The National Goal: Union of all Romanians

Romania was a "Rising Star" in the 19th century. It went from being 2 Ottoman vassal states in 1836 to union, reforms, freedom, kingdom by 1881. Ever since Michael the Brave's short-lived union in 1600, the Romanian principalities of Wallachia, Moldavia and Transylvania would never be a threat to a foreign power again and would slowly lose territory.

The only somewhat exception to this being Transylvania, who as a state it managed to keep some form of autonomy and economic development, even within the Austrian Empire, however, socially, Transylvania had a Romanian majority but was ruled by the Hungarian minority. According to the Austrian statistics of 1730, the population was 57.9% Romanian, 26.2% Hungarian and 15.1% German. While according to the first population census of 1869 the population was 59.0% Romanian, 24.9% Hungarian and 11.9% German.

In fact, Romania's issue was that almost half of the Romanians in the world lived outside Wallachia and Moldavia, which led to the creation of the national ideal - to unite all Romanians under a single state, "A Romania for all Romanians".

This included the regions where the Romanians represented an ethnic majority: Wallachia (Oltenia, Muntenia, Northern Dobruja - Southern Dobruja was never considered part of this ideal), Moldavia (Moldavia proper, Bukovina, Bessarabia, Budjak), Transylvania (Transylvania proper, Banat (all of it, including West Banat), Crisana (all of it, including Alfold), Maramures (including Carpatho-Ruthenia).

The Greater Romania that was formed at the end of World War 1 was not the maximum extent of Romanian territorial ambitions, but rather the maximum extent of ethnic Romanians' outside Romania. Due to Bessarabia's declaration of independence from USSR in 1917 and declaration of Union with Romania in 1918 and later Bukovina and Transylvania's declarations of union with Romania in 1918 combined with President Woodrow Willson's 14 points, one of which included Austria being divided by ethnic lines, the Romanians only got the parts of Transylvania that included an ethnic Romanian majority. But they wanted all of it: West Banat, Alfold and Carpatho-Ruthenia included, why?

There was no significant Romanian population in West Banat, Alfold and Carpatho-Ruthenia, but Romania argued it had a "historical right" in those regions. West Banat, Arfold and Carpathian Ruthenia used to be part of the Kingdom of Dacia before the Roman invasion, and more recently one debated source from the Middle Ages called Gesta Hungarorum describes how when the Hungarians arrived in Transylvania there were 3 Romanian counties/voivodships that were conquered: of Gelou, Glad and Menumorut. Gelou's domain included Carpathian Ruthenia, Glad's domain included West Banat and Menumorut's domain included Arfold.

LqX07OW.jpg



So in short, Romania's national ideal in the 19th century and early 20th was "A Romania for all Romanians", which was not limited to the regions where Romanians were the ethnic majority that it got in World War I, but also included West Banat, Arfold and Carpathian Ruthenia for historical reasons.

The territorial extent of this national ideal "A Romania for all Romanians" was "From Dniester to Tisza". Effectively, the borders of an ideal Romania would be: the Tisza river in the west, the Danube in the south, the Black Sea in the south-east and the Dniester River in east and north.

"The phrase "De la Nistru pana la Tisa" (From Dniester to Tisza) is well known to Romanians, it defines the limits of an ideal Romania, though we should note that the Romanian population extends in the east beyond the Dniester, while both banks of the Tisza are completely Hungarian for most of the river's length. To the south, the Danube completes the symbolic geography of Romania: an enclosed space between 3 rivers, with an area of 300.000 sq km, comparable to that of Italy or the British Isles. Rivers then are perceived as natural borders, separating Romanians from Others." - Lucian Boia, Historian (Book - Romania: Borderlands of Europe, published 2001)

Following the 1920's borders and Greater Romania, the Romanian desire for the territories that didn't constitute a Romanian ethnic majority faded as their national ideal was already achieved.

Administrative regions of Romania:
zjLk0Gn.png


This can be overlaped with this map to see the dominant cultures:
RoInterPopulation1930.png


Population:
1859 - 1860 census (Wallachia + Western Moldova) in Romania showed 4.424.961 million population, 94% being Romanian.
1899 census (Wallachia + Western Moldavia + Northern Dobrujia) in Romania showed 5.956,690, 92% being Romanian.
1930 census (all of this) in Romania showed 18.057,028 million population, 12,981,324 million or 71% being Romanian.

The first statistic to record ethnic groups throughout Bessarabia was an incomplete administrative census made in 1843–1844 at the request of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The following proportions were recorded, in a total of 692,777 inhabitants: 59.4% Moldavians, 17.2% Ukrainians, 9.3% Bulgarians, 7.1% Jews, and 2.2% Russians. In the case of some urban centres, figures were not reported for all ethnic groups. Furthermore, the size of the total populations differs from other official reports of the same period, which put the population of Bessarabia at 774,492 or 793,103.

The first official census in Transylvania in which a distinction was made between nationalities (distinction made on the basis of mother tongue) was made by the Austro-Hungarian authorities in 1869, counting 59,0% Romanians, 24,9% Hungarians and 11,9% Germans out of a total population of 4.224.436 people. For the period 1869 there are only estimates of the proportions of various ethnic groups in Transylvania. Thus, Fényes Elek, a Hungarian statistician from the 19th century, estimated in 1842 that the population of Transylvania in the years 1830-1840 was composed of 62.3% Romanians and 23.3% Hungarians.

Fall of Greater Romania Data:
In Northern Transylvania, the Romanian census from 1930 counted 49% Romanians and 38% Hungarians, while the Hungarian census from 1941 counted 39.1% Romanians and 53.5% Hungarians. According to the Romanian estimations in 1940 prior to the Second Vienna Award, about 1,300,000 people or 50% of the population was Romanian and about 962,000 people or 37% of the population was Hungarian, while according to the Hungarian estimations in 1940 shortly following the Second Vienna Award, about 1,150,000 people or 48% of the population was Romanian and about 910,000 people or 38% of the population was Hungarian.

In Bessarabia, the Romanian census from 1930 counted 56% Romanians, 12% Russians and 10% Ukrainians. While the 1941 census during the Romanian wartime administration counted 65% Romanians, 16% Ukrainians, 6% Russians.

In Southern Dobruja, the Romanian census from 1930 counted 37% Bulgarians, 34% Turks and 20% Romanians. While the 1940 census counted 37% Bulgarians, 36% Turks and 26% Romanians. The Tatars, Gagauz and Gypsy were counted as Turks. When Southern Dobruja was restored to Bulgaria under the Treaty of Craiova. The treaty was followed by a mandatory population exchange: about 110,000 Romanians (almost 95% of the total population of Romanians), Aromanians and Megleno-Romanians were forced to leave Southern Dobruja, whereas 77,000 Bulgarians had to leave Northern Dobruja. Only a few hundred Romanians and Aromanians are now left in the region.

According to population statistics, Romania had a population of 19.933.800 people in 1939. The 14th most populous country in the world making up 0.9% of world's population. Ahead of Mexico and Portugal with 19,320,000 and 18,595,400 (colonies included). And behind Belgium and Spain with 22,491,000 (colonies included) and 26,822,800 (colonies included).

This administrative map could be helpful as well:
1200px-Greater_Romania.svg.png


  • Muntenia (Western Wallachia)
    • Capital: Bucharest
    • Description: this State is the industrial heartland of Romania. Industrial-scale oil production in Romania dates back to 1857, when the world's first systematic oil refinery began operation in Ploiesti. The early oil refiners used wood fires to begin the process of separating crude oil into different petroleum products.
  • Oltenia (Eastern Wallachia)
    • Capital: Craiova
    • Description: Craiova was a mainly argicultural region in Romania.
  • Doborgea(North Dobruja)
    • Capital: Constanta
    • Description: Mainly for sea trade.
  • Cadrilater (South Dobruja: Durustor & Cailacra)
    • Capital: Silistra
    • Desciption: Same as north dobruja, mainly for sea trade.
  • Bessarabia (Eastern Moldova)
    • Capital: Chisinau
    • Description: Mainly an argicultural region
  • Moldova (Western Moldavia)
    • Capital: Iasi
    • Description: Mainly an agricultural region. But MALAXA industries were founded here.
  • Bukovina (North Moldavia)
    • Capital: Cernauti
    • Description: Mainly an agricultural region
  • Translyvania (Central Transylvania)
    • Capital: Cluj/Alba Iulia
    • Description: Have Steel industry
  • Szekelyland(Inside Central Translyvania: Odorhei, Ciuc, Trei Scaune)
    • Capital: Sfantu Gheorge
    • Description: Mainly an agricultural region but with a Hungarian majority
  • Maramures (North Transylvania)
    • Capital: Satu Mare
    • Description: mainly argicultural region
  • Crisana (Western Transylvania)
    • Capital: Arad
    • Description: Mainly industrial region
  • Eastern Banat (South Transylvania)
    • Capital: Timisoara
    • Description: Mainly industrial region.
  • Snake Island (that dot on the black sea, lost to USSR after WW2)
    • Description: Oil reserves.

The 1848 Revolutions:

Causes:
- Foregin rulers over the Romanian principalities:
* Austrian rule in Transylvania, Banat and Bukovina.
* Ottoman rule in Wallachia, Moldavia and Dobruja.
* Russian rule in Bessarabia.
- Lack of rights and liberties.
- Authoritarian political regime.
- Poor economic state of the Romanian principalities.

Objectives:
- Removing the feudalist leftovers from the Romanian society.
- The emancipation and impropriety of peasants.
- The grand of rights & liberties.
- The removal of foreign rule over the principalities.
- The modernization of Romanian society.

Perpetrators:
- Various secret socities:
* The Bortherhood, in Wallachia
* The Patriotic Association, in Moldavia
* No inherent movement in Transylvania, was formed as a response to the Hungarian's movements' desire to annex Transylvania.
- Support from various newspappers such as "Literal Dacia".

Results:
- In Moldavia, it started with protests in Iasi, Mihail Sturza moderately passed some reforms but eventually arrested the leaders of the petitioners (inculding future ruler of Romania, Alexander Ioan-Cuza), who escaped in Austria and published the 36 points as "The desires of the National Party of Moldavia". Amongst others, this doccumented requested the union of Moldavia with Wallachia. Moldavia's 1848 revolution was the most peaceful.

- In Wallachia, it started with the "Proclamation of Islaz", refused by Gheorghe Bibescu. Armed rebellion started in Bucharest 2 days later. With the strees of Bucharest in warfare, ruler Gheorghe Bibescu approved the "Proclamation of Islaz", but to no avail, eventually abdicated and left for Transylvania. The new revolutionary government established the reforms of "Proclamation of Islaz": removal of boyar ranks, the foundation of the Tricolor as a national flag (the red, yellow, blue; current flag of Romania), the creation of the national guard, the abolishment of the death sentenece, the offering of land to the peasants. Pressed by Russia, the Ottoman Empire intervenes in Wallachia, eventually the Russian troops also enter Wallachia. The revolutionary government fights (made mostly of firefighters and policemen) fight the Ottoman and Russian army in Bucharest. The revolution is defeated. Dimitrie Știrbei becomes the new ruler of Wallachia, but the revolutionary government's reforms remain.

- In Transylvania, it started with the Hungarian revolution on 15 March 1848 (Hungary's national day), the Transylvanian Romanains were initially supportive of the Hungarian revolution, until the Hungarians started their goals as the annexation of Transylvania to Hungary. In response, the Romanian intellectuals organized an assembly at Blaj, 40.000 Romanians adopted the "National Petition". The requests of the "National Petition" were rejected by the Hungarians and the Romanians started building armed forces. Forming 15 legions that attacked the Hungarian administration in Transylvanian cities. In response, Hungarian general Iosif Bem attacked the Romanian revolutionaries, until they retook all of Transylvania except the Apuseni Mountains. The Romanians at Apuseni Mountains led by Avram Iancu resisted the constant Hungarian attacks until the Austrians and Russians defeated the Hungarians on the "western front". In response to the Romanians' help during the Hungarian revolution, the Austrian Emperor granted the Romanains numerous liberties and rights, including administrative offices and schools in Romanian language. These liberties and rights would last for about 19 years, they were reversed by the Austro-Hungarian Compromise of 1867. Transylvania's 1848 revolution was the least peaceful.

Possible Ways to Form Romania:

- Wallachian-Moldavian unification.
- Transylvanian-Moldavian unification.
- Transylvanian-Wallachian unificaiton.

If 2/3 Romanian principalities unite, they should have the option to form Romania. Everyone considered themselves more Romanians than Wallachians, Transylvanians or Moldavians. And it was actually the Transylvanians, more specifically the Romanian elites called the "Scoala Ardeleneasca" (literally: Transylvanian School) that came up with the national ideal of "A Romania for all Romanians" in the 18th century, while Wallachia & Moldavia were still under Ottoman control.
The Transylvanian School had a notable impact in the Romanian culture of both Transylvania, but also of the Romanians living across the Carpathians, in Wallachia and Moldavia, leading to the national awakening of Romania.

Samuil Micu-Klein, Gheorghe Șincai, Petru Maior and Ion Budai-Deleanu, who were members of the Transylvanian School during the era of Romanian national awakening, emphasised the ancient purely Latin origin of Romanians to enhance the political and cultural prestige of Romanians in Western Europe. In 1791, they contributed in the memorandum: "Supplex Libellus Valachorum Transsilvaniae". In this memorandum, they demanded similar rights for the Transylvanian Romanians as those enjoyed by the (largely) Hungarian nobility, the enfranchised Saxon patrician class, and the free military Székelys under the Union of the Three Nations. This document was presented to Emperor Leopold II by the Transylvanian School.

Once Romania is formed:

Possible Romanian-Bulgarian Union (1878)

Shortly after Romania & Bulgaria became independent in the aftermath of the Russo-Turkish War (1877-1878), the Bulgarians proposed a Romanian-Bulgarian union. They would crown King Carol I (king of Romania) as their king and the Romanians would govern.

King Carol I initially accepted this proposal, but Russia threatened to invade Romania if Romania united with Bulgaria. It was then that King Carol I backed down from the union.

From Wikipedia:
Unsuccessful attempts to unify Bulgaria and Romania into a common state, under either a federation, a personal union or a confederation, made during the 19th and 20th centuries. The idea had great support, especially in Bulgaria, and there were several opportunities to realize it. Proposals usually came from the Bulgarians, but it was the Romanians who were supposed to govern. These ultimately failed because of cultural and political differences between both peoples and the opposition from great powers like Austria-Hungary and especially Russia.

This idea had its historical precedents: Bulgarians and Romanians had first lived together under the rule of the First Bulgarian Empire, which extended its power into areas that form part of Romania today; under the Second Bulgarian Empire, established through the cooperation of Bulgarians and Vlachs (Romanians); and under the Ottoman Empire, which defeated the Second Bulgarian Empire and conquered and ruled territories populated by Bulgarians and Romanians for centuries.

Stefan Stambolov, politically a Russophobe, ended up taking power as regent. Stambolov tried again to establish a personal union with Romania, and negotiations were conducted. Carol I would be the head of such a state with either two separate governments or a single, united one. Though Carol I had an interest in becoming ruler of Bulgaria, Russia strongly opposed this. Russia threatened to break off diplomatic relations with Romania and with invading it and Bulgaria, forcing Carol I to reject the offer.

In the 12th century, an attempt to restore the empire, the Uprising of Asen and Peter, ended in the establishment of the Second Bulgarian Empire. The Vlachs (Romanians) counted with numerous participants in this rebellion, especially in its initial phase. They played a decisive role during the creation of the new empire, with its first leaders, the brothers Ivan Asen I, Kaloyan and Peter II, being described as Vlachs by primary (contemporaneous) sources. In fact, Kaloyan was given the title imperator Caloihannes dominus omnium Bulgarorum atque Blachorum ("Emperor Kaloyan, Lord of All Bulgarians and Vlachs") by Patriarch Basil I of Bulgaria and the title Rex Bulgarorum et Blachorum ("King of the Bulgarians and the Vlachs") by Pope Innocent II. Additionally, Moesia, the region where the rebellion began, had a high Vlach population. Over time, the Vlachs lost their relevance, just like the Turkic Bulgars in the first empire, but they left a legacy in the form of several toponyms (place names) that still remain in Bulgaria today.

Supporters of a Bulgarian–Romanian union used the Second Bulgarian Empire as a common ground between the two, and historians now debate whether its historical heritage is Bulgarian or Romanian.

The Bulgarians and the Romanians were already familiar with the concept of national unification. Bulgaria, which was established as an Ottoman vassal state after a war in 1878, united with the Ottoman autonomous province of Eastern Rumelia in 1885, remaining in a personal union with it until 1908, when Bulgaria proclaimed its full independence from the Ottoman Empire. Romanians consider the brief union of the principalities of Wallachia, Moldavia and Transylvania of 1600 under Michael the Brave the first Romanian national union. Romania itself was the product of a personal union, that of Wallachia and Moldavia between 1859 and 1862 under Prince Alexandru Ioan Cuza. This state was initially known as the "United Principalities of Moldavia and Wallachia", but it was renamed in 1866 to simply "Romania".

Scripted decisions/events with Alt-history possibilities:

1. Dracula becomes a national symbol (triggers: 3 years after Romania is formed)
: Being the century of nationalism, every nation looked up to the heroes of their past as a symbol of national unity. While one example is Michael the Brave's short-lived union, whose symbol is literally national unity, by far the most popular both in Romania, abroad became Vlad the Impaler, a symbol of independence. Vlad the Impaler is portrayed as a cruel but just ruler who fought for the independence of his country against the Ottoman Empire and was backstabbed by Hungary.

This could possibility lead to a buff in a stat that increases desire of independence or autonomy.

2. In 1866: Romania is looking for a new ruler - Following the overthrow of Alexander Ioan-Cuza, Romania's political situation is uncertain, its existance is uncertain. With the Ottoman Empire at the gates requesting to honor the deal make in exchange for their recognition of the double election, if Romania doesn't find a new ruler fast, and preferably one with substantial external support, the throne may split back into Moldavia and Wallachia. Who should we crown for king?

(a) Prince Philippe, Count of Flanders (historical, refuses; gains support from Belgium)
(b) Prince Carol, Hohlenzoller-Sigmaringen (always accepts; gains support from Germany)
(c) Restore Alexander Ioan-Cuza (The Ottoman Empire gain casus beli against Romania)

3. In 1875: King Carol I/King Philippe builds Peles Palace close to the border - The residential palace, Peles Castle, was built in a mountain region merely 15 km from the border with Transylvania. When asked to explain his decision, King Carol I/King Philippe explained that he build Peles Castle in the middle of Romania, for him Romania being all territories inhabited by Romanians.

Effects: Gets more expansionist desire, gets more national unity, national ideal "A Romania for all Romanians" gets more popularity.

4. Romania becomes a kingdom (triggers: 3 years after Romania gains independence) - No longer an Ottoman vassal, as an independent country, Romania finally becomes the Kingdom of Romania, with Prince Carol/Philippe being crowned as King Carol/Philippe.

Effects: gain prestige.

5. In 1883: Germany proposes secret treaty of alliance (only have this option if you picked King Carol I; if you picked King Philippe Belgium or UK proposes an alliance). - Although Austria owns Transylvania, Bukovina and Banat, regions with predominantly Romanian population, one cannot remain isolated when Russia and Bulgaria are allies. If Romania doesn't become the 4th memeber of the Triple Alliance with Germany, Austria and Italy; it will become easy pickings for the combined forces of Russia and Bulgaria. King Carol I's German origins will see that the Kaiser honors his agreement. The treaty is only a defensive pact, in case we are the aggressors in a war, we are all alone.

(a) Accept (historical)
(b) Refuse

6. In 1914 (IF ROMANIA ACCEPTS IN 1883): Austria-Hungary requests help in the Great War - When World War I starts, Austria-Hungary offers Romania to join the war invoking the treaty of 1883. However, Romania is not bound to honor the treaty on the grounds that the attacks on Austria were not "unprovoked", as stipulated in the treaty of alliance. Fighting on the side of Austria against Russia will likely give us Bessarabia, a region predominantly Romanian lost in 1812 to the Russian Empire. However, fighting against Austria will likely give us Transylvania, Bukovina and Banat, 3 predominantly Romanian regions that haven't seen Romanian rule is the voivodships of Gelou, Glad and Menumorut. What shall we be, we strike East for Bessarabia? or wait for a better opportunity?

(a) Accept (Romania joins the central powers)
(b) Demand minor territorial concessions (Austria gets event: Romania requests Bukovina & Southern Transylvania to join the war)
(c) Demand major territorial concessions (Austria gets event: Romania requests Bukovina, Transylvania and Banat to join the war)
(d) Refuse (historical)

7. In 1915 (IF YOU PLAY AS GERMANY & ROMANIA REFUSES IN 1914 BUT IS STILL NEUTRAL): Pressure Austria-Hungary to give minor concessions to Romania -> Offering them Bukovina and Southern Transylvania in exchange for joining the war.

(a) Germany pressures Austria (historical)
(b) Germany doesn't presure Austria

(a1) Austria accepts
(a2) Austria refuses (historical)

(1.a) Romania accepts the deal (joins the central powers)
(1.b) Romania refuses

8. In 1916: The Entente promises Banat, Transylvania and Bukovina - Romania has never been the center of the world, 100 years ago, most people wouldn't even know where Bucharest is, but ever since the World War started, the world's eyes have been turned on Romania. Located in a critical position between the Central Powers and the Entente, the whole world is looking to see in which direction Romania will turn. Afraid of the prospect of Romania joining the Central Powers, the forces of the Entente came with a bold deal: All of Banat, including West Banat, all of Transylvania, including Alfold and Carpatho-Ruthenia, all of Bukovina; in exchange for Romania joining the Entnete, along with an ultimatum "now or never".

(a) accepts (historical)
(b) refuses

9. In 1921: The Little Entente is signed - a defensive treaty with Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia is signed, led by Czechoslovakia, with the goal of containing Hungary.

(a) accepts (historical)
(b) refuses

10. In 1926: The Polish-Romanian alliance is signed - a defensive treaty between Romania and Poland aimed against the Soviet Union.

(a) accepts (historical)
(b) refuses

The Population Situation:
Transylvania: Ethnicity\Year1787 Austrian Statistics1850 Population Census1910 Population Census
Romanian63.5%59.1%53.8%
Hungarian24.1%25.9%31.6%
German12.4%9.3%10.7%

Whole Banat: Ethnicity\Year177418401900
Romanians58.5%55.3%40.4%
Slavs (Mainly Serbs & Croats)26.6%19.4%17.6%
Germans14.1%19.4%25.3%
Hungarians0.6%5.8%11.9%

Bukovina:
YearRomaniansUkrainiansOthers (Germans, Jews, and Poles)Total
177440,920 – 64,00059.6% – 85.33%8,000 – 22,81010.6% – 33.2%3,000 – 4,9704.0% – 7.2%51,920 – 91,780
1848209,29355.4%108,90728.8%59,38115.8%377,581
1851184,71848.5%144,98238.1%51,12613.4%380,826
1880190,00533.4%239,96042.2%138,75824.4%568,723

And Bessarabia:
Year:Romanians:Ukrainians:Russians:
184359.4%17.2%2.2%
185051.4%21.3%4.2%
191964.0%9.7%2.8%

Romania was a lot like Poland in many ways.

The regions of Wallachia & Moldavia is where they had some form of independence.
But also: Banat, Transylvania, Bukovina and Bessarabia were full of Romanians.

I think over half of the Romanians lived outside Wallachia & Moldavia in the 19th century.

And a quote from THE GREAT WAR show on Youtube:
"The three regions of Wallachia, Transylvania, and Moldavia have a long history of foreign occupation going back to the Roman era. These territories, that formed the modern state of Romania, have sometimes been independent, but were more often fought over or occupied by more powerful nations.

On January 24th, 1859, after a unionist campaign, Alexandru Ioan Cuza ascended to the thrones of both Wallachia and Moldavia, effectively uniting them as Romania as a vassal of the Ottoman Empire. He introduced sweeping reforms designed to modernize Romania and drag it into the 19th century, but this brought him into conflict with the landed aristocracy, and he was forced to abdicate in 1866.

Political chaos ensued until the throne was offered Prince Karl (Carol) of Hohenzollern-Sigmaringen, a Prussian prince with Bonaparte family ties. He accepted and Romania became a hereditary constitutional monarchy, though still nominally under Ottoman control. In 1877 when the Russo-Turkish War began, Karl saw opportunity for Romania to break that control. Romania gave the Russians permission to cross Romania to attack the Ottoman forces. The Russian offensive stalled in Bulgaria, though, and the Tsar asked Carol for men and assistance, which he provided.

Eventually the Turks sued for peace, and the resulting Congress of Berlin redrew the map of the Balkans, among other things creating an independent Romania. This new free nation instantly came into conflict with Russia, however, as Russia demanded Southern Bessarabia, which had passed back and forth between the Russians and the Ottomans over the years, and offered Romania impoverished Dobrogea, which had last been under Romanian control in the 1400s.

This forced exchange inflamed public opinion in Romania, and culminated in the signing, in 1883, of a secret treaty that bound Romania to the Triple Alliance of Germany, Austria-Hungary, and Italy, and the construction of defensive works aimed at stopping a future Russian invasion. That treaty was sort of a double-edged sword for Romania, though, since it also stopped Romania from any sort of intervention into Austro-Hungarian affairs, most particularly those in Transylvania, which was 54% ethnic Romanian and only 30% Hungarian, but ruled by the Hungarian minority.

In fact, in 1892 when the Romanian National Party of Transylvania petitioned Emperor Franz Josef for equal rights and treatment, the petition was sent unopened from Vienna to Budapest and the signatories were all arrested and sentenced to prison terms of up to five years.

If we fast forward to 1912, we see that Romania was by then something of a rising star. It was still mostly agricultural, but industrialization of the Prahova valley had spurred new growth, and Romania had an economic surplus of around 5% of its GDP.

Now, Romania did not fight in the First Balkan War of 1912, but had only really remained neutral because Russia had organized a deal between Bulgaria and Romania offering Romania the fortress town of Silistra for remaining neutral. After the war, Bulgaria refused to go through with the deal, and this - as you may imagine - royally upset Romania, who threatened to take Silistra by force, but were stopped by Russian diplomatic intervention.

Bulgarian relations with Russia cooled off now because of all of this and the Bulgarian-Russian alliance was cancelled June 9th, 1913. A week later, Bulgaria launched a surprise attack on Serbia and Greece without declaring war. The goal was to grab as much land as possible before the Great Powers could end the conflict, and so the entire Bulgarian army was committed to the invasion, despite the threat of a possible Romanian invasion from behind.

Well, on the 28th, Romania got assurances from Austria-Hungary that the latter would not intervene if Romania went into Bulgaria; the Romanian army mobilized June 3rd, and on June 10th invaded a totally undefended Bulgaria. Romania invaded with 330,000 men, and Bulgaria had an army of close to twice that, but all were engaged in fighting Serbia and Greece. By the 22nd, the Romanians had linked up with the Serbs at the Bulgarian rear, and this, coupled with an Ottoman advance into Bulgaria, forced Bulgaria to sue for peace.

The Peace talks concluded with the Treaty of Bucharest in August, which stripped Bulgaria of much of the territory they’d gained in the First Balkan War. Romania got not only Silistra, but also the whole of Southern Dobrogea, but the campaign highlighted the shortcomings of the Romanian army, particularly the lack of equipment and ammunition, the quality of the officers, the disorganization of supply lines, and the inefficiency of the medical corps.

Combat casualties had been virtually zero, but 6,000 Romanian soldiers had died of cholera during the brief campaign. It’s nice to recognize your shortcomings, but most of the same problems would still beset Romania in World War One.

The Second Balkan War had brought Russia and Romania closer together, with the Tsar even making a state visit and a planned royal wedding between the future Romanian King Carol II, King Carol’s grand nephew, and Russian Grand Duchess Olga Nikolaevna. This fell through because the prospective spouses detested each other. Another effect of that war was to turn Bulgaria into a retributionist state, seeking revenge on Serbia and Romania, which would help propel Bulgaria into joining the Central Powers.

So the First World War began and what would Romania do? King Carol revealed the existence of the secret treaty and proposed to join the Central Powers in the war, but the treaty was a defensive one and Romania was not actually required to go to war since Austria-Hungary was the aggressor. Remember, the King was of Prussian origin too, and a cousin to the Kaiser. Public opinion however, was staunchly Francophile, and that included most of the Crown Council, who opted for armed neutrality as a compromise between the king and the government, who wanted
to join the Entente.

And then on October 10th, 1914, King Carol died with no male heir. He was succeeded by his nephew, who became King Ferdinand I. Unlike his uncle, who never forgot his Germanic roots, Ferdinand declared instantly that he would follow his country over his family, and would reign as a true Romanian. His wife was the very British Princess Marie of Edinburgh, granddaughter of Queen Victoria, but also daughter to the Russian Grand Duchess Maria Alexandrovna, who strongly - and kind of obviously - urged joining the Entente.

One thing to realize here, was that the Romanian army was not only under equipped in terms of guns and ammunition, but since it hadn’t joined any side of the war it had real problems getting weaponry from abroad and Romania didn’t have a big weapons manufacturing industry. Still, Romania did eventually join the war, as we’ve talked about in our regular Thursday episodes.

Prime Minister Ion Bratianu carefully negotiated the Romanian entry into the war, because the last thing he wanted was a repeat of the 1870s, when Romania had to cede land to Russia, so
the treaty formally bound the Allies to recognize Romania’s right to annex Austro-Hungarian territory that was inhabited by Romanians.

This was a pretty good precaution because earlier in the summer of 1916 the Allies had signed treaties that would prevent Romanian from participating in any postwar peace conference as an equal. In fact, Russia didn’t really want Romania to join the war because a neutral Romania guarded Russia’s southern flank, but an active Romania would mean putting that security in the hands of an unproven army.

All this posturing delayed the Romanian entry into the war by two months until August 1916, which was pretty unfortunate timing, since the Russian army was in a bit of disarray after the enormously costly success of the Brusilov Offensive over the summer. The Romanian Battle Plan was called the Z Hypothesis, and it was to comprise a strategic offensive into Transylvania with a strategic defense on the southern front. The offensive was to proceed for 30 days at which point there would be a decisive battle with Austria-Hungary." - Indy Neidell