Indeed. Furthermore, Aragorn helped fuel these beliefs. Not just with the attack on the black gate, either. He used the Palantir and revealed himself (and his sword), he arrived at the Pelennor fields with the royal standard unfurled, having routed the corsairs, and gathered the men of the coasts to his banner already. These actions had firmly placed Sauron's gaze on him. Depending on just how much was seen in the Palantir, Sauron may even have caught hints of what Aragrn did as Thorongil: setting back his plans by years, if not decades.And when Aragorn actually defeated his armies and immediately proceeded to make a suicide attack on the Black Gate (thus hinting Aragorn had the Ring), Sauron may well have thought that his plans had worked and that the Ring was screwing with Aragorn's mind in order to return to his Master in Mordor.
Sauron's true flaw was his inability to imagine anyone wanting to destroy the Ring, since he himself would never destroy any power which he thought he could turn into his power.
The march to the Black Gate was the (incredibly risky) strategy to keep the dark lord concentrating on the upstart heir of Isildur. Surely only somebody with the power of the ring behind them would be so bold, so foolish, as to assault the Morannon while heavily outnumbered. Who gives a stuff about spies on the Stairs of Cirith Ungol when this Ranger has given you the chance to extinguish the line of Elendil, at the same time as destroying the forces of Gondor and Rohan.
Your second paragraph is right on the money. Destroying the Ring was never something Sauron considered possible, because he would never have done it himself. Who would willingly surrender such power? Especially during a war where they were horrendously outnumbered, and in danger of a total collapse. The fact that the Men of the West then went on the offensive 'proved' that Aragorn had the Ring.