That moment when the patch is called after the event that is linked to the country which did not get its focus tree...
As for the history logger, it is a bit worrisome that Germany gets defeated already in 44...
They've posted several save games in the AI Dev Diary, Sometimes Germany gets defeated in 46, sometimes 49, and I'm assuming it wins sometimes too, though I don't remember. I'm honestly very happy to see a patch where there is big variance in how games play out and especially where the allies are capable of winning(as historically happened and almost nothing Germany did could have changed this outcome). Almost anything is better than "Germany breaks the USSR's army as a fighting force in 1942, then slowly beats back untrained and under-equipped Soviet infantry towards the Urals until they capitulate in 1944/5 every single game if the player does not intervene.