5. Japan confides that every man will do his duty
The war with the Allgemeine Ostasiatische Gesellschaft receives little attention in the history of the War of Unprovoked Sino-German Aggression. Pitted against the superior fighting élan of Japanese troops, what other outcome could there be for a nation of shopkeepers than total defeat? Being outnumbered two-to-one by better equipped divisions - and the fact that almost no one living there much liked the AOG anyway - might also have had something to do with it. Another reason the war receives little attention is that it was quickly overshadowed by dramatic events unfolding at sea at the same time. The object of contention this time was not a great chunk of continental empire, but the tiny island of Guam which had been brought under Japanese protection when the US federal government collapsed. Confident that the natives would welcome Japanese rule, no garrison had been dispatched, and alarmingly the Germans had managed to invade, placing them within striking distance of the home islands.
Now that the Qing Imperial Army fought alongside the Japanese, troops could be spared for expanded naval operations. The Western deployment at Singapore was increased, and a reconnaissance-in-force launched against Ceylon and the German Indian Ocean islands using Japan's fast carrier strike force. Since the Germans seemed to have fled in the face of the glorious IJN, it would be left to Yamamoto to decide how far this offensive should be pushed. Smaller cruiser forces would convoy troops to rescue the rest of Indochina and Borneo from Germany. Meanwhile, the battleship Combined Fleet under Taniguchi would move into the Pacific and begin seizing as many German islands as possible, starting with those closest to Japan.
Who is Yamamoto II? That's what I want to know. Also note minor damage to the Combined Fleet from Soviet-Japanese War.
Arriving at the Mariana Islands in late February, the Combined Fleet surprised a substantial force of German battleships accompanied by a carrier. Clearly they had fled Singapore in the wrong direction, become lost, and landed on Guam thinking it was Malta. Realising their mistake, they must have then tried to move back West, stumbling into the Japanese navy. After a brief action, the Germans fled in disarray back behind the guns of the port at Guam, their fleet still mostly intact.
The German admiral may have a moustache, but Taniguchi has better positioning rolls.
SNLF began landings at Saipan, which had not been garrisoned, and moved on to Guam later in the week. After several weeks of bitter ground fighting and frequent naval skirmishes that caused damage on both sides, the Germans decided they had no choice but to attempt a break-out before Japanese field artillery could be brought in range of the port, as had happened to the Russians at Port Arthur. Parallels to the Russo-Japanese War were acutely felt by the Japanese as well. Then as now, Japan's continental empire depended upon keeping the sea-lanes open. The loss of a large part of the Combined Fleet in this battle would force her to seek a humiliating peace from Germany. As had been said of a British admiral in the Weltkrieg, Taniguchi was the only man on either side who could lose the war in an afternoon. As battle was joined, he ordered the famous 'Z-flag' from Tsushima raised, signalling the fleet that "The Empire's fate depends on the result of this battle, let every man do his utmost duty.".
Nelson might contend that this isn't very original, but as they say in England, imitation is the sincerest form of flattery.
Of the six German battleships, five were first generation dreadnoughts. The modern Japanese ships simply outnumbered their opponents and outclassed them in gun-power, armour and speed. They enveloped the German fleet, sinking the majority of the gunships and two of the three aircraft carriers. The remainder made smoke and fled back to Guam, where aerial bombing from Saipan damaged and destroyed further ships until the IJA overran the port. All remaining German warships were scuttled, annihilating the Kaiserliche Marine's Far East Fleet in exchange for a number of destroyers and a light carrier. Victory at the Marianas renewed Japan's eternal faith and confidence in the wisdom of her Emperor and in the threat and use of force as means of settling international disputes.
This was particularly so as the fleet sent against them appeared to have been composed of just whatever ships the Germans didn't feel they need in Europe, just as the Emperor's advisers had predicted. Clearly they did not want to commit to a serious Pacific naval war. Ironically, though, the poor performance of the German fleet carrier
Boelke worried Japanese planners. The IJN had committed to a carrier programme, in part because battleships would take too long to produce, and in part because a decisive advantage was needed to overcome German numbers in the long run. It seemed as if carriers may not be able to provide.
8 Kuchikukantai - Japan will never forget your sacrifice.
But in the West the Kido Butai was still doing very well, albeit because the Germans did not seem to actually have a fleet in the Indian Ocean. Yamamoto took Ceylon and surrounding islands, and with the Germans still cowering in fortress Europe, cruised throughout the Indian Ocean with impunity. Close to having to return to Singapore to re-arm and re-fuel, Yamamoto's carriers bombed the German port of Djibouti in East Africa, inflicting minimal damage but causing the largest single day crash on the Berlin Stock Exchange since Black Monday. Japanese newspapers later claimed that the Germans began burning sensitive papers at Suez and evacuating civilians to Malta.
Japanese carriers at the gates of Europe. Perhaps we have only to kick in the door, and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down? Probably not, though.
These actions won Japan two months of near-complete command of the ocean in the Far East, during which time the AOG was brought under the benevolent protection of the Co-Prosperity Sphere. Only one German stronghold remained in the Orient: Haikou, a rightfully Japanese island formerly belonging to China that hosted a large naval base. From there the Germans were falling back on their Weltkrieg tactics, raiding convoys all around the coast of the South China Sea with U-boats. The force dispatched to bring the island under Japanese protection almost succeeded when an enormous new German fleet appeared, apparently having sneaked past Yamamoto at Singapore.
The moustached gentleman returns for a second round.
The ensuing disaster killed thousands of men and left tens of thousands stranded on Haikou, where they
were captured by the German defenders fought to the death for their beloved Emperor. At last the Germans had realised how great a power Japan truly was, and had dispatched all their remaining fleet carriers and a larger force of modern battleships than the total number of capital ships in service with the IJN. Yamamoto accepted the challenge and intercepted the German fleet near the Spratley Islands. What began as skirmishing by a fast scouting force developed into the world's first fleet carrier battle. The Japanese battlecruiser
Hiei and a number of German battleships were sunk, before the German aircraft located the Japanese carriers. First
Atago was sunk, and then
Akagi and
Soryu were hit.
The Z-Flag didn't work this time, unfortunately.
With both of its remaining carriers inoperable, the fleet withdrew to the coast of Indochina while land-based aircraft ineffectively attacked the German fleet at extreme range. Yamamoto then carefully extricated his fleet to Singapore. If the Battle of the Marianas had been a Tsushima, the Battle of the Spratley Islands had been more of a Jutland. Japan had inflicted considerably greater losses in ships, manpower and tonnage, but these were losses the Germans could afford to take. Germany had no shortage of battleships and battlecruisers, while the battle which first dramatically demonstrated the power of the aircraft carrier had also placed all of Japan's carriers out of action - at least temporarily - for no commensurate German loss. The Combined Fleet, which had also been dispatched to engage the Germans, was recalled to Nagasaki in light of the mauling two carriers were now known to be capable of inflicting on surface forces. After two months of complete supremacy, the naval balance had swung back in the other direction. There was now nothing at sea standing between the Kaiserliche Marine and the home islands.
Even the forces of peace and benevolence lose sometimes.
[Notes: Since Suez is in the Suez, it seems I can't attack it without invading Egypt. Not that I was going to, but it's a bit odd.
On the AI's naval strategy: Well, it now at least has one, which is an improvement, and with superior numbers has managed to temporarily take effective control of the seas with a secure base in China, albeit with grossly disproportionate losses. The second fleet it sent was a 30 stack consisting entirely of capital ships and no screens. I am not sure if this is meant to happen. The positioning penalties do not actually seem to be that bad, as the Germans did not seem to be rolling any worse against me than they had been with a balanced fleet at the Marianas. I put this down to my superior doctrines and admirals. In that case, it may be a good use of their numbers, but I'm not sure.
The AI also insists on stacking carriers with battleships. This has had mixed results. At the Marianas it simply resulted in them throwing a carrier away for no benefit as both the decisive battles (initial contact and the final attempted break-out) took place at gunnery ranges. At the Spratleys it helped them immensely. I actually sank a lot more ships than they did, and had a stronger carrier force at the start of the battle (3 vs 2 with a better CAG type), but most of my damage was being absorbed by gunnery ships while theirs disproportionately hit my carriers. Since they can afford to trade gunships with me at a rate of 3:1 and still win, this has certainly been to their advantage, and is what resulted in my loss of the battle.
On China: I had originally wanted to puppet the AOG to prevent an unreasonably large Qing that would ICly be feared to rise up and swamp Japan in the way the much smaller Korea, Fengtien and Transamur puppets had attempted to do. This has not been possible but something else will have to be done instead, so expect some re-organisation of China in the next update.]