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Influence Levels

Air assets

IJA

9 H-FTRs
3 LBs

IJN
12 CAGs
1 NAV
1 MB

Common
4 L-FTRs
2 HBs
1 TRAN

One new CAG was formed.

IJN Land Troops

1 SNLF Corps - 5 MAR divisions (15 brigades) - 3 in China, 2 on Hawaii
28 GAR divs - 3 new GAR divs have been transported to Wake Island and will reinforce our Pacific possessions

IJA Reserve

The IJA has only 2 GARs in reserve. Everything else has been moved to China.

Other
We lost 9 convoys and 1 convoy escort. Our subs managed to sink 2 US convoys. It seems that the American subs have returned to convoy raiding duties.

A coastal fort was constructed on Hawaii. Drop tanks upgrade of our light bombers is at 60%.
 
Chapter Four, Part Seven: Sino-Japanese War / Japanese-American War
Apr 1942 - Jun 1942

Previously in the Influence Wars...

The Imperial Navy repulsed another US naval strike, but our submarines spotted 16 light carriers in the US port. In China, the enemy pushed us back in the South and approached Gullin, the capital city of the Guangxi Clique, our only ally...

And now, the conclusion...


War in China


Southern battles






In order to stall the Chinese offensive, our troops made many local counter-attacks. The battle of Xinhua is the most representative example of the problems faced by the Japanese troops at this stage of war. It began as an attack coordinated with our Guangxi allies, but poorly trained Guangxi's militia soon left the battlefield and we were on our own. Progress was extremely slow due to harsh terrain - the Chinese infantry was entrenched in the mountains and it was very hard to dislodge them. However, the situation turned from bad to worse when the enemy brought reinforcements and the Japanese soldiers became outnumbered 1:4. The enemy's militia can be easily defeated, but due to the enemy's strategic reserve, they can always bring fresh troops into battle - something which is beyond our capabilities at the moment. The end result was that more than 3500 men were lost for nothing.


Fall of the Guangxi Clique





Despite our efforts, on 18th of April the enemy forces captured Gullin and on 19th of April the entity known as the Guangxi Clique ceased to exist. Japan was deprived of the only ally in the region. Moreover, several of Japanese divisions were trapped in a pocket and the Chinese gained access to a port.

It is ironic that not that long ago the Guangxi Clique's leadership was negotiating the post-war borders with our government. It appears that they severely overestimated their capabilities...





Fortunately, thanks to the bravery of our soldiers, we managed to rescue the trapped divisions and we even encircled two Chinese formations which we managed to destroy eventually, although not without suffering significant losses of our own first. We also managed to recapture the enemy port.





In late May, the enemy managed to encircle more than 20000 of our soldiers. Only about 1800 men gave their life for the Emperor - the rest of Japanese soldiers surrendered, which was a disgrace and a sign that the Japanese morale is not as high as it once was. As of 1st of June, the situation is the South remains uncertain, but the frontline is stable. There is no risk of imminent collapse, but nobody believes that the war will end soon anymore.

Our airforce has been very active in the recent months, but the efficiency of its actions is debatable. The Administration believes that we should focus more on direct support of the troops and less on interdiction, as the Chinese reserves are great and we will not be able to significantly delay them with aircraft alone.


Deadlock in Central and Northern China





Not much happened in Central and Northern China, but recently the enemy has started an attack on Xi'an. The Chinese are exploiting the fact that the supply situation in Central China is dire. They will be unable to make rapid advances because of harsh terrain, but it may be hard to hold every province we currently control.


Intelligence





According to our spies, the Chinese economy is much stronger than it was several months ago. Our strategic bombing campaign continues to be rather inefficient, although the enemy is not completely immune to its effects. The Administration believes that the Chinese potential will be increased even further if they reconquer more of their territory, although it is unlikely that they will be able to supply and maintain many more divisions than they currently have. It is probable that they will invest more heavily in advanced weaponry (advanced for Chinese standards).


The Imperial Administration's assessment of the logistical situation in China








The supply situation in China varies wildly from region to region. In coastal areas, where supplies can be brought relatively easy and trains, trucks and horses do not have to travel long distances in order to reach our troops, the logistical situation is relatively stable. However, deeper inland our troops suffer from periodical (sometimes even almost constant) supply shortages. Despite all the significant infrastructure developments we have made, the Administration believes that the supply network is overloaded and if the situation does not change, we will not be able to support the current number of troops we have in China. This is especially true in case of Central China, where supply shortages are critical and since most fighting is taking place in Southern China, the troops stationed in Central China often have to wait for supplies the longest. Naturally, the situation is the best in the far north, where relatively few units are stationed.


Overview of the situation in China






The Pacific Theatre





Both sides have been busy with reorganisation and not much has happened in the Pacific Theatre since the last report was published. However, the American submarines have renewed their attacks on our supply and trade lines. Various convoys both in the Central Pacific and near western Mexico have been attacked. The Navy will have to come up with an efficient way of dealing with the American submarines if we are to continue trading with North and South American nations.


Other matters


War in Europe and in Africa






The Axis forces in Sevastopol have been cut off from other units and now have to rely on the sea supply route only. In North Africa, the Axis has been more successful and the Commonwealth forces were pushed back several hundred kilometres away from Tripoli.


Japanese economy






Thanks to our trade agreements with South American nations and thanks to the efforts of the Kempeitai in China, our resource shortages have been reduced. However, the economy has been mostly stagnant during most of 1942 because of the lack of new, economically important conquests and lost territory in China. The Pacific islands are a drain on our economy, as we have to supply troops stationed on them and do not get much in return. Our merchant marine is hard-pressed and in spite of the fact that we are producing transports at a constant rate, the number of spare convoys is decreasing - our trade agreements with the nations of the Americas are contributing to this greatly.

Our planners and quartermasters finished their sketches and we are now ready to form mountain infantry divisions. Moreover, several important technological advancements have been made, including drop tanks and more modern engines for battleships and light cruisers.

List of researched techs:
Infantry Training, Cruiser Escort Doctrine, Battleship Engine, Drop Tanks, Naval Air Control Doctrine, Mountain Infantry, Light Cruiser Engine, Special Forces Training.


-------


Emperor's Speech
*You realise that you have not seen the Emperor in person for months. General Tojo has been serving as the spokesperson of the Emperor during that time. It also seems that there are more Kempeitai officers everywhere.*

Gentlemen,

We have found ourselves in a peculiar position. Our Empire stretches from China to the Hawaiian Islands, but we are more vulnerable than ever. The situation in China is most worrying. I believe that we have to face the hard facts - we are overstretched and the prospects of ending this war quickly are non-existent. We are losing men in pointless battles over places with little real strategic importance, hoping for a miracle which will not come. This has to end now.

I expect the Army to rethink our strategy in China. Given the circumstances, the conflict will not last months more, but YEARS more and the sooner the Army takes that into account in its planning, the better. If necessary, we should consider abandoning strategically unimportant territory in order to reduce the loss of life and materiel.

We underestimated our enemy once and we should do everything that is in our power in order not to make the same mistake twice. We are now fighting a total war, which will largely determine the future shape of our Nation.
 
Memorandum:

Loss of any economically significant terrain in China benifits the Chinese far more than us indeed with the fall of Gunagxi that's created a significant increase to their economic capacity, and will be a detriment to any long term operations there. We need to consider carefully a defense line in the south keeping as many economic centers under Japanese control as can be, and as shorter front as we can create along the most defensible terrain.

We should aim to stop the general offensive for the Emperor, and pursue a strategy geared at long term operational attrition. We have a much larger research and development capacity, and approximatly equal IC capacity (The Chinese may have even greater!) for the theatres now. Hence if we are to change to this strategy which will now attempt to outclass, rather than outfight the chinese, we need to go on the defensive holding the line.


Currently our Engineer special forces are comparatively up-to-date for operations in China, and it is this Admerials opinion that we should focus on their attachment to units since they give benifits to rought terrain movement and fighting.

In the long run, we shall pursue mountain divisions, but in my assetments of these troops they will take substial time to develop to be a strong fighting corps within our armed forces, and so it is no good believing them to be the wonder units of china.


Going on the defensive would be better suited if we set up theaters for the North and South of China. Hopefully reducing large scale behind the lines troop movements thus impacting the supply situation. We can also do air supply missions in the large northern salient to aid our troops here.

It is my belief that a lack of focus on medium or heavy bomber technology may be influencing our ability to signifcantly impact the ground war, there is little we can do to strongly combat this at this stage. Due to resource needs on oil possibly pushing us in the future, I might suggest that teh heavy fighter wings in production get dropped priority in order to improve infrastrcuture links.




I might suggest that in the interim as we produce engineer units we consider a push against the communists from the Beiping area since if we could knock them out it's a small prize. Indeed we may even want to consider making the communist leaders our 'puppets' if we suggest to them a future in Chinese politics once the nationalists are gone....
 
Adm. Yamamoto,

the navy might have to contribute as well. We could reduce new naval construction further, limiting ourselves to replace losses of merchants and their escorts. We also seem to have sufficient CAGs already (we have 12 but can only field 10 on all our carriers), so we should consider to stop raising more wings. This should open more industry for the army and we should think about investing in land techniques more heavily. We'll not put more research into BB and BC designs and instead of diverting these teams to naval aviation, we could as well support the army by researching doctrines or techniques which would benefit them as well.
If nothing else, the army seems to need more work gangs for their supply network, especiall for Central China. Other than that, we could rush mountaineers into production and move the remaining warships further down the production list / put them on hold. In fact, I advocate to do exactly that no matter what the army wants to build.
If the US strike at us, it'll be an all or nothing battle and what few ships could be finished until then will not be decisive.

Regarding the US submarines, I suggest to patrol the infested area with our fleets and drive them away. There is little else we can do. These patrols should ensure to be near each other so the fleets can support each other in case they run into the US surface fleet.
 
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I request for map of strategical resources (with highlighted industrial centers) and map of terrain in order to form a new strategy for our current situation in China.
 
Here is what I'd suggest to do:

Plans of the entire operation:

Army Group North:
Supply situation in northern China is stable, with a lot of defendable terrain such as forts, forests, hills and rivers. I say we keep it and let the enemy come to us.

Army Group Center:
IJA in the area should pull back to be able to be bolstered by troops from the Army Group North, this will reinforce their numbers and shorten the front, allowing us to bring in supply by rail. At this point I recommend merging northern parts of the Army group center with Army Group North. I suggest we keep the airfield east of Changsha for the best possible close air support as this'll help us defend the middle of China and can serve as the staging point for the IJAAF in further offensives deep into the mainland.

Army Group South:
Situation of Army Group South is worsened by fall of the Guangxi Clique, but their position is strong enough to allow them withstand any further counter-attack. While they are supported from three nearby ports lack of good logistic system can stave off any further offensives from being conducted on the Southern Front. I suggest to build the railroad connecting all three ports between each other and with the frontline itself. This is important as in the future our mountain divisions will relay on what we'll do now and south-western China is ideal terrain for these troops to spearhead potential offensive. I also recommend to build up two additional port and nearby railines into the already existing network (marked on the map). With time we should rotate our veterans from the Southern Front into Northern Front or anywhere else and replace them with fully prepared Mountain Divisions.
 
Gen Holy,
do you think that we should construct a rail line along the whole front? That'd take quite some time, but it'd enable us to improve the supply situation for all our units along the front and may enable us to push forward on all fronts at the same time. Improving the southern sector only will result in us being able to attack there, but it'll not enable us to defeat the Chinese.
 
To Admiral Baltasar:

It depends. If we connect two additional ports with existing rail system, if we build up these two ports (and maybe those three north of Hainan) then we can think about further interlinking rail network (for example towns of Changsha and Wuhan would make good linking points between North and South). In future linking planned rails north of Hainan with Guangzhou can also be an option. Problem is that we have to decide if we want to bring in more supplies or move them faster into the front line, supply situation in south-middle China suggests we don't have enough supply brought in, regardless of the quality of our logistic supply lines. That's why I suggest developing additional routes and increasing port's capacities first to allow us storage more resources from the Islands themsevles.
 
*BTW keep in mind how the supply system works. What looks logical on paper isn't always the best idea in-game. Some of the railways on the map would never be used, esp. the ones leading from northern and central ports in China to our main railways. Railways from Shanghai to X are the most important ones. ATM there is a bottleneck in place where the 100% infra ends and 60% infra begins - it may be wise to start from there. Also, keep in mind that even with 100% infra everywhere supply throughtput would not be infinite! In some places we may have too many troops - it may be wise to move them to other provinces. In other cases the provinces have extremely low infra (20-30%).

Besides affecting the supply throughput, infrastructure also affects ORG regeneration and reinforcement time. Keep that in mind, too.

Moreover, ports that are far from the frontline aren't that useful if there are no troops nearby, unless we have so many units that the total port capacity (all ports in the theatre combined) cannot deal with it.

Oh, and there are two techs that affect supply throughtput and transfer cost - it might be wise to prioritise them.*
 
If the US strike at us, it'll be an all or nothing battle and what few ships could be finished until then will not be decisive.

Regarding the US submarines, I suggest to patrol the infested area with our fleets and drive them away. There is little else we can do. These patrols should ensure to be near each other so the fleets can support each other in case they run into the US surface fleet.
Do the Admirals plan to create special ASW groups or use main fleets for ASW and convoy escort duties?

In a month or two the construction of several warships will be finished. The Administration believes that we should not underestimate the Americans and that our ship-building program should be continued, although maybe at a lesser scope, given the Army's needs. We cannot be certain how long this conflict will last - the US government will not be able to continue the war forever, but due to the nature of the American political system it is unlikely that the isolationists will gain significant influence before the 1944 elections. We expect that President Roosevelt will defend His decision that started the war and appeal to American patriotism. Whatever the outcome will be, the Administration believes that the Imperial Japanese Navy should be prepared for at least 2 years of naval warfare.
 
Do the Admirals plan to create special ASW groups or use main fleets for ASW and convoy escort duties?
The fleets shall be used as they are, specialised ASW groups are not required and would be easy targets for the US navy anyway. Our fleets might be surprised, but with the other fleets nearby they stand a fighting chance to repel the US.

In a month or two the construction of several warships will be finished. The Administration believes that we should not underestimate the Americans and that our ship-building program should be continued, although maybe at a lesser scope, given the Army's needs.
The reasoning behind the stopping of construction work is that we need to help the army immediately and that we will gain nothing much from finishing the ships right now. We are fully aware that we need to fight on at least several years, but we can not hope to force the US to a negotiated peace while we still are stuck in China. Moreover, we have to free the army from the burden of controlling China since we do need the armies for other operations.
 
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Given the new intelligence from the Administration it'd be the best to improve and - when needed - construct the following railroads: Shanghai-Nanchang-Changsha-Guangzhou and Nanchang-Wuhan-Changde with emphasise on Shanghai-Nanchang where the current supply bottleneck is. As the Shanghai port is now our main supply storage point this should be our main supply line. The biggest difficulty is that the Army Group Center doesn't have obvious rail connection, so I'd suggest to use Wuhan-Changde and Shanghai-Nanjing-Zhengzhou lines, the alternative for this is Qingdao-Jinan-Zengzhou line. From there all rails should lead straight into the front lines. The center of China is where lie most of our supply problems.

Plan of ports, cities and already deployed railroads:
 
*I would like to hear details about our budget, because efficient use of the resources that we have at our disposal will now be critical. How much of our IC should be devoted to infrastructure construction? 1 infra costs 1.63 IC and can be completed within 3 months. What about TDs? Should we order more of them after the current unit is finished in order to increase our practical? Oh, BTW, NONE of the newly deployed infantry divisions will have any leaders, since we don't have any left. Should we order MTNs next or keep pumping INFs? Or both? Should we stop CAG construction after the ones that are currently being produced are finished? Should we continue building H-FTRs? Do we need more GARs? MPs? Also, Rocket Tests will be finished in several days - this allows us to start the construction of Rocket Test Sites, if we want that.
 
As I wrote earlier, we should have sufficient CAGs (15 wings once all constructions are finished). Once the current runs are finished, we should discontinue their production. This will also free more Ic for the army within the year.
 
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To the Imperial Administration

The current shortage of supplies in the central front looks problematic, but the question arises is it a temporary problem due to the collapse of Guangxi or a structural problem due to the need to transport huge amounts of supplies into south china over level 2-3 provinces?
 
To the Imperial Administration

The current shortage of supplies in the central front looks problematic, but the question arises is it a temporary problem due to the collapse of Guangxi or a structural problem due to the need to transport huge amounts of supplies into south china over level 2-3 provinces?
General, what are you referring to, exactly? At the moment we are experiencing the most severe supply problems in Central China, not in Southern China. If you look closely on the map, you will see that there are many areas with poor infrastructure in Central China and in non-coastal parts of Southern China, where the logistical situation will most likely remain problematic. Moreover, there is a bottleneck in a strategic junction of the "old" Hirohito Line (10-lvl infra) and "new" Hirohito Line (6-lvl infra).
 
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