ADVISEMENT: This is a long post. I'm trying to catch up with where the game's at. As such I hope people enjoy it.
The cavalry is not needed much...
Actually cavalry are crucial for getting envelopments or just over running retreaters. It's the only thing that stops me from calling playing China "a nearly static game." However, I’m inclined to agree with you on this one considering we are discussing China which has very low TC. I actually kept my cavalry - and further - probably did the worst possible be adding AC to them. I’ve been played the 1st year of war now; and mostly did referring to the Supply Map Mode. I have discovered some very interesting things regarding China’s TC, the attempt to improve ESE with infra building from capital to outlet, and the effect of Offensive Supply which I’ll try to show later. In short, I would probably disband my cavalry but, as they are currently in forced retreat, I can’t get a handle on them!
Lets check this. If military conquest is succeeded fast it will make you gain more icd than reinforcements, repairs and supplies will cost you. This is not self weakening unless an other alternative allows to achieve early annexation. ...
and
Also the army size [of a Unified China] is not quite increased as much as you suggest. But it still is a really big gain. ...
With the above two you are almost contradicting yourself, I feel. One way you see that attacking the warlords to eliminate their armies is more IC gain than losses... so beneficial. The other way you claim eliminating the warlord armies is not self weakening compared to what the size of a total Unified Front might be. But you are astute enough to admit that a Unified Front comparatively "still is a really big gain". I don't know how you can write both sides of the equation to disagree with me. The fact is that the loss of the warlord armies includes 14 divisions of Xibei, 29 from Shanxi, and 32 from Guangxi. Yunnan I can’t see yet but guesstimate it might be 20. And Sinkiang probably doesn’t count.
N. China has 42 divisions. Compare that to about 137 divisions if all warlords are inherited. (I understand Sinkiang will not contribute anything). That amounts not to "a really big gain" but “a very huge gain” since it is a 326% increase. And the loss of that gain is far more important than anything else. Besides, with inheriting the warlords you also get the IC gain. So my point is, "The warlords must not be eliminated" because CHI simply does not have the IC (even with all provinces as national after defeating the warlords) to build an army big enough to stand against the Japanese. It needs those 95 free divisions inherited come Marco Polo.
I also think we can agree that manpower is no issue for China.
Agreed.
This only leaves dissent. Given that inheritation of warlords via event causes 5% dissent each the 4.44% per each war the warlords donnot declare themself seem rather cheap.
Firstly, there is rather little difference between getting 5% dissent to inherit a warlord; or 4.44% to attack and eliminate a warlord's army. As you can figure, the difference is exactly a minor 0.66% dissent.
The real difference is you gain - or lose - a couple dozen divisions with each DOW on the warlords you commit. Finally, if you go the inherit route, you actually get the benefit of owning those provinces much sooner than you can by concluding any war with the warlords. You should gain IC wise with inheritance after accounting for the slightly greater dissent because assimilating the warlords can occur much sooner than defeating them.
Well the 4.44% dissent for Manchukuo seem rather cheap.
Manchukuo has got nothing to do with this, I trust. She is part of Marco Polo and the war with Japan. Actually, discussing that DOW dissent, it doesn't exist if you go the normal route and let Japan DOW you, so thanks for pointing out how to save an additional 4.4%
And lets not forget that Tibet and Sinkiang might ally with Japan.
I think this is extremely unlikely unless you DOW either of them. Tibet has maximum isolationism, so she's not DOWing anybody (nor joining any war). Her only war will be if you DOW her.
Sinkiang is a different consideration as was earlier pointed out. But leave Tibet alone and Sinkiang is no risk... at least not until after Marco Polo I would think. Since a couple old Xibei divisions left in Golmud can stop anything Sinkiang AI might attempt, it is hardly more than an annoyance to send a couple more divisions way back there to take her out. Maybe that's when you will come around to appreciating cavalry, or I’ll learn just how useless CAV are in near zero deserts to surround the Sinkiang enemy.
Japan tends to use its airpower relatively well for an AI.
No AI uses airpower "relatively well". You can't use airpower well if you lack bases. As no AI ever builds bases, they all suffer from "poor concentration" with the exception of in Europe and UK where airbases reign like mushrooms. UPADATE: I’ve actually played the game far enough to answer this conclusively with screen shots and the history of the 1st year of war. You might be surprised what an accurate assessment of the Japanese air force reveals. Will try to post this later.
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The below relates to Xi'an Incident event occurring, and player choosing option 1 so the war is ended.
Breaking the peace treaty will cause belligerence… … … Also the other warlords + sinkiang might turn against you if not allied with you already. As long as CHC or one of the warlords is allied with Japan Event 91 [Marco Polo Bridge Incident] cannot trigger.
Does belligerence really matter if on a collision course with Marco Polo? War's coming with Japan regardless of any CHI belligerence. It should not be avoided by deliberately doing other Dows in the hope that CHC or any warlord allies with Japan because that would be a disaster! You might have cancelled Event 91… and just got yourself an immediate war including enemy armies at your rear.
UPDATE: Following the normal events, CHI belligerence actually is zero when Marco Polo comes.
Also the other warlords + sinkiang might turn against you if not allied with you already.
That might be true. So back to my original idea - when the war with CHC ends, that's it. Forget about getting that territory and enjoy the ability to end wasteful reinforcement to finally get your IC building something.
To cut it short: You shall not declare war on CHC before the 4 warlords are inhertited. CHC is the least rewarding goal China can achieve before the war with japan.
This sounds like one of the 10 Commandments: "Thou shall not..."
But it still waiting for the united front in mid 1937 might be an error.
Totally agree. So why don’t we follow what happened in my game after I “made promises” with the Xi’an Incident event (first choice)?
The first choice will set the united front flag. This will make any warlord be inherited once he joined your alliance. So it is rather favourable. And event 91 would make Yunnan join your alliance. Still i think forging the united front via event 90 is the best option. It will make you inherit the 4 warlords immediatly. This is payed by quite some dissent, but it also saves the 20% dissent the inheritation via Option 1 will cause later on.
I completely agree. However, the only countries that were inherited were those I already had in my alliance – my puppet Xibei and my allies Sinkiang and Guangxi Clique. Very soon after those 3 were integrated (integration occurs after annexation) the relationship with Yunnan which was at +195% went to -200%. Sinkiang did not change but was still a long ways from any hope of joining.
I found the situation totally unacceptable. Why would Yunnan change in the extreme – not with annexing the other 3 but only after integrating them? Clearly, my game was set upon an undesirable path of having to DOW and eliminate Yunnan. This I did not want, and would not accept.
Frustrated, I reloaded, again went thru Xi’an Incident which gave me a week to get the last influence buy on Yunnan and get that relationship at max before integrating anyone occurred. With a few tries (and reloads) at +200% Yunnan eventually agreed to join the alliance. Now I was very happy (although Forum will probably bury my name for this admission). :blush:
Carrying on – immediately after Yunnan joined – the relationship with Sinkiang (at about +130) did not change but the chance of inviting into the alliance went from zero to a very pretty green 76%. Of course I clicked the button… and cracked a beer to celebrate having - by hook or crook - gotten all warlords into the alliance. :rofl:
I think the lesson here is that player of CHI should not delay influence attempts so both Yunnan and Sinkiang are at maximum long before Xi’an Incident to so permit many attempts to get them into the alliance (at least Yunnan which always did have over 20% chance once relationship was high). Done early there is probably time to repair relationship after failed invitation… and try again until it succeeds. Importantly, Yunnan must join alliance before first warlord is integrated or then Yunnan’s relationship nosedives. It actually seems the best time is in the few days between the first warlord who already joined your alliance getting annexed – but before you inherit his realm (integration). With annexation all is still OK, but with the next step – integration - Yunnan suddenly becomes hostile.
So, next in my game followed “integration of the warlords”. Fortunately, they didn’t happen all at same time (as each gives 5 dissent) but came one about every week permitting some dissent reduction before another 5 dissent got added on. Also, I think I was only charged 4 integrations for 20 dissent total; and greatly appreciated the game engine possibly under-charging me because 25 dissent – as it maybe should be – is a real IC killer. Perhaps there was no charge for (correction) Singkiang as I never got that army.
Anyway, having had the remaining dissent left over from the war with CHC removed due to peace – but loaded up with a new 20 dissent due to 4 warlord integrations – I struggled to keep my upgrading at 100% while moving army stacks to higher nearby infra as it seems the job might not complete on time. There are also some useless infra projects to cancel which were inherited.
Not all the above projects in red are useless. In fact any infra is good for China, but the question is “proper balance with other IC needs.
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Using option 3 you can concentrate on TIB and SIK and later even CHC if that is what you desire. Leaving CHC till the 4 warlords and the 2 eastern parties SIK and TIB are annexed seems wise. Against CHC you need an efficient military with low dissent, high ESE and 1936 Standard. This you will not have before early to mid 1937. Also waiting till the peacy treaty expires in 1938 is quite an option.
But all of the above does not fit with CHI upgrading all the inherited divisions gotten from a possible all warlords integrated, and actually being ready for war – because that will come in June 1937 regarding that bridge dispute. There is no time to take Tibet without slowing IC priorities for war preparation with Japan. While 1938 may be an option for again attacking CHC, this is completely secondary to learning how well one’s CHI has survived against the Imperial Army come 1938. It may well be that retreating player of CHI will be eternally grateful that CHC still exists to create a major “no play area” for the advancing Hoheishidan.
To conclude post, let’s see what are the priorities which I made to prepare for Marco Polo event. Frankly, I am moving from an earlier position of great confidence having gotten the warlord armies (Sinkiang excepted as their lone division just evaporated) to a new position of extreme trepidation as I study China’s extremely poor general ESE.
Finally with all dissent eliminated, my hope has been to construct the maximum infra line from capital at Nanjing to the outlet at Shanghai because I know that will then result in good ESE being transferred to all of the coastline provinces – so greatly enhancing the unit’s abilities to defend at every place Japan might attempt to land. But I’m also very concerned about the low ESE at the Beiping front.
Numbers on the items are set for what will build before the expected war comes. The infra constructions prioritize the line to the Shanghai outlet, with next priority being improved provinces from the coast inland to Beiping and up to Kalgan.
I would do more infra if I had the IC – or accelerate some of the constructions. But I’m slightly messing up because – with better trading – my supply IC would be zero. There is confidence all units will complete upgrading in time.
QUESTION: Why I not getting the 4th research slot? I thought it came at 60 IC. This country is technologically like a sauropod.
hmy:
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I have 9 full stacks of INF. One is stationed around Hainan area, another near Hong Kong, another at the capital, and a fourth to cover the Qingdao coastal area. That leaves me 5 stacks (60 inf) and 5 CAV and a soon coming HQ to guard the front line which is 4 provinces wide. The CAV will act like a fast reserve (I was so glad have them but now am not sure thinking Pang might be right) and the HQ is for if I actually ever get to take the offensive.
Additionally, single militia are in all places to take the ORG hit for any leader changes on the stacks. Except the mountain coastline where it can be amphibed from Fuzhou to Shantou has at each beach province 3 Militia and a single INF who will soon be getting an ART brigade to hopefully remove my concern about an assault succeeding where there simply are no nearby reserves, and trying to eliminate any enemy beach head there would take much time considering its all mountains. The militia might also be useful to use for Scorched Earth if my plan falls into total disarray.
But the ESE is mostly NOT good (shown below). However, Hainan just recently went green. So I’m gonna keep building those infra constructions from capital to outlet best I can.
“While Japan and Manchukuo together seem to only have 115 divisions, that’s nearly double my frontline. And I quite know how they – with good ESE and bombers – can simply attack repeatedly until my units get -15 lack of supply… and so then fail. Bad ESE and lack of supply during combat is what I fear the most.”
Signed,
Field Marshall Chiang Kai-Shek
Nanjing
April 8th, 1937