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On the night we get results from the New Hampshire Presidential Primary (Mitt Romney won by the way), I roll out my first update of 2012. Storywise, I am fifty-three years away from present day. This update is important because it starts to move the focus of this AAR away from Sparkman - who is pretty much done now as the main character - and towards the big fight over who will replace him in 1960 and the key players involved.
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Heading to the Kitchen
In the summer of 1959:
-The British colony of Singapore was granted full internal self-governance
-Fleet Admiral William D. Leahy, who served as Chief of Staff in the Willkie and Vandenberg Administrations, died in Bethesda, Maryland at age eighty-four
-Future basketball star Magic Johnson was born in Lansing, Michigan
-Director William Wyler was putting the finishing touches on his epic film version of an 1880 Lew Wallace novel called “Ben-Hur”
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A major news story that July was the holding of free elections in Cuba. Nearly three months after the overthrow of the dictatorial Batista regime, men and women in the island nation headed to the polls to properly elect a new government. During the interim period between the overthrow and the elections, a provisional government existed led by President Manuel Urrutia Lleó. Given his background as a leading anti-Batista figure, Lleó was seen as a natural choice to take the reins from the exiled despot. Lleó’s first action as President was to announce that he would step aside peacefully if the voters deemed it necessary to elect someone else in July. The announcement was meant to reassure both his people and his American neighbor up north that the days of dodging the will of the voters were over. During his temporary tenure, Lleó took several steps to endear himself to the public as the anti-Batista leader. To give the rebels the feeling that they had a stake in the state of affairs in Cuba, the President appointed Castro as Chief of the Army and made the resistance fighters the core of a new police force assigned the task of preventing widespread looting and vandalism following the collapse of the previous government. Lleó set up a special judicial committee to screen former Batista soldiers to determine who would be suitable to join the new military and who would be expelled on the grounds of questionable loyalties. Lleó issued a decree recognizing the role women played in the revolution and mandated that they be given a greater role in the new Cuba. These steps and others, carefully designed to win widespread support, helped cement Lleó’s hold on power and made it increasingly likely that he would win a mandate in July to continue his policies.
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However, the idea of free elections ran into opposition from the new leader of the army. Despite his public declaration that “power does not interest me, and I will not take it,” power did in fact interest Castro. A socialist by heart, Fidel’s vision for Cuba was to oust supporters of democracy from government and make the country left-wing radical instead. If Cuba were to hold free elections, Castro believed it would make it harder for him to overthrow a popularly-elected government. That is why he was against the idea. However, Castro ran into a problem: the United States of America. The Cuban Revolution was successful, in part, because the CIA secretly supplied and funded Castro and his rebels. Sparkman had come out publically in favor of the revolution and had resumed diplomatic relations with Cuba after Lleó took over. The embargo had been lifted and military aid flowed into the new army. Sparkman was looking forward to free elections as a validation of his Cuban policy. To block the election now would make Castro look like the bad guy and risk everything he had worked hard for. It would make him a target if the CIA felt it necessary to intervene again…this time against rebellion. Not helping matters was the emergence of suggestions in America that he was a closet Communist. Understanding the danger posed by allowing those suggestions to flourish, Castro sought to nip them in the bud by traveling to the United States on May 22nd for a twelve-day charm offensive.
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One of Castro’s first stops was the White House. Looking scruffy before reporters, the revolutionary shook hands with the American President. Sparkman beamed with pride as he welcomed his Cuban guest to the Executive Mansion. Thanks to his decision to intervene, Cuba now had a new government – one he planned to work with. Flashing a grin, Castro handed the President a box of expensive Cuban cigars. “On behalf of the Cuban people,” he said, “I thank you for showing solidarity with our recent revolution.”
Sparkman gladly accepted the gift, pointing out that “the people of Cuba have always occupied a sympathetic place in the hearts and minds of Americans.”
The two men were all smiles while photographers and cameramen recorded their meeting for prosperity. Afterwards, they retreated into the Oval Office for a closed-door meeting. Facing each other on parallel couches that sat in the middle of the room, Sparkman and Castro talked at length about Cuban affairs. The latter emphatically denied being a Communist:
“I know what some of your people think of [the rebels]. They think we are Communists. I have to say very clearly that we are not Communists. I want that to be very clear.”
Sparkman accepted Castro’s insistence that “I don’t agree with Communism” at face value and changed the topic to the upcoming free elections. Castro told the President at point-blank that he was opposed to the elections. His rationale was that “elections in Cuba have never brought stability but only strife and corruption.”
This triggered a debate in which Sparkman said he understood the frustration that comes when “the wrong people get elected” but made the counterargument that sometimes the wrong people have to get elected in order to bring out the right people. “I believe that this election will be different,” he predicted, “Because for the first time in a long time, you people have a genuine chance for peace and freedom.”
Of course, no election could change the fact that Cuba had a rocky road ahead of her. “You have to decide where you want to go,” Sparkman said in a manner that suggested he had no intention of telling Cubans what to do – a break from the interference of the past. Castro still wasn’t convinced that elections would ultimately be in his best interest, but he made a decision internally to keep his cards close to his chest. With his American host eager to treat Cuba like an equal, Castro thought that now wouldn’t be the right time to rock the boat. The old phrase “don’t bite the hand that feeds you” must have crossed his mind, considering he quietly dropped his opposition after the meeting. It might be best to lay low and see where things go; perhaps at some point down the road a situation might develop which would allow him to seize power. Ironically, the free elections that Castro was opposed to moved him closer to power. In July, a majority of voters decided to elevate Lleó from provisional President to freely-elected President. They gave him a mandate to continue his progressive-minded policies. Mindful of the revolutionary spirit that still lingered in post-Batista Cuba, Lleó sought to placate that spirit by naming Castro to be the new Prime Minister. He hoped that doing so would allow him to put Castro on a short leash. From Castro’s point of view, becoming Prime Minster meant he would have a greater say in decision-making than he did as head of the army. Of course, Lleó and Castro were ideological opposites; how long the partnership of a liberal and a socialist would last was a question no one could answer.
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It certainly wasn’t a question the Vice President was paying attention to at the time. On the day the Cubans voted, Jackson was in Paris going through what he would call a “hellish” experience: meeting Charles de Gaulle. The meeting was part of a summertime four-nation swing through Europe that Scoop was making. Since he was planning on running for President next year, Jackson thought gaining foreign policy experience would provide him with an invaluable asset when the time came for people to start figuring out who should be the next President. Every summer since he became Vice President, Scoop had conducted a high-profile trip overseas (Latin and South America in 1957 / the Middle East in 1958). In the summer of 1959, Europe was chosen to be the next destination. The trip had started well in London, where the former Washington Senator discussed foreign policy with Prime Minister Eden at 10 Downing Street. Talking about their meeting later on, Eden said that Jackson came across as “very smart”; likewise, Jackson found Eden to be “likeable”. De Gaulle…not so much.
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Whereas the reception in England had been warm, the reception in France was cold as ice. As President and founder of the Fifth Republic constitutional government, de Gaulle thought himself superior and was therefore arrogant in dealing with his American visitor. Jackson found it difficult to have any meaningful talk with de Gaulle and instead felt like he was being talked down to “like a parent towards a child.”
What he did get was a heavy whiff of patriotic fervor known as “Gaullism”. Time and again the President stressed the idea that France was a strong and independent nation that didn’t need help from any outsiders…especially the United States. “Unlike the rest of Europe,” de Gaulle said with utter contempt for his neighbors, “France will not run to your country to seek defense against the Soviet Union. If the Soviets dare to attack this nation, we will defend our honor to the utmost.”
Jackson learned that France was in the process of becoming the fourth nation (the others being the United States, the Soviet Union, and the United Kingdom) to possess nuclear weapons. “When that day comes,” de Gaulle spoke with pride, “France will be stronger and prouder.”
After hearing de Gaulle describe France as a major power for the umpteenth time, the Vice President left the meeting in disgust. “I cannot believe we sacrificed the lives of our men [in World War Two] so this bastard could have power,” he privately fumed. Jackson even went as far as to cable Sparkman the advice not to waste his time scheduling a visit to France:
“[De Gaulle] will not care in the slightest what you have to say.”
Sitting in his Paris hotel room shortly before leaving for his next stop, Scoop was annoyed enough about his terrible reception to exclaim to his foreign policy advisor, “What the hell is his problem?”
The foreign policy advisor to the Vice President happened to be a balding fifty-year-old State Department officer from Georgia named Dean Rusk. Sitting across from his boss, Rusk patiently explained that de Gaulle’s behavior traced back to his interaction with the Americans in the early 1940s. During that time, de Gaulle regarded himself as the leader of the Free French Forces opposing Germany. The Willkie Administration, harboring deep mistrust towards the self-appointed leader, refused to recognize him as such; instead, they preferred to work with French General Henri Giraud. When Willkie and de Gaulle met at the Casablanca Conference in 1943, the tension between them was such that they were barely on speaking terms by the time the conference ended. Part of the tension stemmed from the staunch anti-colonial attitude the American President harbored – much to the displeasure of de Gaulle and British Prime Minister Winston Churchill. Without consulting the Free French, the United States unilaterally liberated Morocco from Vichy control and granted the African country its’ independence. The Americans then proceeded to recognize the independence of the former French Middle Eastern colonies of Lebanon and Syria – who broke free following the collapse of France in 1940. To top it all off, it was US forces which captured Paris in November 1943 and booted the German occupiers from French soil. All these actions deeply offended de Gaulle, resulting in an anti-American grudge that has never gone away. “He is not a forgiving man,” Rusk said after recounting American-Franco interaction in the early 1940s, “Because of what we did then, he has held that against us ever since. There is simply no love for Americans.”
Jackson was unimpressed by the egotistical rationale; when Rusk pointed out that Nazi collaborationist Vichy France had condemned de Gaulle to death in absentia for treason, the Vice President darkly joked:
“Looking back, we might have saved ourselves blood, sweat, and tears had we simply handed him over to [Vichy] in the first place.”
After posing for some photographs in front of the famed Eiffel Tower, Jackson left France in a hurry. He wouldn’t return to the country again until 1973 – three years after de Gaulle’s death.
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From France, it was on to Germany. The summer of 1959 marked the fortieth anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Versailles, a controversial peace treaty which ended World War One (1914-1918) but at the same time laid the foundation for World War Two (1939-1947). Jackson was seven-years-old when that treaty was signed; twenty years later, he was serving as a prosecuting attorney when Nazi Germany invaded Poland. Now here he was in Berlin – once the beating heart of the Third Reich – being casually shown around the city by Mayor Willy Brandt. A year older than Scoop, Brandt was a social democrat whose love for Norway endeared him to his American visitor (Jackson’s parents had both immigrated to the United States from Norway). The two men hit it off, forming a lifelong friendship. The Mayor proudly showed off the urban development which was transforming a former capital with a dark past into a modern gleaming city. The Vice President was shown several construction sites across Berlin on which new hotels, skyscrapers, and apartment buildings were rising. He was so impressed by the transformation that it would inspire him to take up the cause of urban development back home. The tour included stops at Stadtschloss (German for “Berlin City Palace”) and Charlottenburg (named after the Prussian sister of England’s King George I), two royal palaces dating back to the Seventeenth Century which were then undergoing much-needed restoration. Outside the Reichstag, Jackson represented the United States in a solemn ceremony observing the fifteenth anniversary of the July 20th Incident (a military coup d’état which assassinated Adolf Hitler and overthrew the Nazi regime) and Germany’s subsequent surrender to the Allies. Although World War Two in Europe was history by now, a stark reminder that another war was presently dominating the continent could be found ninety-two miles east of Berlin at the Oder.
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The Oder: it was here in the summer of 1944 that triumphant American and Soviet soldiers linked up after completing an epic pincer movement across Europe which began in the outskirts of Leningrad (also known as Saint Petersburg) and on the beaches of Sicily. Due to the fact that the Soviets were slowed down by stiff and fanatical German resistance in their westward drive towards the Oder, it was the Americans who reached this natural barrier first. After throwing up a platoon bridge across the river, elements of the U.S. and Red Armies met and joyously congratulated each other for vanquishing a mutual enemy. Fifteen years later, that happy moment felt like ancient history. The site of friendship between two allies now represented the hostility between two competing superpowers.
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In this modern day photograph, Jackson stood roughly where the colorful post is and stared out across the Oder River towards the eastern side. What he saw took his breath away: a series of fortifications running down the length of the river known as the Oder–Neisse Line (the latter being the river which continues from the point the Oder turns eastward, running all the way down to the Czech Republic). Since the Oder–Neisse marked not only the natural border between Germany and Poland but also the ideological border between NATO and the Warsaw Pact, the Soviets took the defense of the river very seriously. The fortifications which dotted the river bank included miles of barbed wire (ironically an American invention), concrete walls, and guard towers armed with machine guns. Standing where he was, the Vice President could see men looking down at him from a guard tower. A soldier armed with a submachine gun paced alongside the barbed wire fence, keeping an eye on the tourists across the river. Behind that soldier sat anti-tank trenches, beds of nails, minefields, and other defenses clearly aimed at hindering vehicle movement. Many trees and bushes – replanted after the Cold War as part of a reconciliation process between Germany and Poland – were cleared away to provide a deadly field of fire. The Oder–Neisse Line was erected to serve two purposes:
-To serve as a first line of defense in the event of an attack launched from Germany
-To prevent people on the Polish side from trying to escape across the river to freedom
The United States Ambassador to Germany, who was part of the entourage, informed Jackson that he had received several reported cases of people dying trying to breech the defensives. “These guards just mow them down,” he said grimly. For Scoop, seeing this visual symbol of the Iron Curtain became a sobering experience he would never forget. It also hardened his view that the Soviet Union was an oppressive “Evil Empire” which the United States had to oppose at all costs in the name of freedom. Before turning away, the Vice President asked Rusk in a mocking tone:
“We hear all the time bragging from the Kremlin that Communism is superior to Democracy. Tell me, Dean: when was the last time you saw a Democracy erect a wall to keep people in?”
Rusk replied that he never had and added that he considered it to be “a monument to Communist failure.”
Having seen the perimeter of the Communist world, these two men prepared to enter the heart of the Evil Empire for a dramatic showdown with its leader in the most surreal setting anyone could come up with: a kitchen mock-up.
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Next up: the famous Kitchen Debate gets an alternate history makeover. We are almost done with the 1950s, folks.
 
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Haha. Yes. Berlin.

Btw: Berlin will inevitably become full capital again. OTL it took all of a year of united Germany for the discussion to start and another to make the move official.
 
De Gaulle knew how to make friends. You have to grant him that :p
 
trekaddict: You are right, trekaddict. Once Germany feels safe again (after all, who wants their capital to be ninety miles from an enemy border?), Berlin will become the full capital again.

Kurt_Steiner: I think I portrayed him accurately. If I recall correctly, JFK's wife had an easier time with de Gaulle than her husband did.

pottman: I would like to do that. It's just a matter of how.
 
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trekaddict: You are right, trekaddict. Once Germany feels safe again (after all, who wants their capital to be ninety miles from an enemy border?), Berlin will become the full capital again.

It's Berlin. The location of the Polish border will be secondary.


Btw, what's the state of rearmament in the Fatherland? Did the Cold War mod fix that stupid infantry only default AI?
 
How the Mau-Mau thing go BTW? And since we are entering the era of the Congo Crisis (1960-present) you might find this article interesting; I learned a hell of a lot about why exactly the Congo has been in the state it is in (Bad) for the past fifty-odd years.


Plus this year we get:
  • Democracy in Korea
  • War in Algeria
  • Winds of Change
  • U2 Incident
  • African Independence (Can we have British Somalialand not unite with Italian Somailialand?)
  • OPEC
  • Soviet Misssle Engineers get BBQed in Kazakhstan
  • To Kill a Mockingbird

So yup, should be an interesting year for the whole world! Looking forward to your next update!

Correction: I completely forgot Eichmannn getting captured! Can we get Mengele too TTL?


Correction: I completely forgot Eichmannn getting captured! Can we get Mengele too TTL?
 
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trekaddict: A Berlin that will have a restored Stadtschloss to show off (historically it got demolished by the Communists).

Here's the state of the Fatherland's military as of October 1st, 1959:
Infantry: 80
Armored: 2
Destroyer Group: 45
Fighter: 1
Interceptor: 19

Since the Allies have control over the German military, the numbers could be explained as limiting the scope of what the country can build. Having said that, it is a lot of infantry divisions.

H.Appleby: Eden crushed the Mau-Mau Uprising. The British are still going to lose Kenya, but at least it won't be on Eden's watch. He will be retired by then.

Thanks for the link. I might do an update about Congo because of it. As for the things you listed:
  • Democracy in Korea (We will get that; what will make it different TTL is that Korea is in one piece)
  • War in Algeria (Still happened TTL)
  • Winds of Change (Not sure if it will happen; it all depends on who replaces Eden)
  • U2 Incident (Not sure if it will happen; I am not planning on having a Paris Summit TTL)
  • African Independence (Will happen more-or-less on a similar course)
  • OPEC (Not sure if it would happen, considering the British still exercise influence in the region)
  • Soviet Missle Engineers get BBQed in Kazakhstan (Something like it will happen)
  • To Kill a Mockingbird (Still happens)
  • As for Eichmann, I am going to stay away from him because what he did is a big no-no here.
 
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Just a weird question but can we get an independent Katanga? Think of the possibilities for intrigue in a state controlled by shady Belgian businessmen trafficking in Uranium, canny African warlords and psychotic mercenaries! Plus it'd allow you to come up with some unique film plots for TTL. The Katangan Candidate, The Belgian Patient, From Katanga with Love, Eight-Nostriled Love Unicorns from Pluto!*


*I have no idea what I was thinking when I wrote that last title (Maybe a new Ed Wood film?)
 
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Just a weird question but can we get an independent Katanga? Think of the possibilities for intrigue in a state controlled by shady Belgian businessmen trafficking in Uranium, canny African warlords and psychotic mercenaries! Plus it'd allow you to come up with some unique film plots for TTL. The Katangan Candidate, The Belgian Patient, From Katanga with Love, Eight-Nostriled Love Unicorns from Pluto!*


*I have no idea what I was thinking when I wrote that last title (Maybe a new Ed Wood film?)

What about a Biafra that survived the civil war
 
That'd be pretty danged sweet as well!

(Knowing Paradox; Achebe would probably be their foreign minister.)
 
H.Appleby: I am not sure, but I do love Eight-Nostriled Love Unicorns from Pluto. :rofl:

hoi2geek: I never heard of that.

H.Appleby: Where are these places?
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biafra


It was a breakaway republic from Nigeria in the 60's, it's still a hotly contested area because the Ibo (Igbo?) people of Biafra are a unique ethnic group that is not exactly popular amongst Nigeria at large.
 
This update takes a very telling snapshot of life in Communist Europe, especially at this time when the barriers to movement are becoming more rigorously enforced. The 'Wall' in TTL, just as in ours, is certainly a 'monument to Communist failure'. I imagine though that substantially more people will be able to escape into the West than proportionally what happened in Berlin, given the much greater distances involved in TTL. The international boundaries must be far harder to police than a small, densely packed city.

I like the interplay between Jackson and Rusk, who would obviously be a prime candidate for Secretary of State if Scoop wins in '60. It appears that Jackson's candidacy on the Democratic ticket is pretty much secure, I can't think of any others strong enough to challenge him save Hubert Humphrey, and he may not want to rupture the party again as he did in '48. Then again, he's older and wiser with (hopefully) more of a following, so anything's possible...
 
Andreios II: When people are desperate to escape, they can come up with ways to get past barriers. There are other borders that people can try to get over, such as the border between the neutral Czech Republic and Communist Slovakia. In this update, I looked at just one part of the border between East and West: the border between Germany and Poland. Trying to escape via Poland will be tough because even if you do get over all the defenses, you still have a river to cross. But that brings me back to what I said at the beginning...

I decided to roll out Rusk because he becomes available as a candidate for Foreign Minister in 1960. Because Rusk is classified as a Social Liberal, he would fit naturally into a Social Liberal government (meaning Democrats) should Jackson win in 1960. By now, the 1960 political field is shaping up to be Jackson (Democrat) versus Knowland (Republican). By helping patch up the G.O.P. during the 1950s and then getting elected Governor of California in 1958 (historically he lost and his political career was over), the Republicans are almost obligated to nominate him to run for President.

You're right about the lack of a strong challenger on the Democratic side. Like OTL Nixon, being Vice President means Jackson is pretty much a shoo-in (historically, Scoop never got the nomination when he sought it twice during the 1970s). He has a pretty good record: strong on national defense, anti-Communist, and is liberal on social issues. The problem he faces is the South: given all the turmoil during the last couple years, the fact that Jackson supports civil rights isn't going to sit well with them. If there is going to be a rupture in the party, it's going to be with the South. We'll probably see a Southern candidate a la OTL 1948 challenge Jackson and take states away from him. So far, no Democrat has ever won the Presidency without the Solid South. Jackson *could* win, but he will have to fight like hell.

By the way, I sent you a PM recently.
 
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Jackson-Johnson, with Johnson exerting a much stronger Senatorial hold than OTL, as he tried (and failed) to do under JFK.

Or maybe I just want more LBJ.
 
Ahhh yes I've seen your PM, and replied. Sorry for the lateness xD

1960 is certainly going to be an interesting one in electoral terms. The only way I can see Scoop holding onto the South is through Johnson, as c0d5579 says. If he can't make the Southern Democrats budge, then a break-away for the second time in twelve years could be upon the party. If that happens, then that would cause serious questions to be asked about whether the Democratic Party is better off with the South or not. A GOP victory in '60 could mark the start of the Democrat's shift towards the left, which could mean a few presidential terms in the wilderness until they get their new base sorted.
 
Actually, if you intend to preserve the Reagan era, about the only way you can manage that realistically is not to have the southern conservative wing of the Democratic Party split in the 1960s. Otherwise, there's no reason the Republicans would ever nominate an elderly actor in 1980 - they'd be a much more appealing party nationwide prior to that, more likely to find a better candidate than "anybody but Carter."
 
c0d5579: I like LBJ, too. How can you not like a President who put a soda dispenser in the Oval Office?

Historically, JFK picked LBJ to help him hold the South. With the Solid South about to collapse as a Democratic power base, I don't think having Johnson will help all that much. Even with LBJ on board, Kennedy barely carried Texas against Nixon (Eisenhower won Texas in 1952 and 1956).

Andreios II: That's okay. I know you are busy. :)

I think the only way Jackson can win in 1960 without the South is to hold onto as many states that the Democrats won in 1956 as possible. Sparkman did well out West and in the Midwest. If Scoop can hold several of the big states like California and Illinois and pickup another big state like New York or Ohio, he will be in good shape electorally-wise. The magic number here is 269. As long as he can get this many electoral votes, he can win. However, if Knowland proves to be a tough candidate (and is smarter about where he campaigns than Nixon was), then who knows what will happen. It's quite possible no one gets 269 and the election gets thrown into the House.

If Jackson wins, the biggest loser will be the South because he won without them. If Knowland wins, the South can claim victory and try to force the Democrats to not be so friendly towards blacks (which was exactly what the South tried to do historically in 1948). If the Southern candidate wins...then people will be scratching their heads forever.

c0d5579: George Bush Sr. in '80! (but I am getting way ahead of myself :rofl:).

Ah, yes. Reagan. I think he is still a Democrat in 1960.

I wonder what the South will do if Jackson should win without them. The Northern Democrats don't want them and the pro-civil rights Republicans certainly don't want them.
 
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