Eh, quite embarrassing -- I was trying the 1936 scenario rather than the Kaiserreich one...
But it's sorted now, thanks for your help!
As for Irish events and leaders, how would you feel about Michael Collins still being alive? The British having lost the Great War, I doubt they would have been in a stong enough position to support the Unionists in the North, especially not against a (presumably) German-supported South. Ireland also probably wouldn't have stayed in the Empire, and it seems to me would have declared a republic. None of this is particularly interesting, I'm sure, but it does mean Ireland could have its favourite "What If" --
Michael Collins.
If we allow for a small insurgency instead of a civil war (which, after all, was the product of both dissatisfaction with the Anglo-Irish Treaty AND a rivalry between different factions in the Republic movement), we might see de Valera fleeing abroad or executed (if, say, the insurgents resorted to plain ol' terrorism and lost any support from the public) and Collins establishing himself firmly as leader in the way Dev did in our time.
Collins also led the Irish army -- might a Generalissimo be in the making in the face of Syndicalism? Just my thoughts.