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sbr

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And when I'm revealed to be a villager, does that mean you're definitely a wolf?

What part of I am not a wolf are you having trouble comprehending. Whether you are a wolf or not has absolutely nothing do do with me. I just can't wait until the entire village gets to laugh in your face once I am cleared.
 

sbr

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So Xarkan made a colored vote count for the first 2 days of voting. Why would a wolf do that? Most likely because there is either nothing there to incriminate the wolves, or because the wolves voted each other and he thought this owuld clear them

http://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum/showthread.php?p=10877175#post10877175

Ususally someone else posts one of these by now:

Day 1
syber_sid (5) - Teep (58), jonti-h (77), walrus (118), Cymsdale (119), Xarkan (120)
walrus (3) - Lemeard (62), THE_SPLIT (73), sbr (78)
Yakman (2) - Jester180 (64), the_hdk (66)
Nautilu (2) - Syber_sid (72), marty99 (75)
THE_SPLIT V.1 (1) - Tornadoli (74)
Cymsdale (2) - Nautilu (95), AOK.11 (96), Yakman (121)

Day 2
THE_SPLIT V.2(1) - Yakman (124)
Yakman (3) - jonti-h (144), Jester180 (177), Cymsdale (216)
Nautilu (1) - Xarkan (221)
Jester180 (1) - the_hdk (202)
the_hdk (7) - Tornadoli (201), THE_SPLIT V.2(203), walrus (212), Nautilu (214), AOK. 11 (215), marty99 (218), sbr (220)

(Sorry, didn't have time for post #s after this)

Day 1
1. Tornadoli: THE_SPLIT
2. jonti-h: Syber_Sid
3. the_hdk: Yakman
4. Cymsdale: Lemeard, walrus, Syber_sid
5. Xarkan: Jonti-h, walrus, Syber_sid
6. marty99: Nautilu
7. walrus: AOK.11, Syber_sid, Nautilu, Cymsdale, Syber_sid
8. THE_SPLIT: walrus
9. sbr: walrus
10. Nautilu: Jester180, Cymsdale
12. AOK.11: Teep, Nautilu, Cymsdale
13. Teep: Syber_Sid
14. Yakman: THE_SPLIT, Cymsdale
15. syber_sid: Nautilu
16. Jester180: Yakman
17. Lem/Split2: Walrus

Day 2
1. Tornadoli: THE_SPLIT, the_hdk
2. jonti-h: Yakman
3. the_hdk: Lemeard, Jester180
4. Cymsdale: AOK.11, Tornadoli, Yakman, Sbr, Yakman
5. Xarkan: Tornadoli, Nautilu
6. marty99: Yakman, Nautilu, the_hdk
7. walrus: Yakman, the_hdk
9. sbr: the_hdk, Tornadoli, Nautilu, the_hdk
10. Nautilu: Yakman, the_hdk
12. AOK.11: Tornadoli, Jester180, Nautilu, the_hdk
13. Teep No Vote
14. Yakman: Lemeard
16. Jester180: Yakman
17. THE_SPLIT: Tornadoli, the_hdk

Day 3 (So far)
1. Tornadoli :
2. jonti-h: walrus
4. Cymsdale: AOK.11
5. Xarkan: AOK.11
6. marty99: Xarkan
7. walrus: AOK.11, marty99
9. sbr: Marty99
10. Nautilu: Xarkan
12. AOK.11:
14. Yakman: AOK.11
16. Jester180:
17. THE_SPLIT v. 2.0:

Analyze away, I'll post my analysis after lunch. Let me know if I missed anything.

Obviously Xarkan himself was a Sid voter; is that the only thing Xarkan was trying to show or is there something else? Anyone have any thoughts on this?

EDIT: And Xarkan's analysis
 

Cymsdale

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What part of I am not a wolf are you having trouble comprehending. Whether you are a wolf or not has absolutely nothing do do with me. I just can't wait until the entire village gets to laugh in your face once I am cleared.

The village isn't voting you because I told them to, they are voting you because you are suspicious. Your self-vote did nothing to help your cause.

I sincerely hope you are a wolf, not for my personal benefit, but because of how damaging you are being to the village as a whole if you are not one.
 

Cymsdale

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is that the only thing Xarkan was trying to show or is there something else? Anyone have any thoughts on this?

I think you're reading too much into it. Xarkan was just trying to save hit butt from getting lynched by appearing to be an analyzing villager.

It didn't work.
 

sbr

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And Xarkan's analysis

Alright, so some thoughts. I'm not sure if I want to vote based purely on votes (since it is only day 3, it is hard to extrapolate much info), or if I want to vote on activity, or just vote with my gut. I'll just kind of spew my thoughts out in a post and see if something comes out of it.

Lets see what I can extrapolate for each person...

1. Tornadoli : Been pretty quiet so far, had some inconsequential votes, might be a quiet wolf.

2. jonti-h: One thing that kind of sticks out to me is jonti-h voting for Syber_sid early on day 1. Granted, it is day one, so not much can be read from this, but what if he was a wolf that voted for a packmate, and got 'stuck' on him. He's also had only one-and-done votes so far.

4. Cymsdale: Part of the first wolf lynching, but voted for him because he said he would follow walrus, so he kind of got 'stuck' voting for him, so I don't consider him "cleared".

5. Xarkan: I suppose I can't sugar coat my own analysis, so I'll be honest... Part of the first wolf lynching, but vote only broke the tie, didn't change the fact that Syber was being lynched, so not cleared. Had a supposed questionable vote near deadline on second day, but in my own defense, it WAS just a slow vote.

6. marty99: Kind of quiet so far, subbed in for an inactive euro, don't really have much on him yet. Might want to run him up for some info.

7. walrus: Pretty much the first to start the Syber bandwagon, he's kind of clear in my mind, unless someone has a reason why not.

9. sbr: Votes don't really stick out to me except that he voted for the 'assumed' cleared walrus. Being the first day, that could be a fair vote from a villager however.

10. Nautilu: Was kind of the swing vote to lynching the_hdk, other than that, not much info.

12. AOK.11: Crazy voting tactics, hard to analyze. Might just be a crazy villager, or a wolf trying to hinder other people's analysis.

14. Yakman: Got run up once, but lucked out due to the hdk debacle. Might be worth running him up again.

16. Jester180: Very quiet, one-and-done votes. Quiet wolf, or inactive villager? Might be worth running up.

17. THE_SPLIT v. 2.0: Subbed for Lemeard, pretty quiet, had a part in lynching hdk.

So based on that limited analysis, I will:

Vote Tornadoli

to start a run up of a new candidate that has been kind of quiet. See if we can extract any more information. I better get back to work. :p

.
 

sbr

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I think you're reading too much into it. Xarkan was just trying to save hit butt from getting lynched by appearing to be an analyzing villager.

It didn't work.

Almost everyone in this game does things for a reason, especially wolves. The fact that a wolf made that post means something, you all just need to figure out what.
 

marty99

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The village isn't voting you because I told them to, they are voting you because you are suspicious. Your self-vote did nothing to help your cause.

I sincerely hope you are a wolf, not for my personal benefit, but because of how damaging you are being to the village as a whole if you are not one.
They are voting him because I told them to:cool:
 

marty99

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Almost everyone in this game does things for a reason, especially wolves. The fact that a wolf made that post means something, you all just need to figure out what.
I don't think Xarkan would read too much into whether a vote-count would incriminate his packmates, anyway he was in danger, and someone else was likely to make a vote-count, the fact he posted that isn't hugely important IMHO, but his analysis is, we should look at that
 

sbr

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My top three candidate are the old reliables:

Torn, Nautilu and Jester.

Both Torn and Nautilu have been close to being lynched but were given a reprieve close to the deadline. There is nothing out there that lets me make a point-by-point case against them, so take it for what you will.

Also note that today I have not thrown any lies or deception around to save myself; everything I have brought up today was to help the village after it is porven that I am good.

Unvote sbr
Vote Tornadali


I will see you all after the deadline.
 

Cymsdale

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Almost everyone in this game does things for a reason, especially wolves. The fact that a wolf made that post means something, you all just need to figure out what.

Sigh, I actually wrote an analysis on his analysis, and accidently nuked it. I got a meeting to run to now, the end result was walrus should be dropped and SPLIT and Nautilu added to the suspect list beside sbr.

When I get back I'll post my reasoning why.
 

marty99

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Okay, I feel pretty sure Sbr is not a wolf now, unless anyone else has a credible reason, I say lets run up Yakman and Tornadoli
I won't be here for the deadline, I ask the village to trust in my judgement
Remember this, we will not lost a day of parity by having a TIE today, I would like to see a tie between those two
 

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Sigh, I actually wrote an analysis on his analysis, and accidently nuked it. I got a meeting to run to now, the end result was walrus should be dropped and SPLIT and Nautilu added to the suspect list beside sbr.

When I get back I'll post my reasoning why.

Dude... you really have it out for me don't you? I mean it is almost 4 games in a row that you are attacking me.... why:confused:

Also two quick things. I do not think I am clear by no means, but as marty99 mentioned I am not a good suspect at this point. Remember who broke Nautilus tie yesterday.... On the other hand I find it very difficult to believe that Nau would tie a villager to his packmate... that usually brings rather nasty discussions out and even nastier results.
 

jonti-h

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Where the f**k is this JL?

What an excellent question.

My top three candidate are the old reliables:

Torn, Nautilu and Jester.

Both Torn and Nautilu have been close to being lynched but were given a reprieve close to the deadline. There is nothing out there that lets me make a point-by-point case against them, so take it for what you will.

Also note that today I have not thrown any lies or deception around to save myself; everything I have brought up today was to help the village after it is porven that I am good.

Unvote sbr
Vote Tornadali
What about Yakman? He seems odd.
And yesh, those guys make good suspects. And I would have expected more bullsh from you if you were evil, But I could be wrong.



Sigh, I actually wrote an analysis on his analysis, and accidently nuked it. I got a meeting to run to now, the end result was walrus should be dropped and SPLIT and Nautilu added to the suspect list beside sbr.

When I get back I'll post my reasoning why.

SPLIT might be a good lynch, he does seem somewhat more quiet than he usually is. Nautilu should never have been dropped from the suspect list IMO
 

Raczynski

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Yakman (3) - marty99 (361), jonti-h (378), Cymsdale (399)
sbr (3) - walrus (362), Nautilu (380), Tornadoli (392)
Nautilu (1) - Yakman (383)
Tornadoli (1) - sbr (413)

~ 2h 20 minutes left


 

jonti-h

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Unvote Yakman Vote Nautilu.

I wanna see where this leads.