WW Lite CLXXV: The Battle of the Ebro

[randakar]

Vote Yakman


I want to investigate the bandwagon on JDMS yesterday, and he's a good candidate.


Unofficial votecount
Approximately 21 hours and 8 minutes until deadline


Calamity (3) - Yakman, snoopdogg, deadmeat1471
deadmeat1471 (1) - Tornadoli
jacob-lundgren (1) - johho888
Yakman (1) - randakar



Not Voted (8) - Lots

 

[deadmeat1471]

It's quite simple really. The more people we lynch, the more likely we are to catch a wolf. That is very simple probability. If it is a good strategy is debatable because we will also lynch many villagers in the process; but if we lynch 2 people, we are more likely to catch a wolf than if we lynch 1 person.

A good point in principle, one against attrition. However i was hoping we would spot a wolf this turn and therefore would have gained something at the lesser cost of 1 villager than 2.

I respect your strategy though, Its a fair one.

 

[Yakman]

Vote Yakman


I want to investigate the bandwagon on JDMS yesterday, and he's a good candidate.


Unofficial votecount
Approximately 21 hours and 8 minutes until deadline


Calamity (3) - Yakman, snoopdogg, deadmeat1471
deadmeat1471 (1) - Tornadoli
jacob-lundgren (1) - johho888
Yakman (1) - randakar



Not Voted (8) - Lots

which is why you voted me yesterday???

i'm not a wolf. running me up does the village no good.

 

[Tornadoli]

A good point in principle, one against attrition. However i was hoping we would spot a wolf this turn and therefore would have gained something at the lesser cost of 1 villager than 2.

I respect your strategy though, Its a fair one.

Exactly, that's why a TIE early in the game is useful in fact. The chance of catching a wolf is higher, therefore it's better to make TIES early in the game, as then we have more information to analyse later on.

 

[jacob-Lundgren]

Since I missed most of today's action I will continue following randakar's theory about the early posters (after role distribution).

vote jacob-Lundgren

I am gming the big game, of course I am active and online as much as possible you twit


vote deadmeat. He helped save my first suspect jonti I believe and voted calamity too fast.

 

[Yakman]

no. it means the record is scantier.

 

[johho888]

I am gming the big game, of course I am active and online as much as possible you twit

Exactly, so you immediately saw your role PM and went and posted in this thread too. I see no flaws in my (or rather randakr's) argument.

vote deadmeat. He helped save my first suspect jonti I believe and voted calamity too fast.

So you are the second one to think jonti is the number 1 suspect and then to vote deadbeat.

I too am a bit wary about the votes piled on the Vorlon that quickly so maybe you are on to something here after all. Hm. Will sleep on this.

 

[jacob-Lundgren]

lol johho think this over. I could have no role, aka not in the game, and probably still would have posted before 75% of the people in the game.

 

[snoopdogg]

(I half expected snoop to go "Everybody vote .. " somebody 45 minutes before the deadline ;-) )

I almost did, but I like to stay unpredictable. Besides, based on the big game, some people seem to not like me taking over the village.

Best thing to do now is run up some new people. I suggest Rysz the obvious wolf.

Unvote calamity. vote rysz.

 

[Rysz]

I almost did, but I like to stay unpredictable. Besides, based on the big game, some people seem to not like me taking over the village.

Best thing to do now is run up some new people. I suggest Rysz the obvious wolf.

Unvote calamity. vote rysz.

*chew chew*.. Tastes good, dogg-flesh.

Oh noes! Does that make me a cannibal?

 

[Eternaly_Lost]

Well, note sure how to take this, so I will just Vote deadmeat1471 To cause a TIE.

 

[snoopdogg]

*chew chew*.. Tastes good, dogg-flesh.

Oh noes! Does that make me a cannibal?

No, because I am not a wolf.

 

[deadmeat1471]

Exactly, that's why a TIE early in the game is useful in fact. The chance of catching a wolf is higher, therefore it's better to make TIES early in the game, as then we have more information to analyse later on.

The CHANCE is not higher. It is merely a strategy to fight against the attrition of loosing a villager each turn, consistently. Its an aggressive move, i used the cautious one, maybe incorrectly.

 

[jacob-Lundgren]

No, because I am not a wolf.

Everyone like me and snoop here who is also not a wolf raise your hand.

 

[Calamity]

Everyone like me and snoop here who is also not a wolf raise your hand.

We are not sure that Vorlons have hands... But we are not a wolf...

People who try to kill Vorlons however must be agents of the Shadows...

VOTE Deadmeat1471

 

[deadmeat1471]

We are not sure that Vorlons have hands... But we are not a wolf...

People who try to kill Vorlons however must be agents of the Shadows...

VOTE Deadmeat1471

Everytime ive stated a logical position in WW ive been branded as a wolf. Just my luck :rofl:

Oh well, i spose killing an innocent is infact bad for the villagers, so ill kill in death.

*unless the voters are wolves, then the baddies win :rofl:

 

[JDMS]

Not cool, guys.

 

[snoopdogg]

Exactly, that's why a TIE early in the game is useful in fact. The chance of catching a wolf is higher, therefore it's better to make TIES early in the game, as then we have more information to analyse later on.

Making ties early is good. Keeping them at the deadline is bad.

 

[trespoe]

Making ties early is good. Keeping them at the deadline is bad.

May I have this in writing for future games when you do a.... ahem.... tie?

 

[randakar]

which is why you voted me yesterday???

Yes.

i'm not a wolf. running me up does the village no good.

Well, there were other people voting JDMS at the deadline. With little to go on so far I think that running up the people voting a known villager are our best chance right now.