I understood this a self-preservation vote. But change your vote to a more reasonable candidate and I'll join you. Otherwise I may be forced to vote you.
It seems obvious all analysis must currently be focused on the yellows:
Day 1, few hours to go:
Adamus 2 - Tamius (123), Yakman (141)
The_Split 2 - Xarkan (128), EL (137)
Kiwi 2 - hdk (131), Citizen (134)
The_Hdk 2 - Lord Dalek (136), Reis (140)
Enkhuush 2 - Telesien (132), Cliges (155)
Reis 1 - Adamus (122)
Tamius 1 - AVN (124)
Falc 1 - The_Split (127)
Cody 1 - Kiwi (129)
EL 1 - Cody (138)
Nautilu 1 - Enkhuush (139)
Citizen 1 - esemesas (144)
Esemesas 1 - Gigau (135,145)
Gigau 1 - Falc (148)
This a crucial stage. Not one but two yellows are joint tied. Next to vote is AVN:
Could be done with good intentions of course, but given the circumstances this is a vote that sticks out.
Then comes johho, who votes Falc into two votes. He could have put more daylight between the yellows and the lead by voting someone who already had two, or the-split with 3, but instead he adds another to the tie, and the wolves are still in danger.
Then slinky votes enkhuush back into the joint lead with the-split.
Now, the most crucial vote of the first day coming up:
Register of Votes - App. 1 hour to Deadline:
The_Split 3 - Xarkan (128), EL (137), AVN (124,156)
Enkhuush 3 - Telesien (132), Cliges (155), Slinky (158)
Adamus 2 - Tamius (123), Yakman (141)
Kiwi 2 - hdk (131), Citizen (134)
The_Hdk 2 - Lord Dalek (136), Reis (140)
Falc 2 - The_Split (127), Johho (157)
Reis 1 - Adamus (122)
Cody 1 - Kiwi (129)
EL 1 - Cody (138)
Nautilu 1 - Enkhuush (139)
Citizen 1 - esemesas (144)
Esemesas 1 - Gigau (135,145)
Gigau 1 - Falc (148)
He gave a reason, but again this is not a vote that should be overlooked, considering there was a possibility two yellows could still go down at once.
Overall Cliges and Slinky come off pretty good. Could have sold out their packmate but definitely contributed to almost killing enkhuush. AVN and telesien look suspect.
Day 2
Gigau and Cymsdale provide important votes for enkhuush, who gets lynched. Cliges once again smells like roses.
Interesting point here:
Enkhuush 4 - Nautilu (163), Gigau (174), Lord Dalek (176), Cymsdale mk. 2 (193,195)
Johho 2 - Kiwi (169), the_hdk (177)
Adamus 2 - Reis (171), Johho (178)
Telesien 1 - Adamus (164)
AVN 1 - Tamius (167)
Slinky 1 - Telesíen (168)
Hdk 1- EL (179)
EL 1 - Cliges (196)
Followed up with two quick votes on johho by Xarkan and Falc, to bring him into a tie with enkhuush. the-hdk mains an early anti-tie vote and puts enkhuush back in the lead.
Once again, AVN makes significant vote, that's either unfortunate for him or another blatant save.
Brings johho back within reach.
After Cliges changes to enkhuush, Slinky votes for johho. Enkhuush is once again ahead by one vote.
Telesien then changes to enkhuush. A redundant vote in the end, as enkhuush was already ahead. Reeks of trying to gain credibility, but telesien has got himself so involved with enkhuush - voting him, then switching to save him the first day, then changing to him at the end of the 2nd - that I find it hard to believe they're packmates. I don't think he would play that poorly if he knew enkhuush was a wolf. On the other hand, events can get out of control and he might have felt forced into these decisions. Hard to tell.
Xarkan and Falc suspect. Again AVN makes a very incriminating vote. Slinky votes against enkhuush, but given his earlier vote on him I don't find it significant. Again telesien looks suspicious, but almost too much so.
Day 3
Begins with three consecutive votes on AVN, by Cymsdale, Lord Dalek and telesien. One vote on Slinky by Falc follows. Then johho makes a piece of analysis that dominates the day and gets reis91 bandwagoned, who turns out not to be enkhuush's packmate as hoped, (but is a red wolf). Therefore the perfect cover for yellow wolves to use. After the-hdk follows, Capt. Kiwi makes a very peculiar vote:
A very, very confused post. Brings reis level on votes with AVN, and the bandwagon gathers momentum hence. Xarkan makes a throwaway on telesien. Then Comm Cody puts reis91 ahead of AVN.
AVN votes for reis. This itself is understandable, however his reasoning is a bit strange IMHO
While he is a wolf, having a brutal trait doesn't indicate anything. We had already seen a villager brutal in thesplit. And while a bit vengeful, as a villager brutalising someone who voted you isn't uncommon at all. And reis was not a yellow wolf, as he was accused of being.
Cymsdale alluded to this at the time:
"In Reis's defense, if the village was lynching me, I wouldn't care if I was hurting them or not. You don't win if you are dead, so allegiance goes out the window."
Adamus then changes to reis, for reasons I'm afraid I can't explain. However one thing is certain is that reis was already going to die by this point, it was 6-3 before Adamus' vote. The vote is irrelevant, could be trying to gain cred by selling out a red, but I'm focusing on the yellows here.
Day four:
Nothing much of interest happens. No yellows in the lynch, and the runner-up we already know was a red wolf.
Day 5:
EL is lynched, started by the-hdk and johho. Again AVN is caught on the wrong side and votes against the EL bandwagon. He votes for Xarkan.
Falc follows him. He has the opportunity to vote two people already with 2 votes, but instead makes it a three-way tie. His next post is so blatantly wolfish it feels like a double-bluff, and that he's joking off his suspicious vote.
In fairness, Xarkan was decent target. And I can fully understand how a villager would have voted that way.
The votes on EL turn into a massive bandwagon.
gigau gives a small reason, than telesien, Cliges, Xarkan and Comm Cody all vote for EL purely because everyone else is. Comm Cody's vote just plain baffles me.
Summary:
Two players that stand out are Falc and AVN. AVN in particular has just about the most wolfish voting record possible. Therefore I must vote him unless I need to save myself. AVN, your behaviour hasn't really seemed wolfish and it's possible you were just unlucky, but I always try not to trust my gut instinct and go with what the pure data tells me, and so I just have to vote you.
Vote AVN
