Originally posted by Derek Pullem
I suspect that Communists in China will continue for a while yet until there is a real mismatch between the average standard of living in say, China and Vietnam and the internet and easier travel / contacts with the ROTW make it obvious.
The critical mismatch is the one within China, the emerging urban popuation and the poor and getting poorer rural one. Much of the rural poor is male (due to female infanticide and abortion), and is unlikely to get jobs, land or wives. Some of that can be used by the local popwer structures, but I'm afraid that much of the country is a potential time-bomb. The two nations with the most to be frightened of should be taiwan and Russia. Taiwan since it is the best country for the PRCs leaders to use as an enemy if they need an Argentine-style patriotic war (and see where those usually end up), and Russia as China is already occupying vaste part of Russia's empty east, and Chinese labourers are already showing up at farms around the heartland (Saratov oblast).