Which coalitions are the most common?

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kviiri

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So the real WWII was pretty much everyone vs the Axis. This might not be the case in HoI 4, which I'm very glad of. Especially with historical AI focuses turned off there are lots of cool ahistorical paths available in the focus trees.

Now, suppose I let the AI play with historical focuses off. What scenarios I will be seeing the most of, in addition to the historical one? Ones that interest me in particular are
  • "Red Alert" - USSR expands early, causing the Allies and Axis to join forces against it. Basically "everyone VS Comintern"
  • "Crusade against Communism" - Axis vs Comintern, with major democracies joining either side possibly against each other
  • Moscow-Berlin - Germany and USSR allied against pretty much everyone else