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sbr

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There can't be 3 packs since we've seen 2 turned Imperial wolves.
The no-kills were nigh 3, 5 and 7.
A 3-pack hunting pattern is (normally) like this
pack 1 hunts: 1, 4, 7
pack 2 hunts: 2, 5, 8
pack 3 hunts: 3, 6, 9
in which case the no-kills would happen 1 for each pack.
QED?

Thanks, I knew it was out there I just could put it together last night. :eek:o

Pack setup. As a GM I normally have 1/3 baddies in a 2 pack setup. That would mean 13 baddies here 6 / pack + 1 sorc. The 6 baddies in each pack could be 3 wolves + 3 cultists or 4 wolves + 2 cultists. Since we've seen so few cultists I would guess the 4+2 is more likely. That would mean there is 1-2 Imperial and 1 Mercenary wolf still out there + 3 cultist + 1 sorc + 0+ sorc apprentices.

The problem is we have a pretty new, first time GM here; I think 4 starting wolves is most likely though.
 

OrangeYoshi

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What was that earlier theory?
That you were affiliated with the Imperial pack, and you knew that Capi was turned. That was why you added the "Goodie" part to you "contact the hunter" post. I later realised going after you would've done no good becuase a sorc wouldn't have been in contact with the pack yet, and I don't really know if there is another Imp cultist.

However, it all becomes clear if you are a wolf in the Imperial pack.
 

EUROO7

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That you were affiliated with the Imperial pack, and you knew that Capi was turned. That was why you added the "Goodie" part to you "contact the hunter" post. I later realised going after you would've done no good becuase a sorc wouldn't have been in contact with the pack yet, and I don't really know if there is another Imp cultist.

However, it all becomes clear if you are a wolf in the Imperial pack.
So you base your theory on only one part of johho's theories, and completely ignore what he has said about Capibara?

Also, if you are sure Capibara was turned, why not go after him?
 

sbr

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On one hand i don't like the quick run on votes that jonti got, but on the other hand that happened to Lly, a wolf, yesterday.

This is a very hard game to figure out; the village has been pretty successful, but mostly because of luck, there hasn't been much actual thought and discussion involved, and with the large number of non-voters out there, there isn't much reason for a wolf to stay anywhere but the background. On the other hand, based on nothing more than a hunch, I am sure one of the remaining wolves is relatively active.

Vote Paendrag

he is more background than active, but not by much.
 

sbr

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Kriszo isn't that new. He has a post in the general WW thread from back in January IIRC.

From my quick research he has played in 4 non-Lite games, one of those he subbed into. I am not trying to "dis" him in any way, but that might not be enough to know know to properly balance a 40 player game, especially since he never played in one that big.
 

OrangeYoshi

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From my quick research he has played in 4 non-Lite games, one of those he subbed into. I am not trying to "dis" him in any way, but that might not be enough to know know to properly balance a 40 player game, especially since he never played in one that big.
You've done more research than me about it, so I guess your right.

And the only way to learn how to balance a game properly is to just GM that type of game.
 

sbr

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You've done more research than me about it, so I guess your right.

And the only way to learn how to balance a game properly is to just GM that type of game.

Correct, but that doesn't mean the first effort will be balanced.
 

EUROO7

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Unvote Polar
Vote Orangeyoshi


He's acting like he doesn't know any better. He does.
 

OrangeYoshi

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Unvote EURO - Vote OrangeYoshi

I don't know who the heck to vote for. I still think EURO is a wolf, but I also think Capi is a wolf. Maybe Polar or Jonti are a wolf? Maybe even Slinky? Maybe the GM?

Can I do...Unvote OrangeYoshi - Vote EURO and Capi? They both need hanged.

I think this may be a record for most vote changes in a single day.
 

EUROO7

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Unvote EURO - Vote OrangeYoshi

I don't know who the heck to vote for. I still think EURO is a wolf, but I also think Capi is a wolf. Maybe Polar or Jonti are a wolf? Maybe even Slinky? Maybe the GM?

Can I do...Unvote OrangeYoshi - Vote EURO and Capi? They both need hanged.

I think this may be a record for most vote changes in a single day.

Really? They both need hanged?

Even if we lynch one of them and he is a goodie?

Let's all remember to think things thoroughly people...
 

Paendrag

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You're all voting me becuase I did not join in on a bandwagon??
I still see it that two people in the runnings gives more to analyse and therefore I choose Slinky who had been up before.. Giving us more to analyse.
If that's not practial thinking I don't know what is..

Based on you guys argumenting, you could think I had been vote sniping Slinky a minute to deadline when in fact there was plenty of non-voters and much time left.. What you guys should be thinking about is how many seems to swallow this argument of Slinky with ease..
 

OrangeYoshi

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Really? They both need hanged?

Even if we lynch one of them and he is a goodie?

Let's all remember to think things thoroughly people...
Well no. If one of them is a goodie, then the other one is more likely to be a goodie. But I don't think they are both goodies.

Unvote OrangeYoshi My last valid vote Vote Peandrag

EUROO7 isn't reacting the same as he has in past games where he has been a baddie. I still don't know about Capi, but Capi should be auto-lynched today anyway, I think.
 

OrangeYoshi

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You're all voting me becuase I did not join in on a bandwagon??
I still see it that two people in the runnings gives more to analyse and therefore I choose Slinky who had been up before.. Giving us more to analyse.
If that's not practial thinking I don't know what is..

Based on you guys argumenting, you could think I had been vote sniping Slinky a minute to deadline when in fact there was plenty of non-voters and much time left.. What you guys should be thinking about is how many seems to swallow this argument of Slinky with ease..
Oh heck, he has a ring of sense in that post. Slinky has been a likely goodie. That means the wolves are more likely to go after him. If he was cursed, that means he is more likely to be the last turned wolf. My head hurts.
 

EUROO7

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Unvote OrangeYoshi

I think we should lynch someone who is not even being voted on today.

Let's scrap all the names in the votecount and come up with a new candidate.