Werewolf Lite CXVI: The Hunt For the Red October

[Jingles]

Upon a closer read of the thread, I think that Nautilu definitely jumped too fast on LS and pushed him to 2 votes on the first day. A villager would not do this, considering what point in the game we were at.

Unvote humancalculator, Vote Nautilu

 

[dublish]

Well duhh.


I think now is the time to liven up the discussion a bit. I find it dissappointing (and suspicious) that nobody even mentions dublish as a possible suspect. He is my number one suspect. He was the second person who brought someone to two votes, while we know that at least one wolf already had a vote.

Unvote Nautilu
Vote dublish

Yes, that does sound suspicious, especially for the first day when it is all basically random. Although he might not have known it was a tie at the time, though I do find that unlikely.

I what now? Is this about my vote for punkbob?

I think I'm not the only one who's been taking more than his share of the vodka ration.

Vote Jingles for daring to defend me rationally (if tangentially).

 

[k-59]

Vote count 40mins to deadline. Based on jamie's last count.
Rysz [1] - Euro [156]
Wik [1] - Rysz [149]
Wd [2] - Split [157] Hc [155]
Nau [3] - Jamie [164] k-59 [173] Wik[175]
Jamie [2] - Wd [161] Capi [174]
Dublish [1] Sli[170]
humancalculator [1] Jing[171]
None [3] - Punk Dub Nau

 

[Slinky]

Too quiet, I have one less post than you do! I am also not sure why you guys are trying to make it seem like I jumped on the "bandwagon", i am also rather perplxed where the more experienced players were when they saw a tie, Euro, Slinky, WD, Dublish? Surely you had to know that a tie this early on was a bad, and if you guys did not know that VLn was evil and LS was good why did no one steped up and said something?

You raise a valid point. I have to say that I knew there was a tie when I voted, but after I voted I went to analyse the big game and I lost track of time. I didn't expect to have to break a tie and I only realised the deadline was up two minutes past deadline. I checked and sure enough there was still a tie, but there was nothing I could do at that point. It's also worthy of notice that there were also a few people who voted after me who did nothing.

 

[jonti-h]

The Voting, closed it is.

 

[Slinky]

Vote count 40mins to deadline. Based on jamie's last count.
Rysz [1] - Euro [156]
Wik [1] - Rysz [149]
Wd [2] - Split [157] Hc [155]
Nau [3] - Jamie [164] k-59 [173] Wik[175]
Jamie [2] - Wd [161] Capi [174]
Dublish [1] Sli[170]
humancalculator [1] Jing[171]
None [3] - Punk Dub Nau

This votecount is quite wrong, but with the tendency of people to vote in the middle of a block of text, you can't be blamed, but the people making those hidden votes are at fault.

 

[AVN]

This votecount is quite wrong, but with the tendency of people to vote in the middle of a block of text, you can't be blamed, but the people making those hidden votes are at fault.

Slinky seems angry. This ghost is scared now.

 

[jonti-h]

This votecount is quite wrong, but with the tendency of people to vote in the middle of a block of text, you can't be blamed, but the people making those hidden votes are at fault.

It is causing me quite some trouble. White Daimon's vote in particular is very hard to see. If you insist on voting in the middle of a block of text, at least make it a bigger size.

The GM accepts no responsibility for missing votes not easily visible.

Nautilu 4 - Jamie550 #164 k-59 #173 Wiking #175 Jingles #181
Jamie550 2 - White Daimon #161 Capibara #171
White Daimon 2 - humancalculator #155 THE_SPLIT #157
Wiking 1 - Rysz #149
Rysz 1 - EUROO7 #156
dublish 1 - Slinky #145>170
Jingles 1 - dublish #182

No Vote: Nautilu, Punkbob.

 

[jonti-h]

Day and Night Two.​

Today is a much quieter day for everyone - perhaps everyone is in shock after yesterday.

In the end though you decide that Nautilu has to die. This time you surface, and simply throw him over the side of the boat - after all Nautilu is just another Loyal Communist

This puts everyone in a very good mood indeed - after all you are making good progress towards America and you have got rid of two Commies. Things seem to be looking up until you see that dublish is missing. Things get worse when you find out that dublish was the counterintelligence seer guy

Trespoe will now be subbing for Punkbob.

 

[Heimdall]

OMGZ! A wolf, yay, the village is awesome!

 

[Slinky]

In my opinion two of the following four are wolves: Capibara, Jingles, White Daimon and humancalculator.

So who shall we vote first and shall we go for a TIE

Edit: My preference goes to Capibara and humancalculator, since Capibara is most suspicious and White Daimon doesn't go well with him and Jingles did vote Nautilu after all.

 

[humancalculator]

In my opinion two of the following four are wolves: Capibara, Jingles, White Daimon and humancalculator.

and humancalculator,

Why me?

 

[jonti-h]

I know who the wolves are.

 

[dublish]

Boo! Boo communism! Boo! Brezhnev can shove it for all I care!

 

[EUROO7]

Why me?

Vote HC

 

[Slinky]

Why me?

I now see that I made a slight mistake in forgetting Rysz
Here goes a quick analysis, not much thought has gone into this so it can be wrong

1: Rysz - has done nothing notewhorthy yet
2: Wiking - instrumental in lynching Nautilu
3: von Loch Ness - death
4: EUROO7 - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness
5: Slinky - I am no wolf
6: Jingles - his vote made sure Nautilu couldn't take someone down with him
7: Punkbob - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness
8: Dublish - death
9: k-59 - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness and Nautilu
10: White Daimon - has made no decisive votes
11: Capibara - made a protective vote for Nautilu, tieing Jamie550, White Daimon and Nautilu
12: Nautilu - death
13: THE_SPLIT - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness
14: humancalculator - has made no decisive votes
15:Jamie550 - instrumental in lynching Nautilu
16: Lameard - death
17: Lord Strange - death

Of the four I consider suspect the following combinations are unlikely:

		Rysz	White Daimon	Capibara	humancalculator	
humancalculator	O	X		O		X
Capibara	O	X		X		
White Daimon	O	X				
Rysz		X

So Rysz goes well with all three and White Daimon only with Rysz.
Capibara, Rysz and humancalculator all go well with each other. Since Capibara made a defensive move to protect Nautilu my choice is clear.

Vote Capibara

 

[Jamie550]

My suspicion list has been reduced to Rysz, Jingles, Wd, Capi, and Hc

 

[dublish]

I didn't know pack-possibilities was a valid method of analysis again.

 

[Jamie550]

I now see that I made a slight mistake in forgetting Rysz
Here goes a quick analysis, not much thought has gone into this so it can be wrong

1: Rysz - has done nothing notewhorthy yet
2: Wiking - instrumental in lynching Nautilu
3: von Loch Ness - death
4: EUROO7 - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness
5: Slinky - I am no wolf
6: Jingles - his vote made sure Nautilu couldn't take someone down with him
7: Punkbob - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness
8: Dublish - death
9: k-59 - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness and Nautilu
10: White Daimon - has made no decisive votes
11: Capibara - made a protective vote for Nautilu, tieing Jamie550, White Daimon and Nautilu
12: Nautilu - death
13: THE_SPLIT - instrumental in lynching von Loch Ness
14: humancalculator - has made no decisive votes
15:Jamie550 - instrumental in lynching Nautilu
16: Lameard - death
17: Lord Strange - death

Of the four I consider suspect the following combinations are unlikely:

		Rysz	White Daimon	Capibara	humancalculator	
humancalculator	O	X		O		X
Capibara	O	X		X		
White Daimon	O	X				
Rysz		X

So Rysz goes well with all three and White Daimon only with Rysz.
Capibara, Rysz and humancalculator all go well with each other. Since Capibara made a defensive move to protect Nautilu my choice is clear.

Vote Capibara

Is this the ancient pack possibilities thing that seems to be coming back into fashion?

Vote Rysz

who could be a very flexible wolf, according to the Slinky's pack possibilities chart.

Rysz [1] - Jamie [199]
Capi [1] - Sli [196]
Hc [1] - Euro [195]
None [9] - Rysz Wik Jing Punk K59 Wd Capi Split Hc

 

[EUROO7]

I didn't know pack-possibilities was a valid method of analysis again.

It's not, Slinky's trying to be fancy.