Werewolf Lite CCCXXX: Oh God, We Lost the Seer!

[aedan777]

I don't see how Tornadoli is a more likely wolf than Bagricula. He put a crucial vote on a wolf, and Bagricula pointed out a slightly odd thing Dexander did, after I already made a case against Dexander, but Bagricula didn't put a vote on Dexander until he was the certain lynch.

 

[Bagricula]

I don't see how Tornadoli is a more likely wolf than Bagricula. He put a crucial vote on a wolf, and Bagricula pointed out a slightly odd thing Dexander did, after I already made a case against Dexander, but Bagricula didn't put a vote on Dexander until he was the certain lynch.

I'm happy to be TIE'd with Tornadoli or anyone else if you prefer. I just hope you update your beliefs about the meaning of signals afterwards.

 

[k-59]

I don't see how Tornadoli is a more likely wolf than Bagricula. He put a crucial vote on a wolf, and Bagricula pointed out a slightly odd thing Dexander did, after I already made a case against Dexander, but Bagricula didn't put a vote on Dexander until he was the certain lynch.

Again, that vote wouldn't have been as critical had Torn switched later.

 

[Lord_D]

Have you already checked what this Friend told you with DutchGuy? Otherwise, this contact may be playing you for some inscrutable reason.

I'm behind this. We need DG to show up. He was online yesterday evening after aedan 's post, why didn' t he weigh in?

Votes can be switched. Cases can't be unsaid.

EDIT: And by your own admission you bandwagoned him based of Aedan's case. So, it's possible you thought Dex was done for either way.

Ballsy move for a wolf. Being left in a game with 3 friends and 3 villagers as a lone wolf is a position any wolf would prefer to avoid.

Although I am unnerved by k-59 defending me, I honestly cannot square him as a wolf. The Day 1 and Day 2 votes against him from Dexander and then the lack of anything else suspicious on him in the voting record or posts, really leaves me with no way to see him as a wolf. If he is one, he'll have played a masterfully high-risk game, and one at a much higher level of play than I would expect from this pack's performance.

A few throwaway votes from his packmates and he's a genius?

For Arrowfiend / Euro, there is very little to go on here. He is my current other suspect for a wolf. His only redeeming point is that he voted Madchemist very early on Day 1, which while possible suggests a level of wolf play inconsistent with his experience and inconsistent with the performance of this pack so far.

That vote against madchemist was pretty important so that makes him villager in my eyes.

If not for the DutchGuy / Comm Cody thing, I would have continued to find Aedan most suspicious, but given that no Friend has stepped forward to deny his story, I'm pretty sure he is telling the truth. This doesn't wholly clear him, as the Friend could have made a mistake and there's little reason for him as a wolf not to play along, but it does make it much less likely that he is a wolf.

Aedan also has the votes on his side.

You, Tornadoli, are my other primary suspect. Your redeeming point in my eyes is your co-vote with Madchemist on Day 2 (IIRC).

His vote against Dexander was poppy cock or something?

Overall, it is hard for me to pin a particular individual as the most likely wolf, but it is relatively easy for me to say that Lord_D and k-59 are not wolves.

Why thanks.

Quoi?

My level of sobriety will be ever decreasing across the evening. Oh look there, a bottle of gin.

Count please.

UNVOTE BAGS
VOTE TORN

Why is everyone voting tornadoli? He put the third vote on Dexander.

EDIT: And if you are wondering why I am not a wolf, that's simple. Euro was hunted the first night.

That's just BS.

 

[EUROO7]

UNVOTE TOTTEN

 

[EUROO7]

Vote bags

 

[k-59]

Ballsy move for a wolf. Being left in a game with 3 friends and 3 villagers as a lone wolf as a position any position would prefer to avoid.

You act like he sniped to Dex. He put Dex ahead by one vote with more than 12 hours to deadline and tons of non voters.

That's not exactly clear proof.

EDIT: Euro's latest switch makes a 3-3 tie.

 

[Bagricula]

Also, why do you think Comm Cody is cleared? This is a question for @k-59 as well by the way. At the end of yesterday, he was apparently the most likely packmate of Dexander, now he is cleared all of the sudden because of the aedan outing? I'm pretty sceptical why a friend would contact aedan to reveal his friend-mate tbh. Plus, why would you WANT a friend to step forward? Do you want them to be hunted or something? Why would a villager ask for a friend to step forward?

Aedan outed Comm Cody / DutchGuy as a friend. Aedan's entire story relies on confirmation from DutchGuy. Absent that, villagers won't know how to process Aedan's story except by any lack of word from the friends who might be chary of saying anything for risk of being hunted.

 

[EUROO7]

Does anyone object to the tie

 

[EUROO7]

Aedan outed Comm Cody / DutchGuy as a friend. Aedan's entire story relies on confirmation from DutchGuy. Absent that, villagers won't know how to process Aedan's story except by any lack of word from the friends who might be chary of saying anything for risk of being hunted.

Hmm

 

[Bagricula]

EDIT: Euro's latest switch makes a 3-3 tie.

I am okay with this.

 

[aedan777]

Does anyone object to the tie

No, I think this has the best chance of ending the game today, so long as Bagricula doesn't end up escaping the lynch.

 

[Bagricula]

As an extra incentive not to break the tie: if you are found to have broken the tie when I am revealed to be a villager, you will almost certainly be lynched.

Do not break the TIE

 

[k-59]

Worst case: 2 lynched villagers, 1 hunted friend.

Then tomorrow:

2 friends, 1 villager, 1 wolf.

The friends out themselves, the villager votes with them. Goodies win.

 

[Bagricula]

Worst case: 2 lynched villagers, 1 hunted friend.

Then tomorrow:

2 friends, 1 villager, 1 wolf.

The friends out themselves, the villager votes with them. Goodies win.

Yep. As I said, the village is going to win regardless so I'm not fussed about being tied.

 

[Lord_D]

You act like he sniped to Dex. He put Dex ahead by one vote with more than 12 hours to deadline and tons of non voters.

That's not exactly clear proof.

EDIT: Euro's latest switch makes a 3-3 tie.

I act like he didn't just blow up his chances at a baddie win.

As an extra incentive not to break the tie: if you are found to have broken the tie when I am revealed to be a villager, you will almost certainly be lynched.

Do not break the TIE

You talking to me?

 

[Bagricula]

You talking to me?

Not particularly, though you're in an unusual position to break the tie.

 

[k-59]

I act like he didn't just blow up his chances at a baddie win.

Only because everyone else voted Dex. If there had been a close race, Torn could have switched off of Dex.

 

[Lord_D]

Only because everyone else voted Dex. If there had been a close race, Torn could have switched off of Dex.

He was the third person. Dex wasn't done yet.

 

[k-59]

He was the third person. Dex wasn't done yet.

And if it was 3-3 later in the day Torn could have broken the tie.

This is really very simple, I should have to explain it.