I tend to agree with this assessment, since Ike's reasons for voting people are... not particularly helpful and basically amount to "bite me." Actually, fits in with tamius' running theory that packmates tend to alibi vote day 1 as well, if his theory that spock is a wolf is correct.
Vote Emperor Ike
Also a bit wary of spock (that last throwaway vote on Ike when Jackson was dead to rights, Hazbot (3rd vote on Jackson, making him back into a contender), aedan (see my comment on his vote), and Marty (see below).
So if Spock is a wolf, which could be but doesn't have any particularly good case other than inactivity, then he could have casted a throwaway on a packmate, which could be Emperor Ike? "Bite me" is not good wolf behaviour, it tends to get you lynched, and I presume Ike knows this.
Generally unimpressed by your analysis which seems to consist mostly of summarizing events without doling out much judgment, though I suppose it is still Day 1.