Forgive my rudeness, but Wagon handled the situation in practically the worst way possible. Daffius has already pointed out the flaws in his plan from a purely technical standpoint. But worse, how many players would have figured out which players were more likely seers (yes, I know he tried not to discuss the seer possibility, but it was only a matter of time before some helpful soul pointed out that his logic of a wolf among the 7 applied to the seer, as well) if Wagon hadn't trumpeted it from the online housetops?
I'm not even sure how accurate his whole theory is. Sure, we know the 7 people Wagon listed were online; do we know for certain that the other 9 players he mentioned weren't online at that time? Seems like much ado about very little. Regardless, Wagon's probably a goodie for trying to nail a wolf first day and positing a theory, albeit a bad one. I'm going to...
Vote Rovsea
3rd voter on Griffin, with no stated justification, putting him into the lead. Sure, he was probably following Wagon's case, and Griffin is by no means cleared, but that vote just screams laziness.
Also, as an editorial note, lynching new and/or just returning players on the first day for stray comments (i.e., Myoon the previous game) is a sure way to kill learning villagers, drive new players from the game, and make for insanely long signup periods (which caused this mess in the first place).