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happycats517

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Sure. Because I'm voting him, not aedan right now. I'm not desperately lobbying for aedan's death (because if he is a wolf and is lynched and I am a wolf I've basically lost). I've cast suspicion on him in relation to Spock in the past and had him on my suspicious list for ages (though I removed him of late). I tried to pick out holes in his cases. I haven't voted him, but then, neither have any of you.

I can't really prove a negative, but the case against me is that I'm unusually quiet. It's because I'd already analyzed the hell out of everything worth analyzing, and nearly every case except the case happy already made ended up requiring a goodie be a baddie.

You voted him with 44 minutes left in the day. In other words, not really enough time for you to make a strong case for aedan's death that doesn't come off as hella suspicious the next day. In fact, at that point if you bought that aedan was the seer, the smartest move for you as a wolf is to vote madchemist and hunt the seer. Since you weren't scanned, you can pass yourself off as a villager and hope the village slips up and votes the wrong person on the last day. Lobbying for his death that late and failing is basically outing yourself and losing and as I already noted, you needed two villagers to switch to win and it's unlikely that two people would switch so late. So voting aedan doesn't really mean much.

You've cast suspicion on him but never really did much or bothered to build a real case on him. It's not odd for packmates to cast suspicion on each other and actually quite normal because if the packmates didn't it would quickly become obvious who the pack was when four people refused to cast suspicion on each other. Also, not that odd that you made some light points against his cases. You have been pretty active all game and it'd have been suspicious if you didn't. Nothing you said against his cases was earth shattering or put too much suspicion on him for being wrong. Not really that strong.

The case against you is that you are unusually quiet and fit great as a packmate with him and I'm sure a read through will reveal some other things. And really? Your excuse is that you reached the limits of your analysis? I'm more disappointed than anything from that comment. I've been going through and picking through old comments to analyze how the known wolves have acted throughout the game. I'm at least trying to do something and figure out who the fourth wolf is.

Also, not really sure what case you're referring to in the last part. "nearly every case except the case happy already made ended up requiring a goodie be a baddie".
 

happycats517

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We should consolidate. I'd like to give bro a chance, so:

Unvote Brovahkiin, Vote Spockyt

Moving to spockyt with claims of consolidation, also conveniently pushes Spockyt up above all other candidates.

You spelled it right. It is not *that* suspicious, though you should probably not worry about dying this early in the day- though if you will be asleep it's a partially valid worry.

Isolate votes from text.
Like So

Says that Spockyt isn't that suspicious for voting me, although later she'd hop on the Spockyt case.

Maybe that's just what they want you to think.

But yeah, I agree. How about to avatar? (The RNG says so.)
Unvote Spockyt, Vote Avatar

Suggests Avatar for the switch and votes him.

Well, this is a little suspicious- all these votes on happy so quickly. Why is he a favorite candidate?

Gets jumpy that a few people are voting me.

This is a classic undermining technique- first supporting something, then switching away when your support is needed. How did you not know that happy had other votes when votecounts were nearly as numerous as votes? If you wanted to make a closer race, why didn't you vote neither?

Not gonna spend much time on this since I already covered it, but starts going after k-59 for being inattentive. I still maintain that due to the above comment this was also an attempt to look like she was protecting me.

You could have given your support to the voteswitch, then left in order to undermine it. (This is what LK did in my first game- support my case against jonti- then withdraw in order to undermine it.) Obviously this isn't really applicable because avatar is a villager, but I was somewhat suspicious he was not.

If I knew I was about to be severely disproven, would I have tried so hard?

Uses the excuse that she wouldn't have done that if she was going to be disproven. Well, she didn't know she was going to be disproven. Avatar had his vote off of me and could have easily sniped me to death which would have made her case look pretty damn good. Also, it's easy to pretend like you're convinced about a poor case especially early.

Indeed. It occurred to me shortly after he posted that MC could be the apparently absent wolves intervening. :D

But he was also in the running himself, so I don't think it's particulary suspicious he didn't want to be run up.

It does not, though, seem to make sense that he tried to save Spock as well. It is not what I would have predicted for a villager to do, but I don't know MC's style well enough to view it as incriminating either way.

Even if MC were a wolf, Spock could have been the person MC saved to place suspicion on.

Why am I not on the list of suspicious people? Not that I want to be, but it's a fairly prominent omission. o_O

Mentions MC maybe being a wolf, but quickly mentions that he was being run up so he it's not that suspicious. Casts suspicion on him for "saving" Spockyt as well (although a voteswitch necessarily means moving off the top candidates). Honestly, it looks like she's trying to set up MC to be "cleared" when Spockyt is lynched/hunted. Since she tries to say that MC could have tried to save Spockyt and if Spockyt turned up villager he looks less wolfish by being able to disprove the theory that MC was trying to save him.

This is for reference later.


Spock is overly concerned with appearing suspicious.

TIE of MC and Spock.


The voteswitch happens, and k-59 simultaneously suggests a switch to happy.




I accept that my former suspicion of you for this might have been misguided. However, it still occupies an fairly important place- it places happy not only before Avatar, but also MC.


Which Wagonlitz follows. Tell me, Wagon, you really couldn't have asked someone else? TIEs are usually beneficial.


The chain of votes from k-59's has forced happy to stop voting MC. If one looks at the effects and assumes they were intended, k-59 looks more and more suspicious.

Why indeed would he switch back to happy? Why indeed? If happy and avatar were equally good candidates, why did he choose to move to happy as opposed to staying on an equally qualified candidate?

This apparent opposition to avatar sparks a reaction, notably headed by MC - who is no longer in any danger - and followed by DBW.


Ah, they're like bookmarks, aren't they? Bookmarks of ~condemnation~. DBW has expressed no reason to like Spock before this, but tries to paint himself as reasonable. He follows MC and happycats without real thought; it is a little bit - odd. Where was he before this, anyway?

I am suspicious of DBW, MC, k-59, and, far less than the others, Rovsea, for his unexplained vote. For now, until I get more information, I will

Vote Death by Wombat

Posts a long post where she throws suspicion on a lot of people. Note that she says the reaction to the opposition of avatar was led by MC, while she herself also led it by attacking k-59. Spends most of the time talking about DBW and k-59 and throws MC in there with jack all to back up her reasoning. I'm really seeing the strong suspicion and evidence she built against MC. /s In reality, looks more like a wolf throwing in a packmate to look less suspicious.

Not a problem.

I wouldn't object to voting Spock, though I'd also like to investigate the throwaway voters:

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Why am I not surprised to see who is here? Another day, and I swear...

Moves to start talking about throwaway voters.

Thank you for explaining.

Way, way too cautious. And it's not good to lynch people for being wrong; you also seem to be preemptively shifting blame away from yourself. This post made me a lot more suspicious of you.

I'm rather biased, but I'd have to agree.


Yes.


Oh. Okay.


Acceptably proactive.


It's nice to see that someone agrees with what I wrote earlier.

But they would have been trying to save *you*. They placed happy and avatar as the main candidates instead of you, and not instead of any other player. If happy and avatar were both villagers and you were too, then why is k-59 suspicious? If you are a villager, I would have rather chosen you to lynch than happy or avatar. Of course, it could be that they would have not risked lynching villager!you due to any numbers of other factors, but - this is, currently, a hole in your case.


I actually didn't know this. It seemed a bit premature, in my opinion.


I concur.


It's called a voteswitch.


Weird defense of Wagonlitz. Funny, since people weren't voting him for not analyzing; they were voting him for placing happycats further in the lead.


I can already anticipate his response to this. :D

I suspect Rovsea, k-59, MC, and Spock the most, but since Spock has the most momentum:

Unvote DBW, Vote Spock

Response to a bunch of posts. MC is still kept in her list of candidates without much reason. Also ends up disagreeing with MC about his case on k-59 but ends up agreeing with his vote. Also, this really weird line, "If you are a villager, I would have rather chosen you to lynch than happy or avatar". Was that a little slip there, Aziz? Oh also probably the only time she points out a hole in one of MC's cases. Early in D2 while still agreeing with his vote.

What is your opinion on MC?

This makes enough sense.

Asks about Aedan's opinion of MC

In my opinion as well, he is tied to Spock.

I think, happy, that you are misreading my posts. I was not defending you in particular, but rather saw k-59's action as suspicious because it was a fulcrum that the day's result turned on.

Agrees that MC is tied to Spock. Again, this sets up being able to move suspicion off MC when Spockyt turns up villager.

Nice try. I mean it. You hit on some really valuable notes.

You can take your fair pick of Spock and DBW; you should probably look back in the thread to see why they're being run up.

For reference this was two hours before deadline, four nonvoters (the count on the page above this quote leaves out Wagon as a nonvoter), and with four candidates one vote behind DBW. In other words, plenty of time to propose an alternate candidate besides DBW and push them up as the second candidate. Of course, it just so happens to be that Wagon was one of those four players with one vote less than DBW, so maybe she was trying to protect him from being brought up into the fray.

Thank you so much for your effort. I was incorrect; Wagon did not make a TIE. You can look on the prior page and this page for the cases on Spock and on DBW. The case on me is that I tried too hard to "save" happycats and to attack k-59. See also the link in my sig.

Responds to Luftwafer's analysis, again focusing on Spock and DBW and pushing off the case on herself to make it seem ridiculous.

As for why I preferred avatar over you - I was suspicious that the votechange hadn't gained traction, and k-59 was the originator of the apparent "opposition".

Kind of odd reasoning that has nothing to do with avatar. Points out k-59 again as suspicious.

I wouldn't mind making a TIE right now, but if it lasted until Deadline I would snipe in favor of Spock. Comments?

Makes this weird comment.

Would it *usually* be a good idea to create a TIE you don't want to last, or not?

Acting oblivious? I expect someone who's played as long as Aziz to know this by now.

Aedan- wombat seems to have defended himself fairly well on previous pages. I'm not sure if you saw those, but they are worth taking a look at.

Defends DBW.

Legitimate enough. And because this seems like the situation a free TIE is intended to be used for:

Unvote Spock, Vote DBW

Aedan makes a case where he reiterates much of what he already said and suddenly she jumps on DBW.

If people want to break the TIE, probably they should explain now, not after a snipe.

Sort of an odd comment.

*cough* Yeah, madchemist. Too bad your vote already on Spock, right?

Another odd comment. Madchemist says he wants to break the tie and prefers the candidate he is voting (obviously) and this is her response.

All right. Just checking.

Seems fine with madchemist's objection to the tie if he'll break it in DBW's favor.

It's not terribly clear-cut, and I can see the merits both ways. I obviously slightly favor TIEing the candidates, because if the one of them we lynch is a villager - which wouldn't surprise me too much either way - we will probably waste tomorrow voting them anyway. I think aedan's case on DBW has merit, as does the case on Spock, so...

Basically, wants to tie saying she doesn't want us wasting tomorrow voting up the candidate who survives. Which is silly and a poor reason to use the tie so it just comes off as wanting to waste our free tie.

I see aedan's case as stronger than you do, and probably the case on Spock as less compelling. I might not be able to explain why this is expediently, though.

Continues to defend the case on DBW.

1. k-59
2. Deathbywombat
3. Aedan777
5. Ironhide G1 as the Papal States
6. Madchemist
8. JermanTK
11. Wagonlitz
13. LatinKaiser as sheep
14. Osteles subbed for RB33
15. Brovahkiin as ore subbed for HappyCats
16. Al-Aziz
17. Luftwafer

Well, here are the people still alive. Ironhide, Jerman, and RB33 are difficult to get reads on. I am suspicious of deathbywombat and MC, for reasons expressed yesterday. I will reread and summarize aedan and DBW's arguments.

No, this is just a post facto justification. I call Crovax. :p

Continues to include MC in her list of suspicious people. Also, this is the last time we see her include MC in her list of suspicious people. She poked all of one hole in MC's cases. In other words, I'm not buying the whole story that she was opposed to MC throughout the game and consistently kept up decent pressure on him because she found him suspicious.

So: DBW.

For reference, the posts we are referencing are:



He could have said something like, "Because all these things that I know suck", but he didn't.



He states: he likes Spock, he likes avatar over happy, and the run up of happy bugs him. I accuse him of mindlessly following people (including me) and of having no reason to think Spock is a good candidate.

Aedan points out that this is basically placing a vote on a newb because they are a newb.


Fair enough.

Madchemist also did this. He orchestrated it. As mentioned before, this was mostly a coincidence. If voting avatar and thus moving off spock was a sign of wolves, as you imply, why would you ever want to vote with the people you suspect are moving off Spock, thus making him a good candidate, and who are likelier wolves?

Aedan points out this is meta.


Wasn't avatar also initially voted by people you considered suspicious because we were moving off Spock? (E.g., me and Latin.)

This is an adequate reason.

Happy, I wasn't, by the way, one of the people actually countering the votes onto you. You were suspicious because I got suspicious of k-59. You should also be suspicious because avatar was actually protecting you.

While there are problems with his original reasons, it does not seem to mark him as more of a wolf, because this is in response to asking why he thought Spock is a better candidate. However, #3 does not make sense.

Spock's reaction, however, made it still-relevant.


In hindsight, this case seems less compelling. It could have been a split-second thought process.

The part that I find dubious is the contradiction where he voted avatar despite being suspicious of the people who switched onto avatar. However, it makes sense when you realize it was, due to k-59's vote, a choice between happy, who he says was a worse candidate, and avatar.



Adequate.

I think that aedan's case was nowhere as good as I thought it was, which leaves us back on square one. The case on madchemist is also less compelling due to Spock's innocence. Which means that trying to run up one of the quiet ones would be the most helpful.

Vote Ironhide

Moves off the case on DBW, although nothing has changed and she had plenty of time to analyze it and realize it was poor before this.

Also I never saw this part:
"Happy, I wasn't, by the way, one of the people actually countering the votes onto you. You were suspicious because I got suspicious of k-59. You should also be suspicious because avatar was actually protecting you."

And my response is this, my suspicions on you after D1 never really relied on you countering votes on me (although you did, because you voted Avatar instead of me) and in fact it strengthens my point if we assume you didn't counter votes on me. My point was that you have, in the past, vehemently defended villagers who were about to be lynched as a wolf in an attempt to make yourself look better. Me being lynched would have been great for you if my suspicions are correct. Also, that last sentence. What? How was avatar actually protecting me? He died without a peep. Unless you mean that he didn't vote snipe me. I guess, Aziz means that DBW was actually protecting me by voting for avatar, but either way, my point wasn't that people in general protected me. It was that Aziz specifically seemed upset that I was gaining traction and went after k-59 when I know she's done this in the past.

His argument against you is that you didn't snipe to break the TIE, which is really ironic since he didn't either. He thought the case against happy was less flawed than the one against avatar.

Yeah, that was a really dumb "case" against aedan.


He claims a non-random D1 vote and better wolf-catching rates, which is probably why he was so attached to it.



I think you should weigh whether or not DBW seems like more of a wolf due to these actions.

If you think that LK's a good candidate because he did the same things as you, that's not really very consistent if you think you're a bad candidate. And maybe the lengthy posting and vehemence - as well as the differing circumstances that led you and LK to your actions - are the reason. This would require aedan and LK to be wolves.


Obvious revenge vote = obvious.

Responds to LK's and DBW's cases against each other. Basically does a lot to undermine DBW and his case against LK.

I'm not liking either LK or wombat's mutual cases against each other, basically.

Good way of averting pressure from LK. Call out your packmate for bickering with a villager and undermine both of them. You look good, people stop paying attention to your packmate, it's a win-win situation.

:rolleyes: Yeah, that's really not the point.

Response to DBW saying his vote wasn't a revenge vote since his response to LK came minutes after his with quotes and a decent amount of effort that would have taken a while to finish. Except that's entirely the point. Hard to call something a revenge vote when the person was obviously planning the case before they saw what the other person did. But again, good way of subtly underminign DBW's case and shifting attention away from LK.

I mist confess that this is something of a surprise.

Aziz's response from LK turning up wolf. It seems suspicious to me. Seems like a convenient way of saying that you don't know who the wolves are so that was so unexpected. Seems to be trying a little too hard to look villagery.

I wouldn't mind a Jerman-RB TIE either, and that's something I can do.

Unvote Ironhide, Vote RB

Moves off Ironhide and on to RB to make a tie between two people with basically CAWZ cases on them.


Aziz is probably my favored candidate for the fourth wolf. She hasn't done as much as she seems to claim against MC and she easily fits in a pack with Wagon (though most of us do). She also fits pretty well with LK and she's generally acted suspicious through the game. So let's lynch Wagon today and her tomorrow and let's win the game.

Also, I'm holding out that the JL has got some juicy, game-clinching info, but until then I'll continue my silent analysis.
 

happycats517

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Also, other reason I don't fit well into the pack. I put the third vote on MC that kept him as a candidate until the vote switch. Hey, DBW, maybe it was a good idea for me to vote MC? :p
 

Jacksonian Missionary

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Wagonlitz

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Can we have it earlier?
While days like today it would be trivial to have it earlier and we pretty much just are wasting time now, you cannot on principle have the deadline earlier.

Also I like Jackson's case on Aziz; switch to Aziz anyone?
Vote Aziz
 

EnvyDemon

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While days like today it would be trivial to have it earlier and we pretty much just are wasting time now, you cannot on principle have the deadline earlier.

Also I like Jackson's case on Aziz; switch to Aziz anyone?
Vote Aziz

Jackson's case on Aziz < KNOWN WOLF

No, we're not switching, for obvious reasons.
 

Ironhide G1

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Wait isnt Jackson GMing? Why the heck would he have a case on Aziz?

Nice try Wagon but heck no.
 

k-59

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al-Aziz

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This is actually really annoying.
Moving to spockyt with claims of consolidation, also conveniently pushes Spockyt up above all other candidates.
Wow, really? It's almost like that's what consolidation is: placing some candidates above others. Incidentally, what other candidates do you think I should have picked?

Says that Spockyt isn't that suspicious for voting me, although later she'd hop on the Spockyt case.
Later, after he makes another really overcautious post. Right. I did not think he was suspicious for voting you, but rather for the manner in which he did.

Suggests Avatar for the switch and votes him. Gets jumpy that a few people are voting me.
Close to deadline. Placing you above the voteswitch (the same action you claim makes me look suspicious when done earlier).

Not gonna spend much time on this since I already covered it, but starts going after k-59 for being inattentive. I still maintain that due to the above comment this was also an attempt to look like she was protecting me.
Remember how I freaked out after aedan accused me of making the same mistake twice? I try to not make the same mistake twice.

There's not really a possible defense other than what I've already said. I've already explained.

Uses the excuse that she wouldn't have done that if she was going to be disproven. Well, she didn't know she was going to be disproven. Avatar had his vote off of me and could have easily sniped me to death which would have made her case look pretty damn good. Also, it's easy to pretend like you're convinced about a poor case especially early.
Jesus Christ. So you think that I was asking people to vote avatar because I thought he was a wolf because I thought they wouldn't do what I asked so I would look better? I don't know what kind of crazy wolf you think I am, but rest assured that this convoluted plan not only fails Occam's Razor, but also is a really stupidly risky thing to do. And you used Occam's Razor to argue k-59's innocence; if k-59 is presumed innocent I should be too.

Mentions MC maybe being a wolf, but quickly mentions that he was being run up so he it's not that suspicious. Casts suspicion on him for "saving" Spockyt as well (although a voteswitch necessarily means moving off the top candidates). Honestly, it looks like she's trying to set up MC to be "cleared" when Spockyt is lynched/hunted. Since she tries to say that MC could have tried to save Spockyt and if Spockyt turned up villager he looks less wolfish by being able to disprove the theory that MC was trying to save him.
Right, but the thing is, he actually isn't suspicious because he saved himself. Tell me, exactly how would you expect me to analyze a voteswitch in which MC decides to move votes off of himself and Spock that isn't suspicious? "I think MC is a horrible, suspicious person, because he wanted to voteswitch off himself"? "MC is definitely a wolf and I'll vote him now because Spock clearly was a villager who MC decided to not vote but rather switch off of for no apparent reason"? Tell me, how was I supposed to realize MC was suspicious without being linked to Spock? I pointed out that MC was suspicious due to his voteswitch and that Spock could be a villager while MC was a wolf.

Posts a long post where she throws suspicion on a lot of people. Note that she says the reaction to the opposition of avatar was led by MC, while she herself also led it by attacking k-59.
So? I'm a wolf because... I mentioned that DBW followed MC and you without thought before I posted. He followed MC and happy, not me, because I posted after DBW posted. It's kind of difficult to understand, I know, this whole temporal thing.
Spends most of the time talking about DBW and k-59 and throws MC in there with jack all to back up her reasoning. I'm really seeing the strong suspicion and evidence she built against MC. /s In reality, looks more like a wolf throwing in a packmate to look less suspicious.
Frankly, this is growing really tiring. You are interpreting every situation through the lense of me already being a wolf. You've already decided I'm a wolf before looking at my posts. It results in absurdly convoluted plots and absurd motives ascribed to me.

You realize that this is on the same day where I was talking about why I suspected MC a few posts up, right?

Moves to start talking about throwaway voters.
I know, what kind of crazy wolf tries to lynch throwaway voters?

Response to a bunch of posts. MC is still kept in her list of candidates without much reason.
Did you ever hear about "keeping a candidate in mind"? That's what I'm doing.

Also ends up disagreeing with MC about his case on k-59 but ends up agreeing with his vote. Also, this really weird line, "If you are a villager, I would have rather chosen you to lynch than happy or avatar". Was that a little slip there, Aziz? Oh also probably the only time she points out a hole in one of MC's cases. Early in D2 while still agreeing with his vote.
That was me, reasoning from a hypothetical wolf's perspective. If I had been the people who chose avatar and happy (both presumed villagers for this purpose) over madchemist, presumed villager, and if I had been a wolf, then I would have chosen to lynch madchemist because he is, supposedly, a stronger analyzer. I was pointing out that his case sort of implicated him as a wolf because he assumed that the people chosen above him were not wolves but was trying to say the people who chose the people above him were wolves. (It's complicated.) I expect you interpret this as me trying to tie madchemist to villagers, but it's not.

It doesn't make sense as a wolf slip up; I don't really see why I'd say this as a wolf.

Asks about Aedan's opinion of MC
Yeah, because I was suspicious of him.

Agrees that MC is tied to Spock. Again, this sets up being able to move suspicion off MC when Spockyt turns up villager.
I know, it's obvious because aedan was also a baddie — oh wait. Aedan, confirmed goodie, agreed with me. Again, what exactly did you expect any case on MC to involve?

For reference this was two hours before deadline, four nonvoters (the count on the page above this quote leaves out Wagon as a nonvoter), and with four candidates one vote behind DBW. In other words, plenty of time to propose an alternate candidate besides DBW and push them up as the second candidate. Of course, it just so happens to be that Wagon was one of those four players with one vote less than DBW, so maybe she was trying to protect him from being brought up into the fray.
It's a post directed to Lufwafer, who sounded truly confused. He was obviously struggling with so many choices ("I'm such an idiot" "I don't know what I"m doing") that limiting it to two candidates was my way of helping him not freak out. I'm sure you've read the parenting books about not presenting kids with too many choices ("Do you want a green or a blue or a red or an aquamarine sippie cup?" vs. "Do you want a red or a blue sippie cup?"). Same deal here.

Responds to Luftwafer's analysis, again focusing on Spock and DBW and pushing off the case on herself to make it seem ridiculous.
I know, making cases on myself seem ridiculous is really wolfish, isn't it?

Kind of odd reasoning that has nothing to do with avatar. Points out k-59 again as suspicious.
No. When a votechange doesn't gain momentum, it's a bit suspicious. That's what I meant.

Makes this weird comment.



Acting oblivious? I expect someone who's played as long as Aziz to know this by now.
Yeah, obviously wolfish. *rolls eyes* I'm not the most TIE-happy player (in fact, I usually don't like the TIE for no reason mentality), and I know some people are ardently against making them. I didn't want to act without telling people, because good communication is a must in WW.

Defends DBW.

Aedan makes a case where he reiterates much of what he already said and suddenly she jumps on DBW.
Er, no? He responded to the posts of DBW that I had read over, and brought up new points. It was reasonable enough to agree with aedan; aedan agreed with aedan!

And who do you think I was trying to save, anyway? The villager MC chose to lynch?

Sort of an odd comment.
Please stop making mountains out of molehills. I prefer to know in advance why people are doing things so I don't waste my time getting suspicious of them.

Another odd comment. Madchemist says he wants to break the tie and prefers the candidate he is voting (obviously) and this is her response.
No, MC was not yet voting Spock. MC was voting Jerman or another candidate.

Seems fine with madchemist's objection to the tie if he'll break it in DBW's favor.
I thought MC had forgotten he didn't have his vote on Jerman.

I don't see how this is supposed to be diabolical. o_O

Basically, wants to tie saying she doesn't want us wasting tomorrow voting up the candidate who survives. Which is silly and a poor reason to use the tie so it just comes off as wanting to waste our free tie.
Yeah, so silly that aedan the goodie thought this too. Really? Really? This was immediately confirmed by aedan voting DBW, yet again, the following day (though now I know that this wasn't his real intention). This happens in WW games — people still want to lynch the one who escaped the TIE because nothing has changed in the cases. You are so suspicious you can't see anything except your suspicion.

Continues to defend the case on DBW.

Continues to include MC in her list of suspicious people. Also, this is the last time we see her include MC in her list of suspicious people. She poked all of one hole in MC's cases. In other words, I'm not buying the whole story that she was opposed to MC throughout the game and consistently kept up decent pressure on him because she found him suspicious.
No, I've never argued I kept pressure on him. There is little I can say that shows opposition to MC — but then again, little k-59 or Ironhide can say in that regard, either — so I settled for mentioning that I was suspicious of him. This is seriously annoying.

Moves off the case on DBW, although nothing has changed and she had plenty of time to analyze it and realize it was poor before this.
And this makes me a more likely wolf because...? Because...? Because I was too lazy to go back and analyze almost every post of DBW's before Deadline? Excuse me, but — no.

[QUOTE}Also I never saw this part:
"Happy, I wasn't, by the way, one of the people actually countering the votes onto you. You were suspicious because I got suspicious of k-59. You should also be suspicious because avatar was actually protecting you."

And my response is this, my suspicions on you after D1 never really relied on you countering votes on me (although you did, because you voted Avatar instead of me) and in fact it strengthens my point if we assume you didn't counter votes on me.[/QUOTE]
Are you serious? You placed suspicion on me earlier in attacking me for "protecting you".
My point was that you have, in the past, vehemently defended villagers who were about to be lynched as a wolf in an attempt to make yourself look better. Me being lynched would have been great for you if my suspicions are correct.
See, this is what I mean. You're assuming that I was trying to defend you, when really, I was attacking k-59 for making a pivotal vote that looked like it was saving avatar. You've got this same convoluted case where I'm berating k-59 for voting you while still expecting people to vote you such that you would die. That's... not a good plan.

Also, that last sentence. What? How was avatar actually protecting me? He died without a peep. Unless you mean that he didn't vote snipe me. I guess, Aziz means that DBW was actually protecting me by voting for avatar, but either way, my point wasn't that people in general protected me. It was that Aziz specifically seemed upset that I was gaining traction and went after k-59 when I know she's done this in the past.
I assume you mean this last sentence: The part that I find dubious is the contradiction where he voted avatar despite being suspicious of the people who switched onto avatar. However, it makes sense when you realize it was, due to k-59's vote, a choice between happy, who he says was a worse candidate, and avatar.
I am discounting the contradiction between DBW saying the voters of avatar were suspicious and his action where DBW voted avatar despite this, due to DBW's stated logic concerning who to vote (you or avatar). It has nothing to do with DBW protecting you (though DBW was actually protecting you, as he stated, by the way).

I specifically was suspicious because I saw that avatar was gaining resistance, not that you were gaining traction. In a world without a voteswitch, I would not have been so suspicious.

Your case is also heavily predicated on you being a villager.

Responds to LK's and DBW's cases against each other. Basically does a lot to undermine DBW and his case against LK.
And LK's case against DBW. It was a dumb case, tbh.

Good way of averting pressure from LK. Call out your packmate for bickering with a villager and undermine both of them. You look good, people stop paying attention to your packmate, it's a win-win situation.
Are you literally — I give up. (Rhetorically.) You think the case on LK was good? You think I should have laid down and somehow had foresight that LK was a wolf and that therefore DBW wasn't a wolf? What would it have taken for you to think I was a villager? If I followed the case you would claim I was lynching a packmate on a weak case. If I said nothing you would talk about how I was notably being quiet. There is no situation here in which you don't think I'm a wolf.

Response to DBW saying his vote wasn't a revenge vote since his response to LK came minutes after his with quotes and a decent amount of effort that would have taken a while to finish. Except that's entirely the point. Hard to call something a revenge vote when the person was obviously planning the case before they saw what the other person did. But again, good way of subtly underminign DBW's case and shifting attention away from LK.
The point was that there were other objections that DBW hadn't countered.

Aziz's response from LK turning up wolf. It seems suspicious to me. Seems like a convenient way of saying that you don't know who the wolves are so that was so unexpected. Seems to be trying a little too hard to look villagery.
Jesus Christ. Is there anything I've done this game you don't think is a wolf tell?

[/QUOTE]Moves off Ironhide and on to RB to make a tie between two people with basically CAWZ cases on them.[/QUOTE]
Yeah, because, you know, TIEs are bad. Especially when it's TIE day. Especially when it's not right before deadline at all.

Aziz is probably my favored candidate for the fourth wolf. She hasn't done as much as she seems to claim against MC and she easily fits in a pack with Wagon (though most of us do). She also fits pretty well with LK and she's generally acted suspicious through the game. So let's lynch Wagon today and her tomorrow and let's win the game.
Or we can just stop tunnel visioning. You've got this idea that I'm suspicious because I've got this really over-the-top plan about getting goodie cred, and you've had it since D2. There is literally nothing I could have done that you won't interpret as suspicious for no good reason. You don't explain why any of this "suspicious" stuff makes me mroe likely to be a wolf, for example.

Also, I'm holding out that the JL has got some juicy, game-clinching info, but until then I'll continue my silent analysis.
Oh, and by the way, I *was* going to look back through the game and write up a case, but instead I had to respond to this monster of a post.
 

al-Aziz

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Oh lord in heaven there's more.
You voted him with 44 minutes left in the day. In other words, not really enough time for you to make a strong case for aedan's death that doesn't come off as hella suspicious the next day. In fact, at that point if you bought that aedan was the seer, the smartest move for you as a wolf is to vote madchemist and hunt the seer. Since you weren't scanned, you can pass yourself off as a villager and hope the village slips up and votes the wrong person on the last day. Lobbying for his death that late and failing is basically outing yourself and losing and as I already noted, you needed two villagers to switch to win and it's unlikely that two people would switch so late. So voting aedan doesn't really mean much.
Look, you are just killing my brain.

You've cast suspicion on him but never really did much or bothered to build a real case on him. It's not odd for packmates to cast suspicion on each other and actually quite normal because if the packmates didn't it would quickly become obvious who the pack was when four people refused to cast suspicion on each other. Also, not that odd that you made some light points against his cases. You have been pretty active all game and it'd have been suspicious if you didn't. Nothing you said against his cases was earth shattering or put too much suspicion on him for being wrong. Not really that strong.
I know but how exactly is this any different than anyone else? Why am I this person you're tunnel-visioning on?

The case against you is that you are unusually quiet and fit great as a packmate with him and I'm sure a read through will reveal some other things. And really? Your excuse is that you reached the limits of your analysis? I'm more disappointed than anything from that comment. I've been going through and picking through old comments to analyze how the known wolves have acted throughout the game. I'm at least trying to do something and figure out who the fourth wolf is.
Right, foot-long posts day after day = unusually quiet. Really? Really? Yes, it was an excuse, but I was, in fact, planning to analyze that day, except that an outing had already been made and I had to par down my debate cases to 6:00 and 7:00 and I had to go to a Halloween Eve party and I was incredibly upset about this one girl. That is, btw, why I haven't been talkative today — I had a debate tournament. (I won 1/3. *sigh*) If you noticed, I said that I planned to analyze today.

Anyway, I don't see why any of this makes me a more likely wolf.
 

happycats517

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First off Aziz, did you bother reading my other posts where I looked at LK, Wagon, and MC and talked about who might fit in a pack with them? I quoted basically anything I felt worth quoting and gave a final summary at the end. Not everything I quoted was a wolf tell, stop building strawmans.

While days like today it would be trivial to have it earlier and we pretty much just are wasting time now, you cannot on principle have the deadline earlier.

Also I like Jackson's case on Aziz; switch to Aziz anyone?
Vote Aziz

Lol Wagon.
 

happycats517

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Oh lord in heaven there's more.

Look, you are just killing my brain.

Ah yes, what brilliant wit. Call off the game guys, Aziz has proven me wrong. I'm a wolf. Just lynch me now. But seriously hon, at least put in some effort. We essentially had 6 votes on madchemist (Ironhide should not have been subbed and made it clear he wanted to vote MC), and 2 on Aedan. Do the math. A wolf voted for MC yesterday. It's a poor defense.

I know but how exactly is this any different than anyone else? Why am I this person you're tunnel-visioning on?

If I still have to explain, you haven't been reading.

But fine. Look at my post that starts with quick thoughts on players. Note how everyone doesn't fit well except for you. Prove that someone else is a better candidate. You've yet to do that promised analysis. You've just defended yourself.

Right, foot-long posts day after day = unusually quiet. Really? Really? Yes, it was an excuse, but I was, in fact, planning to analyze that day, except that an outing had already been made and I had to par down my debate cases to 6:00 and 7:00 and I had to go to a Halloween Eve party and I was incredibly upset about this one girl. That is, btw, why I haven't been talkative today — I had a debate tournament. (I won 1/3. *sigh*) If you noticed, I said that I planned to analyze today.

Anyway, I don't see why any of this makes me a more likely wolf.

Strawman first off. I was referring to the past few days. Where silence extremely helps the wolf you stayed quiet. And 2nd off, are we sharing what we did yesterday and today? Okay, I spent hours on the phone with my sister, had several programs to work on and papers to write, went on a date with my gf, had club commitments, went to work, and oh look, I still had time to analyze. And you had plenty of time to do analysis. Promises ain't worth shit if you don't keep them. I had no reason to believe you'd keep yours. This is werewolf, hon.
 

al-Aziz

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Night 0


The intrepid zoombinis- i mean settlers have arrived in Catan, and have settled down their first settlements and roads! For the first 2 weeks and all seemed well. Trade has been flourishing, as many 11s have been rolled so wheat and sheep have been plentiful and good fortune seems to have touched the travelers. But one day, their dear friend and neighbor
Health (villager) is found dead on the road back from trading his ore, and the settlers know that this settlement is dangerous. The purge of Catan has begun!


Health the villager has been hunted
Um Vicky II , Vicky Revolutions and HOI III are kind of my games. So is MII and Rome Total War, as well as base Civ 5, Civil War II, Sid Meier's Railroads, Trainz Rail Simulator, and Railroad Tycoon II and III, and probably more I can't remember off the top of my head.

Empire and Napoleon Total War, Civ 5 Brave New World and Gods and Kings, and XCOM are all yours. Sadly no Paradox Games. But there are more out there, though I want CKII and EUIV.



Definatley interested. Either Civ 5 or Vicky II,or perhaps another game.


We? Nice use of the Royal "we". That was my idea!

VOTE BROVAKOLIN
((I'm sorry can't spell, I don't feel like going and finding the name))

No facist Popes(lol there were none historically).
One of the only extant Ironhide posts.

Vote Count 22 Hours til Deadline:

Brovahkiin 2: Al-Aziz (#187) Ironhide G1 (#207)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Aedan777 1: Madchemist (#191)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

Spockyt 1: LatinKaiser (#201)

Luftwafer 1: Spockyt (#203)

Not voted : @k-59, @Wagonlitz @brovahkiin @deathbywombat @Rovsea @AvatarOfKhaine
Wow, so interesting.
Ooh, chess! I would also be up for a tournament/game with all challengers. I used chess.com to play people a while back - still need to dig up my account. Was an OK blitz player, could have been decent in regular but always got impatient/never learned the openings. Weak beginning/endgame, strong mid-game.

http://www.chess.com/


Ah, and voting!

Vote Spockyt
I don't know why I thought this was interesting. It's the second vote on Spock, but DBW and Spock and LK are dead.
Vote Count 15ish Hours til Deadline:

Brovahkiin 2: Al-Aziz (#187) Ironhide G1 (#207)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Aedan777 1: Madchemist (#191)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

Spockyt 2: LatinKaiser (#201) deathbywombat (#239)

Luftwafer 1: Rovsea(#260)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Not voted : @k-59, @Wagonlitz @brovahkiin @Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> #253) @AvatarOfKhaine
fascinating
You can always sub.

madchemist of mc was taken? The former would be unusual; the latter not at all.

You aren't 18 yet?
AOK isn't playing.

Vote MC

Consolidation and while he has a point he hasn't played a lite in months, I am not sure that he didn't use to use his method in bigs too back in the day.
Votes a presumable packmate.
We should consolidate. I'd like to give bro a chance, so:

Unvote Brovahkiin, Vote Spockyt
The oh-so suspicious post of mine in which I vote Spock.
Hi everybody! (rolls a 6) ugh, more ore. What am I supposed to do with that? Ore doesn't build roads.

Anyway,
Vote Madchemist

Why? Because I believe that moves him and Spockyt into a 3-3 tie for now and I want to get a vote down before I give the thread a reread, although most of it up to this point is talking about chess or Steam MP (which I'm potentially down for).

Vote Count 9.5ish hours til deadline


Spockyt 3: LatinKaiser (#201) deathbywombat (#239) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats ->#270)


Madchemist 3: Aedan777 (#184) Happycats (#282) Wagonlitz (#263)

Brovahkiin 2: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273)

Luftwafer 2: Rovsea(#260) avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Aedan777 1: Madchemist (#191)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)


Not voted: @k-59,

Right. The almost sepulchral silence of the thread as of now has me rather doubting that the wolves are much concerned by who's in the lead at the moment. Seeing that I'm one of those two, that's hardly surprising to me. I'm thinking a vote switch of some sort is in order.

Oh, and anyone interested in playing chess with me, shoot me a PM. I have to write a test this evening in addition to the perpetual scourge of grading, but I should be able to manufacture time for a couple blitz style games, at least.
MC asks for a vote change.
I'm going vote Happycats for bringing MC into the tie, anyone want to join me?

Vote Happycats
k-59 makes a threeway, apparently oblivious to the votecount.
*Shrugs*

I'm always wary of when I let someone else pick, but sure, why not. He's as good a choice as any.

Unvote aedan
Vote AvatarofKhaine

Let's do it.

Unvote Spokcyt
Vote AvatarofKhaine
In hindsight, this... is a voteswitch with two wolves in it... and me. Welp.
Unvote Spockyt, Vote Avatar

Meh, Avatar is cool too.

Unvote Happy, Vote Avatar
And k-59, placing avatar ahead.
I like my vote where it is. Spockyt switched votes for no reason in the last lite early, and did so earlier this game (Luft to no vote to Bro) because he "wanted to live" about 12 hours before deadline - so he targeted Bro/happycats.
Lynching madchemist this early would be stupid beyond belief, as he is a very good late game analyst.
DBW has an interesting system of D1 voting, doesn't he?
Vote Count 4.5ish hours til deadline

AvatarofKhaine 4: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) k-59 (happycats #293 -> #299)

Madchemist 3: Aedan777 (#184) Happycats (#282) Wagonlitz (#263)

Happycats 2: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273)

Luftwafer 2: Rovsea(#260) avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Spockyt 1: deathbywombat (#239)

What an interesting situation.

Unvote Luftwafer, Vote Brovahkiin
Rovsea... creates a second-place TIE? I guess that's why he did this?
Vote Count 1 hour til deadline

AvatarofKhaine 4: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) k-59 (happycats #293 -> #299)

Madchemist 3: Aedan777 (#184) Happycats (#282) Wagonlitz (#263)

Happycats 3: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273) Rovsea (Luftwafer #260 ->#305)

Luftwafer 1: avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Spockyt 1: deathbywombat (#239)

I totally didn't notice there were other votes on happy. BTW doing this on my phone.

Unvote avatar, vote happy
In hindsight, k-59 looks a fair bit more suspicious for not choosing madchemist. Then again, it makes more sense for it to have been a true statement.
Look at the OP; the deadline is given in GMT and Britain's normal time is GMT; i.e. you are in GMT at the moment. It is 1 AM British time.

Also I am going to bed now (2 AM is to late), so don't do anything stupid. Since I won't be here to help prevent a threeway (or a twoway) I will switch off MC to minimise the chance of a threeway.

Unvote MC
Vote happy


A TIE is now less likely.
And here Wagon seems to be following k-59 in defending MC.
So the case on me is 'people are quiet, therefore the wolves are happy about the candidates' and 'happycats voted madchemist making him one of the top two candidates' therefore 'happycats is a wolf'. Wow, leap of logic if I ever saw one. Not really much defense I could give. I had already received a couple of votes, so pushing up MC and having both him and Spockyt above me gave me a little early breathing room, plus it kept the focus on a few candidates rather than trying to make a six person tie where everyone has two votes and it's ultimately meaningless. Is it great reasoning? No, but like I said, there wasn't much behind it.

Anyway, since I don't really have a choice right now:

Unvote MadChemist, Vote AvatarOfKhaine

Also, interesting note, all the people who jumped on to me did so after the switch to AvatarOfKhaine. Perhaps the switch struck a wolf nerve? Probably just wishful thinking on my part though.
The pushback. Not unreasonable, of course.
I still like Spockyt as a candidate, but I like Avatar as a candidate better than happycats, and the quick runup on happycats bugs me.

Unvote Spockyt
Vote AvatarofKhaine
Right.
I continue to prefer Avatar to happycats. Happycats' rapid rise in votes looks a lot like a possible save attempt.
But he doesn't mention for whom. Oh wow. That could have been really good.
Vote Count 23 minutes til deadline

AvatarofKhaine 5: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) deathbywombat (Spockyt #239-> #319) Happycats (Madchemist #282 -> #318)

Happycats 5: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273) Rovsea (Luftwafer #260 ->#305) k-59 (happycats #293 -> AvatarofKhaine #299 -> #310) Wagonlitz (Madchemist #263 -> #315)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

Luftwafer 1: avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)
And this is the final day count.
No.

UNVOTE K-59
VOTE AVATAR


I don't like happy's ease of running up.

Unvote happy vote avatar
Right. To avoid a TIE.
Final Vote Count

AvatarofKhaine 7: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) deathbywombat (Spockyt #239-> #319) Happycats (Madchemist #282 -> #318) k-59 (happycats #293 -> AvatarofKhaine #299 -> Happycats #310 ->#335) Audren (k-59 #186 ->#334)

Happycats 4: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273) Rovsea (Luftwafer #260 ->#305) Wagonlitz (Madchemist #263 -> #315)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

Luftwafer 1: avatarofkhaine (#249)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Any Disagreements?
And that marks the end of D1. Hurrah.
 

Jacksonian Missionary

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No final vote count, no real point here unless requested

Day 6/Night 6:

A very quiet day for village, as they mourn the loss of the man who bravely stepped up and gave his life for the sake of cleansing Catan of the robbers. They all quickly moved to kill the Wagon maker, and went to sleep that night satisfied that there was only one robber among them. (Wagonlitz the Robber was lynched)

In the night, finally the final robber in an angry frenzy for the loss of their fellow counterparts, broke (unknowingly) into the wise man's home and brutally slaughtered him for revenge of the lynching of the robbers. The blood would stain the walls for weeks (k-59 the Wiseman was hunted)

(Wagonlitz the Robber was lynched)
(k-59 the Wiseman was hunted)
 

happycats517

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Wow, really? It's almost like that's what consolidation is: placing some candidates above others. Incidentally, what other candidates do you think I should have picked?

Madchemist. :rolleyes:

Close to deadline. Placing you above the voteswitch (the same action you claim makes me look suspicious when done earlier).

Don't think I ever called you suspicious for placing me above the voteswitch. Citation needed.

I mentioned that DBW followed MC and you without thought before I posted. He followed MC and happy, not me, because I posted after DBW posted. It's kind of difficult to understand, I know, this whole temporal thing.

You voted in the vote switch after DBW responded to the "reaction" to the vote switch? :eek:

Jesus Christ. So you think that I was asking people to vote avatar because I thought he was a wolf because I thought they wouldn't do what I asked so I would look better? I don't know what kind of crazy wolf you think I am, but rest assured that this convoluted plan not only fails Occam's Razor, but also is a really stupidly risky thing to do. And you used Occam's Razor to argue k-59's innocence; if k-59 is presumed innocent I should be too.

k-59 is innocent to me right now because of MC's day 2 push on him. And what kind of crazy wolf do I think you are? One who has already done this once or twice. :rolleyes:

I know, making cases on myself seem ridiculous is really wolfish, isn't it?

Defensive, aren't you? Again, if you bothered to read anything I posted you'd know I looked at basically every post I had a comment on.

It's a post directed to Lufwafer, who sounded truly confused. He was obviously struggling with so many choices ("I'm such an idiot" "I don't know what I"m doing") that limiting it to two candidates was my way of helping him not freak out. I'm sure you've read the parenting books about not presenting kids with too many choices ("Do you want a green or a blue or a red or an aquamarine sippie cup?" vs. "Do you want a red or a blue sippie cup?"). Same deal here.

Here that Luftwafer, you're just too dumb to play WW and make your own decisions! Let Aunt Aziz decide for you!

Frankly, this is growing really tiring. You are interpreting every situation through the lense of me already being a wolf. You've already decided I'm a wolf before looking at my posts. It results in absurdly convoluted plots and absurd motives ascribed to me.

You realize that this is on the same day where I was talking about why I suspected MC a few posts up, right?

You mean that dinky little post I already commented on? I took that into account. Still not any strong suspicion you cast on him.

No, I've never argued I kept pressure on him. There is little I can say that shows opposition to MC — but then again, little k-59 or Ironhide can say in that regard, either — so I settled for mentioning that I was suspicious of him. This is seriously annoying.

Oh yes, Ironhide the leading candidate who MC was on right before the outing. A great choice! And k-59 the one MC tried to push after D1, another magnificent choice!

Your case is also heavily predicated on you being a villager.

Right. Prove that I'm not. Prove that my vote on madchemist to put him into a long standing tie when I had the easy choice of Spockyt and Wagonlitz's late D1 vote that almost killed me were a grand old wolf plan. Prove that my long post about madchemist after the day of the outing was just some good old fun between packmates. This'll be a fun thing to see.

Yeah, so silly that aedan the goodie thought this too.

Innocence by association is a poor reason. "A villager did it too so I'm cleared!"

You don't explain why any of this "suspicious" stuff makes me mroe likely to be a wolf, for example.

*sigh* let me get the picturebook for you. Again, prove someone else is a wolf and maybe I'll listen.

Oh, and by the way, I *was* going to look back through the game and write up a case, but instead I had to respond to this monster of a post.

*Yawn* So believable.
 

happycats517

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One of the only extant Ironhide posts.


Wow, so interesting.

I don't know why I thought this was interesting. It's the second vote on Spock, but DBW and Spock and LK are dead.

fascinating

Votes a presumable packmate.

The oh-so suspicious post of mine in which I vote Spock.





MC asks for a vote change.

k-59 makes a threeway, apparently oblivious to the votecount.



In hindsight, this... is a voteswitch with two wolves in it... and me. Welp.



And k-59, placing avatar ahead.

DBW has an interesting system of D1 voting, doesn't he?



Rovsea... creates a second-place TIE? I guess that's why he did this?



In hindsight, k-59 looks a fair bit more suspicious for not choosing madchemist. Then again, it makes more sense for it to have been a true statement.

And here Wagon seems to be following k-59 in defending MC.

The pushback. Not unreasonable, of course.

Right.

But he doesn't mention for whom. Oh wow. That could have been really good.

And this is the final day count.



Right. To avoid a TIE.

And that marks the end of D1. Hurrah.

Wow much analysis. Very impressive. So you commented on what a lot of dead players did and the now dead seer. Noted an Ironhide post and made snarky comments. Do we have 5 more posts worth of this?
 

Ironhide G1

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Ok guys, to prove I'm not a worthless player, I'm going through every single post from day 1 onwards. Will do parts and will put a REST TBD and EDI this post when I can.

Vote Madchemist

2x my sign-up #

Vote Ironhide
The path to our salvation is not through the Papal States
Bad move voting a villager, and a stupid reason(yes it was day one I know).
VOTE K-59

He rolled a 1 on the player list. How is that even possible? What foul, sorcerous dice are you rolling?

Vote Brovahkiin

The RNG said so.

What was that you were saying about voting like
Vote This?

I'd play you in chess online. I abandoned my game with Rovsea, but that was because A) I forget and B) I was almost certain I would win. (A belated sorry about that, Rovsea.)

I would happily play you in chess sometime (or Rovsea for that matter)

Oh right, there's a game going on.



Amusingly enough,

Vote aedan777

Standard day 1 method.



Or I could lynch the heretics. Should have done more of that last game, as it turns out. All the vocal anti-Catholics were wolves.

(By the way, it's a good idea to upsize the word "vote" as well as the person you're voting.)



I'm game. (Don't expect grandmaster-level play, or anything close to it. I'm prone to making quick moves without seeing all the consequences.)
More day 1voting..
By Steam MP tournament, are you referring to any specific game? Like EU, or Age of Empires, or something like that? Because that'd be fun.

I'd like to play Civ5 MP, although I know we have some Civ4 purist here.
CIV IV IS BETTER!
I would LOVE a Civ 5 tourney, but my PC can't handle multiplayer too well

Eww, the heresy!

But a Civ MP would be pretty rad, and I imagine more people have V anyway.

I'm not a purist; I just haven't bothered to learn the entirely new system. WW has sucked up all the time I might use to learn new computer games.

We've done OT Forum Civ5 games in the past, though it seems they were before you registered. They were good fun.

Also, any of you chess players have a rating? (I'm in the 1300s.)

Vote Rovsea

1/2 my signup

how do you get a rating?

Also I'm smelling the possibility of a OT forum chess tourney

I know that feel. When we were doing the OT MP games Tam mentioned my laptop overheated and generally sucked, but since then I got a superior laptop but haven't had another chance to try CIV5 MP.

I don't own AoE, but EUIV, Civ V (or IV, though ever since BNW and G&K I've only played V), and Mount and Blade all work.

Oh, and vote Spokcyt

If you want an official one you'd have to play in FIDE tournaments. Mine's just calculated by my records against people in my local club, though I haven't played for a while.

:(

Also, Vote Luftwafer.

For being even more patriotic then me.
More day 1voting
Ahh. I don't play tournaments anymore, my extent of chess is the AI on my computer and my friends. And the occasional chance for my cousins to beat me

I'd be up for any of those, though I'd be laughably bad at EUIV or Civ V. M&B would be great.



You used to play tournaments? I never knew that.

I'm up for Civ 5, but I'm going to warn you that I really suck at Civ 5 for some reason. I probably don't practice enough.

No rating, but I can beat almost everyone I've met.

Yes! I would love to play a chess tournament or a Civ 5 tournament!

Um Vicky II , Vicky Revolutions and HOI III are kind of my games. So is MII and Rome Total War, as well as base Civ 5, Civil War II, Sid Meier's Railroads, Trainz Rail Simulator, and Railroad Tycoon II and III, and probably more I can't remember off the top of my head.

Empire and Napoleon Total War, Civ 5 Brave New World and Gods and Kings, and XCOM are all yours. Sadly no Paradox Games. But there are more out there, though I want CKII and EUIV.



Definatley interested. Either Civ 5 or Vicky II,or perhaps another game.


We? Nice use of the Royal "we". That was my idea!

VOTE BROVAKOLIN
((I'm sorry can't spell, I don't feel like going and finding the name))

No facist Popes(lol there were none historically).
My day 1 vote.
My parish/elementary school had a chess club so I occasionally got to go to tourney's. It was pretty cool



looks like we got a pro on our hands :p
Yes, me. Totally.:p
I was the one who introduced the whole physical contact dodgeball, you came up with the original idea, and I improved it immensely

And honestly the steam games are like communism, we distribute the wealth :D
Ah Communism; Socialism in its finest.
So, why are you voting brovahkiin? o_O

Meh, never been the biggest fan of multiplayer for video games. Though it has been some years since I last played chess. Would be interested in playing some games of that.

Trampoline dodgeball is already a real thing, FYI (minus the fighting elements you introduced). It's a ton of fun, too.

See above^^^^



True though trampoline places do have it; though not or fun as intense in a smaller trampoline.

Watching the world championships of that on Youtube is oddly entertaining. Playing it in person is even better

Cage fighting is the best part of a trampoline, anyways.

So we've got about a half dozen people who would play chess. Anyone know any good sites for it? Rovsea and I played for a bit on itsyourturn, but the move limit there was stupid and made games slow.

I actually deeply enjoy dodgeball. I was absolute crap at hitting other people, but I was a frickin prodigy at dodging things. It's the only thing I miss about gym.
I also am decent at dogding things.
We could write moves to each other and play it on separate chess sets, but only as a last resort.

My unschooling groups dodge ball games were thing to behold.
Unschoolings?
You seriously were allowed to beat pupils in Britain until 2007? Also by Tories not getting there in time you mean them not being in power or them not showing up in parliament for the vote?


Same here.

So much this. The Danish goulash barons got ridiculously rich by selling "food" to both the entente and the central powers. Most of that "food" was goulash since then it wasn't possible to determine what was in it; most of the time the ingredients included rotten vegetables, rat meat, dog meat, etc.
It is still allowed to beat pupils in the US?


Was it in a fancy restaurant?
You haven't used your standard method for the last many games you have played; any reason you have started using it again?

You are a Tory like luft?

At 14? I doubt it.

I'd be willing to join a chess tournament, though I am pretty bad at it. However, if we played Connect 4, it might be a very different story. :p

You don't have gym anymore?

Don't be joking connect 4 is serious business :p

u wanna go m8?

Count me in for a chess tourney as well. I'm delightfully average at best.

Anything with those little scooters > dodgeball :p
Man the little scooters:D
little scooters && dodgeball > little scooters || dodgeball

LK, world champion of... Connect 4. o_O

I go to an arts school.

Also, being allowed to beat pupils differs by state in the US, I think. Usually there are restrictions, though, and in most places parents would have a hissy fit if any did take place (and for good reason!).
Arts are good, especially music!
I would imagine that paintball would be a popular sport at your school, Aziz.

omg those little scooters were so fun

If Americans have nothing else in common today in this polarized political environment, at least we have Bill Nye and those little scooters.


They are parallel?
Ah Bill Nye, the guy who pretended to be a scientist on television on a sub par show.
Actually kids at my school are really conflict-averse, and we are not allowed to play paintball because it is messy and expensive. Why you would think such a thing without other information.
/Wagonlitz persona

I'm pretty sure that it isn't.



This is the first Lite I've played in months. I have a different system for Bigs.



MfvvyDB.gif

Here you need to have gym no matter which school you go to; it is the politicians wanting a healthy population.

It still seems really strange that it is semi allowed in the US considering it has been completely banned here since the 60s and it has been illegal for parents to hit their children since the late 90s (almost nobody if not nobody did it by then). It just seems so archaic and uncivilised.
Don't forget the first lady determning what you eat for lunch!
I am not in Bhutan, nor am I from there, but the avatar I use online has become Rovsea. I am only Rovsea while I am here, ergo I am (usually) not Bhutan.

Vote Count 22 Hours til Deadline:

Brovahkiin 2: Al-Aziz (#187) Ironhide G1 (#207)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Aedan777 1: Madchemist (#191)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

Spockyt 1: LatinKaiser (#201)

Luftwafer 1: Spockyt (#203)

Not voted : @k-59, @Wagonlitz @brovahkiin @deathbywombat @Rovsea @AvatarOfKhaine

March of the Eagles is brilliant within its scope... but its scope is pretty limited. It's not really what I would call a grand strategy, it's much more of a one trick pony.

I know. :/ You will get no argument here. It is deeply cruel, barbaric, and abusive, and it does not have positive effects.

http://www.businessinsider.com/19-states-still-allow-corporal-punishment-2014-3

As of 2014 it is permissible in 19 states, and the administration of the punishment disproportionately affects black students. However, in my state it is only permissible if it does not leave a mark on the student. At my school, and *probably* throughout my school district, nobody would ever do this to a student.
Sure. I've never had it in school, but so etimes it is necessary for parents to use it to teach kids discipline and show them they are perfect little unttachable special snowflakes who can never have their feelings hurt.
Well damn. Good luck village, this deadline was amazing for me. So kinda sad.

I would be down for an OT chess or other game tourney. So-so in chess and above average in most games.


Ooh, chess! I would also be up for a tournament/game with all challengers. I used chess.com to play people a while back - still need to dig up my account. Was an OK blitz player, could have been decent in regular but always got impatient/never learned the openings. Weak beginning/endgame, strong mid-game.

http://www.chess.com/


Ah, and voting!

Vote Spockyt

I could, if people would be interested, start either a Civ 5 or Vicky II multiplayer-though Civ 5 would defiantly be better for multiplayer. Just not tonight. Perhaps tomorrow I can set up a steam group and such.

However, given the fact my brother and I share the same steam account, I'll probably let Jacksonain play Civ and I'll sit out.

Setting up a Steam group is a good idea.

Cool. Signed up for an account there. But my user name is already in use, so I had to prefix it with "Pdox_". :(

At this point, further chess discussion should probably go into PMs, I suppose.

Done: http://steamcommunity.com/groups/otwerewolf

Although, I probably won't be able to play until Friday.


No, not at all. I'm proud of my country, but to nowhere near that extent. While winning WW1/WW2 was a good thing, those who were neutral ultimately came up better.

I'd also be up for doing multiplayer of a multitude of games, including Chess. I used to be above average, I've lost my skills though, slightly. I'd say I'm below average now.

And now you can even join it directly!

I would like a chess game too. I do hope you guys wouldnt want to do it real time, since I never know when I will be able to take 5minutes out for the pc.

As for voting: I would have voted health for being half my signup, so now I vote Jermantk, for being in the vicinity of half my signup.

Turn down the nationalism/patriotism a tad


neat idea



does hearthstone count :p





you guys have a chess thing going?


Civ V with all expansions is as good or better than IV IMHO

anyway totally game for a big Civ V multiplayer tournament or chess one especially. (play in my schools chess team :p)

Vote Luftwafer

I'm actually also a Conservative(to-be though only in my case), but you took it to far. And for that you must be removed from our peaceful colonies for the good of all.

(Rolls a 5)
Oh no a Conservative! You are a racist sexist hater islamophobic homophobic and feminist anti woman part of the patriarchy! WAAAAAAH!!!
My fellow countrymen have turned against me :eek:

I suppose there is one thing you can say to convince me to unvote you..... North or South?

Leeds fan for life
I live in East Anglia in Cambridge
So south

Unvote Luftwafer.

Ye're one of them wee southern Jessies?

About a mile from the South Coast, you can't get much souther.

Marty and I played a game a while back (I lost pretty hard). He used chess.com, I just had my own board standing next to me. Definitely interested in playing some chess as well. I can beat all of my friends, but that doesn't tell you much for this forum. :p

EDIT: In fact, I might just start a thread this afternoon. I've got time on my hands like you wouldn't believe, anyway.

Age of Empires is love. Age of Empires is life.

Vote candidate #1, although since he did do a large bolded section, if we see a worse offender later on, I will be voting them instead.

Connect 4 is also great. I'd definitely be interested in playing some more online chess, though as MC pointed out, the website we were using in the past kind of sucks.

No bold. Hmmmm, vote candidate #2, anyone?

I would be down with Vicky II multiplayer. I never got it to work, however.

I bagsy England for the Civ 5 tournament

Right, we have two candidates, but one didn't bold. However, he did increase size. Terefore, it's a coin flip (literally, I'm flipping a coin).

Vote Luftwafer

I bolded the person I was voting for

Vote Count 15ish Hours til Deadline:

Brovahkiin 2: Al-Aziz (#187) Ironhide G1 (#207)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Aedan777 1: Madchemist (#191)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

Spockyt 2: LatinKaiser (#201) deathbywombat (#239)

Luftwafer 1: Rovsea(#260)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Not voted : @k-59, @Wagonlitz @brovahkiin @Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> #253) @AvatarOfKhaine

I think you may have missed that?

Ah, I see. I unvoted, you put it down as AOK.

I've changed my avatar to a different British flsg, to simplify matters.

You can always sub.

madchemist of mc was taken? The former would be unusual; the latter not at all.

You aren't 18 yet?
AOK isn't playing.

Vote MC

Consolidation and while he has a point he hasn't played a lite in months, I am not sure that he didn't use to use his method in bigs too back in the day.
Good vote on wolf.
REST TBD

Damn those avatars!

Am I missing something?

A player of legend was called AOK.11.

Ah, I see. I'll stop being lazy and type fully.

Feels weird my posts not having my avatar. At least it is not so much of an extreme change as some of the other ones I tried.

Nope, only 16 going on 17 this academic year.

Same. I'm not allowed to play video games except on Friday and the weekend.

Also, how are we supposed to coordinate this with all the timezones?

You need to enlarge and bold both the person and the verb:

Verb Person


"I am sixteen, going on seventeen, you'll take care of, me!"

We should consolidate. I'd like to give bro a chance, so:

Unvote Brovahkiin, Vote Spockyt

As Ithvan pointed out, when you say AOK you mean AOK.11 who is one of the best players we have had.

You can also just call him avatar like the rest of us.

Weren't you only 14?

It's from The Sound of Music. Liesel and the Nazi boy sing that song. Then it starts raining. Then we go inside to see Maria and the children sing the "Favorite Things" song.

Well, I have to do an inconvenient thing called sleep, so a vote now is going to stick till... Is it 1 am or 12 am now? (Back to GMT.)

I'd like to live, so despite it incriminating me, by slightly bandwagoning and by drawing it closer to a tie,

Vote Brovahkiin. (I don't think I spelled that correctly? Also, done on IPAD Mini, it can be done on here. Does anyone know what font size is standard? I can't figure it out.)

You spelled it right. It is not *that* suspicious, though you should probably not worry about dying this early in the day- though if you will be asleep it's a partially valid worry.

Isolate votes from text.
Like So

If you are in Britain then deadline is the time shown in the OP since you are in GMT; so it is 1:00 for you.
How is putting the 2nd vote on somebody bandwagoning? People sure have been misusing the term bandwagon lately.
Also I believe the standard font in the new forum is 3.5 which is the reason you cannot just upscale your vote to size 4 anymore.

Ah crap.
Misread the initial post, deadline isnt as convenient for me as I thought.
Ah well, there are worse things.

sub out
I have a long history paper on the industrial revolution to write sorry

I feel like I'm always giving people second chances, and then...

Anyway, textiles and agricultural advances and the taking of land from the commons (forgot the name) were major factors in the Industrial Revolution.

(enclosure act and it's a paper on industrial revolution: good thing or bad thing. Truly honors history requires deep analysis?)

Yes, that was it. Interesting. I should probably let you get to it then. (It was, imo, a good thing overall, but there were horrible aspects.)

Fine, happycats will sub

Hi everybody! (rolls a 6) ugh, more ore. What am I supposed to do with that? Ore doesn't build roads.

Anyway,
Vote Madchemist

Why? Because I believe that moves him and Spockyt into a 3-3 tie for now and I want to get a vote down before I give the thread a reread, although most of it up to this point is talking about chess or Steam MP (which I'm potentially down for).

Vote Count 9.5ish hours til deadline


Spockyt 3: LatinKaiser (#201) deathbywombat (#239) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats ->#270)


Madchemist 3: Aedan777 (#184) Happycats (#282) Wagonlitz (#263)

Brovahkiin 2: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273)

Luftwafer 2: Rovsea(#260) avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Aedan777 1: Madchemist (#191)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)


Not voted: @k-59,

Did they go off BST already?

I voted Luftwafer.

Damn these union jacks

Yes. In the EU summer time ends at 3 AM on the night between the last Saturday in October and the Sunday coming after it. Which this year was last Saturday.
Hadn't my big ended on the last day of summer time I would just after the update have reminded people that GMT doesn't change with summer time, but expected some European players getting trapped by the deadline suddenly being 1 hour earlier.

Damn these French flags/symbols.

You say to the antipodean :p

Presumably he meant in Britain.

Right. The almost sepulchral silence of the thread as of now has me rather doubting that the wolves are much concerned by who's in the lead at the moment. Seeing that I'm one of those two, that's hardly surprising to me. I'm thinking a vote switch of some sort is in order.


Oh, and anyone interested in playing chess with me, shoot me a PM. I have to write a test this evening in addition to the perpetual scourge of grading, but I should be able to manufacture time for a couple blitz style games, at least.

Maybe that's just what they want you to think.

But yeah, I agree. How about to avatar? (The RNG says so.)

I'm going vote Happycats for bringing MC into the tie, anyone want to join me?

Vote Happycats

*Shrugs*

I'm always wary of when I let someone else pick, but sure, why not. He's as good a choice as any.

Unvote aedan
Vote AvatarofKhaine

Missed k-59's vote just now. No objection to that one either.

Let's do it.

Unvote Spokcyt
Vote AvatarofKhaine

Unvote Spockyt, Vote Avatar

I might not be on for Deadline because dinner with my mother.

Meh, Avatar is cool too.

Unvote Happy, Vote Avatar

I like my vote where it is. Spockyt switched votes for no reason in the last lite early, and did so earlier this game (Luft to no vote to Bro) because he "wanted to live" about 12 hours before deadline - so he targeted Bro/happycats.
Lynching madchemist this early would be stupid beyond belief, as he is a very good late game analyst.

Vote Count 4.5ish hours til deadline

AvatarofKhaine 4: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) k-59 (happycats #293 -> #299)

Madchemist 3: Aedan777 (#184) Happycats (#282) Wagonlitz (#263)

Happycats 2: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273)

Luftwafer 2: Rovsea(#260) avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Spockyt 1: deathbywombat (#239)

What an interesting situation.

Unvote Luftwafer, Vote Brovahkiin

I subbed to a case of long history paper assigned )

yes please use happycats instead of brovahkiin so I don't mess up votes

Vote Count 23 minutes til deadline

AvatarofKhaine 5: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) deathbywombat (Spockyt #239-> #319) Happycats (Madchemist #282 -> #318)

Happycats 5: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273) Rovsea (Luftwafer #260 ->#305) k-59 (happycats #293 -> AvatarofKhaine #299 -> #310) Wagonlitz (Madchemist #263 -> #315)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

Luftwafer 1: avatarofkhaine (#249)

k-59 1: Audren (#186)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Um guys, Happy had 3 votes before anyone switched to avatar. I switch off him and back on. Rovsea is the only person to switch onto happy in reaction to avatar being run up.

Rovsea and Wagonlitz.

Jackson, don't abbreviate avatar as AOK. He isn't AOK.

I missed Wagon's switch, oops.

grumble grumble

This is a classic undermining technique- first supporting something, then switching away when your support is needed. How did you not know that happy had other votes when votecounts were nearly as numerous as votes? If you wanted to make a closer race, why didn't you vote neither?

Here is the votecount on page 15 and your post directly below it.


Is this really the kind of "case" that you would value above others?


Not "happy doesn't seem to be gaining traction, so I'll vote avatar"- "meh", which implies you don't care enough about it to bother. But then you go back to happy, claiming you didn't see the votecount directly above you on the same page you voted Happy. This is either extreme incompetence, or deliberate.

We don't want a tie today, correct?

Obviously, I saw the vote count or how could I have known MC was in the tie. So, you're saying my clever ploy was making a completly mean switch that put my vote back in same place? Maybe it makes 1000% more sense I was telling the truth.

And if you want to complain about how good a case is on day 1, talk to the people voting based off their sign up number.

Probably not.

At the very top of the page. Did you somehow miss happycats subbing in for bro who you should have known had votes?

You knew that he had subbed in, because you saw this vote post. You knew that bro had subbed out, because of Jackson's post at the top of the page. You knew how many people were in the TIE, so you obviously looked at the votecount, because relying on another player's count isn't good play. You knew there were votes on him, because you aren't an idiot player.

You knew he directly stated that he was bringing MC into the TIE. And yet you still thought it was a good enough case to return to - but not enough of a case to stick with?

No.

UNVOTE K-59
VOTE AVATAR


I don't like happy's ease of running up.

Unvote happy vote avatar

deadline

both votes count

So why did you switch back to happy, claiming that you hadn't realized how many votes he had? Did you just not make the connection between happy subbing for bro -> bro has votes -> happy has bro's votes?

In the future, GMs should make proper votecounts. :p

In the future, GMs should auto-lynch such obvious dissidents. :p

Final Vote Count

AvatarofKhaine 7: Madchemist (Aedan777 #191->#294) LatinKaiser (Spockyt #201->#296) Al-Aziz (#187 Happycats -> Spockyt #270-> #297) deathbywombat (Spockyt #239-> #319) Happycats (Madchemist #282 -> #318) k-59 (happycats #293 -> AvatarofKhaine #299 -> Happycats #310 ->#335) Audren (k-59 #186 ->#334)

Happycats 4: Ironhide G1 (#207) Spockyt (luftwafer #249-> no vote #253-> #273) Rovsea (Luftwafer #260 ->#305) Wagonlitz (Madchemist #263 -> #315)

Madchemist 1: Aedan777 (#184)

Luftwafer 1: avatarofkhaine (#249)

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Any Disagreements?

In the past present and future, the GM has made proper votecounts ;)

No one ever said anything about you. ;)

Clearly, I knew he subbed since I voted for. Also I never make my own counts excepts if I need to snipe. For some reason I didn't read it beyond the top two names. I'm still not sure what you think I gain by vote someone switch to someone else then switching back to first person.

Day 1/Night 1

In the outrage of everyone's healthy wheat supplier being killed in cold blood, the settlers meet and decide who is responsible for such despicable actions. Many accusations are put forth, lots doing with being displeased of the lack of sheep. A man who loved cats too much was was a popular candidate, as some blamed the cats for depleting the wheat crop. But others love for cats was too great, and instead pushed forth a young wood trader who went by the name of Avatar. The name reminded the village too much of M. Night Shyamalan, and as a result the poor young business man was stoned to death with clay. (AvatarofKhaine the villager is lynched)

In the night the terror continued as the welsh sheep and camel lover was found dead, choking on sheep wool. Truly he died too early, but certainly it would be the way he wanted to go (Audren the villager is hunted)

AvatarofKhaine the villager is lynched
Audren the villager is hunted

Mildly suspicious. Also odd is the rapid changing back and forth of k-59, although the level of hysteria that al-Aziz projects is a bit much, methinks. As well, Audren changed pretty much in step with K-59 (at least at the end) and he was a villager, so I'm not sure we can conclude anything about that yet.

I'm looking at al-Aziz, for now, mostly because she seemed to be pushing just a bit hard for my liking.

Vote al-Aziz

Neat! I haven't been hunted so early in forever! (Never been Night 0 hunted, though).

Lucky you...

Although you do seem to be taking the whole death thing rather well.

I may have underestimated the amount of stuff I have to do this week. Even with the late deadline, I couldn't have been as active as I'd have like. Plus it's never hurts to look on the bright side of things.

I'm inclined to think neither AvatarofKhaine nor happycats was/is a wolf. That was a VERY late switch off happycats (1 minute before deadline), and at least one of the two people who switched was a confirmed villager (Audren). So my best guess is the spies were content to let either one lynch. Maybe happycats is a packmate with either k-59/Al-Aziz (k-59 as a late sniper, al-Aziz for pushing the Avatar case so strongly), but prolonging a tie so close to deadline is a very dangerous game to be playing on day one. (FWIW, I had a snipe set up to happycats if the tie was prolonged to within 10 seconds to deadline, and possibly others did as well.)
If I'm right, that would mean that those who orchestrated the initial switch off Spockyt and MC are prime suspects. Spockyt still strikes me as a very good choice (he switched onto bro/happycats early, putting him into contention. Also, his vote on #273 is weird - he talks about possibly "incriminating himself" by voting happycats - could be a threadbare cover for if happycats proved innocent?).

LatinKaiser, MC, myself, Rovsea, and Wagon also fall under suspicion, if my chain of events is correct (all of these proved to be important votes on happycats/AvatarofKhaine). But for now, I'm going to...

Vote Spockyt

Forgot to bold my vote. (sorry Rovsea)

Vote Spockyt

You could have given your support to the voteswitch, then left in order to undermine it. (This is what LK did in my first game- support my case against jonti- then withdraw in order to undermine it.) Obviously this isn't really applicable because avatar is a villager, but I was somewhat suspicious he was not.

If I knew I was about to be severely disproven, would I have tried so hard?

Indeed. It occurred to me shortly after he posted that MC could be the apparently absent wolves intervening. :D

But he was also in the running himself, so I don't think it's particulary suspicious he didn't want to be run up.

It does not, though, seem to make sense that he tried to save Spock as well. It is not what I would have predicted for a villager to do, but I don't know MC's style well enough to view it as incriminating either way.

Even if MC were a wolf, Spock could have been the person MC saved to place suspicion on.

Why am I not on the list of suspicious people? Not that I want to be, but it's a fairly prominent omission. o_O

Aziz, you remember your first game? I'm sorry for undermining your case, I guess. :p

As for today's results, I think that k-59 looks a bit fishy due to his support of the voteswitch and then abandoning it as soon as a tie was created. However, let's not discount the players who placed one vote down and then completely disappeared. If I'm not mistaken, Spokcyt was one such players, and, when looked at in the context of his strange voting justification, I think he's a good suspect for today.

Vote Spokcyt

Mentioned you in the first paragraph, and I don't believe in repeating myself. :D

*twitch*

Are you aware that it is spelled "S p o c k y t"?

This is for reference later.


Spock is overly concerned with appearing suspicious.

TIE of MC and Spock.


The voteswitch happens, and k-59 simultaneously suggests a switch to happy.




I accept that my former suspicion of you for this might have been misguided. However, it still occupies an fairly important place- it places happy not only before Avatar, but also MC.


Which Wagonlitz follows. Tell me, Wagon, you really couldn't have asked someone else? TIEs are usually beneficial.


The chain of votes from k-59's has forced happy to stop voting MC. If one looks at the effects and assumes they were intended, k-59 looks more and more suspicious.

Why indeed would he switch back to happy? Why indeed? If happy and avatar were equally good candidates, why did he choose to move to happy as opposed to staying on an equally qualified candidate?

This apparent opposition to avatar sparks a reaction, notably headed by MC - who is no longer in any danger - and followed by DBW.


Ah, they're like bookmarks, aren't they? Bookmarks of ~condemnation~. DBW has expressed no reason to like Spock before this, but tries to paint himself as reasonable. He follows MC and happycats without real thought; it is a little bit - odd. Where was he before this, anyway?

I am suspicious of DBW, MC, k-59, and, far less than the others, Rovsea, for his unexplained vote. For now, until I get more information, I will

Vote Death by Wombat

Not a problem.

I wouldn't object to voting Spock, though I'd also like to investigate the throwaway voters:

Ironhide 1: Luftwafen (#185)

Rovsea 1: JermanTK (#198)

JermanTK 1: osteles (#247)

Why am I not surprised to see who is here? Another day, and I swear...

I am now...

For what reason? I wasn't about to join you in your bandwagoning of Avatar because there was no case against him....

Also, what is wrong with throwaway votes on day one?

(Couldn't post before, internet went out.)

Throwaway votes are ok, at the beginning of D1. Keeping them there, not so much.

So. I am aware that this will look like I am following Al-Aziz, and in a way, I am. DBW really sticks out to me, partially for going for me, and also for following, and going for Avatar, saving Happycats/Brovahkiin.
I think, if DBW turns out to be a villager, we need to strongly investigate Al-Aziz, for leading us astray. Plus, I'll probably get hung, but if DBW turns out to be a villager, I will be surprised, and by all means, hang me.


Vote DBW.

(Size changing isn't working, sorry. Also, 3.5? Odd. Annoying I can't make text normal size after changing it.)

Possible, I suppose. But it's always way too easy to pick on the player who made a vote switch that didn't work out in the village's favor. Really not sure that's a move I like from you.



Well, we've got pretty solid info on the first of those two, obviously. But I agree. Happycats is an unlikely wolf at the moment, for having received so many heavily threatening votes if nothing else. Coordinated packmate-saving snipes are a thing, but they're such a dangerous thing that they tend not to come into play until the wolves are almost at parity, or at least until the seer's dead.

As for Spockyt - there's potential there. Most of the votes falling off him seem to have been due to his voters being of the more active variety, and that over-cautious hemming and hawing in the vote post you mention is a pretty solid lead and slipped beneath my notice in my quest to ensure my own survival. I'll add my seal of approval in that direction, even if I'm not sure I'm putting down a vote there yet.



Feigning conviction to push a specific lynch is a reasonably common wolf tactic.



I make efforts to save people if the case on them is patently absurd. Otherwise not. Day 1, the only patently absurd cases that I know to be absurd are on me.



Actually, if the happycats as villager hypothesis is right, k-59 is a very good candidate. His voting pattern basically ensured that happycats and Avatar are the top two suspects, with virtually no prospects for change.

Wagon also merits a good long look in that case, as he pushed up happycats in a similar fashion. Furthermore, he was on me prior to that point - both major negatives for him.



Not too much in this post to comment on, but TIEs are typically frowned upon with a living seer and encouraged without one. Whatever the demerits of Wagon's choices, TIE prevention was not one of them.



Throwaway votes are never a good thing. The only power a villager has is his vote, and placing said vote on a throwaway guarantees that your vote will not have any say in who gets lynched - and by extension, guarantees that other players who may not have your best interests in mind do get a say.


My top picks for the moment are k-59 and Wagon, with Spockyt a not-too-distant third.

Vote k-59

Alright, time to get inside the wombat's mind. My day 1 votes, unlike certain others I could name, always have a purpose behind them. In this case, I voted for Spockyt and kept my vote on him because:

1) The wolves had all the advantages on day 1 voting. In order for the villagers to get a wolf on day 1, they essentially have to rely on a wolf making a mistake or getting very lucky. So I wanted to vote for someone who could possibly be pressured into making a mistake and outing himself. Ergo, my vote on spockyt, a comparatively inexperienced player, which was the second vote and put him into actual contention. Which leads to...
2) The inartfully expressed vote switch 12 hours early, off Luft to bro/happycats. Spockty was jumpy very early.
3) The fact that people switched OFF spockty first and so quickly. For a time, he and madchemist were tied at 3 votes. Villager madchemist is one of the best late game analysts in the game. Yet for some reason, 2 people (LatinKaiser/Al-Aziz) start switching off Spockyt onto Avatar, leaving Avatar, madchemist, and later bro/happycats as potential targets.
4) This is admittedly somewhat meta, but Spockty won the last lite (as a wolf after I had targeted him), and I try to target players who I consider comparatively likely wolves on day 1 AND players who haven't been hunted early in previous games, whenever possible.

As for switching to Avatar, my reasoning was as follows:

1) Bro/Happycats was initially voted by people I considered suspicious/relatively weaker analysts - spockyt and Ironhide. The other 3 people to vote for happycats (Rovsea/K-59 initially/Wagonlitz) gave no real justification for their votes for happycats.
2) Avatar was fairly inactive, only making relatively content-free posts. Happycats was more active. Given the choice, I prefer keeping around active players to inactive ones.



I've already explained why I went for you initially. I didn't particularly like the case on either Avatar or happycats, but was forced to pick one or the other.

So, this is the vote count some hours before deadline.
Bro/happy already has 2 votes, aok junior has none.



Then, bro/happy gets this. Nice reasoning...



MC does this. Him I can fogive, he IS being run up. But within 4 minutes aok junior has 3 votes already.

K-59 seems very fishy, but also Aziz and Latinkaiser who immediately bandwagon toghether with MC seem fishy.

I think that amongst these 3 at least one wolf will be found...
Then, we hit that one on the head with some timber. Can anybody trade me some clay? I want to build a road.

Umm... My vote was on Brokavolin, as a day one vote... I did not bandwagon on Happycats. But if day one voting is now a crime, I guess I need to find someone who has a "weak case". But that is not good analysis.

This game, Wagon is much more quiet than usual. Considering how much of a vocal player he is, it concerns me.

Vote Wagonlitz

I usually write everything out and then change the size of my vote, precisely to avoid this issue. It is quite annoying, I agree.

I'm happy with all of the analysis that people are throwing down. Everybody but Wagonlitz, that is. Oh wait... that's right, this deadline is complete and utter horror for Wagonlitz, in the sense that he will never be online for it. He is something like 6 or 7 hours ahead of me, and this is one of the latest deadlines I've played with. There's almost no chance of him being online for hours before the deadline, so why do people expect so much activity from him? In fact, at the point where I would consider it reasonable for him to still be up and watching the werewolf thread, he was actually fairly active, so that case is more or less a bust.

You know who we haven't seen as much of? Aedan. According to the (admittedly bugged) thread search function, he didn't make any posts at all since a vote and an unrelated post very early yesterday, and I can't remember him contributing anything else yesterday. While it's true that aedan isn't always an active player in the sense that other players are, he usually contributes something, especially after an information rich Day 1 lie we recently had.

As for my vote on al-Aziz, I understand why other people don't like it, and since I've just found a case that I find superior, I have no qualms with changing.

Unvote al-Aziz, Vote aedan777

Thank you for explaining.

Way, way too cautious. And it's not good to lynch people for being wrong; you also seem to be preemptively shifting blame away from yourself. This post made me a lot more suspicious of you.

I'm rather biased, but I'd have to agree.


Yes.


Oh. Okay.


Acceptably proactive.


It's nice to see that someone agrees with what I wrote earlier.

But they would have been trying to save *you*. They placed happy and avatar as the main candidates instead of you, and not instead of any other player. If happy and avatar were both villagers and you were too, then why is k-59 suspicious? If you are a villager, I would have rather chosen you to lynch than happy or avatar. Of course, it could be that they would have not risked lynching villager!you due to any numbers of other factors, but - this is, currently, a hole in your case.


I actually didn't know this. It seemed a bit premature, in my opinion.


I concur.


It's called a voteswitch.


Weird defense of Wagonlitz. Funny, since people weren't voting him for not analyzing; they were voting him for placing happycats further in the lead.


I can already anticipate his response to this. :D

I suspect Rovsea, k-59, MC, and Spock the most, but since Spock has the most momentum:

Unvote DBW, Vote Spock

Could I ask a favour of the voters against me please, (no, this is not me begging for my life) could one of you summarise the case against me so I can attempt to put up a defense for it?

Aziz, I quoted part of your post, the parts without meaning (according to me I left out)


True, I overlooked this, Spockyt will be kept under strict surveillance.





Yes, K-59 and Wagon tried to save MC, but you aswell, since you were one of the first to bandwagon 'voteswitch' to our dear avatar. Without reason it seems. So how do you accord this with above statement?




I agree, why defend him so.
edit: Unless it is to make his point against Aedan ofcourse.

Then again, if you are a wolf together with wagon, why emphasise this?

When you propose a voteswitch due to the wolves appearing to be happy about the lynch you switch away from all current front runners.


Firstly in lites we just have 1 free TIE and blowing it early is to the benefit of the wolves and the wolves alone since we risk hitting the seer and cannot make an informed decision on who to TIE. And no I couldn't trust other people with preventing the TIE, since I time and time again have seen a day 1 TIE stand just before deadline and only get broken due to me doing it. And the reason I did it so far from deadline is that I was going to bed.

You can just use the size tags; they work in WYSIWYG too.

You don't think wanting to prevent a day 1 TIE is a real justificaion?
I don't think I have been particularly quiet; also notice how this deadline is in the middle of the night here in Europe.

Again, it was then or never due to sleeping at deadline.

You can also highlight the miss sized text and set it back to normal by hitting the "Ix" button in the right upper comer.

How exacctly did you get that I thought they were equal choices out of this.


Let me make this simple for you:
I voted Happy because I thought he was the best choice.
I switched to Avatar when I incorrectly though lynching Happy was impossible but would still rather MC didn't die. (This I already admitted with my vote on Happy)
When I realized Happy was lynchable I switched back to my first choice.

Of the people who were the sole vote on who they were voting yesterday, only JermanTK is American.


Vote Jerman

As active as day 1, it didn't give us tons of information. Most of the actions were within expected parameters by players- defending themselves, consolidating candidates, and avoiding ties. K-59's gotten a lot of flak, but his votes made sense if you assume he's telling the truth, whereas if you assume he's lying it gets rather convoluted to explain why he would lie. Happycats had been mildly suspicious by putting Madchemist into the tie, and I'll admit I got briefly confused about Brovahkiin/happycats when I went back to look at the page in question.

The only two players I think made noteworthy actions yesterday were Spockyt and Deathbywombat. A lot of people have commented on Spockyt's hedging and half-hearted vote on Brovahkiin. But everyone seems to have missed the most important part about his vote. It wasn't on Madchemist. At the time Spockyt voted, he and Madchemist both had two votes, while everyone else had one or none. Yet Spockyt voted Brovahkiin and cited self-preservation as his motivation. There most certainly are benefits to this action, increasing the number of candidates to make it more likely that someone else will save you once they see vote consolidation, less likely to get driven up "to keep it close", and keeping your vote in a position to snipe if needed. But Spockyt wasn't going to be on, and he's not experienced enough to have thought the other parts out. So either he had a packmate suggest this course of action to him, or he had motivation to avoid voting Madchemist.

Conversly the other player I found suspicious is Deathbywombat and he doesn't fit as a packmate for Spockyt. In fact part of what made Deathbywombat stick out to me was his tunnel vision on Spockyt, having voted him both days and claimed he had good reasons for it. But the main reason he sticks out to me is that he created a tie between Avatar and Happycats, then asked if a tie was wanted, to later claim he wanted to avoid a tie. His reason on Avatar to begin with is lacking, just saying he prefered him to Happycats without explanation, and then says Happycats was run-up too fast, when if anything Avatar was the one run-up fast. The votes on Brovahkiin/Happycats were accumulated over the course of the day, and even the votes "in response" to avatar being run-up were spread over twenty minutes and one of them (K-59) had only unvoted Happycats to begin with because of a misunderstanding. Also I don't know how you prefer the "case" on Avatar, since there never existed one, it was just a random vote switch. There was at least a case on Happycats, weak though it was.

The biggest issue I end up having here is that the two likely wolves don't fit with each other, since both are voting each other today. I think I prefer Deathbywombat as a candidate though.

Vote Deathbywombat


Care to explain why you were content to leave your vote where it was?

I didn't see a case on Avatar, nor knew why he was getting bandwagoned.

What is your opinion on MC?

This makes enough sense.

Mass Quote Party.



"I like Avatar as a candidate better than happycats". Why? I mean, I know I'm a bad lynch and I don't want to be lynched, but since the case on Avatar was "let's vote switch to him" while k-59 at least made something of a case on me (flawed as I know it is) to support his move to me.



Aziz borders on inattentive wolf theory here. She does try to argue that it was deliberate inattentiveness, but still not a huge fan of it.



I'm naturally suspicious of anyone who is putting this much effort into defending me. Again, she tries to paint k-59's actions as a deliberate mistake.



Have to agree here. This makes way more sense if we assume k-59 made a mistake then if he had a deliberate master plan to get a villager lynched over a villager. In fact as a wolf, I don't see why he wouldn't just go along with the vote switch and then try to demonize the ones who led the switch. Seems easier then switching back and forth between Avatar and me.



Can't complain about this too much. She's making me wary of her as well. Although as some noted, this could be seen as trying to take an easy swipe at someone who pushed a switch.



Interesting, had to go and dig it back up:



Interesting. Seems to be trying to absolve himself of killing me already. And as Aedan mentions later, voting MC would have been much better for his preservation.



If k-59 is a packmate of mine he has a weird way of showing it. Tried jumping on me when people started talking about a switch and kept me in the running until the very end. And as for Aziz, well, let me jump to one of her next posts:



Because why not? You never really said Avatar was a wolf (although you implied it by saying k-59 was a wolf for going after me so guilt by association) but rather you tried protecting me and attacking k-59. Also, up until the very end I was the more likely person to be lynched. I had my vote on Avatar and he didn't have his vote on me so one more vote from anyone on me and I was screwed. So defending me would make some sense as a wolf since if I died and turned up villager you could use that to your advantage.

Also, it's been a while since I've played with Aziz but I remember that there was a game or two where she went out of her way to vehemently defend a villager near deadline as a wolf. She might be doing that again, but I realize I'm naturally wary of her since she pushed hard to protect me against k-59.



I like Spockyt as a candidate, but think these are poor reasons to vote him. He had some reason to keep his vote on me or another top candidate through most of the day and he did say he'd be sleeping. His vote did at least end up being an important one.



You're just being dense now. k-59 clearly preferred me as a candidate.



I, what? By voting for Avatar over me he also followed you without real thought, might I remind you. And Spockyt had already moved out of danger by the time he moved off of him and onto Avatar. It was reasonable for him to move to one of the two top candidates at that point. I don't know why he chose Avatar but since you also chose him over me, I doubt you really care that he did.



What again? Have you looked at deadline? It's hell for most Europeans. Avoiding a tie at that point would be a smart move on his part, since it's unlikely much of our player base would be on near deadline and day 1 ties are rarely beneficial to the village.



There's no case against anyone day 1. But someone still has to be lynched. So the issue with making a throwaway vote and keeping it there is that you avoid participating in day 1 and therefore you provide no useful information to the village. You can't just sit there and complain that there's no cases. Go with your gut, get someone lynched, and do something with your vote. Also, Avatar wasn't the only person you could have voted for. Spockyt was an option, I was an option, and MC was an option until late in the day.



Don't like the "partially going for me" part. I know being voted as a villager makes you suspicious of the other person, but it's a poor reason to go after someone. Also, odd that you pick DBW out for "saving me". Audren and k-59 are the ones who really saved my bacon.



Lynching people for being wrong is a terribly wolfish way to play. Also way to absolve blame on yourself.



The point of a late day 1 vote switch is to suddenly put pressure on a candidate the wolves were not expecting, hopefully catching them off guard and getting a wolf lynched. Voting someone up in quick succession is part of this strategy. Also, interesting to say that MC is being "run up" when he's in a tie with another candidate and has both Luftwafer and me within a vote of him. In danger, yes. Run up, no.



Brovahkiin. How hard is it to look at a player list or something to find his name? Also, odd that you're defending yourself when no one has really picked you out for bandwagoning me. Also oddly defensive with the whole "weak case" thing.



As Wagonlitz said already, weird time plus he hasn't really been inactive.



Day 1 vote where you were wishy washy and were worried about "incriminating" yourself. Also, as Aedan later added, if your goal was truly self protection, MC would have been a much better candidate, so it was odd that you brought bro/me into the tie at the top. Also just generally odd to be going for self protection so early in the day.

Day 2 vote where you followed Aziz then threw her under the bus by saying "we should lynch her if DBW is good because she led us astray", basically preemptively protecting yourself.



Interesting thought. Jerman doesn't really have that much of an excuse for not switching. Although this isn't the first game where he made a throwaway on Day 1. He seems to just not want to vote any day 1 candidate.



Agreed here. And something I referenced it earlier. This is a good point and if Spockyt turns up wolf, MC looks oddly suspicious.



Again, agreed here. K-59's actions make far more sense if we assume that he's telling the truth and made a simple mistake.



I didn't notice the whole thing about the tie on my read through, good catch. The tunnel vision on Spockyt is a bit odd, but I'm not necessarily sure it's wolfish. Definitely something to keep an eye on though.



MC explained that the silence made him believe that the wolves were content with the vote count as it stood and a quick switch might help catch them off guard. There was no case on Avatar, since the switch was random. And again, why do you have tunnel vision on Avatar when justifying your throwaway? There were other viable candidates throughout the day,


Ok, so I feel like either Spockyt or DBW is a wolf. However, I highly doubt that they are both wolves since they don't really fit together. Honestly, I prefer Spockyt, especially after how he acted today with throwing Aziz under the bus.


Vote Spockyt

Also, a vote count would be much appreciated GM.

Not sure yet. Nothing major either way yet. He's somewhat tied up with Spockyt at the moment, in my mind.

Although to be fair this vote switch happened 3 hours before deadline.

That's IG for you.

Vote count 3ish Hours til deadline

Spockyt 4: Deathbywombat (#350) LatinKaiser (#353) Happycats (#379) Al-Aziz (DBW #356 -> #367)

Deathbywombat 2: Spockyt (#360) Aedan777 (#374)

Aedan777 1: Rovsea (Al-Aziz #345 -> #366)

JermanTK 1: k-59 (#373)

k-59 1: Madchemist (#361)

Wagonlitz 1: Ironhide G1 (#364)

Not voted: @Osteles @Luftwafer @JermanTK

True, although three hours before deadline is still 2200 GMT and is around the time when Europeans start getting off for sleep and such.

I do apologize for the deadline Europeans, it was the earliest I would be free 100%

In my opinion as well, he is tied to Spock.

I think, happy, that you are misreading my posts. I was not defending you in particular, but rather saw k-59's action as suspicious because it was a fulcrum that the day's result turned on.

What is this "Europe" you speak of? I thought the world was only America and the Continental Empire of Wales.

So today is pretty much pure conjecture as it seems nobody has any hard evidence on anybody.
I do agree that the lynching yesterday was pretty easy, so I feel there is probably a wolf in that group.
I feel that push to save avatar looked organised

So in an attempt to put pressure on a fairly inactive and 'content-free' Avatar I will vote for him

VOTE AVATAR

You're kidding, right? Avatar was lynched yesterday...

Oh, so i look like a moron
Well I tried analysis
I think that happycat would be the best lynch then, he seemed to lead the charge to save himself?

UNVOTE AVATAR
VOTE HAPPY

Well at least you formatted your vote correctly.

1) He didn't
2) There are about a billion better reason than he tried to save himself to vote someone.

What? Self-preservation isn't that wolfish, and like k-59 said, happy didn't even really lead the effort to save himself.

Also, why make a pointless throwaway now?

Well I tried mark 2
I'm sorry for my flawed reasoning

Let's try again

UNVOTE HAPPY

Six or half a dozen, You specifically questioned why I was candidate and your attack on k-59 also had the benefit of attempting to save me and I distrust it on top of the poor reasoning behind it.



You can't be f'ing serious. I'm suspicious because I led the charge to save myself. Because I wouldn't want to stay alive as a villager when my choice is between letting myself get lynched or getting an unknown lynched. This is just stupid. And I barely led the effort to save myself, unless explaining my vote and voting Avatar in self preservation is leading the charge.

As I have said many times; the deadline should primarily suit the GM. And it could be worse; it could be 5 AM. That probably is the worst for us Europeans. (Later and people might get up early for deadline.)

How so; is it still that voteswitch thing? As I mentioned earlier if you do a switch then you need to switch from all front runners if you want it to have a good probability of succeeding.
Europe is another word for the North: Home of Paradox, Vikings, and Swede bashing since 800 AD.

Nice try. I mean it. You hit on some really valuable notes.

You can take your fair pick of Spock and DBW; you should probably look back in the thread to see why they're being run up.

I only know of two places America and not America (which is also in America.)

As Aedan pointed out, Spockyt made his vote on day 1 in the name of self preservation when both him and MC were tied at 2 with several others tied at 1. And it's odd that he voted to push me up into the tie at 2 instead of putting MC above him if his entire reasoning was self preservation, so there's the potential that he had a reason to not want to vote MC.

So what's happening right now? Vote count?

Will take a look at today's events after Jeopardy.

I agree with aedan on wombat; it was strange how he first wanted a TIE and then claimed he prevented it. I also don't really see the case on Spockyt; yes he survived yesterday, but how is that suspicious.

Vote wombat

This is a TIE, DBW and Spock, FYI.

Because the case on him is more than "he survived yesterday"

And the case on Spock is: he is overcautious both days and tries to preempt blame falling on his shoulders in his vote posts, directing it to me for DBW and away from him D1.

I don't see that as suspicious; many new players have made the "self preservation" TIE breaking early in the day as villagers. I don't see that as suspicious, but rather as the sign of a new player. And not using your vote to push somebody in front, but widen the front runners is actually a really good tactic when you are in danger; again not suspicious. Now the combination of these two things is a bit odd, but to me it just appears to be spock who is learning some tricks while not having learned them all.


Did you get onto Jeopardy by the way?
According to Jackson's count it isn't.

You're right, Wagon; it's Wombat - 3 and Spock - 4. Sorry.

1. k-59
Seems to be duking it out with madchemist or have I read it wrong, a stronger analyser
2. Deathbywombat
Looks like he is danger, again I don't really understand the case
3. Aedan777
Sees the spockyt vote as the best way forward? I don't understand the case so can't comment
4. Rovsea
Possible seer looking around, he isn't acting as he normally does in these games, but I feel he is pretty safe

5. Ironhide G1 as the Papal States
I don't think after my quick skim through, he has really done anything, unexplained votes are sometimes a good hint of wolfism or following somebody else

6. Madchemist
I feel he has being doing good and solid analysis, so probably clean

8. JermanTK
I don't know

11. Wagonlitz
Did just create a tie according to Al-Aziz, I have no idea why. Seems to be pushing DBW over spockyt

12. Spockyt
Looks like he is dead today, but has another 2 hours to go until deadline, I don't really understand the case could somebody explain. His swap from me kind of made sense if that's the reason why he's being run up, it was the first day
13. LatinKaiser as sheep

14. Osteles
A weak analyser? Not really putting justifications for his votes? Again I don't know
15. HappyCats
A mildly organised push to save him, I fear my past failures of analysis have saved him unjustly

16. Al-Aziz
Everything being said has gone straight over my head, I have no idea here
17. Luftwafer
I have been doing terrible

Can somebody enlighten me on the cases for Spock and DBW

There is no TIE and even if there had been that isn't problematic 2 hours to deadline; haven't read the rest of your post; off to bed now.

Oh, look, detailed explanations for why I voted spockty today and avatar over happycats day 1! Why, it's almost as if these statements by aedan and happycats...





display an incredible lack of reading comprehension. As for tunnel visioning - I freely admit to pursuing someone I consider a possible/likely wolf until I get the village to listen, unless I find a better case, which I don't think exists here. I've done this in... oh, about pretty much every game I've survived.



Already summarized above, but more briefly, the case is as follows:

1) 12 hours before deadline or so, you switched off Luft to bro/happycats to save your skin, when madchemist was the other vote leader.
2) Despite the fact that madchemist is the more experienced analyst, people switched off you to avatar first, leaving avatar (confirmed villager), MC (unknown), and happycats (unknown) as the three main candidates. MC then dropped out of the running, leaving avatar and happycats as the main candidates. So both main candidates fairly early on day 1 (you chief among them) drop completely off the radar a few hours before deadline, leaving 2 completely new candidates.
3) You've been hedging your bets in your accusations of me, saying that you were following al-Aziz - Then you said that if I turned out to be a villager, we should go after al-Aziz "for leading us astray." Also, you did the same thing with bro/happycats, saying that "you'd like to live, so despite it incriminating me, by slightly bandwagoning..." Why all the qualifications? Is this your way of trying misdirection for trying to lynch a villager?



I never claimed to have prevented the tie, since I actually made the tie. What I said is I had a snipe set up to happycats IF the vote was still tied at 10 seconds to deadline.

Thank you so much for your effort. I was incorrect; Wagon did not make a TIE. You can look on the prior page and this page for the cases on Spock and on DBW. The case on me is that I tried too hard to "save" happycats and to attack k-59. See also the link in my sig.

As for why I preferred avatar over you - I was suspicious that the votechange hadn't gained traction, and k-59 was the originator of the apparent "opposition".

Vote count 2ish Hours til deadline

Spockyt 4: Deathbywombat (#350) LatinKaiser (#353) Happycats (#379) Al-Aziz (DBW #356 -> #367)

Deathbywombat 3: Spockyt (#360) Aedan777 (#374) Wagonlitz (#401)

Aedan777 1: Rovsea (Al-Aziz #345 -> #366)

JermanTK 1: k-59 (#373)

k-59 1: Madchemist (#361)

Wagonlitz 1: Ironhide G1 (#364)

Not voted: @Osteles @Luftwafer (Happycats #389-> #393) @JermanTK

What? I don't think I've replied to one post of his. Are you reading the same game?

I like Spock better than DBW, but since he is already ahead I'm going to leave my vote where it is.

Here are your votes, spockyt. In the first vote, you claim that your vote might incriminate you; in your second vote, you claim to be following al-Aziz, and set her up as a fall guy if (the correct word is when, btw) I turn out to be a villager. Neither vote or analysis inspires confidence.

I read the vote analysis one
So my thoughts are that Spockyt hasn't defended himself (at least I can't see it)
While DBW has put up a pretty good defence, and while I now see the merits in both cases I will now
Also I think I was wrong with my K-59 part of my long but poorly written post

VOTE SPOCKYT

I wouldn't mind making a TIE right now, but if it lasted until Deadline I would snipe in favor of Spock. Comments?

Actually, now that I've announced it in-thread, it would be fairly pointless, so, nevermind.

Why snipe in favour of Spock?

Figured that out did you?

I'm not bringing this up as a reason to lynch him. I'm bringing it up as a point that if he is lynched and does turn up wolf, this makes MC look more suspicious since there is the potential that Spockyt avoided voting him because they are packmates. Which responds to your original question of why some people think Spockyt and MC are intertwined currently.



So two last second vote snipes (one of which came from a known villager and the other came from someone who originally attempted to lynch me) is now a mildly organised push to save me?

They both came in the last second and yeah, it did look pretty weird

Well, k-59 had no choice but to move his vote off of me if he wanted to break the tie and Audren had a choice of either of us but he's a dead villager, so . . . your point is?

Yeah I guess

If we were coordinating why would we both have switched? Leave aside the issue of why two villagers would be coordinating to begin with.

Right. So of the people currently run up, Spockyt is my favored candidate, since my other top two choices from earlier today have gained zero traction whatsoever. Of course, he's already in the lead and has a bunch of people already claiming to favor his lynch, so my support isn't going to do much new in that direction.

Will have to see if I find an alternate candidate with merit to swing my vote to. Wombat and Spockyt are quite unlikely packmates due to their pursuit of each other, so lynching both would likely be an unsound move.

Would it *usually* be a good idea to create a TIE you don't want to last, or not?

While in an ideal world it would be better to lynch two candidates who could fit together, I disagree that we should avoid lynching both candidates today. If we lynch just one and he's a villager, then tomorrow the other will remain a candidate. Of course it would be better to lynch the wolf alone, but I think both Spockyt and Deathbywombat are decent candidates, and I wouldn't say either is significantly more or less likely than the other, so we can hardly ensure a wolf lynch. I'm highly confident one of these two is a wolf, and lynching both today would give us the most information even if it's the slim chance they are both villagers.

Aedan- wombat seems to have defended himself fairly well on previous pages. I'm not sure if you saw those, but they are worth taking a look at.

A lot of huge posts here to slog through. Kinda answering things here and there that catch my eye, but I'm getting less out of it than I'd like right now.



Aedan never contributes much of anything on D1. Votes using his system and never changes it unless he's about to be lynched.



Not really. On day 1, wolves don't care who they vote as long as it's not a packmate. So if a suitable switch comes up, it doesn't matter if it's from one villager to another (arguably, it's all the better if it is, because more votes implies fewer likely packmates. The issue I had with those votes is that (assuming happycats is a vill) they basically locked in the only possible lynches being villagers, since any new change would require a massive momentum swing.



And he's refrained from voting today as well, interestingly enough.



How so?



Very interesting amount of jumpiness there.



I'm pleased to see an effort at analysis from you. This is good that you're putting some thought into it. Not really seeing a lot to work with yet, though.

Vote count 1ish Hours til deadline

Spockyt 5: Deathbywombat (#350) LatinKaiser (#353) Happycats (#379) Al-Aziz (DBW #356 -> #367) Luftwafer (Happycats #389-> No vote #393 -> #416)

Deathbywombat 3: Spockyt (#360) Aedan777 (#374) Wagonlitz (#401)

Aedan777 1: Rovsea (Al-Aziz #345 -> #366)

JermanTK 1: k-59 (#373)

k-59 1: Madchemist (#361)

Wagonlitz 1: Ironhide G1 (#364)

Not voted: @Osteles @JermanTK

Unvote k-59
Vote Jerman


A fine alternate candidate, especially since he hasn't laid down a vote of his own yet.

I'm aware of his post, but it isn't that great a defense.


Half of his reasons for voting spockyt (2 and 3) occurred after he voted spockyt, so those can be thrown out immediately. Reason 1 boils down to voting a newb for being a newb. Reason 4 is meta. Day 1 votes are usually baseless, so the lack of sufficient reason is no issue, the issue arises from his efforts to make his vote into some grand case, that continues to be applicable.

His reasons for preferring Avatar are also somewhat lacking. Reason 1 has two parts. First he didn't think the people voting him were good enough to find a wolf, ignoring any merits to their case on that basis alone. Second he felt the others gave no justification, ignoring K-59's reasons to vote Happycats. Avatar being inactive is decent enough reason though.

But he didn't say anything about this at the time he made the votes, but long after. Plenty of time to make up whatever story he wanted, while giving nothing in the heat of the moment.

So if anything I find his defense more incriminating than just the case against him.

I have a larger post on it you'll probably find reading back through, but to make it short- Spockyt voted Brovahkiin/Happycats when he was tied with you, while claiming self-preservation. It was way early in the day, but it was the last seen of Spockyt, so his refusal to vote you is an interesting occurrence. But without Spockyt's role, making more assumptions would be putting the cart before the horse.

Legitimate enough. And because this seems like the situation a free TIE is intended to be used for:

Unvote Spock, Vote DBW

What part of "I voted for spockyt AND KEPT MY VOTE ON HIM" do you not understand?



Yes, let's lynch the active candidate who made a strong case against his vote along with the candidate who has hedged his bet on both his major votes. What could possibly go wrong? /sarc

Vote count 30ish minutes til deadline

Spockyt 4: Deathbywombat (#350) LatinKaiser (#353) Happycats (#379) Luftwafer (Happycats #389-> No vote #393 -> #416)

Deathbywombat 4: Spockyt (#360) Aedan777 (#374) Wagonlitz (#401) Al-Aziz (DBW #356 -> Spockyt #367-> #435)

JermanTK 2: k-59 (#373) Madchemist (k-59 #361-> #432)

Aedan777 1: Rovsea (Al-Aziz #345 -> #366)

Wagonlitz 1: Ironhide G1 (#364)

Not voted: @Osteles @JermanTK

I don't get why you think Spockyt acting suspicious after you vote him makes your vote on him better. Again, the only issue I have with your initial vote on Spockyt is your insistence that your vote on Spockyt was a proper case rather than a usual baseless day 1 vote. You ignoring every other reason I consider you a good candidate doesn't help matters.

Certainly I'd like to lynch the less active and useful players, but we can't spend every game going after the luftwafers and Jermans first. Active players who act suspicious are just as viable candidates as inactive players who are suspicious.

If people want to break the TIE, probably they should explain now, not after a snipe.

It's a valid tactic, but announcing you are going to break and who to makes it largely pointless.

So, assuming I get lynched, let's look at possibilities for future wolves, which I will probably be right about and you will ignore.
If I'm wrong about spockyt, LatinKaiser and aedan seem like good choices - aedan for instigating a wasted day 2 tie under the guise of lynching 2 supposedly good candidates, LatinKaiser for joining the voteswitch - and remarking "probably not" when I asked whether we wanted a tie 2 minutes to deadline without actually switching votes.
If I'm right about Spockyt, madchemist seems like a possible solid choice - 3+ hours from deadline, he asked for a vote switch from himself/spockty, and lo and behold, 2 new candidates rapidly arose, one of which spockyt switched off of to save his skin. (happycats and avatar)
The quieter voters - Ironhide, Osteles, Jerman et al... also might be worth exploring.



Totally missing the point. My vote on spockyt was deliberately done to try to spark a reaction, which it seemed to do, and I rolled with it today. Not everyone likes to waste their day one vote on an asinine and completely unhelpful strategy of random voting. And considering I guessed spockty's allegiance early in the last lite (and luft day 1 on an earlier lite, I might add), I figured the same ploy was worth a try again. Time will tell if my assessment was right, assuming someone doesn't snipe last second.

Do we really want to vote someone who has defended themselves over someone who hasn't actually done anything?

I'm in favor of breaking it. Seer's still alive, and using the TIE while that is true is typically a slight tactical error. I'm also not getting a wolf vibe from wombat.

This. Spock seems much more likely to me and the two aren't packmate in any reasonable universe.

I'm against the tie but I can't break it,
I feel we should keep DBW as he has actually done something today, he has explained his votes, done some analysis and how he is starting some likely wolves.
If he does turn out to be a a wolf I say we lynch one of them in a tie to see if he was trying to bluff us

The basis you used to choose Spockyt to "get a reaction" boils down to him being a newb. That's not random, but hardly the basis of a solid vote like you claim it is. And you're still ignoring every other point I've brought up against you, twice now.


You of all people would say that?

*cough* Yeah, madchemist. Too bad your vote already on Spock, right?

Are we seeing different threads? Because in the one I'm reading wombat is ignoring the case against him to hammer on about how his vote on Spockyt for being a newb is a perfect basis for a day 1 vote.

I'm going to switch if the tie stands before deadline.

All right. Just checking.

It's not terribly clear-cut, and I can see the merits both ways. I obviously slightly favor TIEing the candidates, because if the one of them we lynch is a villager - which wouldn't surprise me too much either way - we will probably waste tomorrow voting them anyway. I think aedan's case on DBW has merit, as does the case on Spock, so...

I find it kinda of odd that you built a case on DBW because he had tunnel version on Spock, only to from tunnel version on DBW you're self.

I'm intrigued, though. Why the sudden change of heart about wombat? You were defending him, and then aedan says something that I'm simply not seeing as a strong case and you claim to want him dead. Why?

So what exactly is your case, aedan? My tunneling on spockyt? That's pretty much how I play - tunneling on someone until they get their day in court. It's not a perfect system of voting, of course - no day 1 vote is. But it's much better than a random vote, I think, and my track record on early votes is better than average - or purely random.

Anyway, I need to finish cooking dinner.

Unvote Jerman
Vote Spockyt

Tunnel vision on spockyt was only part of the case on Deathbywombat, a small part. And I'm not tunnel visioning on Deathbywombat, it's quiet possible he's a villager and spockyt is a wolf. But everyone is aware of why spockyt deserves to be lynched, but few are with me on Deathbywombat, so I'm focusing on the case against him. I want both lynched in a tie today.

This makes me want to lynch you. Focusing on one person isn't helpful and is an easy way for a wolf to appear active without helping the village.

I see aedan's case as stronger than you do, and probably the case on Spock as less compelling. I might not be able to explain why this is expediently, though.

I can't be faulted if you don't want to read my multiple posts on the subject, the most recent of which is on the previous page.

where on earth are @Osteles and @JermanTK? I've tagged em like 5 times

Considering I've quoted your posts and debunked them about 5 times already, I can't be faulted if you don't care to listen.

Probably they have taken a trip to the moon. They will likely be back shortly after Deadline.

I think Osteles is European and thus probably asleep. No clue about Jerman.

Most of your responses ignore 80% of my case, so you can hardly claimed to have debunked it. Plus I've explained why your "debunking" is nothing of the sort.

Neither of you are really convicing me one way or another. Let's make a snipe harder.

Unvote Jerman, Vote Spock

5 minutes

Crap Sorry, spaced voting lol

Vote Luftwafer

(will explain in follow up post)

Really....

Explanation or not, it's still a last-minute throwaway.

Can we lynnch JK real quick?

His ship touched down. The cameras flashed. But Jerman knew that he had one sacred duty: online WW.

Drat that madchemist. Making votesnipes and then going to make dinner! :eek: The nerve!

With three minutes? Taking votes from spcok would just make a TIE more likely.

Yeah, too bad.

Herman Throw away

This.

This looks like Panicking to me...

Sorry for not voting, I was just like

"It's 5:50 already, damn Mount & Blade is addictive.... OH CRAP I NEED TO VOTE!11111"

Still, that was a case to be made a while ago. It's a bit late now.

Bares repeating.

I would, but it's... far too chaotic an idea.


Panicking =/= wolf. And you had 24 hours.

Come to think of it, last-minute voting a candidate who isn't even close to being lynched could be called panicking as well.

Vote count final

Spockyt 6: Deathbywombat (#350) LatinKaiser (#353) Happycats (#379) Luftwafer (Happycats #389-> No vote #393 -> #416) Madchemist (k-59 #361-> JermanTK #432-> #456) k-59 (JermanTK #373 ->#466)

Deathbywombat 4: Spockyt (#360) Aedan777 (#374) Wagonlitz (#401) Al-Aziz (DBW #356 -> Spockyt #367-> #435)

Aedan777 1: Rovsea (Al-Aziz #345 -> #366)

Wagonlitz 1: Ironhide G1 (#364)

Luftwafer 1: JermanTK (#468)

Not voted: Osteles

@RB33 will be subbing for Osteles

Any objections?

Wow, really? You think?

LK, why is it that you only appear near Deadline, and where is your analysis?

Vote Spockyt

Not quite.

Well...


Edit: I noticed that you're asking Latin, so Disregard this post, unless you want to know where I was for the last 4 hours.


Wait, ignore that, it said 30 minutes left.

You are aware that quote wasn't directed at you?

Edited to reflect that before this was posted.

Didn't occur to you that it would be strange to be subbed in for someone missing a vote before they had missed the vote?

I'll be honest: I'm not that great at analysis. However, I did try to contribute earlier in the day, and I stated my reasons for voting. As for why I'm on near deadline more than other times, it's because I have time to be online in the evening.

Day 2/Night 2:

As a fair sheep farmer was brutally murdered, the members of Catan met once more to trade, and more importantly, find out who is responsible for these horrific deaths. Immediately 2 candidates spring up, a loyal British man who was into the wood business and a slightly terrifying weasel type creature who specialized in mining coal. While some wanted to kill both in one day, the local apothecary chose to vote in favor of the brit, and he was subjected to death by woodchipper. No longer would he be rolling 11's (Spockyt the villager is lynched)

In the night, the attacks continued, as a very quiet and odd man named Rovsea was found dead in his home by the sea, the death was reported as poison in his food. (Rovsea the villager is hunted)

Spockyt the villager is lynched
Rovsea the villager is hunted

The question I'd ask you would be why you didn't appear for the last 24 hours.

Acceptable.

Ok, great job lynching a villager alone, so Deathbywombat's still a major suspect. Avoiding the tie for the sake of avoiding the tie when we have two decent suspects is not the best course of action.

Vote Deathbywombat

In case someone doesn't get it, my use of "great job" in my previous post was sarcastic. Since apparently there appears to be trouble on that front from last game.

Yes, I thought it might have been an exception.

I've been peeking at the thread from time to time, trying to see if there was a good case worth pursuing.

Well at least you tried to vote. Care to explain why you voted for a villager who was already two votes ahead? (before anyone says anything I know I'm the one who put him two votes up.)

Just voted on the most voted to not miss out on the vote.

I hate

you all.

Well, that was different. I only woke up 5 minutes before deadline. By the time I had read the thread, I was dead. I don't think I am breaking ghost rules by saying this. EDIT: I did.

Sub please.

No. Revealing why a dead player did something is the definition of breaking ghost rules.

I joined the game because I thought it would be awesome and I would win.

Then I got hunted.

God, I'm such a rebel.

Uh yeah, that part that comes after "I don't think I am breaking ghost rules by saying this" is definitely breaking ghost rules. Couldn't be clearer in fact.

Thank you. I have now removed it.

Two different types of people.

1. k-59
2. Deathbywombat
3. Aedan777
5. Ironhide G1 as the Papal States
6. Madchemist
8. JermanTK
11. Wagonlitz
13. LatinKaiser as sheep
14. Osteles subbed for RB33
15. Brovahkiin as ore subbed for HappyCats
16. Al-Aziz
17. Luftwafer

Well, here are the people still alive. Ironhide, Jerman, and RB33 are difficult to get reads on. I am suspicious of deathbywombat and MC, for reasons expressed yesterday. I will reread and summarize aedan and DBW's arguments.

No, this is just a post facto justification. I call Crovax. :p

Audren is quite a comedic fellow. Also, I'm sure everybody knows that I don't really hate them. It would take something much worse than being hunted, once, in a werewolf game for me to hate somebody.

Uh, no you haven't.

Yeah, Rovsea, stop being such a confederate.

Like being hunted twice in a werewolf game?


So: DBW.

For reference, the posts we are referencing are:



He could have said something like, "Because all these things that I know suck", but he didn't.



He states: he likes Spock, he likes avatar over happy, and the run up of happy bugs him. I accuse him of mindlessly following people (including me) and of having no reason to think Spock is a good candidate.

Aedan points out that this is basically placing a vote on a newb because they are a newb.


Fair enough.

Madchemist also did this. He orchestrated it. As mentioned before, this was mostly a coincidence. If voting avatar and thus moving off spock was a sign of wolves, as you imply, why would you ever want to vote with the people you suspect are moving off Spock, thus making him a good candidate, and who are likelier wolves?

Aedan points out this is meta.


Wasn't avatar also initially voted by people you considered suspicious because we were moving off Spock? (E.g., me and Latin.)

This is an adequate reason.

Happy, I wasn't, by the way, one of the people actually countering the votes onto you. You were suspicious because I got suspicious of k-59. You should also be suspicious because avatar was actually protecting you.

While there are problems with his original reasons, it does not seem to mark him as more of a wolf, because this is in response to asking why he thought Spock is a better candidate. However, #3 does not make sense.

Spock's reaction, however, made it still-relevant.


In hindsight, this case seems less compelling. It could have been a split-second thought process.

The part that I find dubious is the contradiction where he voted avatar despite being suspicious of the people who switched onto avatar. However, it makes sense when you realize it was, due to k-59's vote, a choice between happy, who he says was a worse candidate, and avatar.



Adequate.

I think that aedan's case was nowhere as good as I thought it was, which leaves us back on square one. The case on madchemist is also less compelling due to Spock's innocence. Which means that trying to run up one of the quiet ones would be the most helpful.

Vote Ironhide

Editing in "No, I did" is not removing the offending post. It still includes too much ghost information. You should delete the post and all extant copies.

Ok, since apparently no one is going to read this unless I dig it up again, I'm bringing back my original case on Deathbywombat, most of which he has continuously ignored.

Aedan — sorry for not bringing that up; I meant to... I just didn't. :oops:
He *has* addressed most of the points you mentioned. However:


I don't really see why this is so suspicious. Does this make him a more likely wolf? Why would a wolf want to do that?

He created the tie between Avatar and Happycats, then said that. The tie only needed to be broken because of his vote.

And? His vote was >30 minutes before deadline; it's an acceptable tactic to see who will snipe where. A few minutes before deadline, he realizes no one has yet sniped, and says this. I don't see why this would make him a more likely wolf.

In light of Spockyt's turning out to be a villager, I see the merits of your case on DBW, Aedan. Here are his posts from yesterday:


Here he basically just lays out his reasons for targeting Spockyt and happycats.


Votes Spockyt again.


Responding to Aziz.


Once again, he's justifying his votes under pressure, but he doesn't seem to see any problem with ardently pushing the Spockyt case above all others (except for his Day 1 vote-switching -- but even then he seemed to prefer Spockyt to happycats).


Arguing with aedan and attacking happycats again. He seems rather fixated on his Day 1 suspects. Sure, he mentions other names occasionally, but his vote doesn't move to reflect that.


Good evidence against Spockyt, but still, wombat is focusing on Spockyt as if he were a fresh bunch of grass in the Australian wild.


He has conveniently highlighted the fact that, despite suggesting other candidates, he never strayed from his case against Spockyt.


Here he accuses aedan and me, yet he is careful to clarify that we should only pay attention to this "if [he is] wrong about Spockyt." So committed is he to lynching Spockyt that he can't even defend himself without invoking the name of his target. As for his actual case against me or aedan, it pretty much boils down to "LK didn't switch his vote from Avatar to happycats" -- never mind that he had earlier claimed that the players voting happycats were "suspicious/weak analysers" or had failed to provide adequate justification. Apparently, wombat wanted me to switch to happycats, but he also thought that the case against happycats was flawed, which doesn't make sense. Wombat's argument for investigating aedan is primarily a reflection of his own stubborn disagreement with aedan over whether his nemisis Spockyt should be lynched or whether a more balanced approach to voting is better.


Now he's just grasping at straws. Whenever some says "What I did might not have been sensible, but I did it so we should forget about it," it usually means that they're trying to pile the bullcrap high enough to cover their own wolfish mistakes.


Again, just having responed to other players' posts doesn't automatically absolve you of all blame.

Apologies if I missed anything; it's pretty late, and I need to get some sleep.

Vote deathbywombat

Confound it. At least I'll get to laugh bitterly when aedan finds out I'm a villager.

First things first... I did create a late tie on happycats/avatar, for reasons which I already stated. k-59's case on bro/happycats was that happycats put a vote on madchemist, bringing him into a tie - a remarkably flimsy case, but that's a day one case for you. All I said after the day 1 vote was that I would have switched to happycats IF the tie was prolonged to 10 seconds prior to deadline - which did not happen, hence no need for a snipe. (I already said this, but reading comprehension appears to be in short supply.) Of course, as you will no doubt note, this is completely unverifiable; nonetheless, given my penchant for late sniping in previous games, it fits my MO.

Anyway, who else could a possible wolf? I mentioned Aedan and LatinKaiser as possible wolves in a previous post if spockyt turned out to be innocent. Of the two, I think LatinKaiser is by far the better option, as I can understand Aedan's case against me - tunneling on a villager from day 1 onwards AND voting avatar late for little stated justification. (Of course, that's not my MO as a wolf - usually I'm a lot more hesitant - and incidentally, accurate - in my wolf analysis, but I digress.)

Anyway, Latinkaiser's votes: spockyt (day 1), voteswitch to avatar (day 1), spockyt (day 2). Same voting record as mine. Also, there is this...





Yet he did not switch over from avatar, either. Of course, he could offer the same defense as I did.



Basically, LatinKaiser is a mirror image of my voting, without the vehemence, lengthy posting - or the suspicion from aedan.

Also, it is TIE day. One of the quieter voters, such as Ironhide, might merit attention.

Of course, barring some miraculous intervention by the JL, I doubt I'll survive the day. Live by the early vote pressure, die by the early vote pressure.

Vote LatinKaiser

someone called?

Hi gents

Sorry I didnt vote, I was keeping my vote until later and then got a phone call my mom was in a traffic accident, so I didnt succeed in getting back online anymore.
I'll catch up asap.

Ah crap

I'm subbed.

Well, GO VILLAGE!
Or...

GO WOLVES, who will tell...

I'm inclined to go once more for one of the unduly quiet ones today I've seen precious little out of Ironhide, Jerman, LatinKaiser, and Osteles/RB.

Vote Ironhide

I think he's said the least of the bunch (besides RB/Osteles, who just subbed and should be given a chance to say something, as unlikely as he is to make use of same.).

His argument against you is that you didn't snipe to break the TIE, which is really ironic since he didn't either. He thought the case against happy was less flawed than the one against avatar.

Yeah, that was a really dumb "case" against aedan.


He claims a non-random D1 vote and better wolf-catching rates, which is probably why he was so attached to it.



I think you should weigh whether or not DBW seems like more of a wolf due to these actions.

If you think that LK's a good candidate because he did the same things as you, that's not really very consistent if you think you're a bad candidate. And maybe the lengthy posting and vehemence - as well as the differing circumstances that led you and LK to your actions - are the reason. This would require aedan and LK to be wolves.


Obvious revenge vote = obvious.

I'm not liking either LK or wombat's mutual cases against each other, basically.

:rolleyes: Yeah, that's really not the point.

Fixed that.

Hope she is ok.

OK today is TIE day and also the last chance to get rid of some dead weigth.
I think we should look at Osteles/RB since that role only has 3 game related posts in the entire game (4 if you count that late spockyt vote from RB)


Random vote.



Two analysis posts.

So that role has made just a single vote---and that was a random one. Then there of course is that late vote, but you cannot give that too much weight since it was post deadline; I also noted how RB said he only wanted to vote for Spock since he had the most votes...
So for being an almost completely blank slate.

Vote RB33

I agree with this. Ironhide also felt the need to go out of the way to defend himself yesterday from something no one was accusing him of. Knocks him up my suspicion list a bit and I think he deserves some pressure.



Agreed, looks like two villagers shouting at each other right now, but if they want to keep it up, maybe one of them will slip.



Eh. I agree that Osteles/RB33 is a blank slate and don't mind the added pressure of a vote to get RB33 in here and contributing, but I'll give him some time to get in and do some analysis before I seriously consider him as a candidate.

I've got some assignments due tonight so I'll only be on intermittently by the way. I'll try to find the time to do an analysis post, but no guarantees.

The problem is that today is day 3 and lest we catch a wolf today tomorrow will be the last day and having a virtually blank slate on the last day is really dangerous; hence why it is a good idea on TIE day to TIE a blank slate and somebody else.

I know I'll be accused of tunnel vesion, but I still think JermanTK is hella suspicious.

Vote Jerman TK

There are 3 types of people in this world. Those that know how to count and those that don't.

Yeesh. Who died? Quiet as a graveyard in here. Well, I'll try to spark some activity:



I see your point, I was just hoping RB33 would come out and provide some analysis and thought to the discussion so he wouldn't be as much of a blank slate. Five hours later and no contribution from him makes me far more willing to tie him today.



I agree that Jerman has been acting odd, but I haven't seen anything that makes me think that he's doing anything more than being himself. Early day throwaways and a general refusal to "join people in lynching a villager" seems to be his default mode in these games. It's a frustrating one and it makes him seem suspicious, but I'm not sure it's indicative of him being a wolf. I might have missed something though, so I'm willing to listen. I wouldn't mind tying him, but I think there are better options.

Currently I'm feeling Ironhide (One of the quiet ones and got overly defensive the when he did show up yesterday) and RB33 (has subbed in and done nothing, despite being obviously on since he's running the Micro right now), but I'm willing to see others pushed up. For now I'll

Vote Ironhide

Until I see something I like better.

Also, soft reminder to any JL members, if you plan to do an outing today, please consider doing it earlier than usual so that Europeans can see and react to it and we make sure we get the requisite vote swing to get the outed wolf lynched. Just pointing it out since a few players seem to be thrown off by the late deadline.

Vote Count, About 3.5 hours to deadline

Ironhide G1: 3
al-Aziz [515]
madchemist [526]
happycats517 [536]

deathbywombat
: 2
aedan777 [497]
LatinKaiser [521]

LatinKaiser: 1
deathbywombat [522]

RB33: 1
Wagonlitz [531]

JermanTK: 1
k-59 [534]

Not voted: Ironhide G1, JermanTK, RB33, Luftwafer

I thought after leaving for 4ish hours there would be more than 3 new posts. Oh how naive of me

My long post will be coming in an hour

Be prepared for the eye opening look at the game

I actually forgot I was playing.

Vote Ironhide

Because I have no idea who to vote for.

I can change, if someone has a better player.

There's a case on Deathbywombat. Everyone seems to be ignoring it, and instead running up Ironhide for not doing anything useful. I don't mind running up useless players, but we have an actual case on Deathbywombat. Even if you disagree, we have 2 active days of discussion and voting to build cases on. Instead most of you seem to have gone brain dead, and would rather lynch easy targets than find wolves. Expected behaviour from RB33, but I expect more from Madchemist, Happycats, and al-Aziz.

Why not.

Unvote Ironhide
Vote deathbywombat

Binary? In Werewolf? Wagon-bot confirmed.

And I am off to bed now.

Silly me. I forgot the other reason for voting for LatinKaiser:

JL Announcement
LatinKaiser is a scanned wolf.

A bit early for an outing, but hopefully the Europeans get a chance to put their votes in.

Unvote deathbywombat
Vote LatinKaiser

Vote Count, 2ish hours to deadline

Ironhide G1: 3
al-Aziz [515]
madchemist [526]
happycats517 [536]

deathbywombat: 2
aedan777 [497]
LatinKaiser [521]

LatinKaiser: 2
deathbywombat [522]
RB33 [Ironhide 540-> DBW 542 -> #546]

RB33: 1
Wagonlitz [531]

JermanTK: 1
k-59 [534]

Not voted: @Ironhide G1, @JermanTK, @Luftwafer

I like this format better actually

So this 'Jl' announcement has arrived.

So for now

Vote LATINKAISER

Unvote Ironhide, Vote LatinKaiser

Unvote Deathbywombat Vote Latinkaiser

Unlikely though it may be to believe, I had been planning a switch to Latinkaiser, since he's been acting like a wolf, and the case on Deathbywombat wasn't good, yet he stuck with it. Yes, yes I was the one pushing the case. But there are times a poor case should be pushed to see who follows. Did you seriously think I'd gone that tunnel vision on Deathbywombat for, what, voting Spockyt and Avatar under mildly dubious circumstances? This outing wasn't expected though, so no proof of what I'm talking about. But I fully expect to get scanned now, and I have no fear of that.

Wait a second

Aedan no.2 wolf.
That is the worst excuse I have ever heard, closely followed by my ethics won't allow that.
Unless he is scanned and cleared I feel he should be lynched tommorow.

His tunnel vision on wombat 'was all a ploy' that he has been planning since yesterday, at the very least he wasted a day.

As I see it, he's throwing his pack mate under the bus.

Waste a day? No, no I didn't. I acted in a way to encourage others to act in a way to incriminate themselves. I had pegged Latinkaiser as a likely wolf before this outing. Nor did my act require everyone else to go braindead and do a lazy run-up today. My prefered way today could have gone down would have been an even run-up between Latinkaiser and Deathbywombat today, with me switching to Latinkaiser at the last minute to ensure he was lynched alone.

That you can't understand what I was doing doesn't mean I wasted a day. Certainly you can doubt whether I'm telling the truth, and I'm sure others will, but my actions, if my explanation is true, were helpful to the village.

1. k-59
Again voting Jerman, why? It's just a throwaway vote

2. Deathbywombat
If aedans a wolf he is clear. The case is weak and overall pretty strange and confusing.

3. Aedan777
I feel he is a wolf throwing his package under the bus, he seems suspicious and his excuse for hunting wombat was Poor. It relies on A luck, or B divine intervention. Either way he has wasted a day trying to get wombat hung, when he feels the case is bad. I don't bye that he was going to swap to Latin

5. Ironhide G1 as the Papal States
Has been absolutely useless this game, probably not the right call however to lynch him solely because of this however

6. Madchemist
I thought he would be doing longer more analytical posts, not really been doing anything of the sorts, again maybe he will do a bit more later on.
8. JermanTK
Who knows?
11. Wagonlitz
Don't know why he voted for RB33 exactly, that is a pretty strange thing to do. If he wasn't a good player I would say he is trying to protect one of his pack mates who is leading in the votes?

13. LatinKaiser as sheep
Looks like a wolf, he had been outed, I guess? A wolf in sheep skin?

14. RB33
Not really doing anything I guess?

15. HappyCats
Don't really know, survived lunching thankfully

16. Al-Aziz
Pretty good analysis, might doing something in the next hour that sets him apart from the crowd.
17. Luftwafer
Pretty bad again, I'm trying my best though!

Not my greatest post but effort

You haven't seen someone throw a packmate under the bus if you think voting an outed wolf is throwing them under a bus. I have literally no idea what you're rambling about with the bolded part. I'm not a wolf so I don't hunt, and deathbywombat has not been hunted. I've already explained how pushing a case I don't believe in is not wasting a day. Not buying my explanation is fine though, and hardly surprising.

Vote Latinkaiser

I can buy this explanation, with one contremps - today is TIE day, and you would have caught absolute hell from the village if you had switched off me last second and LK turned out to be a villager - especially after pushing for a day 2 tie of myself and spockty.

I meant voting,
A you were voting wombat and a wolf happened to follow you, which meant that you saw them and were about to change but the darn JL got there first.

B you got REALLY REALLY REALLY lucky and you are just blagging your way towards a vote for the outed wolf.
With your excuses to make it seem like you meant to do it the entire time.

Yes, but I felt Latinkaiser was a likely enough wolf that it was worth the risk. Plus you had been acting the villager in your responses. And what would have been the case against me then? Saving the packmate who was only a candidate because I rabidly pushed him for two days straight? If I was wrong, I was wrong, but I wasn't.

*her

Unvote Ironhide, Vote LK

Sorry Al-aziz

You aren't reading well. I never said I was going to switch right when the JL outed Latinkaiser, rather that I had concluded he was a likely wolf, and wanted to get as much information as possible before switching to him. It's possible another wolf might have followed closer to deadline. RB33 did, so that's a possible point against him.

Ok, I'm not great at analysing yet, can I have a second opinion preferably from wombat, because he is cleared?

Vote Count, 1ish hours to deadline

LatinKaiser: 7
deathbywombat [522]
RB33 [Ironhide 540-> DBW 542 -> #546]
happycats517 [Ironhide 536->549]
al-Aziz [Ironhide 515-> 560]
Luftwafer [548]
JermanTK [556]
aedan777 [DBW 497->550]

Ironhide G1: 1
madchemist [526]

deathbywombat: 1
LatinKaiser [521]

RB33: 1
Wagonlitz [531]

JermanTK: 1
k-59 [534]

Not voted: @Ironhide G1,

*rubs hands together* Well, this looks exciting!

About Aedan? His reasoning is definitely plausible - he's a bold enough player to pull that kind of stunt. Am I 100% certain that he's telling the truth? No. I'd say there's about a 60/40 chance in favor of him telling the truth.

I'll take a look at your other cases in a bit.

Not that it will change anything, but I'd just like to draw everyone's attention to the fact that DBW isn't exactly without motive to get me lynched. Maybe he's just a stupid villager who actually does think I'm a wolf, or maybe his packmate Ironhide is in too much danger for his liking. Whatever the exact reason, DNW's "outing" of me is very questionable.

Luft, I've seen fake outings before, and the real JL would probably rather stay quiet so as not to create a ton of confusion.


I outed 2 hours before deadline, and the seer is still alive and has done 3 scans already. We have 45 minutes to deadline. If I was lying/being deceived by someone claiming to be the seer, don't you think the real JL would have spoken up by now?

I think If it was fake the real JL would have said something

Stop clutching at straws and get your head in the noose

I'd prefer if the GM would only concern himself with running the game, not getting villagers lynched. Seriously, have some professionalism.