Ok, time for that argument against Madchemist I promised.
I'm going to start at the first Day.
Well, I'm cleared of being a wolf, then.
I'm not going to even check on that, we have a lot more to look through. Not sure if MC is just joking, or what's happening here.
Standard Day 1 voting stuff
Livingstone is a scanned wolf
Vote Dr. Livingstone
And then of course, we have Panzer Commader doing this. Let's look at some reactions.
The seer died on night 0... there are no scans.
Unvote alxeu
Vote Panzer Commander
Xarkan immediately smells a fish.
As good a reason as any I guess.
Unvote EUROO7
Vote Dr. Livingstone
And Dadar does not. :laugh: Apparently, he needs to work on his situational awareness skills.
Ok, I'll spell it out...
1) Seer died night 0, no scans.
2) Panzer claims that someone is a scanned wolf.
3) Panzer is a lying wolf
4) Everyone should now be voting panzer.
Xarkan seems to get this a looooong time before we killed Panzer on Day 2.
Unvote whoever
Vote panzer
And Xarkan finally gets some support as well.
I thought it was a pretty obvious joke when I saw it.
Still completely foolish to do. Is Panzer that reckless as a wolf?
So, I guess looking all the way back to Day 1 was a good move. Seems like MC is trying to help out his packmate.
Yes. Vote your packmate now and I'll lynch you last.
See? Euro gets it.
*Panzer digging himself an even bigger hole*
Rather
Unvote: Arkasas
Vote: DrLivingstone
Hmmm.
Unofficial Vote Count
Panzer Commader: 5
Rovsea [87]
Xarkan [103 alxeu -> 105]
EUROO7 [90 Arkasas -> 114 (Valid unvote?)]
Leondark [115]
Dr. Livingstone [83 GermanKaiser -> 136]
Dr. Livingstone: 4
madchemist [81]
Panzer Commader [97]
Dadarian [92 EUROO7 -> 106]
2kNikk [84 Arkasas -> 132]
2kNikk: 2
brovahkiin [93]
Kaisersohaib [96]
Xarkan: 1
aedan777 [82]
EUROO7: 1
alxeu [85]
madchemist: 1
Arkasas [86]
GermanKaiser: 1
al-Aziz [137]
And shockingly, at this point the votes are still pretty close. Don't worry. Euro will fix that soon.
Kaisersohaib is a wolf.
Unvote Panzer
Vote Kaisersohaib
Sure, I'll try that one.
Unvote Dr. Livingstone
Vote Kaisersohaib
Unvote Dr. Livingstone
Vote Kaisersohaib
Because in the end, the first to die in a horror are the dumb blondes.
Unvote Panzer
vote Kaisersohaib
Unvote madchemist
Vote Kaisersohaib
Today is a good day to lynch wolves.
And yes, all of these posts were consecutive. The EURO is strong in the force. Anyway, we can clearly see MC, as well as several others, switch onto Kai. This is fairly inconclusive, however, since it is almost guaranteed that there are 3 villagers in this bandwagon. (Unless we think all three wolves aside from PC joined in.)
Toucan intrigues me. He's been much quieter here than in the Big.
Wow, what a swing. I think I'll stay on an actual wolf though, DrL.
Actually, forget what I said. Toucan is a likely wolf, and is probably eating fruit loops as we speak. This is unacceptable.
:rofl:
Kaisersohaib: 5
EUROO7 [90 Arkasas -> 114 (Valid unvote?) -> 140]
madchemist [81 Dr. Livingstone -> 141]
Dadarian [92 EUROO7 -> 106 Dr. Livingstone -> 142]
Dr. Livingstone [83 GermanKaiser -> 136 Panzer Commader -> 143]
Arkasas [86 madchemist -> 144]
Panzer Commader: 3
Rovsea [87]
Xarkan [103 alxeu -> 105]
Leondark [115]
2kNikk: 3
brovahkiin [93]
Kaisersohaib [96]
al-Aziz [137 GermanKaiser -> 145]
Dr. Livingstone: 2
Panzer Commader [97]
2kNikk [84 Arkasas -> 132]
Xarkan: 1
aedan777 [82]
EUROO7: 1
alxeu [85]
And as we can see, Kai is now in the lead by 2. If PC chose, he could put it out of the snipe range of a single player.
Everyone down for a Switch?
Unvote: DrL
Vote: Arkasas
I know it's early, but I am getting string wolf vibes
Plus I dont actually think L is wolf yet
But the Toucan is restless, and decides that he wants a vote swing.
MC backs him up. Why the attempted swing? I can certainly understand it, seeing as Kai was a horrible candidate, in that there literally was no argument against him besides, "He is a wolf". Clarification here would be nice.
And then the swing back. To put it out of snipe range? Technically a TIE could still be made here. Whatever the reason (which I would certainly like to hear), Panzer escapes and Kai, the villager, is lynched.
If Kai is not a wolf, blame Euro!
Another interesting tidbit. In fact, the Kaiwagon reminds me a lot of a game played recently where the Jontiwagon formed with similar speed, and also at the behest of EURO. EURO was a wolf in that game. Just something to keep in mind.
Vote Arkasas
because his comments seemed over-defensive, and also like he knew Kai was a villager. The most obvious lead right now but I'm amenable to others. Will look over voting patterns more closely later.
First vote of Day 2. Not altogether unreasonable.
Vote: Arkasas
I am fine with this.
Toucan puts a little more pressure on.
Vote Arkansas
Better then nothing at the moment. Subject to change without notice.
Wait, really? First three votes of the day?
Madchemist is awarded with a pet parrot, and Wagonlitz is officially subbed in for GermanKaiser.
I find the lack of a parrot in any of MC's votes disturbing.
Aedan is an unscanned Wolf. Kill Him!
Vote EUROO7
Former self makes a ridiculous post accusing Aedan of being a wolf, and then voting Euro, presumably because of the Kaiwagon.
Holy bandwagon, Batman!
Vote aedan777
Something seemed wrong about this post.
Why defend the hunt and decry the need to random vote when that's what usually happens on day 1?
MC at least spots the bandwagon of death, and also says that there's something up with Aedan. Their are a few posts exchanged between the two, and soon MC is less suspicious, but still cautiously voting Aedan.
Again, I know it's early but I really get a wolf feel off if Arkasas, and not just his ill-advised comment.
Also...NBA's back!
Just a heads up.
My activity may be low for the next two days due to recording obligations.
Fair enough, although Toucan's continued push for Arky is a tad concerning at this point. Also, he did warn well in advance about recording obligations. In my book, these two posts cancel each other out.
Vote Arkasas
Until a better candidate presents themselves.
Seriously? A 4th vote? This bandwagon is getting ridiculous.
Looks like one just did.
For the crime of bandwagoning, I condemn thee.
Vote Livingstone
And once again, EURO is there to blunt a bandwagon, this time attacking a bandwagoner of Arky the villager.
There's some discussion between Dr. L and Euro.
I thought as much. Well, if I am condemned for the crime of bandwagon, then unbandwagoning should be a reasonable solution, at least until the morrow.
Unvote Arkases
And Dr. L backs off. Is EURO a wolf getting goodie points, or is he just a villager concerned with an early bandwagon? In my book he's neutral. On the one hand, he could be doing this to claim credit later, and he did start the bandwagon on Kai day 1. At the same time, this is a perfectly natural response of a villager to an unreasonable Day2 bandwagon. The two considerations cancel each other out.
What the faceless noob said.
Thank you. :angry:
Former self becomes the first person to vote who we now know is a wolf after day 1. Go former self!
I agree that it seems suspicious; that bandwagon is much more suspicious though. Dadarian put Arkasas to three votes---when nobody else had votes.
And Livingstone remakes the three vote lead to Arkasas.
If you are making a placeholder then you don't put it on a bandwagon. And EURO wasn't bandwagoning you, since before his vote you had 0 votes. You sound like a wolf trying to escape.
Vote Dr.Livingstone
But don't worry, Dr. L is still getting suspicion for his poor vote.
Vote Livingstone
For the greater glory of TIE!
Vote livingstone
Until it is deadstone
Unvote The Good Doctor Livingstone, one presumes
Vote Aedan
Vote Aedan
In the interest of a tie
And some votes later we are looking at a TIE. Aedan, Dr. L, and Arkasas each have three votes. Personally, only really one of these would have looked suspicious to me at the time (I can't speak for Alxeu's opinion on the subject), and that would be Dr. L. There really isn't that good of a case on Arky or Aedan here, whereas the Dr.L vote seems, frankly, suspicious.
Dr. L becomes the 2nd person to vote PC on day 2. I am now officially less concerned with him being a wolf.

Threeway TIE...
I like all three candidates- what do other people think?
Buuuut, really? All three? Perhaps this is one of the posts that would later get al-Aziz lynched?
OK. This is not the way a village wins games after the seer dies. Now is the worst time to stop having any meaningful discussions.
I'm making a vote count. By the time I'm done, I want everybody to restate their case against the person they are currently voting.
MC tries to rally the village. Hmmm, this is a fairly good sign from him, actually.
Unofficial Vote Count
Arkasas: 4
al-Aziz [179]
2kNikk [181]
Dadarian [183]
Dr. Livingstone [193 Arkasas -> 202 unvote]
aedan777: 3
madchemist [185]
EUROO7 [195 Dr. Livingstone -> 215]
Leondark [216]
Dr. Livingstone: 3
Wagonlitz [211]
Arkasas [213]
Panzer Commader [214]
Panzer Commader: 2
Dr. Livingstone [219]
Rovsea [187 EUROO7 -> 208 invalid -> 226]
EUROO7: 1
brovahkiin [217]
2kNikk: 1
aedan777 [189]
Fail count, which is mentioned later. (Look at the Arkasas voters, then look at the Panzer voters)
Unvote Aedan
Vote Livingstone
Unvote Livingstone
Vote Panzer
Wolf sense is tingling.
EURO quickly changes his vote, and then reconsiders, landing on PC. This is another good sign from him. I'm now leaning more towards goodie.
My vote on 2kNikk wasn't a permanent one, and now I think Livingstone is decent for poor defense, and Leondark is good for random voting for a tie (It being on me is a bonus too). Panzer might not be bad either. Arkasas is a toss-up. We should definitly lynch one of those 4, with the first 2 being my best picks.
Unvote 2kNikk Vote Livingstone
An interesting post from Aedan, if for no other reason than it breaks a TIE (although this might not have been known at the time). Other than that, it seems to be a fairly logical viewpoint for a villager to have. Aedan is edging a little more away from baddie for me, now.
Right, forgot about this with the Big. Yeah, this strikes me as 'overconfident wolf'.
Unvote Livingstone Vote Panzer
And then Aedan remembers that PC made a really stupid post at the beginning of the first day. He switches onto Panzer, actually putting him ahead, although it is still likely that many people see a TIE here. (Because of the failed votecount) I would say that this makes Aedan a less likely wolf, as he actually put PC into the lead on the 2nd Day, and therefore at real risk for the first time that day.
To be honest, with the seer dead we will never have solid proof against anyone other than speculation.
Well, I know that I'm responding to this pretty late, but that's not necessarily true. Although it's hard to know for certain, fairly accurate guesses can often be made after looking at behavioral and voting history, especially if the player is new. Not sure of this post was meant to try and influence PC votes or not, but Leondark is slightly more suspicious in my eyes.
Sure. That was weird. And Arkasas's case is less strong, so...
Unvote Arkasas, Vote Panzer
And finally there is some definite momentum onto Panzer.
...or, in light of votecount,
Unvote Panzer, Vote art. Livingstone
Errr, or not, I suppose. Again, this could be one of those posts that got al-Aziz lynched.
Unvote aedan
Vote Arkasas
To be honest, I liked the case on him prior to seeing what looked like a runaway bandwagon to start the day. Let's not have him drop drop out of contention, OK?
Just four posts earlier, MC advocates killing Panzer, this vote suggests an alternative. I find this slightly suspicious, but not truly incriminating, as it is possible that a smart villager would want to gather more information and hedge his bets.
Unvote Dr.Livingstone
Vote Panzer Commader
And finally, there is some momentum on Panzer.
Unvote Panzer Commader
Vote Wagonlitz
Appears we are going to TIE anyway.
What, again? In hindsight, these posts can look fishy. I'm not sure about this one, but I'll go with Wagon looking just slightly more suspicious.
No, Panzer needs to die alone.
No former self! Don't do it! Your bravery will only get you killed! Unfortunately, my death will unfold fairly predictably from here. :sad:
This is actually a good question. In hindsight, it tends to look more suspicious, like Wagon unvoting for the TIE.
Because of the useful information it will garner without putting more villager lives at risk.
Yes, it was a good question, and this is former self's response. Since I consider it semi-gamebreaking to give my opinion from that point, when I was technically playing a different character, I will hold off on analyzing this post.
Starting to wonder if Panzer's just an idiot villager whom all the wolves are happy to lynch.
I still want him dead since he hasn't made a serious response, though.
If he was an idiot wolf, I'd be the first of his packmates to lynch him too, of course.
Of course this does bring MC back into the focus somewhat. At this point, if MC is a wolf, he could be doing two things at once. A.) Telling Packmate Panzer to put up an effort
right now, and B.) Trying to persuade the village off of voting PC. Of course, it could also be a logical approach to the unreasonable authority of former self's post. Former self is actually making it a lot harder to analyze Chemist here.
No. A wolf wouldn't take this much of a stupid risk.
This actually does make sense. It appears that former self knew how bold his post sounded.
Unvote Livingstone
Vote Panzer
And Panzer is put more firmly in the lead.
I agree that Panzer should be lynched alone, but this seems way too sure of the outcome to be a villager response. I think Rovsea's worth a good look tomorrow.
I agree with this guy, you should totally have waited a day before lynching me.
I'll be honest, I'm gambling.
From a cost-benefit analysis, I think it'll be worth it.
Why do I get the feeling that I overuse that word, "gambling"? Anyways, it appears that former self knew he was taking a risk.
That hurts, Wagon. :sad:
unvote panzer vote rovsea
And here we have the beginning of the end. This post actually makes me slightly, but only slightly, more suspicious of EURO.
And another person wants former self dead.
Fine.
Unvote DrL, Vote Rovsea
What did I even do to you people?
This just in: EURO likes killing villagers. Maybe he's a wolf!
Hmmm. Apparently former self found EURO's post suspicious. Or maybe he was just trying to survive?
I will do so.
Unvote Panzer
Vote Rovsea
Well, THAT wasn't suspicious.
Unvote Wagonlitz
Vote Panzer Commader
And Wagon has to step in. For maintaining the TIE, even though he killed former self

'( ), I consider Wagon a much less likely wolf.
As has been pointed out, this post is inconclusive.
Panzer Commader: 4
Rovsea [208]
aedan777 [189 2kNikk -> 230 Dr. Livingstone -> 233]
Arkasas [213 Dr. Livingstone -> 255]
Wagonlitz [211 Dr. Livingstone -> 245 Panzer Commader -> 247 Wagonlitz]
Rovsea: 4
EUROO7 [195 Dr. Livingstone -> 215 aedan777 -> 228 Dr. Livingstone -> 229 Panzer Commader -> 266]
madchemist [185 aedan777 -> 244 Arkasas -> 268]
al-Aziz [179 Arkasas -> 239 Panzer Commader -> 241 Dr. Livingstone -> 272]
Dr. Livingstone [193 Arkasas -> 202 unvote -> 219 Panzer Commader -> 288]
Arkasas: 2
2kNikk [181]
Dadarian [183]
Dr. Livingstone: 1
Panzer Commader [214]
aedan777: 1
Leondark [216]
EUROO7: 1
brovahkiin [217]
And finally a correct count... After deadline! :mellow:
4 Panzer
4 Rovsea
3 Arkasas
1 Dr. L
1 Euro
1 Wagon
1 Aedan
Go aherad and lynch me. My death will vindicate me. But if I die and PC's a wolf, remember MC and Al-Aziz.
Forgot about this post. This likely influenced the death of al-Aziz, but it also makes MC slightly more suspicious.
Unvote Leonard
Vote Rovsea
I have not yet been subbed in.
Rovsea is subbing for alxeu
An interesting couple of posts, though for the life of me, I can't figure out if there's any deeper meaning.
I decide to quote former self's opinion of MC and al-Aziz, that should he die and be a villager, while Panzer was a wolf, those two would be suspicious. I maintain that this is a rational villager move.
That doesn't sound like too bad of an idea.
Arky agrees.
I definitely agree on Al-Aziz, but not so sure with MC. It certainly doesn't look good with him pushing Rovsea like that, but I don't know if he'd put his neck out for a packmate acting like Panzer did. Or maybe he did that hoping we'd think that. He's a possible wolf I supose, but I'd much rather Al-Aziz pushed up today.
Aedan essentially makes what will be MC's defense for the day. However, he is also pushing al-Aziz. Slightly more suspicious now.
Maybe. Much like yesterday though, I worry that it could let the wolves snipe to safety. It came to nothing yesterday, but that might not become the case today. With enough support and coordination it might be possible. Too early in the day to just limit ourselves to 2 candidates though. I want to hear from Livingstone at least and a few others as well, see who they suspect from this.
Aedan raises a valid concern, one shared by quite a few people yesterday.
I'll just say I'm okay with an al-aziz and mc tie
Interesting, especially considering later on. I can't seem to get a good read on Toucan this game. He seems to like posing short questions, but I haven't seen him go fully in-depth this game yet. Could just be a playstyle issue, but I have my eye on him still.
I can explain this, though I doubt you will believe me. I have wifi and right as I was about to vote, the phone rang. This interrupted my internet for a few crucial seconds, when MC posted his warning. I was distracted by the phone episode however, and did not see the warning until it was nearly too late. As for Aziz, I will have to read over the thread again before I make any decisions.
That's kind of weak, actually.
This is a long post, but in essence it condemns MC for being on of the biggest supporters of a Former self-Panzer Commader TIE. It also accuses him of being weak on the Panzer lynch in the first place, something that can NOT be supported by in-thread evidence. It is possible that I picked this up from IRC, and I thought I picked it up from Wagon a little too, (which may have been on IRC) but given the lack of in-thread evidence, I am afraid I must drop that claim.
Good case. I was wary of MC before, but looking at everything, he does seem a likely wolf. I'm good with a tie between Al-Aziz and MC, but there's a lot of time to deadline, so I don't want to shut down discussion over other candidates if someone else wants to bring up a candidate.
Agreed on chemist. Al-Aziz, I believe, is playing the fabled "quiet wolf game", and as such must be punished, and punished speedily.
Thank you, thank you! I thought it was a good case too.
Unvote Rovsea
Vote al-Aziz
BUT, the al-Aziz wagon starts to pick up speed. It is interesting that EURO is the third voter here. Again, this nudges him slightly more towards suspicion for me.
I agree with Arkasas, too much quiet is coming from Al-Aziz.
Vote Al-Aziz
Why? This seems a little excessive.
Hmmm...I am suddenly less confident about the Aziz push.
These were my feelings as well at this point, but at the same time, it seemed like a repeat of Panzer. Why would a villager just sit there and not respond to a Bandwagon. Considering that al-Aziz has very rarely been a wolf (once, twice max), she might indeed have responded like this to a sudden bandwagon. In the end, I think more activity would have saved her, and it is unfortunate that she didn't post that she would be unavailable.
I'll take one for the team.
Unvote Aziz
Vote MadChemist
Dadar redeems himself by pushing more towards MC, and evening out the field more.
You are saving al-Aziz. Why?
Slightly more suspicion towards EURO. In hindsight, it looks like he is trying to pressure Dadar into voting a villager, and this pressure makes both him, and MC, whom he is indirectly supporting, more suspicious to me.
Panzer was a wolf?! If only the village saw that coming a few days ago!
Congratulations, Xarkan! You have been vindicated! You get credit for first spotting the PanzerWolf
(TM).
There was also a little bit of a scuffle between Nikk and EURO, where Toucan called out Euro on defending the Aziz Lynch. Toucan is a little less suspicious than he was before.
Al-Aziz jumping up like that doesn't necessarily mean wolves are driving her up. The case on her is pretty good, and the lack of a counter effort could be attributed to her packmates not being on, or even MC being one of her packmates and the other wolf is driving her up to save MC. And there's you who's calling her lynch into question after a little suspicious activity. I still think our best bet for today is a tie between Al-Aziz and Madchemist. Votecount would be nice for organizing that.
This actually reflects some of my opinions on rereading the thread. I could see a pack with Euro and MC in it. Nothing conclusive yet, however.
You're right, I wouldn't stick my neck out for a packmate who was already certain to die.
All right, here's my full explanation for the events of yesterday. I have no defense save for the truth. Let us begin.
I do advocate voting on whom I believe is suspicious. And I was confident that Panzer already had ample votes to be killed without my help. You may recall that I wanted a TIE from the beginning, as I believe that without a seer, it maximizes our information to eliminate as many suspects as soon as possible.
I was rather surprised that OldRovsea were so vehemently opposed to a tie. It made no sense to me, and honestly, it still makes no sense. And that got me thinking that he was a wolf, and that one of the secondary candidates a not improbable wolf as well. Hence my lingering doubts about Panzer, and my increasing suspicion about the player(s) who wanted to kill him alone.
I am reluctant to continue this, as it gives some insight into my playstyle that may help people actually identify me when I am a wolf. But I'd like to survive this game as a villager, so I will do so.
As a villager without any information, my fatal flaw is indecisiveness. I may make a good or very good case and then begin to doubt it because some other vague suspicion catches my eye. On the contrary, as a wolf or as a villager in the JL, I know exactly whom I do not want dead, and I often have a very good idea of whom I do want dead. Oftentimes, as a wolf, that includes wanting my own packmates dead, especially if I feel that they are being overly stupid and suspicious. As a wolf in this game, I would want Panzer to be killed, in such a way that I get credit for killing him. Panzer's death was all but certain, and I have never been one to squander my long-term survival for a stupid short-term gain that would ultimately end up taking down two wolves instead of one. As a wolf, I rarely save packmates, and in particular, I never save packmates who, in my estimation, do not deserve saving. I can say with some confidence that Panzer would have had my vote, quite possibly much earlier, had I been in his pack (or I might have kept him in line and prevented him from acting like an idiot in the first place).
No, what you see here is the honest doubt of a villager, who made an error in judgment yesterday. My behavior is entirely consistent with such uncertainty. I submit the above to your judgment, and I hope that you will realize that I am correct in this.
And he we Have MadChemist's defense, quoted in full as it is likely his single most important post of the game. He confirms what I said earlier about having a natural reaction to the vehemence with which I wanted Panzer killed alone. Goodie points for MC. He is forthcoming with his playstyle, and the weaknesses in it. Plus goodie points. I can counterargument MC's point about not trying to put PC ahead by saying that by advocating TIEing as a wolf he still gets credit for killing his packmate, but also gets a "free" villager in the exchange, but this is still a solid defense overall.
Though I would still really like to know who you instructed Livingstone to break that TIE in Panzer's favour.
This seems to be the last really strong point against MadChemist.
Check my
votecount from earlier that day. I thought Dr. L was on Arkasas at the time, not on Panzer (or I actually had him down as being on both). Hence I thought we needed him to switch.
And again a fairly solid defense. At this point There is less of a case than I would like on him.
Believing as I do that the best defense is a good offense, I would like to propose a counter-candidate. (I have no objection to hanging Aziz, btw. Her relative silence so far seems rather typical of her wolf play, and I think she has a solid case against her.)
That candidate is 2kNikk. I know he said he'd be relatively inactive compared to his usual, but I really haven't seen much of anything from him, and what little I have hasn't really made me too confident in him. Nikk tends not to vote for his own packmates, and I think he did not vote Panzer at any point. Don't think he's voted for Aziz yet, either. I think he's simply been on Arkasas for more or less the entire game up until now. He's also way too quiet and way less interested in asking probing questions than before.
I'll put my money where my mouth is.
Vote 2kNikk
And then MC attacks Toucan. Toucan isn't necessarily a bad lynch though, and even as a villager MC would want to draw attention away from himself.
So a revenge vote then. Real villager move there.
And Toucan's response is hardly polite.
And this ends up turning into an argument between MC and Nikk that spans more posts than I care to quote. Suffice it to say that Toucan's main defense was that he posted that he would be less active. The aggressiveness with which MC followed up on his vote post prompted Toucan to advocate a lynching of MC, as seen below.
/shrug
Okay, when I am proven villager go after MC for pushing two terrible villager lynches in a row please.
Yes, people need to cool it with the REVENGEVOTEOMGWTF.
Unvote Aziz
Vote Wagonlitz
Someone vote aziz.
And now EURO switches onto another candidate.
Unvote 2kNikk
Vote Wagonlitz
Testing something out.
MC follows him, and all of a sudden Wagon is an actual possibility as a target.
Hey that is not cool. I voted myself when I thought MC and Aziz should be TIEd since I didn't want to break the TIE. It wasn't an invitation to vote me.
Unvote Wagonlitz
And Wagon promptly breaks up the three way TIE, which makes sense considering that there isn't a real case against him.
Lets make the tie
Vote Wagonlitz
Umm, anybody else concerned about Leon at this point? He's been making semi-pivotal votes all game long with zero reasoning stated, and zero attention for it.
I do not miscalculate on these things. Look at the games where I've been a wolf and a packmate of mine was lynched. I've almost always been one of the voters on them. Quite often one of the first. I know when my packmates have done something stupid that will kill them.
Ok, even you have to admit that that sounds a little bit arrogant, MC.

I didn't post my rebuttal to MC's defensive post since that post is more or less obsoleted by this one.
Ok. I think this TIE is good, so I won't break it yet, but you've convinced me to look at other suspects for now. Namely, al-Aziz, who has been suggested as a candidate all day, but still not responded. I would really like to hear some sort of defense from her. Until I hear back from the village on whether or not to break this three-way TIE, however, my vote stays.
Mostly I was OK with this TIE because of al-Aziz and MC being in it. Everybody agreed that al-Aziz was a good lynch, especially early in the day, so I asked if lynching one wolf was worth the death of two villagers in IRC, and eventually in-thread as well, since I was fairly certain that there was at least one wolf in the TIE at the time.
Wagonlitz is a stupid candidate.
Unvote Wagonlitz
MC comes to his senses, perhaps this helps influence the next post, perhaps his defensive post was equally as important, I can't precisely remember. Either way:
Unvote MadChemist, Vote 2kNikk
I have been convinced that a smaller, more manageable TIE is better. My top three suspects are Toucan, al-Aziz, and EURO.
This happens, and I revise my list of top suspects so that MC is no longer in it.
Vote 2kNikk
For reasons previously stated, and because it looks like that may actually go somewhere this time.
Small break
Unvote wagon vote 2knikk
And again, EURO and MC vote together. It seems that whenever one of these two move, the other helps out in the crusade against the next target, and they usually have supporters. Just off the top of my head, from Day 2 onwards. EURO was the first voter on former self, MC voted with him, and the bandwagon picked up speed. Next Day, al-Aziz is quickly voted up, especially because of EURO's vote. Then Wagon is quickly run up, first by EURO, then by MC. After a short break, and change of Vote, EURO votes Nikk, and MC follows. Why is it that EURO starts, or is a part of, so many bandwagons? And why is MC so often one of his supporters? It almost makes me think that it would make them too obvious as packmates, but nobody has pointed this out yet.
I've been on Arkasas most of yesterday and you most of today. You nearly bungled yesterday so bad that we missed the obvious wolf.
I stated I would be quieter.
I was quieter.
You want to lynch me for this and Rovsea is demanding a defense in IRC.
A defense of what exactly? Being quiet?
You and Aziz are good lynches today. Heck I was the one who brought up the tie idea to aedan earlier this day.
The quietness is some bs reason to push a lynch on me because I said I wouldn't be here much. Too bad I am and your easy lynch became less easy.
Come back with an actual argument and not the same 'oh he's been real quiet when he said he'd be quiet' bull
Nikk's response makes sense, and seems to invalidate MC's argument.
Again, if it get hung, it happens. Whatever.
But when I come up villager: hang MadChemist
Well, this puts MC back on my radar again.
k;18318484]Part 1: I think your arguement is "Oh no I got caught doing something bad...um 'I am waaaay too good to play that bad guyz'..."
Part 2: I. Said. I. Would. Be. Quiet. Please at least acknowledge that.
I have 39 posts, all of which are game related. I have pushed targets and been apart of discussion, most of which was today on both you and aziz hanging and the need to have more discussion with Euro[/QUOTE]
Don't worry, MC has the perfect counter to point #1
:rofl:
Maybe there's something to that; my ego is a little inflated, and I may think I wouldn't do anything that clumsy as a wolf when in reality I might.
I did acknowledge that, from the beginning. I still do. Can you say something now, at least?
He also addresses the second point, though I think he does a less adequate job of it. Again, MC is starting to fade from my radar.
So where'd Ark go in all this? I haven't seen him much today, either.
Hey Chemist...
What's your thoughts on aedan?
And just like that, they've kissed and made up! I must say, you two make a great couple. :wub:
But in all seriousness, while in hindsight it does seem a little bit less suspicious, the speed and synchronicity with which they both switch to a new candidate seems a litle suspicious to me.
/nod
Unvote: Madchemist
Vote: Arkasas
And then Toucan acknowledges the make-up by switching onto MC's candidate. I know that Arky got away with being run up yesterday, but there was a reason why that happened, he is probably the second worst candidate run up Day 3, in hindsight. (After Wagon)
A suggestion.
Lynch at least Ark and Aziz. If Aziz is wolf aedan's a cool guy. If Aziz is not and Ark is I'd bet dollars to doughnuts Aedan is too.
Waaaay too many A's
A nice helpful suggestion by Toucan here. Looking back, I guess there could have been a case on Aedan, but overall I don't think that there's anything indicative of him right now. Moving on.
Ark might be worth investigating, so I will follow tucan.
Vote Arkasas
Wagon earlier made a vote suggesting that Ark may have been busy. That post will later look absolutely dead right, but I still can't blame him for putting his vote on Arky, since he was so quiet. Then again, the case of, "is quiet after being run-up", isn't necessarily that good.
Nikk contributes more than Ark, and Ark was behaving in a silly way kind of like Panzer. I'm game to try that one instead.
Unvote 2kNikk
Vote Ark
What? I really don't see how Ark was behaving silly.
What, and just forget you as a candidate? I really don't like both of the players I've voted today getting away scott free. (I am trying to be more decisive, after all) :/
That said, I can understand a villager's motivation at this point.
And so this is where my suspicions start to turn more towards MC again. Upon rereading, while he did have a fairly goodie start, Days 2 and 3 have brought him back into my focus again, although he isn't necessarily #1, I don't have a lot of choices I'd really say were suspicious.
Right. But he's constructed a narrative that, on current evidence, seems at least reasonable, and it's on somebody who was a good candidate from before. Plus it would provide solid information if Ark is in fact a wolf. And if he's not, I would be substantially more confident in Nikk's wolfishness.
Yes, I'd agree with this in hindsight, I believe that at the time of my posting I was hurrying to catch up, so I may not have gone back and looked at a y of Toucan's post, or any of the stuff that you guys mentioned in your argument.
I guess Nikk has been more active than others. But if Ark is a vil, I'm definitely looking at you and Nikk tomorrow. I also don't like how quickly you guys went from accusing each other to working together, but we'll see after today.
Should be TIE now, correct?
Ok, I think MC accused me of setting up him as a target with this post. I can understand that, and I probably should have phrased it a little more mildly, but I believe that I've already shown that I am willing to be bold when trying to lynch my best candidate. However, I still find it suspicious that you took a weak case on Ark and got him killed with it. Can you understand my suspicion?
Though wolves probably wouldn't have accused each other in the first place; you can always find scape goats and pull a crap story from your arse.
I completely agree with the end part of this sentence. And I haven't forgotten that you were an Arkasas voter, Wagon. :angry:
Unvote Nikk
Vote Aziz
Come out, come out, wherever you are...
This was an optimistic tactic, but it looks like al-Aziz wasn't online for
any of Day 3. I understand why EURO did it, and he had a good reason, so there isn't any extra suspicion here.
Why are we talking about lynching a villager? Can't someone be busy without getting lynched? Must everything in my life revolve around this game?
OK. I'll admit that getting back online ten minutes before your possible lynch is semi-incriminating, but at the same time, it appears that Wagon's earlier statement was correct.
There was some vote switching with Dadar and Leondark. Interesting to note that once again Leondark quietly put in a vote on a bandwagon case, and made a TIE. Dadar eventually remakes the TIE after Leon inadvertently breaks it, MC advises Leon to stay put, and al-Aziz and Arkasas are both lynched as villagers.
Oh wait. Wagon was hunted you say? Forget everything I posted discussing Wagon as a candidate.
It's you, isn't it? I've been chasing after stupid shadows all freaking game.
Vote EURO
My money's on EURO, Rovsea, and somebody else.
And I know I have no credibility left, but I am pushing this one for all it's worth.
Ok, this makes an MC-EURO + somebody pack look very unlikely. However, I'm glad to see that somebody else finally is looking at EURO with some suspicion.
Vote: DrLivingstone
Let's try this.
Not a horrible candidate, given that it's arepeat of the Arkasas lynch, but with a more solid base. Dr.L was suspicious early both Day 1 and Day 2, but as I have posted somewhere up in that mess, his vote record is actually fairly good. Either way, I would definitely like to see more activity out of him.
I don't see why you feel it's certain that there is a wolf between myself and Nikk. I feel like you're framing the debate here in such a way that there are only two possible choices for tomorrow: vote for MC or vote for Nikk. Rovsea's been doing the same in IRC, only much more blatantly, and I feel like something is up with that. It's almost enough to make me stop suspecting Nikk altogether. Which is weird, because I made the whole case against him in the first place.
Ok, this is MC's response to something that Aedan posted, which I missed. (Bound to happen, I mean, I'm trying not to respond to EVERY post here) Apparently MC has responded exactly as he does as a villager. Ugh. Now I have to rethink my argument. I'm actually leaning more towards EURO and Leondark right now than I am MC or Nikk. Not sure exactly why, maybe it's because they've drawn so little attention despite playing relevant roles throughout the entire game. Nikk is definitely sliding off my radar. MC, you're still on it, but you're at least in third.
No, I think you gambled on Arky being a villager, and you got away with TIEing a villager at the last minute again. There's nothing suspicious with me saying that you and Toucan would be my top suspects if Arkasas turned out to be a villager, Arkasas turning out to be a villager, and then myself finding you two suspicious. I had my reservations in the first place, and it was my indecisiveness that allowed you to kill another villager. I'm not just gonna let you shift the focus onto me.
Well. Here's me being an idiot. I guess a day of arguing on IRC and on the forums can do that to you. I'm just going to do this. *Facepalm*, then try and clarify what I was saying so that it actually makes sense.
*Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm**Facepalm*
So, what I was trying to say was that MC gambled by so strongly urging for a TIE between myself and PC, and also by so strongly urging the TIE between Arkasas and al-Aziz. As a wolf, he knew that in both cases he was killing a villager, and that the vote record would show him as a good candidate.
That was my point. And the Vote Record
does show MC as a good candidate, but upon a lengthy examination of this game, the behavioral record, just as important, if not more-so, as voting, shows MC to be a villager who gambled on villagers being wolves twice, and failed, twice. He shouldn't be lynched because of that. I retract my other argumentative posts between the one quoted and this one as well, they are obsolete.