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Alright, people of Gondor, it's time for some analysis. With all these dead baddies, we should have a wealth of information.
First things first, we most likely have a formerly-cursed Traitor running around. Assuming symmetrical packs, the game would've started with two wolves and a cultist per pack, with Cliges the sorcerer running around (with k-59 quickly becoming his apprentice very quickly and, eventually, his successor). Without a Cursed player, both packs would've died yesterday, and we'd have won. Since my shot goes off before the Traitors hunt, the Cursed player must have come from Day 2. As for yesterday, well, that's why you stay online for deadline.
Anyway, time for analysis.
Gen. Marshall: Since k-59 was the sorcerer's apprentice, it'd be awfully unbalanced for one pack to be represented on the Council and not the other. Therefore Marshall is likely a good guy, at least at the start. After Day 2, his pre-outing votes were all on Orange pack with the exception of Kaiser. Very poor fit for the Orange pack, which would be great except that pack's dead. Could very well be formerly Cursed, though.
Rovsea: Claimed Witness to get out of a lynch on Day 1. Hard to say whether he's telling the truth or not, since he'd out himself in that situation either way. Votes Cliges for self defense on Day 1, De Chat on Day 2, Marshall on Day 3, and Health on Day 4. Velasco did vote him on Day 1 and never moved despite Rovsea being in danger. Not sure if Velasco's usually not on for deadline, but it's still a point in Rovsea's favour.
Hazbot: He's been very quiet in all of this. With baddies dying left and right, it'd make sense to try not to draw attention to yourself. Voted Cliges early on Day 1, Kaiser on Day 2, throwaway on Black Griffin on Day 3, and Kaiser again on Day 4. The choice of Kaiser over Velasco yesterday could be a sign of being Red, although he was one of the earlier voters on him.
Audren: I'm not going to even give the pretense of analysing myself. I'm good.
Black_Griffin: Another fairly quiet guy, though he is new. Most of his votes have been based off the hunt which, while not the best cases, isn't necessarily the sign of a wolf, particularly in a new player. Throwaway on billy bob on Day 1, De Chatillon on Day 2, no vote on Day 3, and Kaiser on Day 4. Hasn't really done much for the village, and fits just fine with the Red pack.
Kaisersohaib: Has been fairly inactive, which has gotten him in quite a bit of trouble recently. However, the fact that so many people were willing to vote him yesterday makes me think that he's a more likely villager than not. Didn't vote Day 1, voted Jerman on Day 2, didn't vote Day 3, and voted Velasco in self-defense on Day 4. He's incredibly inactive and has barely played at all, but I'd rather not go after him when so many possible wolves went after him yesterday.
Aedan777: Votes De Chatillon on Day 1 and Day 2, Hazbot on Day 3, and Black Griffin on Day 4. He didn't intervene in the Kaiser - Velasco contest, ostensibly because the vote was lazy. It's a shame I didn't out until later, since it would've helped to see if he switched to one of them closer to deadline. Still, the choice to introduce a new candidate when a wolf and an unknown were TIE'd is rather interesting.
billy bob: Basically the only other person more or less cleared from the Red pack besides myself, having shot Wagon the Red wolf on Day 1. Other than that, he's voted all Orange baddies pre-outing except for a revenge vote on Day 1. Not a good lynch at all.
KF25: Pretty quiet throughout the game, with a throwaway on Kaiser on Day 1, vote on De Chatillon on Day 2 and Day 3, and Kaiser again on Day 4. He was one of the last ones on Kaiser yesterday, pointedly not voting Velasco when the two were roughly equal in suspicion. Could be a tie to the Red pack, and has been laying low. Pretty good candidate, I think.
Sleepyhead: Voted Rovsea on Day 1, making them unlikely an unlikely wolf-cultist combo. Voted Jerman on Day 2, DeathNote on Day 3, and and Velasco on Day 4. This last vote helped solidify Velasco as a candidate yesterday, giving Sleepy a goodie point. Could be a wolf trying to get village cred, but that'd be quite risky with so few baddies left. There are better candidates today.
Overall, I think the best cases are on Black_Griffin and KF25, particularly the latter. Not too many players left who don't fit well with the Red pack, unfortunately. I think KF25 is our best lynch today, since his vote actively helped to push Velasco out of danger, while Griffin's vote was before Velasco was even an candidate.
VOTE KF25
First things first, we most likely have a formerly-cursed Traitor running around. Assuming symmetrical packs, the game would've started with two wolves and a cultist per pack, with Cliges the sorcerer running around (with k-59 quickly becoming his apprentice very quickly and, eventually, his successor). Without a Cursed player, both packs would've died yesterday, and we'd have won. Since my shot goes off before the Traitors hunt, the Cursed player must have come from Day 2. As for yesterday, well, that's why you stay online for deadline.
Anyway, time for analysis.
Gen. Marshall: Since k-59 was the sorcerer's apprentice, it'd be awfully unbalanced for one pack to be represented on the Council and not the other. Therefore Marshall is likely a good guy, at least at the start. After Day 2, his pre-outing votes were all on Orange pack with the exception of Kaiser. Very poor fit for the Orange pack, which would be great except that pack's dead. Could very well be formerly Cursed, though.
Rovsea: Claimed Witness to get out of a lynch on Day 1. Hard to say whether he's telling the truth or not, since he'd out himself in that situation either way. Votes Cliges for self defense on Day 1, De Chat on Day 2, Marshall on Day 3, and Health on Day 4. Velasco did vote him on Day 1 and never moved despite Rovsea being in danger. Not sure if Velasco's usually not on for deadline, but it's still a point in Rovsea's favour.
Hazbot: He's been very quiet in all of this. With baddies dying left and right, it'd make sense to try not to draw attention to yourself. Voted Cliges early on Day 1, Kaiser on Day 2, throwaway on Black Griffin on Day 3, and Kaiser again on Day 4. The choice of Kaiser over Velasco yesterday could be a sign of being Red, although he was one of the earlier voters on him.
Audren: I'm not going to even give the pretense of analysing myself. I'm good.
Black_Griffin: Another fairly quiet guy, though he is new. Most of his votes have been based off the hunt which, while not the best cases, isn't necessarily the sign of a wolf, particularly in a new player. Throwaway on billy bob on Day 1, De Chatillon on Day 2, no vote on Day 3, and Kaiser on Day 4. Hasn't really done much for the village, and fits just fine with the Red pack.
Kaisersohaib: Has been fairly inactive, which has gotten him in quite a bit of trouble recently. However, the fact that so many people were willing to vote him yesterday makes me think that he's a more likely villager than not. Didn't vote Day 1, voted Jerman on Day 2, didn't vote Day 3, and voted Velasco in self-defense on Day 4. He's incredibly inactive and has barely played at all, but I'd rather not go after him when so many possible wolves went after him yesterday.
Aedan777: Votes De Chatillon on Day 1 and Day 2, Hazbot on Day 3, and Black Griffin on Day 4. He didn't intervene in the Kaiser - Velasco contest, ostensibly because the vote was lazy. It's a shame I didn't out until later, since it would've helped to see if he switched to one of them closer to deadline. Still, the choice to introduce a new candidate when a wolf and an unknown were TIE'd is rather interesting.
billy bob: Basically the only other person more or less cleared from the Red pack besides myself, having shot Wagon the Red wolf on Day 1. Other than that, he's voted all Orange baddies pre-outing except for a revenge vote on Day 1. Not a good lynch at all.
KF25: Pretty quiet throughout the game, with a throwaway on Kaiser on Day 1, vote on De Chatillon on Day 2 and Day 3, and Kaiser again on Day 4. He was one of the last ones on Kaiser yesterday, pointedly not voting Velasco when the two were roughly equal in suspicion. Could be a tie to the Red pack, and has been laying low. Pretty good candidate, I think.
Sleepyhead: Voted Rovsea on Day 1, making them unlikely an unlikely wolf-cultist combo. Voted Jerman on Day 2, DeathNote on Day 3, and and Velasco on Day 4. This last vote helped solidify Velasco as a candidate yesterday, giving Sleepy a goodie point. Could be a wolf trying to get village cred, but that'd be quite risky with so few baddies left. There are better candidates today.
Overall, I think the best cases are on Black_Griffin and KF25, particularly the latter. Not too many players left who don't fit well with the Red pack, unfortunately. I think KF25 is our best lynch today, since his vote actively helped to push Velasco out of danger, while Griffin's vote was before Velasco was even an candidate.
VOTE KF25
