Werewolf CX: Do Cylons dream of Electric Sheep?

[Kingepyon]

Night 0

Hunted: Morrell8

Day 1

Syber_sid (6) - Kingepyon, joebthegreat, Trinitrotoluen, Vainglory, AOK. 11, esemesas
esemesas (6) - snoopdogg, jacob-lundgren, Syber_sid, THE_SPLIT, EUROO7, reis91
jacob-Lundgren (3) - Eternaly_Lost, Bagricula, drxav
Eternaly_Lost (2) - hebelecan, Slinky
hebelcan (1) - Adamus
reis91 (1) - Hearth
joebthegreat (1) - Steed

No Vote: Ciryandor, Nautilu

Night 1

Hunted: Hearth

Day 2

drxav (5) - snoopdogg, EUROO7, Trinitrotoluen, reis91, Steed
Steed (4) - Vainglory, jacob-lundgren, AOK. 11, drxav
Adamus (2) - joebthegreat, Kingepyon
Slinky (2) - Ciryandor, Adamus
Ciryandor (1) - Slinky
THE_SPLIT (1) - Eternaly_Lost
Vainglory (1) - THE_SPLIT

No Vote: hebelecan, Bagricula, Nautilu

Note: THE_SPLIT voted for vainglory, but randakar didn't catch it.

Night 2

Hunted: THE_SPLIT

Day 3

Slinky (5) - joebthegreat, hebelecan, Steed, Euroo7, Bagricula
hebelecan (3) - reis91, Ciryandor, Trinitrotoluen
Adamus (3) - Slinky, Eternaly_Lost, jacob-Lundgren
bagricula (3) - snoopdogg, AOK. 11, Vainglory
Vainglory (2) - Adamus, Boris ze Spider
reis91 (1) - Kingepyon

Night 3

Hunted: joebthegreat

 

[Kingepyon]

This whole switching completely from one target to another really messes with my usual way of analysing.

I think I may have to post before and after random switch in order to get proper information.

 

[Bagricula]

So reis, snoopdogg, and euro together both voted for baddies in the first two days...

...and all voted for a different person on the third day.

AOK and Vainglory voted with baddies the first two days...and voted together on every day including the third.

Those're the two strongest patterns I see so far.

 

[Bagricula]

Wiser werewolf veterans...what typically happens if there is a run-up of votes on two wolves? Is there any tell that would reveal that they are both wolves? Particularly strong averse vote-switching to avoid a TIE?

 

[EUROO7]

Wiser werewolf veterans...what typically happens if there is a run-up of votes on two wolves? Is there any tell that would reveal that they are both wolves? Particularly strong averse vote-switching to avoid a TIE?

That really depends on who is in the pack, and if they are willing to risk the whole pack to save the two wolves. If I was in the pack, and the two wolves were being run up, I would simply move the lynch to a third candidate and lynch him instead. Some might decide that in order to save the pack, one of the wolves should be sacrificed, which would possibly clear them of being packmates, and further their winning chances. There is also the matter of the JL and the possibility of them working under the radar to lynch a wolf. If the pack mobilises to save the wrong packmate, the one not identified by the JL, this could expose them all.

There are simply too many variables to classify this a -typical- situation.

 

[randakar]

Why am I in red? (though I like the color)

Because the GM was in a rush, stressed and tired when he put that update up.
Almost screwed up royally in the order handling department, too. Good thing I caught it in time

how typical.

Yes. Your PM to me on that first day really did have some truth to it, it seems.

 

[Bagricula]

Because the GM was in a rush, stressed and tired when he put that update up.
Almost screwed up royally in the order handling department, too. Good thing I caught it in time



Yes. Your PM to me on that first day really did have some truth to it, it seems.

Maw...no story for Day/Night 3?

 

[Capt. Kiwi]

Good things take time.

 

[randakar]

Maw...no story for Day/Night 3?

To put it bluntly, no.

I was planning on doing them, but right now I have stuff going on that -really- needs my attention much more than this game.
In fact it was a dodgy call whether I would be there for the deadline yesterday at all. Then you all simply would have had to wait, and the deadline for today would have been moved.

I'm really sorry for the inconvenience this may cause, but I can't afford to spend more time on this game than absolutely necessary right now.

 

[Bagricula]

To put it bluntly, no.

I was planning on doing them, but right now I have stuff going on that -really- needs my attention much more than this game.
In fact it was a dodgy call whether I would be there for the deadline yesterday at all. Then you all simply would have had to wait, and the deadline for today would have been moved.

I'm really sorry for the inconvenience this may cause, but I can't afford to spend more time on this game than absolutely necessary right now.

Take care of what you need to get done. Best of luck with everything.

 

[Kingepyon]

Vote Ciryandor

Haven't had time to go through the third day yet, and it's time to sleep, so this is pretty throw away. Hopefully, I'll have time to finish up analysis tomorrow and give a new vote/analysis on said vote.

 

[Bagricula]

Vote AOK

No strong reason here. As I said above, Vainglory and AOK have voted with baddies in Day 1 and Day 2, and they have voted together all three days, suggesting either common information or coordination.

That said, I'm a newb at this, and my intrigue skill is fairly low to begin with.

 

[Trinitrotoluen]

vote Adamus

Mainly to help me better understand the motivations behind yesterday's shenanigans. And it would be really, really nice for once to get an uninterrupted voting cycle.

 

[randakar]

GM Announcement

I will not be around tonight to give you guys an update.

Tonight's deadline is pushed back by 24 hours.
My apologies, but it really is the best I can do.

Alternatively I did consider moving it by just 12 hours, but that really will mess with the timezones and the usual 'interesting' snipefest this game is prone to having.

 

[Ciryandor]

GM Announcement

I will not be around tonight to give you guys an update.

Tonight's deadline is pushed back by 24 hours.
My apologies, but it really is the best I can do.

Alternatively I did consider moving it by just 12 hours, but that really will mess with the timezones and the usual 'interesting' snipefest this game is prone to having.

Was about to vote in a rush to go to sleep, when I read that, now I can have a more considered vote.

 

[EUROO7]

Apathy about this game slowly creeping in. Someone scan me, quickly.

 

[Adamus]

I can hunt you of you like?

 

[EUROO7]

I can hunt you of you like?

But that would only exacerbate the problem.

 

[AOK. 11]

Vote AOK

No strong reason here. As I said above, Vainglory and AOK have voted with baddies in Day 1 and Day 2, and they have voted together all three days, suggesting either common information or coordination.

That said, I'm a newb at this, and my intrigue skill is fairly low to begin with.

You obviously do not know me. If you want to argue I am a wolf, fine. But please do not argue that I would coordinate with packmates, in the thread, in a blatant and obvious fashion.

That is insutling my intellegence. And I will have none of it.

VOTE Bagricula

 

[reis91]

vote TNT

New contestant.