Werewolf CCXXXII: Sannikov's Land

[Hax]

Give me a break. I got here yesterday and there was an outing. And calliean missed a ton of votes. So I'm just trying to catch up and be useful

I know but the fact still stands that we have almost no information on you.

 

[alxeu]

Vote alynkio2.0

I'd be up for lynching a couple of zombies/quiet people today, for lack of any information on the other pack.

 

[Claude LC]

Vote Arkasas

I have to support aedan here
Arky has been more quiet than often I will try to read a little more and see what I can make. But for the time being.

 

[Hax]

Thank you @Dedonus for the vote counts. Here is a vote history analysis, I don't observe behavior or yellow pack member votes.

Arkasas - A zombie who seems to be obsessed with OrangeYoshi, dunno what to say about that. A bit more active after being run up.
Day 1 - Throw away vote on OrangeYoshi the villager.
Day 2 - Votes OrangeYoshi the villager.
Day 3 - First votes for Tus3 the yellow wolf, then switches to OrangeYoshi the villager.
Day 4 - Votes first alynkio the villager, then TheFatWombat the villager. Though he was one of the lynch contenders so self preservation should be accounted.
Day 5 - First votes Tus3 the yellow wolf, then follows the outing on Capibara the villager.


Wagonlitz - Hasn't done a single vote switch during the whole game. Is laying low and isn't contributing that much to the game.
Day 1 - Makes a throw away vote on Sleepyhead the yellow cultist. A bit suspicious IMO.
Day 2 - Votes aedan777 the unknown.
Day 3 - Makes an important vote on Tus3 the yellow vote.
Day 4 - Didn't vote.
Day 5 - Votes Tus3, misses the outing.


Yakman - Hasn't done a single vote switch during the whole game. Is laying low and isn't contributing that much to the game.
Day 1 - Votes brovahkiin the villager.
Day 2 - Votes OrangeYoshi the villager.
Day 3 - Throw away vote on Rovsea the yellow wolf.
Day 4 - Throw away vote on Hax the unknown.
Day 5 - Throw away vote on Hax the unknown.


bearthjah - Is relatively active in the thread but except for day 5, beartjah has mostly been laying low with his votes.
Day 1 - Makes the first vote on brovahkiin the villager.
Day 2 - Switches from Caillean/Claude LC the unknown to OrangeYoshi the villager.
Day 3 - Makes the first vote on Tus3 the yellow wolf.
Day 4 - Makes the first vote on Arkasas the unknown.
Day 5 - Makes the first vote on alxeu the unknown, then votes Tus3 -> alxeu -> Capibara (outing).


alxeu - Have had some good votes on Tus3 and is relatively active in the thread.
Day 1 - First votes Arkasas the unknown, then switches to Claude LC the villager.
Day 2 - First votes Sleepyhead the yellow cultist, unvotes and then votes for Yvanoff the villager.
Day 3 - Makes an important vote on Tus3 the yellow vote.
Day 4 - Votes TheFatWombat the villager.
Day 5 - Third voter on Tus3 the yellow wolf, then follows the outing on Capibara the villager.


aedan777 - Except for day 5, aedan777 has mostly been laying low with his votes.
Day 1 - Votes brovahkiin the villager.
Day 2 - Didn't vote.
Day 3 - Makes the first vote on Capibara the villager.
Day 4 - Makes the first vote on TheFatWombat the villager.
Day 5 - Makes a good case on Tus3 the yellow wolf, follows the fake outing but shoots Tus3 during the night.


randakar - Has only done a single vote switch during the game. No important votes and has been laying low during the whole game
Day 1 - Votes alxeu the unknown.
Day 2 - Votes first for Rovsea the yellow wolf but then switches to TheFatWombat the villager.
Day 3 - Votes Hax the unknown.
Day 4 - Votes alynkio the villager.
Day 5 - Didn't vote.


Dedonus - His vote record is not great but he is one of few who has been active in the thread.
Day 1 - Makes the first vote on alxeu the unknown.
Day 2 - Votes first for Tus3 the yellow wolf but then switches to Yvanoff the villager.
Day 3 - Votes Hax the unknown.
Day 4 - Votes first for Arkasas the unknown but then switches to alynkio the villager.
Day 5 - Votes first for alxeu the unknown but then follow the outing on Capibara the villager.


k-59/alynkio2.0 - Have missed two votes and the rest of his vote history is not good. A big question mark on this zombie.
Day 1 - Votes alxeu the unknown.
Day 2 - Didn't vote.
Day 3 - Makes the first vote on OrangeYoshi the villager.
Day 4 - Throw away vote on Dedonus the unknown.
Day 5 - Didn't vote.


Caillean/Claude LC - Total zombie.
Day 1 - Didn't vote.
Day 2 - Didn't vote.
Day 3 - Makes an important vote on Tus3 the yellow wolf.
Day 4 - Didn't vote.
Day 5 - Follows the case on Capibara the villager.

 

[alynkio]

Yay! I'm alive again! And I'm a Ukrainian pilot!

It's basically impossible to prove I'm not a baddie. I will, however, make a public role claim. I am a villager with unused priestly powers.

My previous incarnation would be pleased to finally see Wagon getting some attention, and I agree with Aedan that Arkasas' behavior is consistent with what I've seen of his wolf play. There's even no meaningful interaction between them in the thread, making them plausible packmates. Either is a good candidate. Let's keep Wagon in the running.


VOTE WAGONLITZ

 

[Hax]

Vote k-59

Just because I do not have great ideas I'm going for an inactive. Not Caillean - doubt she would forget about this game so completely if she had pack conversations to draw her attention back. So K-59 will have to do.

Hmm, we're in a bit of a difficult situation here. While the yellows have been dealt a serious blow and we have a lot of info on them, it's likely not in our best interest to fully pursue this presently. Why you may ask? Because 1) We don't even know if the yellow pack is still alive and 2)If it is, they're not the threat, the other pack is. With 23 players in this game, there are probably eight baddies. We've not seen any dead unaligned baddies, and we've seen three dead aligned baddies, so I suspect we're looking at either three baddies from each pack and two unaligneds, or four baddies from each pack and that's it. Actually scratch that, since the cultist rules for this game state they must start attached to a wolf, so only the sorc can be unaligned. Could be a sorc and a starting apprentice though for the two unaligned baddies.

In that case it would actually be better for us if the Yellow pack is still alive, because if they're dead that's five baddies who can all count for parity together out of 11 remaining players, which would mean we're screwed, basically. At least if a yellow wolf is still alive they'll prevent parity and possibly, theoretically be on "our side" in trying to kill red wolves.

Still this all leaves us with the basic goal of trying to kill red wolves... without any information on them to work with. I don't think the vote count will be overly useful in this situation. Only useful thing I can think of is that we could use it to lynch somewhat who's certainly not a yellow. Counter-intuitive though that may seem, it would at least guarantee we're not killing the yellow pack and thus giving a marginally better chance than random guessing.

Actually, wait, that'd be me, wouldn't it, the most certain non-yellow. Nevermind, bad plan.

How about Arkasas, he's been doing a lot of following and staying under the radar, typical baddie behavior from him.

Vote Arkasas

I mostly agree with this. I'm not sure we want to target Arky first though. The same case also holds for f.e. Wagon and Capibara. Arkasas was run up once already, we might want to diversify our targets to improve the odds of getting red wolves in the running.

For lack of better ideas and to another candidate
VOTE WAGON




I'd also still like @Hax to answer this.

oh wow.

okay. this is exciting....

the wolvies shoot themselves in the foot just as @aedan777 shoots them.

fun times.

well... anyhoo... @Sleepyhead and his false outing trick didn't pan out so hot.

VOTE @Arkasas

Hmm...yet another quiet day.

Of the candidate's today, I think I'm going to place my vote on K-59/Alynkio 2.0. Unless I made a mistake on the voting record, K-59 has yet to be run up. Besides this, he has missed two vote already and his day 4 vote looks not quite like a throw-away, but, when his case was not followed, he remained on that vote instead of switching to another player. Day 1 and 3 were better, but not quite enough to make up for the other side of the argument.

VOTE K-59/Alynkio 2.0

Vote alynkio2.0

I'd be up for lynching a couple of zombies/quiet people today, for lack of any information on the other pack.

Vote Arkasas

I have to support aedan here
Arky has been more quiet than often I will try to read a little more and see what I can make. But for the time being.

Arkasas - aedan777, Yakman, Claude LC
k-59/alynkio 2.0 - randakar, Dedonus, alxeu
Wagonlitz - bearthjah

 

[Hax]

Yay! I'm alive again! And I'm a Ukrainian pilot!

It's basically impossible to prove I'm not a baddie. I will, however, make a public role claim. I am a villager with unused priestly powers.

My previous incarnation would be pleased to finally see Wagon getting some attention, and I agree with Aedan that Arkasas' behavior is consistent with what I've seen of his wolf play. There's even no meaningful interaction between them in the thread, making them plausible packmates. Either is a good candidate. Let's keep Wagon in the running.


VOTE WAGONLITZ

3 Arkasas - aedan777, Yakman, Claude LC
3 k-59/alynkio 2.0 - randakar, Dedonus, alxeu
2 Wagonlitz - bearthjah, alynkio 2.0

 

[alxeu]

Unvote Alynkio
Vote Wagonlitz

Guy hasn't voted.

 

[alxeu]

Specifically, he hasn't voted, Alynkio has. Less points towards Alynkio being a zombie.

 

[Hax]

We shouldn't go for a TIE and Arkasas haven't voted yet so I will...

VOTE ARKASAS

 

[Wagonlitz]

Arky is a zombie, but he has votes against Tus, so I'll vote Alynkio as he doesn't have any important votes on known baddies.

Self preservation
Vote Alynkio

 

[Arkasas]

What a lazy case! "He's been kind of quiet..." So have half the players! Why single me out, when I've already been run up once? What a barbarian!

In the interest of my own survival...

Vote Wagon

 

[esemesas]

Votecount, 25 minutes to deadline

Arkasas - 4 - aedan, Yakman, Claude 2.0, Hax
Wagonlitz - 4 - beartjah, alynkio 2.0, alxeu, Arkasas

alynkio 2.0 - 3 - randakar, Dedonus, Wagonlitz

Not voted - 0 -

 

[Wagonlitz]

What a lazy case! "He's been kind of quiet..." So have half the players! Why single me out, when I've already been run up once? What a barbarian!

In the interest of my own survival...

Vote Wagon

Why voting me over Alynkio?

 

[Arkasas]

Why voting me over Alynkio?

At the time I began to compose my post (i.e. before you posted), TIEing us was the only substantive move I could make.

 

[Hax]

Who is here? Any lurkers, snipers, etc?

 

[alynkio]

Anyone up for a switch to Randy? I have a train to catch...

 

[Wagonlitz]

I wouldn't mind a switch to randy. Anybody else fresh on that?

 

[aedan777]

I don't think a tie is a good idea at this stage, and while either of K-59/Alynkio or Arkasas could be a good lynch, I don't think Wagon is.

 

[Hax]

I wouldn't mind a switch to randy. Anybody else fresh on that?

I wouldn't mind that, randy is as much of a zombie as all three (Ark, alynkio and Wagon) of you.