First things first:
Now that we've gotten that out of the way...
Actually find both parts of this interesting. First, whoever set the hunt on npstr is an ass, considering 1) he seems like a competent new player and 2) he's drawn a bunch of early hunts/deaths in previous games. So I'd bet either an RNG hunt or someone who wasn't paying attention (may not have been in previous games), even if the result is optimal for the goodies.
On the Comm Cody shot, I'm leaning villager - wolves tend to play more cautiously that otherwise in the first couple turns, and a baddie cody would likely want to target someone more, um... veteran than Caesar.
Hell of a risk to take as a goodie - what if he turned out to be seer or priest or protector? Second in command is nothing to sneeze at, either. (Also, killing players early eliminates any possibility of improvement down the road.)
Interesting votes, from both of you. Wouldn't expect either of you to take the obvious route and jump so quickly on Cody, knowing his Rambo playstyle.
And the backlash. I happen to agree with both of you.
Problem is that it's a risky shot to take as a baddie on night 0 - what if you hit an unaligned baddie with your shot? I'd expect a baddie shot to go off on night 1 or 2 for maximum chance of effectiveness (usually after a one-time scan, if any exist), not night 0 - can avoid early suspicion and ensure you don't hit a bad target. That's why I'm leaning toward villager Cody taking that shot - a wolf cody would presumably have a pack advising him not to take the shot, and a unaligned Cody would have a high chance (likely somewhere around 1/3) of hitting a fellow baddie.
He'd have to be unaligned to be going completely solo as a baddie. Packs can coordinate strategies.
I could picture goodie Cody taking that shot; have a harder time picturing the other way.
Third vote on Cody. Should also keep him in mind, but his vote is less out of character than the other two previously mentioned.
Marshall and Jackson should both know better. Especially uncharacteristic vote from Marshall, whose analysis is generally strong.
Vote Gen. Marshall