Turns out, Chamberlain wasn't the fool I thought he was.

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$ilent_$trider

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Back on topic:


I hope HoI gets some DLC/Patches about econ and aggri/food, so war logistics and the prelude to war become even more important.
I have been asking forever for a new resource roughly called supplies that would be consumed by both military units and civilian factories (ratio dependent on economic law) to represent food/supplies used. South American industrialization basically happened because of selling their agricultural goods during WW2 to the Allies and the Axis (for a moment).
 
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elektrizikekswerk

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Ok people, stay on topic. It's about Chamberlain and whether or not he should have some more spotlight in Hearts of Iron IV. It's not about NATO vs Russia, or the wars in Yugoslavia or Iraq. And it's absolutely not about the current war in Ukraine.
If you want to discuss current events and politics you may do so in OffTopic where we have dedicated threads for this.
I've deleted some stuff and issued some warnings. Don't let me come back.

Thread opened again.
 
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Louella

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Chamberlain's reputation has only been rehabilitated in recent times as Official Secrets Acts limitations on documents expire and files can be read by historians.
Unlike Churchill, Neville Chamberlain did not write large memoirs that would have explained his reasoning, because ofc he died within weeks from the cancer he was suffering from at the time.
So it is only as classifications expire and more documents become accessible that it is possible to get insights into why Chamberlain made decisions and what was known at the time.
So I wouldn't rush to say it's part of some wider trend of historical revisionism, but more an artifact of the UKs governmental system.

Churchill was also a prolific memo writer, and some historians have sometimes interpreted these memos in a way that unduly magnifies Churchills role in the events concerned .
Ever worked in an environment where your boss sends you an email, then later uses that email as evidence of the importance of their leadership in the success of the thing you were working on ? It was like that on occasion with Churchill.
 
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Searry

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I would recommend books over wikipedia and youtube. For example Max Hastings makes it pretty simple in the very accessible book All Hell Let Loose. Basically try to avoid war at almost any costs and even after declaring war, hope for a negotiated peace somehow as can be shown by the horrible showing in 1939 by the allies in regards to being aggressive verus passivity.
 
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pro.gamer.69

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I would recommend books over wikipedia and youtube. For example Max Hastings makes it pretty simple in the very accessible book All Hell Let Loose. Basically try to avoid war at almost any costs and even after declaring war, hope for a negotiated peace somehow as can be shown by the horrible showing in 1939 by the allies in regards to being aggressive verus passivity.
are you arguing Wikipedia's information about wartime GDP and production is wrong?

anyway you can find plenty of peer-reviewed and published sources that support the idea Chamberlain's actions were justified - https://www.jstor.org/stable/40207135, for one
 
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Gran Strategist

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The belief that the UK would eventually outproduce Germany wasn't misguided at all like some here are saying. You can look at production numbers: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_production_during_World_War_II
By 1941, and in many cases even before, it's clear the UK WAS outproducing Germany, which makes sense - Germany had only a slightly larger economy than the UK not including dominions and colonies, including them the UK's was nearly double in size.

Similarly, the belief that the French would hold off wasn't misguided either. The Germans took a gamble that the French would overcommit to the low countries and that the Ardennes would be navigable to armor divisions and it paid off but quite literally without that - and to some degree without massive fuel shipments from the USSR, Germany was nearly out of fuel after Poland alone - they would have had no chance at winning. Yes with a better chain of command, better use of air, slightly better use of tanks the Germans may have lost even with their successful gamble but the French army being capable of holding wasn't some sort of paper tiger situation, it was absolutely the reality.

I agree it would be fun to be able to let Chamberlain stay in power but it wouldn't really affect gameplay, I don't feel. The UK wouldn't have handled the war drastically differently, though who really knows. Maybe they could make it so the UK had a chance to agree to peace terms?
Looking at the tables alone it would seem that Britain could and did outproduce Germany as planned in 1941 but as a student of history and statistics that has to be looked at in context. The figures for 1940 onwards are greatly inflated and influenced by the fact economies were now geared up for war and it was vital that production was focused on war production. If the war had been delayed until 1941 it is highly unlikely that Britains war production would have been anywhere near those figures at that point as Britain managed that by going to a total war style economy which it would not have been able to do during peace time, even with war looming.

There is also the major factor of the impact of having the US as an ally even when it was not actually in the war. The US didn't just send large amounts of equipment to Britain it send huge amounts of resources also and Britain would not have been able to ramp up to that level of production without the imput of those resources from the US.

In regard to the gamble the Germans took, you are really overlooking the radical shift in ethos and complete genius of the German commanders especially compared to the WW1 mindset of the French in particular but also to a great degree the British. The German army was so far ahead of it's time that even up to the end of the war it was able to fight on three major fronts against vastly supperior forces and still at least make them work for every gain and often give them a bloody nose and make localised counter attacks.

The French were planning for a static trench warfare style of war with tanks given to infatry division to act as support just like they did in WW1. They expected that even if the Germans did break through it would take them weeks to reach the Paris and the coast and it was not a gamble really to expect the French (and British) to overcommit to the low countries because it was total predictable due to it being the open flank. The Germans were smart enough to predict what the allies would do and the allies were stupid enough to fall into the trap with the French in particular relying more on the fact they won the first world war to beat the Germans than any sense of modern combat. Typical victor trap where victors are always planning to fight the war they won, where losers plan to fight the next war. The irony being with the Ardennes is that the Allies fell for the same ruse a second time in 1944 where they still saw it as impossible that the Germans could launch a significant attack through the forests and even with air reconnaissance and intelligence telling them it was about to happen they put their head in the sand and refused to believe it and hense we got the battle of the bulge.

This mindset by the French was reinforced by the white elephant of the maginot line. The French had commited so much of their economy into building it that they couldn't bring themselves to admit it was outdated and worthless for modern mobile warfare. This commitment to the maginot line also stripped the army in particular of resources and also reinforced the static WW1 style doctrine into the army leading to a situation where the French army, while larger than the German army was ill equipped, ill trained and predominantly lead by people who could not even conceive of the style of warfare that was about to be brought upon them. And even if they did, because of the national commitments to the maginot line they didn't have the national will to change.

If we look at chain of command, the French battlefield commanders were hundreds of miles behind the fornt line, most had never even been anywhere near the front line to see the conditions the soliders were living in or the lay of the land and they were still using messengers for communication as they saw radio as insecure and didn't want to rely in landlines as these were often cut during the first world war. By the time news would reach the command centre it was often days old and the front line had moved hundreds of miles. There was therefore no chain of command.

It is not just the top of the chain of command which was radically different but all the way down the line. German training involved all ranks being trained above their station so that they could step in if the people above them were injured or killed and on the ground situational thinking was encouraged so the army could be as flexible as possible. In contrast the French army was very rigid and there was still a inherant class divide in the British army which stiffled flexibility and initative.

If we look at use of air resources the French airforce was terribly outdated. The British were quite modern but both lacked coordination with the ground forces. In essence the land and air forces fought their own separate war compared to the German system where units had forward air controllers attached to them who could talk directly to the airforce commanders and often even directly to the aircraft in the skies above them to closeley coordinate the airforces support of the ground troops.

When we look at the use of tanks. It should be noted that most german tanks were inferior to French in particular and also British tanks and the Germans were vastly outnumbered in simple number of tanks. The major difference was tactics. Germany used a focused approach where tanks were formed into divisions which had infantry units in support and aircraft assigned to act as mobile artillery support. Britian did have armoured units and understood many of the basics of armoured warfare as it was actually thought up by the British and then picked up and adopted by the Germans but the sense of Blitzkrieg was far from being standard doctrine in the British army and Britain had no real system of combined arms which was the key to Blitzkrieg. Even with a lot of experience coming from the battle of France and mobile warfare in North Africa it wasn't until late 1941/42 that somethng equating to a combined arms Blitzkrieg was beginning to be used in the British army.

The British did have some minor success, notably giving Rommel a bloody nose at Arras but this was overall mitigated by the fact the French were meant to be involved and the plan was to cut off the armoured spearhead of the Germans but again the French were already in so much dissaray that they could not organise themselves to be ready and the British were forced to launch the attack alone.

It is believed that this British counter attack at Arras scared Hitler enough that it caused him to issue the holt order which allowed the evacuation of Dunkirk to be so successful.

While the French were vastly superior in tank design and numbers their complete lack of knowledge how to use them effectively meant the Germans could easily overrun or often just ignore them which is exactly the same situation as happened in the early years in Russia.

Overall the French army was a paper tiger, much like the Russian army at that point. It would have required years of structural, doctrinal and national change to have even had a chance of standing up to the German army.

While on paper the French being able to hold the Germans was possibly logical, in realty it was not simply misguided but highly delusional.


In regards to how the war would have progressed if Chamberlain had stayed in power. Well it is fair to say France would have fallen still and that would be inarguable. The two pertinant questions are;
Would the evacuation of Dunkirk have been such as success with an undermined, indecisive and weaken leader in charge? Probably not which means Britain would have been in an even weaker position after France fell and Hitler was offering peace to Britain.

Would Britain have carried on resisting?
Considering most of the political establishment was against resisting as it saw no possibilty of success. The arch appeaser who really sought peace and his appeasement governemt would still have been in charge it is highly likely Britain would have just made peace with Germany and Germany could have focused on Russia. It can be rightly said that Churchill fought much of the early half of the war with words alone which it is very hard to see happening with Chamberlain still in charge and it would have been very difficult for Chamberlain and Britain as a whole to separate itself from appeasement if Chamberlain had stayed and thus Britain likely not have been so stubborn as a nation.

Chamberlain got on board with resisting like the rest of governemt in the end when Britain was commited but at that vital turning point in history when France was defeated, Britain stood alone with no immediate prospect of really fighting back and no concrete long term hope retaking Europe would Chamberlain, in his weakened political state, everything he had tried to do falling to pieces around him, under pressure from signifcant members of his own government really have had the strength, will and backing of the nation to be able to resist what seemed like the inevitable? It is extremely hard to argue that he could have lead Britain to carry on resisting at that point.


Assuming Britain did carry on how likely is it that the Americans would join?
Considering a lot of the "special relationship" was built on the bond between Churchill and Rosevelt who had similar interests and background in the navy and government and while in reality Britain was a vital but increasingly junior partner in the alliance but Churchill refused to act like a junior partner and thus in general Britain continued to be treated as an equal partner, it is highly unlikely Britain and later America would have commited so heavily to the Mediterranean theatre considering the Americans considered the whole enterprise a side show. America wanted to invade Europe in 1943 and without a strong personality like Churchill in charge of Britain it is highly likely the Americans would have gotten their way and at least the way the war played out would have been much different, good or bad.

It could be argued that if the allies tried to invade Europe in 1943 it would have gone drastically wrong or at least been a lot less certain and if it did that would have blown any chance of retaking Europe for years to come, considering Germany was much stronger at that point, the allies did not have air superiority over Europe, The u-boats were still not subdued, the amphibious technology was still being developed for a major contested landing. All of which were major factors in the success of D-Day.

There is also the fact that the American people in general liked Churchill. Churchill knew how to play to the American crowd, the Americans liked his stubborn will to resist and i am sure it helped his mother was American. It seems highly unlikely the bond between America and Britain would have been anywhere near as strong without Churchill as Britains figurehead instead of some seemingly posh establishment figure with no ties or relationship with America to speak of.


With Chamberlain in charge it is highly unlikely that many of the important agressive and 'whacky' ideas that Churchill supported and encouraged would have come to be such as the Commandoes and SAS, supporting Greece which lead to a delay in Barbarossa, Mulberry harbours and swimming tanks, the formation of the SOE which coordinated resistance and sabotage in occupied territories to name the most obvious.


While we cannot say with any certainty how the war would have played out with Chamberlain still in charge it is fair to say it would have been radically different if for no other reason the style of leadership was so different between Churchill and Chamberlain.
 
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Gran Strategist

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I would recommend books over wikipedia and youtube. For example Max Hastings makes it pretty simple in the very accessible book All Hell Let Loose. Basically try to avoid war at almost any costs and even after declaring war, hope for a negotiated peace somehow as can be shown by the horrible showing in 1939 by the allies in regards to being aggressive verus passivity.
Much better advice would be to look at multiple sources. Books can and often are much more biased as it is simply a single persons viewpoint written specifically to make money.

It is also useful to see material produced by all sides. Even within the same side the same piece of information or history can be seen in a different light and to have more or less siginificance.

It can be particularly important to look at the 'bad guys' side of history as if we want to prevent history repeating we have to understand why it happened and also it helps us realise that for the most part the 'enemy' were people just like us.
 
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Zalmoxis

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If they just let Hitler take Poland, I would assume it would be the USSR that Hitler would invade next, not the western powers. That would just be a Germany VS USSR war, not a allies and USSR VS Germany war.
 

Searry

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Much better advice would be to look at multiple sources. Books can and often are much more biased as it is simply a single persons viewpoint written specifically to make money.

It is also useful to see material produced by all sides. Even within the same side the same piece of information or history can be seen in a different light and to have more or less siginificance.

It can be particularly important to look at the 'bad guys' side of history as if we want to prevent history repeating we have to understand why it happened and also it helps us realise that for the most part the 'enemy' were people just like us.
I don't even agree with Hastings on many things but the assesment on Chamberlain seems correct. The BEF was really a political show and it ended up very poorly and disastrously even though the British have their myths about Dunkirk being a success rather than a disaster. They didn't pursue an aggressive policy but that is not to blame solely on Chamberlain since the French wanted to get out of the war as well. The British forces also faired terribly in Norway in another chaotic and political campaign so there aren't really any positives. My opinions on Churchill aren't positive either but that is off topic.
What I disagree with Hastings the most is the stupid bashing of Jellicoe. So yes multiple sources are good.

I agree with the second and third points.
 
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The_Tim

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I disagree on 2 major points:

1. The abandonment would both shatter the soul of the resistance forces in Eastern Europe, and would solidify the positions of the colaborators in Germany's camp even more than IRL

2. This fails to take into account changing factors, such as the improvement that the Italians would experience as being more prepared for the war, and the change in capabilities with the expanded German Bloc in Eastern Europe

to start with point 1:

If the UK and France just abandoned Poland, letting her die to the wolves, then the spirit of the extremely obstinant Polish Resistance would likely be fragile at best, likely sharing a similar fate to the Ethiopian Resistance-that being effectively dead after a year of occupation. And since we are still going on with no war, when Romania would be similarly thrown to the wolves the Antonescu Regime would still arise out of the ashes of the political instability, but this time he'd have a year to actually get his economy back into order from decades of mismanagement by Carol II in a Europe that is still at peace, with a more economically stable situation than de-facto exploitation by Germany. And with that, Yugoslavia would still be pressured into joining the Axis, but with no ongoing war there likely would be no coup that resulted in the Invasion of Yugoslavia. What happens afterwards is up to you-be that a Yugoslavia that would be a puppet regime of Germany, or potentially be dismantled "peacefully", with the various new governments likely being the puppets of the various axis powers. Tito would still likely fight his war, but it'd be one without much wind in the sails, especially with the IRL sense of Yugoslav nationalism finally being solidified by the Axis Invasion likely just not existing. All of this would result in a Eastern Europe that would be much more stable and economically helpful compared to IRL, with the IRL resistance groups that made the use of these regions(Poland and Yugoslavia) difficult probably being pale shadows of themselves.

And now to move onto point 2: The actual effects of Germany if the war started later would have been greater than likely estimated, as Poland by itself had a solid general overall arms industry which IRL was utterly crippled by the polish resistance, in an alternative reality where Poland's resistance would have had its spirit crushed by Western Betrayal, the surprisingly competent Air Industry and the new Armor Industry in Poland likely would have been preserved and put to use arming the Wehrmacht and Luftwaffe, not to mention the vast amounts of Material the Polish Armed forces had falling into german hands. The ramifications of the Molitov-Riddentrop pact forming a solid Eastern European Block behind Germany along with the seized assets of the Polish Government would likely have given a lifeline for the German Economy to aid in sustaining it for the additional 1 or 2 years of hard military buildup. This is not even mentioning the qualitative improvement to German Material that would have happened, as you would have ever-increasing numbers of the Panzer 3 and 4 along with 38(t)s and in our alt-history 7TPs replacing more and more of the Panzer 1s and 2s that formed much of the backbone of the German Panzers during the invasion, and the upgrade of going from a Pz1 to a Pz3 or one of the foreign models is MUCH more significant compared to something like a H39 to a S35 Somua, or between one of the various pre-war Cruiser models of tank for the Brits. This is not to mention that the models of those larger Panzers themselves would be significantly more advanced, with many more P3s with the Short 50mm gun being available, with it being readily able to penetrate the armor of anything on the allied side much better than the 37mm gun, especially with the APCR that Germany ended up making plenty of and made extensive use of.

Furthermore, this is not to mention the effects the delay would have on Italy, which would be vastly significant, especially if Mussolini was actually told of the planned war. First off the Italians likely would have completed their transition to 7.35 Carcano from 6.5 Carcano(the change in caliber wouldn't make much of a difference on the units themselves, however the avoided logistics disaster of being at war in the middle of a change of the standard rifle cartrage would be avoided)And furthermore the modernization of the Italian Artillery arsonal from its ww1 relics to much better, more modern pieces. Additionally the Italians would be moving on from the early L6 Light Tank and M11/39 "Medium Tank" and be fielding significantly more models of the M13/40, M14/41, and some M15/42 along with Semovente da 75/18 all of which would be much better up to the task of fighting in North Africa, along with the forces in North Africa likely being more prepared for war with the British Miracle of the '40 Campaign in N. Africa likely being either much harder or impossible in this new timeline. Additionally the Italian Services would have time to stockpile oil, unlike IRL where the surprise of the war resulted in the reserves being basically empty, which resulted in the IRL timidity of the Regina Marina and Aeronautica(which would be more effective with the introduction of more advanced aircraft that can match the Spitfire, much less the Hurricane). So all in all, instead of Stronk UK being able to stop Germany, all you may have had instead be more Pz4s and Pz3s rolling through the Ardennes along with 7TPs, while the Italians go to war alongside the Germans at the start of the war, being a real and serious threat to France(the Italians shown in World War 1 that they can fight in the mountains, along with this being the war that they were preparing for) with a more aggressive Regina Marina would result in an EVEN WORSE situation with the UK when Japan starts its rampage in '41. Even if for whatever reason the Ardennes offensive doesn't succeed, or succeed to the same extent, it still doesn't aid the UK that its main enemy, France, would be fighting on two hard fronts and North Africa while still being bled dry from the prior war with the only hope of victory on the Continent likely being contained only to the US sending troops that it is vastly unprepared to do, much less unwilling(considering its significantly different from Torch-invading a North Africa where Libya is already conquered and is held by a shaky Africa Korps, which the PR from the victory in Operation Torch gave the US Public the stomach to support the war in Italy and France. Compared to this alt-history's waging meat grinders)
 
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Louella

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Two other things I thought about.

1. The contributions of the Polish intelligence service, including the Bombe codebreaker machine. If Poland was not defended, would those still have happened ? Without the Bombe, and the Polish experts that managed to reach Britain, the work at Bletchley Park would have been considerably harder, which could have meant failure in the Atlantic. Especially as more type 7 and type 9 U-boats would have entered service.

2. The information that intelligence and aerial photography was able to gather at the time with the technology of the time.
We live in an age where satellite photos can pick out individuals, where the internet allows vast amounts of technical information to be transmitted to the other side of the world in an instant. It's difficult to really understand things like cloud obscuring details on a photo of a factory site, how difficult it was to get even a single page of information out.
 
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STABBY5

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Looking at the tables alone it would seem that Britain could and did outproduce Germany as planned in 1941 but as a student of history and statistics that has to be looked at in context. The figures for 1940 onwards are greatly inflated and influenced by the fact economies were now geared up for war and it was vital that production was focused on war production. If the war had been delayed until 1941 it is highly unlikely that Britains war production would have been anywhere near those figures at that point as Britain managed that by going to a total war style economy which it would not have been able to do during peace time, even with war looming.

There is also the major factor of the impact of having the US as an ally even when it was not actually in the war. The US didn't just send large amounts of equipment to Britain it send huge amounts of resources also and Britain would not have been able to ramp up to that level of production without the imput of those resources from the US.

In regard to the gamble the Germans took, you are really overlooking the radical shift in ethos and complete genius of the German commanders especially compared to the WW1 mindset of the French in particular but also to a great degree the British. The German army was so far ahead of it's time that even up to the end of the war it was able to fight on three major fronts against vastly supperior forces and still at least make them work for every gain and often give them a bloody nose and make localised counter attacks.

The French were planning for a static trench warfare style of war with tanks given to infatry division to act as support just like they did in WW1. They expected that even if the Germans did break through it would take them weeks to reach the Paris and the coast and it was not a gamble really to expect the French (and British) to overcommit to the low countries because it was total predictable due to it being the open flank. The Germans were smart enough to predict what the allies would do and the allies were stupid enough to fall into the trap with the French in particular relying more on the fact they won the first world war to beat the Germans than any sense of modern combat. Typical victor trap where victors are always planning to fight the war they won, where losers plan to fight the next war. The irony being with the Ardennes is that the Allies fell for the same ruse a second time in 1944 where they still saw it as impossible that the Germans could launch a significant attack through the forests and even with air reconnaissance and intelligence telling them it was about to happen they put their head in the sand and refused to believe it and hense we got the battle of the bulge.

This mindset by the French was reinforced by the white elephant of the maginot line. The French had commited so much of their economy into building it that they couldn't bring themselves to admit it was outdated and worthless for modern mobile warfare. This commitment to the maginot line also stripped the army in particular of resources and also reinforced the static WW1 style doctrine into the army leading to a situation where the French army, while larger than the German army was ill equipped, ill trained and predominantly lead by people who could not even conceive of the style of warfare that was about to be brought upon them. And even if they did, because of the national commitments to the maginot line they didn't have the national will to change.

If we look at chain of command, the French battlefield commanders were hundreds of miles behind the fornt line, most had never even been anywhere near the front line to see the conditions the soliders were living in or the lay of the land and they were still using messengers for communication as they saw radio as insecure and didn't want to rely in landlines as these were often cut during the first world war. By the time news would reach the command centre it was often days old and the front line had moved hundreds of miles. There was therefore no chain of command.

It is not just the top of the chain of command which was radically different but all the way down the line. German training involved all ranks being trained above their station so that they could step in if the people above them were injured or killed and on the ground situational thinking was encouraged so the army could be as flexible as possible. In contrast the French army was very rigid and there was still a inherant class divide in the British army which stiffled flexibility and initative.

If we look at use of air resources the French airforce was terribly outdated. The British were quite modern but both lacked coordination with the ground forces. In essence the land and air forces fought their own separate war compared to the German system where units had forward air controllers attached to them who could talk directly to the airforce commanders and often even directly to the aircraft in the skies above them to closeley coordinate the airforces support of the ground troops.

When we look at the use of tanks. It should be noted that most german tanks were inferior to French in particular and also British tanks and the Germans were vastly outnumbered in simple number of tanks. The major difference was tactics. Germany used a focused approach where tanks were formed into divisions which had infantry units in support and aircraft assigned to act as mobile artillery support. Britian did have armoured units and understood many of the basics of armoured warfare as it was actually thought up by the British and then picked up and adopted by the Germans but the sense of Blitzkrieg was far from being standard doctrine in the British army and Britain had no real system of combined arms which was the key to Blitzkrieg. Even with a lot of experience coming from the battle of France and mobile warfare in North Africa it wasn't until late 1941/42 that somethng equating to a combined arms Blitzkrieg was beginning to be used in the British army.

The British did have some minor success, notably giving Rommel a bloody nose at Arras but this was overall mitigated by the fact the French were meant to be involved and the plan was to cut off the armoured spearhead of the Germans but again the French were already in so much dissaray that they could not organise themselves to be ready and the British were forced to launch the attack alone.

It is believed that this British counter attack at Arras scared Hitler enough that it caused him to issue the holt order which allowed the evacuation of Dunkirk to be so successful.

While the French were vastly superior in tank design and numbers their complete lack of knowledge how to use them effectively meant the Germans could easily overrun or often just ignore them which is exactly the same situation as happened in the early years in Russia.

Overall the French army was a paper tiger, much like the Russian army at that point. It would have required years of structural, doctrinal and national change to have even had a chance of standing up to the German army.

While on paper the French being able to hold the Germans was possibly logical, in realty it was not simply misguided but highly delusional.


In regards to how the war would have progressed if Chamberlain had stayed in power. Well it is fair to say France would have fallen still and that would be inarguable. The two pertinant questions are;
Would the evacuation of Dunkirk have been such as success with an undermined, indecisive and weaken leader in charge? Probably not which means Britain would have been in an even weaker position after France fell and Hitler was offering peace to Britain.

Would Britain have carried on resisting?
Considering most of the political establishment was against resisting as it saw no possibilty of success. The arch appeaser who really sought peace and his appeasement governemt would still have been in charge it is highly likely Britain would have just made peace with Germany and Germany could have focused on Russia. It can be rightly said that Churchill fought much of the early half of the war with words alone which it is very hard to see happening with Chamberlain still in charge and it would have been very difficult for Chamberlain and Britain as a whole to separate itself from appeasement if Chamberlain had stayed and thus Britain likely not have been so stubborn as a nation.

Chamberlain got on board with resisting like the rest of governemt in the end when Britain was commited but at that vital turning point in history when France was defeated, Britain stood alone with no immediate prospect of really fighting back and no concrete long term hope retaking Europe would Chamberlain, in his weakened political state, everything he had tried to do falling to pieces around him, under pressure from signifcant members of his own government really have had the strength, will and backing of the nation to be able to resist what seemed like the inevitable? It is extremely hard to argue that he could have lead Britain to carry on resisting at that point.


Assuming Britain did carry on how likely is it that the Americans would join?
Considering a lot of the "special relationship" was built on the bond between Churchill and Rosevelt who had similar interests and background in the navy and government and while in reality Britain was a vital but increasingly junior partner in the alliance but Churchill refused to act like a junior partner and thus in general Britain continued to be treated as an equal partner, it is highly unlikely Britain and later America would have commited so heavily to the Mediterranean theatre considering the Americans considered the whole enterprise a side show. America wanted to invade Europe in 1943 and without a strong personality like Churchill in charge of Britain it is highly likely the Americans would have gotten their way and at least the way the war played out would have been much different, good or bad.

It could be argued that if the allies tried to invade Europe in 1943 it would have gone drastically wrong or at least been a lot less certain and if it did that would have blown any chance of retaking Europe for years to come, considering Germany was much stronger at that point, the allies did not have air superiority over Europe, The u-boats were still not subdued, the amphibious technology was still being developed for a major contested landing. All of which were major factors in the success of D-Day.

There is also the fact that the American people in general liked Churchill. Churchill knew how to play to the American crowd, the Americans liked his stubborn will to resist and i am sure it helped his mother was American. It seems highly unlikely the bond between America and Britain would have been anywhere near as strong without Churchill as Britains figurehead instead of some seemingly posh establishment figure with no ties or relationship with America to speak of.


With Chamberlain in charge it is highly unlikely that many of the important agressive and 'whacky' ideas that Churchill supported and encouraged would have come to be such as the Commandoes and SAS, supporting Greece which lead to a delay in Barbarossa, Mulberry harbours and swimming tanks, the formation of the SOE which coordinated resistance and sabotage in occupied territories to name the most obvious.


While we cannot say with any certainty how the war would have played out with Chamberlain still in charge it is fair to say it would have been radically different if for no other reason the style of leadership was so different between Churchill and Chamberlain.
The French were not planning to fight a static war. The French government, in the middle of the great depression and in the aftermath of WWI, had no interest in military spending. French generals were asking for mobile tank forces. The French had mobile infantry, especially for securing Belgium. The Maginot line was in no way outdated. It worked as it should have, the French government just didn't finish it to go all the way to the coast. It was never breached. And through out the war all counties continued to make large lines of vast fortifications, including the Germans who repurposed the guns of the Maginot line and the Czech forts. And even at the end of the day the Germans risky maneuver through the only succeeded because the French Marshal in charged was fired before he could commit his counter attack. By the time it was reordered by his replacement the initiative had been lost.

All in all the French failure was political.

Churchill was frankly a strategic moron. From the man who brought you Gallipoli, here's the soft underbelly of Europe: Italian mountains and a fight through the desert. Genius.

The American favored plan of just invading western Europe from the start was just better. An active swift end to the war against an enemy that was in no way prepared to fight against a well coordinated, well equipped force able to contest and eventually win air superiority.

What Churchill did do was political. We wouldn't have had a WWII without him as when French signed an armistice, they had assumed the British wouldn't the far behind them. France would have been humiliated and lacking Alsace Lorine but the war would be over. Churchill cost Britain their empire, their economy, hundred of thousands of dead Brits but they did resist and they did win in the end.

All in all, should France not fall I think Chamberlin should stay in charge of Britain. And should France fall and Britain rejects a peace treaty as they did historically, Churchill should take over. Without Churchill there really is no war.
 
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The_Tim

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Churchill was frankly a strategic moron. From the man who brought you Gallipoli, here's the soft underbelly of Europe: Italian mountains and a fight through the desert. Genius.

The American favored plan of just invading western Europe from the start was just better. An active swift end to the war against an enemy that was in no way prepared to fight against a well coordinated, well equipped force able to contest and eventually win air superiority.

What Churchill did do was political. We wouldn't have had a WWII without him as when French signed an armistice, they had assumed the British wouldn't the far behind them. France would have been humiliated and lacking Alsace Lorine but the war would be over. Churchill cost Britain their empire, their economy, hundred of thousands of dead Brits but they did resist and they did win in the end.

All in all, should France not fall I think Chamberlin should stay in charge of Britain. And should France fall and Britain rejects a peace treaty as they did historically, Churchill should take over. Without Churchill there really is no war.
Aight, I'm a Churchill hater, mainly because of how he callously threw Yugoslavia, Bulgaria, and Romania to the Soviet Wolves in exchange for a promise for Greece that almost was reneged by the Greek Civil War. But I will give him some credits:

If we want to talk about in-context. Torch significantly hurt the Germans by giving the Germans the pretext to essentially destroy any pretext of the Vichy Regime being anything other than a German Vassal. This both decimated the pool of French Collaborators that the Vichy Regime had along with significantly widening the influence, power, and resources of the Resistance. This along with sinking what was left of the Pre-War French Fleet by scuttle and eliminating the threat to cross-mediterranian transportation that ships and planes based from Vichy North Africa could pose(along with further legitimizing the Free French Government, which ended up dedicating significant amounts of forces, especially to the Southern France operations). As for Italy, it both was intended and a misinterpretation of information, it was intended as an invasion would be needed for the Royalists to attempt to oust Mussolini, it was a misinterpretation with how unpopular the Fascist Party and Mussolini was in italy. The former massively aided the allied war effort as with the Italian Co-Belligerent govn't went the Italian Navy, which was still intact and ever-improving(and unlike the Japanese, not suicidal) and up until 1943 was a ever-present threat on Mediterranean Convoys with large amounts of the British and American battlefleet forces being tied down in the Mediterranean to counter the threat that the Italian Battlefleet posed(this actually was one of the big reasons Japan was successful-large amounts of British fleet assets were tied up in the Mediterranean). As for the latter, its part of the reason why Italy was such a slog-though Italy was incredibly divided with the Italian Resistance being incredibly strong, Mussolini still had his fair share of Fascist Loyalists which both blunted the effects of the resistance up until the twilight months of the war in late '44 and '45 and also provided both full-strength Divisions and strong supporting elements to the fight in italy. So I don't really think Italy was much of a mistake, in fact the drawing of another front making yet another pull of Germany's resources was likely a good thing, especially with the US's ability to provide effectively endless amounts of Men and Material at that point of the war

If we want to talk about looking back with hindsight, Torch and Husky was a very good thing, because it was in the Deserts of North Africa and in the Mountains where the US Army got its legs underneath it, as up until that point the US, for all the good quality and quantity of its material, was using horribly outdated doctrines and tactics. It was in the Deserts of North Africa where Rommel and Kessering took as much advantage as possible of the outdated doctrine and tactics, and in doing so they became the harsh teachers who taught the US Army how to fight the new style of war, and it was in the bloody battles in the Mountains of Italy that hammered in those lessons, especially to many of the Allied Troops in Italy that were transferred to participate in Operation Overlord. Not to mention that Operation Dragoon just wouldn't be a thing, its a shame that the landings and invasion of Southern France is overlooked, considering how much the troops dedicated to attempt to combat the forces in Dragoon resulted in much better progress in Italy and made Northern France much smoother for the Allies. Anyways, if the Allies just did D-Day but 2-3 years earlier there would actually be quite some doubt to its success, as the US Forces would still be grass-green and be using outdated mindsets on how to fight war, the Germans would have much more men at liberty to contest Normandy, and also the Italians would still be in the war(and before you roll your eyes, bear in mind that Italy was making many scary things in '43 that were cut short or interrupted by the invasion and the switching of sides, for instance the P40 would be a MUCH more useful tank than the M14/40 series of tanks, the later Semovente were actually better protected and just as well armed as the German Stugs sans the Semovente da 90/53 which the Company's worth of Vehicles that were available and ever produced in '43 carved their pound of flesh of Allied Armor in Sicily. This is not to mention the G.55 Centaro which is debatable the best fighter of World War II, at least by the German's admissions). And unlike the case for Russia an invasion of France would be close enough that we could rely upon Mussolini sending and dedicating significant forces to halting the allies in Normandy. and if we also avoid Torch, an invasion of Northern France might have given Vichy France the legs that it so much needed to stand and gain proper support to rival the Free French Government as the Legitimate Government in the eyes of the French People. Heck the US's main bottleneck in Europe is the ability to support their forces with more supplies and men, if you delete Torch and Husky there wouldn't be an appreciably larger amount of men and Material available for Overlord, and just as likely there wouldn't be appreciably more Air Support as the Western Allies had ludicrous amounts of aircraft. All of this in exchange for a Green USF hitting the beaches, a weary US populace not given iron to their will by the victories of the US Expeditionary force in North Africa(the propaganda value in getting the US Populace invested in Europe was another invaluable part and consequence of Torch), and Much, Much stronger Axis opposition that the Germans will have at their disposal and likely the same conditions that resulted in the Allied stall in Normandy. Overall I'd say not a good trade in spite of how much of a shitshow Italy ended up being


And on a unrelated Side-Note: predicting alt-history Ardennes offensives is a slippery thing, as that general period had quite insane, incredibly unlikely things go in the German's Favor(for instance, German Paratroopers paradropping onto Forts seperated from their primary firearms capturing the Dutch Forts in spite of being outnumbered by the Dutch). Furthermore it was a extremely fluid battle with large amounts of decisions and autonamy by local Commands, so for every "Course Correction" you can think of, its uncertain if the Germans would be able to pull something else out that could drive the outcome back on track with the Historical outcome, or at least one that's still a major victory
 
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DilberDD

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The French were not planning to fight a static war. The French government, in the middle of the great depression and in the aftermath of WWI, had no interest in military spending. French generals were asking for mobile tank forces. The French had mobile infantry, especially for securing Belgium. The Maginot line was in no way outdated. It worked as it should have, the French government just didn't finish it to go all the way to the coast. It was never breached. And through out the war all counties continued to make large lines of vast fortifications, including the Germans who repurposed the guns of the Maginot line and the Czech forts. And even at the end of the day the Germans risky maneuver through the only succeeded because the French Marshal in charged was fired before he could commit his counter attack. By the time it was reordered by his replacement the initiative had been lost.

All in all the French failure was political.

Churchill was frankly a strategic moron. From the man who brought you Gallipoli, here's the soft underbelly of Europe: Italian mountains and a fight through the desert. Genius.

The American favored plan of just invading western Europe from the start was just better. An active swift end to the war against an enemy that was in no way prepared to fight against a well coordinated, well equipped force able to contest and eventually win air superiority.

What Churchill did do was political. We wouldn't have had a WWII without him as when French signed an armistice, they had assumed the British wouldn't the far behind them. France would have been humiliated and lacking Alsace Lorine but the war would be over. Churchill cost Britain their empire, their economy, hundred of thousands of dead Brits but they did resist and they did win in the end.

All in all, should France not fall I think Chamberlin should stay in charge of Britain. And should France fall and Britain rejects a peace treaty as they did historically, Churchill should take over. Without Churchill there really is no war.
I agree with most everything you have said, but Churchill was made first minister before the fall of France. Chamberlain resigned because of Narvik. It was just unlucky that this change up happened to occur in coordination with the start of the battle of France. France still wouldn’t sign an armistice for another month after Churchill becomes first minister. And I don’t think the war only continued because of Churchill. Most British strategists thought the war was still winnable without France.
 
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kettyo

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Most British strategists thought the war was still winnable without France.
Including Chamberlain! He actually has supported Churchill during the Dunkirk goverment crisis. Without Chamberlain's support Churchill would most probably have fallen.

So that there had been no significant difference in British stance regarding the war in case Chamberlain remained prime minister.
 
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Gran Strategist

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The French were not planning to fight a static war. The French government, in the middle of the great depression and in the aftermath of WWI, had no interest in military spending. French generals were asking for mobile tank forces. The French had mobile infantry, especially for securing Belgium. The Maginot line was in no way outdated. It worked as it should have, the French government just didn't finish it to go all the way to the coast. It was never breached. And through out the war all counties continued to make large lines of vast fortifications, including the Germans who repurposed the guns of the Maginot line and the Czech forts. And even at the end of the day the Germans risky maneuver through the only succeeded because the French Marshal in charged was fired before he could commit his counter attack. By the time it was reordered by his replacement the initiative had been lost.

All in all the French failure was political.

Churchill was frankly a strategic moron. From the man who brought you Gallipoli, here's the soft underbelly of Europe: Italian mountains and a fight through the desert. Genius.

The American favored plan of just invading western Europe from the start was just better. An active swift end to the war against an enemy that was in no way prepared to fight against a well coordinated, well equipped force able to contest and eventually win air superiority.

What Churchill did do was political. We wouldn't have had a WWII without him as when French signed an armistice, they had assumed the British wouldn't the far behind them. France would have been humiliated and lacking Alsace Lorine but the war would be over. Churchill cost Britain their empire, their economy, hundred of thousands of dead Brits but they did resist and they did win in the end.

All in all, should France not fall I think Chamberlin should stay in charge of Britain. And should France fall and Britain rejects a peace treaty as they did historically, Churchill should take over. Without Churchill there really is no war.

<Holds his head in his hand in disbelief>
The only remotely correct statement in this is the French failure was inherentaly political.

The maginot line didn't work as intended. The Germans did not really try to breach it as only did distractionary attacks on it to pin down further French troops. Even with that lack of commitement to breacing it it was still breached in numerous places.

Many nations did continue to invest in static defenses thoughout the war but the successful ones were designed as part of a wider mobile defense. They reinforced key areas or served as a way to funnel the enemy into prepared positions to allow easier counter attacks. The unsuccessful ones such as Eben Emael, Maginot line, the Italian forts in North Africa, Singapore, and the variety of fortification lines in Russia were unsuccessful as they were designed with static defense in mind. They were all broken because the enemy were able to use speed and mobility to go around them.

It is correct to say the failure of the maginot line and the French army was political (which is why i mentioned it would need national change to solve the issues the French had) as the French didn't want it to go all the way to the coast for political reasons.i.e. it didn't want forts on the borders of potential allies but this in effect made it redundant as it was easily bypassable and then because so much of the French economy including most of the defense budget was poured (quite litteraly) into the maginot line this left the French army outdated, severly neglected and weakened all for something which was outdated and for the most part incomplete. Many people see the maginot line as this great line of concrete forts all along the French German border and much of the footage of it looks spectacular but the reality was the vast majority of it was incomplete and large sections of it were little better foxholes. Even many of the gun implacements did not even have guns fitted.


Calling Churchill a strategic moron shows an extremely narrow minded and uneductaed view of the situation and citing Gallipoli only renforces that. Churchill (like many commanders in the first world war) had an inspired and creative idea to break the stalemate on the western front and try to return to some form of mobile warfare, but like most commanders of the first world war he was as much a victim of the circumstance of that war where it was a point in military history where all the cards where held by the defender and it took new offensive weapons being invented to break the stalemate. Most of the war was fought with logic, creativity and care by the commanders but popular history remember lions led by lambs, idiocy and lack of compassion by the commanders which for the most part was very far from the truth.

The classic case being the somme and i often hear how stupid it was to have the solider walk through machine gun fire across no mans land, what did they expect to happen?

Well lets analyse. For a start there was a very detailed and organised plan designed around the realities of the time and designed to support the men on the ground.
Tunnels were dug to plant huge amounts of explosives (mines) to destroy the German lines at the point of attack. This was a good idea but it fell foul of the technology of the day and many of the mines went off early thus the soldiers weren't ready to rush in and exploit their effect, giving the Germans time to regroup and hold the positions. Where the mines went off as planned siignificant breakthroughs were often achieved.

Tanks were used for the first time at the somme. These were quite successful but it was a new technology which no one really knew how to use effectively as well as them being few in number and very unreliable. While they lasted they were very successful but very quickly they were all lost to damages or mechanical failure.

A carefully timed creeping barrage was planned to go in front of the advancing soldiers both the detonate land mines and cut the barbed wire but also to obscure the advancing troops from the Germans and then to pound the German positions as they got close. Again technology of the time this was all based on syncronised watches so the barrage and the soliders were often out of step, either killing friendly soldiers or leaving them exposed and then obviously the barrage had to stop for the actual assault on the trenches which often gave the Germans just enough time to get out of their bunkers to their positions and mow down the advancing troops.

Now we get back to the classic walking slowly across no mans land. Lets look at the reality and logic. At this point radio virtually didn't exist, telephone lines were usually cut by the fighting, sending word back by messenger was extremely risky and carrier pigeons were often targeted specifically by snipers this mean that in all likelyhood troops who were successful often had no way of communicating back their success and would often be left alone and isolated to their own means, sometimes for day before reinforcement arrived thus soliders needed to be preapred for that sutuation and often had to carry over 100 pounds of equipment into battle. Now if soldiers lie down with that equipement on their back they are highly unlikely to be able to stand back up again so they have to stay standing. If they try to run with all that equipment on their back they aren't going to get very far and will be completely worn out by the time the encounter the enemy.

So what do you do, you walk slowly across the battlefield, relying on all the other preparations to protect you in your advance so when you encounter the enemy you have enough strength to fight the enemy and enough supplies to hold the position if you take it until reinforcements arrive.

The popular portrayal of commanders as inept, uncaring and unfit for purpose in the first world war is completely unjustified for the most part due to the balance of power at the time.

Even with the balance of power Gallipoli very nearly succeeded in dealing a significant blow to the Ottoman Empire as they were taken by surprise and unprepared. The invasion suffered a great deal from the fact that the establishment commited what they saw as cast offs to the campaign, and i do say that in full knowledge that the mian contingent was the ANZACS which i will clarify i do not see them as cast offs but were in fact extremely brave and capable soldiers but i say that to point out the attitude by the establishment at that point, although in the sake of balance they were untried and untested at that point. Overall the campaign was ill supplied and ill equiped and that is not the fault of Churchill, he was just the scape goat as it was his idea. He had a good idea, was not given adequate resources and then scape goated for it's failure.

Again it was very nearly successful due to the element of surprise but the commanders on the ground were very cautious and looked to secure the beach-head which gave the Ottomans enough time to create defensive positions and thus it turned into an extended version of the western front.


As for the American concept of the war in Europe in 1942, much like their entry into the first world war they entered with arrogance and assumed the British had simply being doing it all wrong for the past couple of years and they were going to walk in and it would soon be over. In many quarters there was a distinnctly anti-British mindset and a general stubborn refusal to learn from the British.e.g. Hundreds of ships were lost off the American coast during the "Second happy time" because the Amercans refused to listen to the experience of the British and implement a convoy system.

The American got a very bloody nose at the Kessrine pass which was their first major encounter with the Germans who were actually in headlong retreat at this point yet were easily able to defeat the Americans. Admittedly the commanders on the ground were good enough (for the most part) to learn from their mistakes after realising that the British weren't just idiots who didn't know how to fight a real war and eventually came listen to the British at least and create their own (sometimes better) ideas of how to fight the war.

I am not saying everything the British did was perfect in hindsight and of course there were political reasons for many things but then that is true of all nations. Once the war had turned all the Allies were looking at the post war situation and many of their objectives were based on that rather than purely the immidiate situation.

The soft underbelly is generally quoted by American centric, Churchill bashers without looking at the reality of the situation. In 1942 the Americans wanted to go storming into Europe but the ability to do so had no basis in reality as was bourne out by the Dieppe raid which showed that to do so at that point would have been a complete disaster. Dieppe taught the allies what they needed to do and invent to undertake a major successful landing in France.

Air superiority was vital which as the Battle of Britain showed, even with vastly superior numbers was difficult to achieve across the channel.

Complete dominance of the seas was required not only for the safety and secrecy of the landings themselves but to be able to reliably and securely transport the vast numbers of men, equipment and supplies from American to be able to undertake it.

A large number of ships, many of which the designs had to be invented to carry the troops, support them and supply them. I should be noted that D-Day was planned to go ahead in 1943 but was put back to 1944 in great part because it was realised the shipping required for the landiing could not be completed by 1943.

A suitable target location had to be found which could support beach landing and was within aircover from Britain which obviously couldn't be a port which would be highly defended and thus a way to supply the troops untill a port could eventually be captured and then likely rebuilt as the Germans would likely destroy it before giving it up.

The vast majority of the American army was extremely green and the Americans were still finding their feet, as well as the British who were only at that point starting to implement some sense of integrated warfare and therefore learning many harsh lessons in 1942 so the Allies needed more experience both on land and in the art of invasions.


All of these factors were not in place until 1944 and that was the earliest reasonable time it could have occured and even then it was far from certain. Eisenhower wrote two speeches for the day after D-Day, one if it was successful and one if it failed. And we must remember that the Americans were nearly pushed back into the sea at Omaha which even with the successful landing at the other beaches would have severly compromised the allied position if they had been.

When looking at the campaigns in North Africa and "soft underbelly of Europe" Churchills main argument, which the Americans agreed with, was there were various advantages of the theatre. North Africa gave the allies a prime training ground to develop tactics against the Germans and allow the extremely green Americans to learn some vital lessons in a reasonably safe space against a predominantly defeated enemy. Once North Africa was finished with you had a coupke of armies worth of seasoned troops with nothing to do and it was by then obvious that an invasion of France was not possible for at least another year. Allowing veteran troops to just hang around for a year or two will take the edge off them and then when they are called on again they will no longer be as effective so where do you use them?

Well Italy is just across the pond. The allies now have naval supremacy in the Med and the allies need experience with contested naval invasions so Italy is the perfect choice. On top of that securing the Med would allow supplies to flow freely through the Med and Suez canal to Asia for the concurrent war against Japan where supplies had been being sent on the long and very dangerous journey around the African cape as well as allowing supplies to be sent through the region to Russia instead of the extremely dangerous and costly Arctic convoys.

And of course it had the potential benefit of knocking Italy out of the war (which it did).

Now i won't proclaim that Italy was the "soft underbelly" of Europe by any means and i doubt Churchill actually thought it was either. His speech was meant to rouse the people, much like "we shall fight them on the beeches..." and numerous other examples but it was a strategically sound choice at the time and was in a large part successful.

Ironically it suffered in many of the ways Galipoli did though also. The Americans were never really fully commited to it and less so as the fighting got tougher. The most experienced troops were increasingly withdrawn to prepare for D-Day and again ironcially the Anzio landings which most parallel Galipoli, being concieved by Churchill to break the stalemate around Monte Casino, caught the enemy off guard and achieved complete surprise and should have been a major breakthough as there were virtually no German troops in the area at the time, yet again the (American) commander on the ground decided to consolidate the beach-head rather than push forward and completely cut off the Germans thus allowing the Germans to create a defensive perimiter and stalemate to ensue again.

Once the allies did eventually break thorugh and relieve Anzio and they had the Germans on the run another American commander had a prime opportunity again to completely cut off the Germans thus essentially defeating the Germans in Italy, yet he want for thegGlory of taking Rome, allowing the Germans to escape to their next prepared position and the campaign to drag on until the end of the war.

Aight, I'm a Churchill hater, mainly because of how he callously threw Yugoslavia, Bulgaria, and Romania to the Soviet Wolves in exchange for a promise for Greece that almost was reneged by the Greek Civil War. But I will give him some credits:

Churchill did not sell Yugoslavia, Romania and Bulgaria to the wolves...Massive hole in your train of thought is why is Poland, the nation Britain went to war to save not included, as well as all the other eastern European countries the Soviets occupied after WW2?

Churchill wanted all the European nations and the Balkans to be freed from the soviets as he saw the threat from the soviets and had a general idea what was going to happen with the cold war, yet at the point the fate of the occupied countries were being decided, essentially the Yalta conference, Roosevelt sidelined Churchill and did most of the negotiating in secret meetings with Stalin, which Churchill wasan't invited to.

For Yugoslavia in particular the country, or specifically Tito, the person in charge of the country was happy to be in the Soviet sphere and interestingly wasn't actually occupied like the rest of the nations the Soviets brought into their sphere.

Bulgaria and Romania were actually part of the Axis, we can discuss the technicalities of how much choice they had in that as it is also complex but in the end they were part of the defeated nations who fought against Russia and thus it is extremely hard for Britain and America plea for their freedom after the war.

Stalin also had the upperhand in the post war negotiations because he was the last of the "Big Three" left with Roosevelt obviously dying and a new post war primie minster voted in Britain.
 
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HugsAndSnuggles

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The maginot line didn't work as intended.
So the intention wasn't simply to buy time for reserves to mobilize?
French didn't want it to go all the way to the coast for political reasons.i.e. it didn't want forts on the borders of potential allies
and France actually building forts along those borders is just a heap of nonsense?
 

Gran Strategist

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So the intention wasn't simply to buy time for reserves to mobilize?
and France actually building forts along those borders is just a heap of nonsense?
The "reason" for or the intention of the maginot line is very hard to pin down and depends on who you ask and at what point.

My best timeline is along the lines...

On inception it was envisioned to be a massive deterant to stop Germany even considering attack France ever again. Inspired in part by the battles around Verdun in the first world war.

Once it became obvious that France could simply not afford to even complete the section on the border between France and Germany and it became increasingly likely it would never be completed as originally envisioned due to its huge cost its reason was to delay a German invasion long enough to mobilize Frances reserves. With the expectation that armies would still move at first world war pace and thus they would have weeks if not months to mobilize.

Once it became obvious that with the evolution of warfare, any German attack would simply outflank it, it became a way to funnel the German attack.

The main problem with this evolution is that France was now stuck with it and in effect in no mans land.

It had an incomplete defensive structure which had cost a massive amount and in building it had sucked the defense budget out of the army thus when it became obvious they also needed an army they had 2 choices. Scrap the maginot line and concentrate on the army or keep going with the maginot line and try to build up the army at the same time.

Politically they couldn't do the first option as so much had been invested so they took the second option but by trying to do both they did neither very well hence the maginot line was never finished and the army was never rebuilt and hence the fall of France.

This in essence answers the second question, was it all a heap of nonsense?..I am sure at its inception it seemed like a good idea but the fact is France never had the capacity to finish the maginot line even if it could fulfill its original purpose...It simply cost too much so it would have been better investing all that money in its army so yes it was just a heap of nonsense.

This is in addition to one of its major drawbacks which is that false sense of security it gave instilled a defensive and static nature in the army and the nation as a whole.

This mindset wouldn't have been such an issue if it worked like originally envisioned but as it became increasingly apparent it wouldn't and the mindset had to adapt but that mindset was now so instilled in the nation it was almost impossible to change it, no matter how hard the few realists there were tried.

This whole ethos is the worst way to plan to fight a war and thus in that sense it was complete nonsense also. Although in context they weren't planning on fighting a war they were trying to avoid one in the future and if one happened they planned to just turtle up until the Germans got bored and went home.
 
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