THE GREAT GAMBLE
1939, September 22nd
Chiang Kai-shek is worried about the Japanese presence in the areas surrounding Pingxiang. Afraid of being outsmarted and defeated again, he orders his officers to throw everything at the enemy. The unsuspecting IJA soldiers are shocked when they hear the mountain shaking Chinese battle cries. Almost half a million of Nationalist troops pour from the mountain valleys and gorges. General Ishiwara, despite being a brave and loyal commander, quickly retreats from Pingxiang ignoring Kotohitos commands to “Hold the city and die
with honor!”. There is no honor in being slaughtered by four times larger enemy forces…
A Blow from Below
1939, September – October
On September 28th, Japanese marines reach the shores of Hainan – the next IJN target. Early next morning, China Theater fleet blocks the water ways between the island and mainland China, while Reserve and Special Task fleets provide support for the SNLF. Osumi excluded three targets – the cities of Haikou, Dongfang and Sanya. All of these coastal cities are attacked simultaneously in order to minimize the enemy resistance and split their forces apart.
Almost the entire IJN is participating in this mission. However, Nagano’s battleship fleet is doing most of the work – it is bombarding
the enemy positions deep in the island and covering the landing craft close to the shore. Since IJAAF are too far away to help, the entire success of the invasion depends on IJN performance. So far it is very satisfying.
But, despite the overwhelming Navy support, marines encounter fierce resistance from day one of the invasion. Nationalist forces in the island were underestimated by the Japanese intelligence. It seems, that they are better armed than SNLF and some of their defensive positions in the jungle are immune to IJN bombardment. The coastal cities are captured relatively fast, but the Chinese fall back to the interior and continue their desperate resistance. Finally, on October 8th, Japanese sweep the entire island far and wide, capturing or killing the last Chinese soldiers – the staging base for further operations in the South is captured!
After the landing in Fuzhou and encirclement in Ningbo, Kotohito and Osumi learned to work together and now they are eager to achieve something even more spectacular. The recent defeat in Pingxiang is a bitter experience, but it opens some remarkable possibilities to deliver a crushing blow to Chiang’s Eastern armies.
On October 9th, Osumi meets Kotohito in Fuzhou and reveals his plan: “My ships scouted the Southern Chinese coast yesterday and the day before. They reported minor enemy movement along the shoreline, mostly to the North. Chiang is moving his men to counter your latest advance, leaving his coastal cities lightly defended. For example, Guangzhou – the heart of Southern China, is defended only by 20 000 soldiers”. “That is more then enough to defeat SNLF” – replies Kotohito. “Well, you are obviously right - SNLF will have little chances of succeeding without IJA help. That’s why I propose a synchronized amphibious invasion in the South and a land offensive in the center. All we need to do is wait for the enemy to abandon their positions in Guangzhou!” Both commanders discuss the plan for few more hours and agree to carry it out as soon as the opportunity arises. This will be one of those “plan-along-the-way” operations. Fortunately, they don’t have to wait for long. On October 12th, two Guomindang divisions leave Guongzhou for Zhanjiang – the operation begins five hours later.
Guomindang officers make a series of vital mistakes. Firstly, expecting a Japanese counterattack, they concentrate their armies in Pingxiang and virtually abandon Ganzhou – the key city in the region. Secondly, they move their divisions to Zhanjiang to face a non-existent threat of Japanese breakthrough from Hainan. IJA and IJN will make sure, that these two mistakes will haunt Chiang Kai-shek for years! Ishiwara’s attack on Ganzhou succeeds immediately and IJA tanks and cavalry enter the city six days later. Meanwhile, SNLF holds their attack until the victory in Ganzhou is 100% sure and then they land in multiple places around Guangzhou, capturing the large Chinese city by the end of the day. Chinese retaliate instantly and strike the weak Japanese defenses in the recently captured Ganzhou. General Higashikuni is ordered to support the defenders, while Nakagawa leads the Imperial Guard divisions to battle in Nanping.
On October 23rd, a much anticipated victory is achieved after a long exhausting battle in the mountains. Higashikuni’s arrival and
24/7 IJAAF support ensures temporary peace in Ganzhou. But Kotohito knows that it is early to celebrate. The encircled Chinese have to be pushed away from Ganzhou, since now it can be attacked from six directions!
With IJA moving deeper and deeper into China, the occupied lands are exposed to rebellion, looting, crime and corruption. The local
police forces and the Chinese allies can’t be trusted entirely, that’s why the Minister of Security initiates the expansion of Kempeitai. They will be attached to new garrison divisions and placed in all over China. Resource and IC rich cities will be the first to receive the Japanese garrisons, since they are ideal targets for partisan.
Meanwhile, the Japanese scientists and engineers are working hard to keep up with the government deadlines. Currently the research is concentrated on land, air and naval doctrines. Japan can’t afford to lose its advantage over the enemy! One of the other projects is the second stage of Yamamoto’s IJNAF parachutist vision. Japan already has the equipment required for airborne divisions, but it still lacks proper airplanes. However, Mitsubishi Hikoki is working on it.
At the end of October, some interesting news from Europe reach the Imperial Palace in Tokyo. On October 25th, after a few failed
attempts to capture Warsaw, the Germans finally overwhelm the Polish defenders. Hitler loudly claims the victory, but now his armies face the Allies in the West and the Soviets in the East. Hirohito can’t understand why did Hitler willingly destroy the last barrier between Germany and the Soviet Union. It’s like willingly opening the door for your murderer… But Hirohito, and the rest of the world, is unaware of the secret deals between Hitler and Stalin that were signed shortly before the war.