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Mettermrck

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jap2hb.jpg

March – April 1944: The Pacific War – The More Things Change Part I

For the second time in the war, the country of Romania succumbed to Axis invasion, as German panzers swept into Bucharest and briefly into Constanta. Soviet forces swiftly counter-attacked into the Dobrudja, though not before the Romanian government had taken itself out of the fight. In the Ukraine, however, Soviet forces launched a successful attack near Kiev while in the north, the Red Army launched a massive drive that reached the Baltic Sea at Memel, cutting off two dozen German divisions. Riga would fall in late March and the German pocket would collapse within weeks after that.
After two years of watchfulness, Vichy forces at last drove the British from their beachhead at Marseilles. Free French forces, meanwhile, continued their attacks into Algeria.

It was in Asia, however, that the more decisive advances were being seen. Japanese forces broke through the Commonwealth line along the Ganges north of Calcutta and began advancing up the river valley, threatening the major city from the north. Several South African and Egyptian divisions, fighting to help the British hold on to India, were cut off east of Bhutan and overrun. Participating in these successful offensives, for the first time, were the divisions of the Indian National Army, which had arrived in Rangoon in early March.

1630mh.jpg

There were many reports that the British government was considering offering post-war independence to India in exchange for their continued loyalty against the Japanese. Whether it was too late, with Japanese and indeed Indian forces already invading the eastern parts of the country, would be seen.

In the Central Pacific, the Pacific Fleet, after a delay of over six months since Los Angeles, resumed its counter-offensive against the Japanese-held island empire. On March 23rd, the Marines were landed at Midway, which was seized after a brief fight.

1594og.jpg

With that strategic island once more secure, attention could again be paid to reopening the supply route to Australia, starting with Baker Island. The Japanese continued to launch furious waves of attacks on Johnston and Palmyra, yet the garrisons grimly held on, suffering and inflicting heavy casualties, and causing a brutal stalemate in that sector. As April wore on, the Lexington task force steamed south towards Baker with transports in tow, bearing the Marine invasion force. The landings were conducted beginning on April 18th, and were a great success.

1609vj.jpg

With the capture of Baker, the Pacific Fleet was now one step closer to Australia. Yet the Japanese had other ideas. Days after the fall of Baker, the Combined Fleet, under the command of Admiral Yamamoto, ambushed the invasion fleet. Outnumbering the Americans almost two to one, the Japanese inflicted heavy damage on the Lexington, sank several transports and destroyers, and forced the fleet to withdraw, exposing Baker to attack.

1619bf.jpg

The Japanese did not attack, however, and the Combined Fleet withdrew to the west, leaving Baker to the Pacific Fleet. While it had been a tactical naval defeat, it was still a significant strategic victory. However, the reasons for the Japanese withdrawal became clear soon enough as reports from Australia filtered in.

Brisbane had fallen in earlier in April, with the loss of two Australian divisions. After that, the Japanese swept down the east coast to the outskirts of Sydney, where the Australians looked to make their final stand. Their three divisions, however, were ill-equipped to fend off the seven Japanese divisions attacking and on April 24th, Sydney had fallen. Japanese motorized troops quickly swept southward and seized the key cities of Canberra and Melbourne. With the capital in flight to Wagga Wagga, the remaining Australian divisions were huddled in Darwin and Perth, and it looked to be simply a matter of time before the entire continent had fallen to the Japanese. The situation in the Pacific had just gotten even more complicated.

brisbane5ug.jpg

Australian soldiers surrendering near Brisbane
 
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Mettermrck

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March – April 1944: The Pacific War – The More Things Change Part II

It was around this time that serious discussions were being held in Tokyo by opposing factions as to how to settle the war with the United States. Despite the recent fall of Baker and Midway Islands, the war against the United States had been a great success and Japan occupied the Philippines, Guam, Wake, the Samoans, and the lower Aleutian islands. Japanese forces had occupied Baker and Midway, had clashed off the shores of Hawaii, and Japanese troops had actually set foot in force in California. Both fleets had suffered heavily, and both sides had lost major amounts of troops in the fierce island fighting. Thus far, it was estimated that the United States had lost seven divisions since September 1941, and total casualties was deemed closer to eighty or ninety thousand men. Japanese losses were probably twice that.

There was a sharp division over how, or even whether, to bring the war with the United States to a conclusion. Those in the Imperial Navy, in particular, were mindful of the critical losses to Japan’s battle and carrier fleets, losses which would not be replaced for two years. The offensive capabilities of the Japanese in the Central Pacific were waning, despite recent naval victories. The Navy was inclined towards a generous price, and in this they were led by Admirals Nagano and Yamamoto, the latter who, with his first-hand knowledge of American industrial potential saw that generosity was the only sure way to bring the United States to the bargaining table. Offer them most if not all of their pre-war possessions back. Return Wake, the Aleutians, Guam, and set the Philippines free – of both Japanese and U.S. influence if possible. The key, it was argued, was to remove the United States from the war. Then Japan would have a chance to turn against the Allies and could rebuild its Navy against future American aggression. The Navy had some support from the Marquis Koichi Kido, Lord Keeper of the Privy Seal and the Emperor’s closest advisor who favored a peace with the United States along the lines of status quo ante bellum.

nagano3zp.jpg
yamamoto23kt.jpg
koichi6an.jpg

Admirals Osami Nagano, Isoruku Yamamoto, and Marquis Koichi Kido
Architects of the Navy Plan

Diametrically opposed to this was the Army, which had enjoyed equally dramatic successes in the war. Victory over Nationalist China, the capture of Southeast Asia and the Dutch East Indies, the successful invasion of eastern India, and now the imminent fall of Australia, gave the Army significant prestige and clout, and gave them their own ideas on what sort of peace they favored. Most generals did not favor the cession of any territory currently occupied. Whatever temporary losses to the United States would be easily counter-balanced by the strength Japan would acquire by victories in India and Australia. The United States would have to come to the bargaining table once they see the impossibility of their victory. The Imperial Army favored a plan whereby few if any of Japan’s conquered islands were to be ceded. The Aleutians and the Samoans were possible options for concessions, though they were resistant to others, such as Wake or Guam, and especially not the Philippines, which they had fought hard to seize. Many prominent generals backed this philosophy, including Heitaro Kimura, who had been Vice-Minister of War until 1943 and now commanded the armies in Burma and India, Koiso Kuniaki, the ”Tiger of Korea and its Governor-General, Minami Jiro, former Minister of War, commander in Korea and Manchuria, and now privy councilor, and Itagaki Seishiro, former Minister of War, organizer of the Mukden Incident, now commanding an army in Korea.

kimura1zm.jpg
kuniaki9du.jpg
minami1pg.jpg
itagaki1wm.jpg

Generals Heitaro Kimura, Koiso Kuniaki, Minami Jiro, and Itagaki Seishiro
Strongest proponents of the Army’s position

A third proposal was that put forth by the Prime Minister, Hideki Tojo, who had recently become Commander in Chief of the General Staff in February. Although a strong right-wing advocate, Tojo had been a pre-war supporter of negotiation with the United States in 1941 until he had been convinced that settlement was impossible. Now, in 1944, with Japan at its zenith and the United States still chipping away at the frontier, he pushed for a tempering of the opposing views – a more lenient Army position and a stronger Navy proposal. To Tojo’s way of thinking, Japan had a core area of territory in the Pacific, which it absolutely had to have – the Dutch East Indies and Southeast Asia. Around this it was necessary to acquire a buffer zone of protective islands. It was not necessary, in his view, to negotiate with the United States over anything other than United States territory since they were not allies with Great Britain, the Netherlands, Free France, Australia, or New Zealand. To that end, Tojo favored removing the U.S. from the Philippines – granting them a nominal independence – and also from Guam, though anything else was negotiable.

tojo7ij.jpg

Prime Minister Hideki Tojo
Supporter of a compromise plan

Some nationalist politicians and commanders favored no peace at all until Japan was firmly in possession of Australia and India. The power Japan would yield then would be something the United States would have no choice but to respect and it was believed that the Americans would pay dearly if they tried to battle through the approaches of a ”Japanese Pacific”.

1626jq.jpg

By mid-1944, a victorious Japan was beginning the hard debate on how to pursue settlement with the United States

Whatever solution was pursued, however, would have to take into account the United States and according to the present administration and most of the candidates of president, the Pacific War was still very much winnable for the United States – and worth winning.
 
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unmerged(19363)

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The logical choice would be to send six divisions to help bolster Australia's defense so the Japanese are occupied on all three fronts, the Aussies being a key to Pacific victory. But then the folks in power in this version of the world rarely go for the logical choice, which of course only makes it more exciting. :)
 

cthulhu

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Nice to see you back on the offensive! I would be very surprised if President Lindbergh would accept any peace proposal... First-rate update! :)
 

Semi-Lobster

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Another great update and this time from the Japanese perspective. It will only be a matter of a week or two before Australia will be annexed! With soon all of India and Australia that in striking distance of South Africa!

I have a question though, what happened to Japanese Manchuria? All the non Manchukouan provinces became Chinese?
 

Sir Humphrey

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Come on Australai pick up you game!
 

unmerged(17780)

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Woo! Finally a counteroffensive, thats just what the doctor ordered! Has Lindbergh done enough to keep his job? I say, forwards to Australia and then, on to Tokyo!
 

Mettermrck

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Miral: Yeah, slipping six divisions in by way of Africa wouldn't be so hard, but of course the US is thinking in terms of bludgeoning through the Japanese defenses than doing anything imaginative. :)

cthulhu: Oh no, Lindbergh wouldn't. Mainly that's just an internal Japanese event deciding on their policy. It's the begnning of a chain. And it's only 1944 so war exhaustion is near enough of a factor yet. And as the US advances, well, that'll change things too.

Dan Cook: No, no nuclear, not after Landon rejected Einstein's letter. :) It'll probably be started soon on the basis of hearing maybe that the Germans or Soviets are doing it - especially the latter. The US is doing solid rocketry research, with Lindbergh backing Goddard's work to the hilt.

poppy: Of course! That's the US' first priority, to liberate the islands on the way and then land in Australia. Now if only the pesky Combined Fleet would cooperate.

Pershing: Welcome aboard! Not many neutrals left. Thanks to the wars in the Americas, pretty much every continent has excitement going on. :D Let's see...much of South America is neutral right now, the Caribbean, Sweden, Switzerland, Portugal, Eire. Nepal, Bhutan, Tibet, Sinkiang. A wild world as you can see. :) And some of these probably won't stay neutral forever.

Semi-Lobster: That would just be insane if the Japs landed in South Africa. You'd think the British would cave before then once India and Australia were lost. Manchukuo is still independent. I had thought there something in CORE that allowed the Japanese to swallow them, but nothing so far.

Sir Humphrey: Well, the Aussies fought hard. They have the most annoying AI in the game for the Japs, always landing everywhere. :D But without the British and US, and with Japan freed from China, it's gone against them.

Frankie: Not sure about the election...with major successes, Lindbergh will look good, but there's always other factors that could ruin things.
 

Mettermrck

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soviets0ey.jpg

May 1944: The Presidential Election of 1944 – Part II

German and Soviet armies traded offensives as the summer approached in the fourth year of the conflict between the two massive empires. In the Ukraine, a two-pronged German armored attack on Kharkov was thrown back , leaving Kiev still exposed. In the north, the Red Army continued its offensive in the Baltic States, crossing the Daugava River south of Riga and pushing into Lithuania. Soviet forces captured Kaunas and threatened to cut off additional German forces still holding out in the north. British forces again landed in France, at the Pas de Calais, where several divisions breached the coastal defenses.

Japanese forces in India, meanwhile, began a drive on the Indian capital at Delhi, bypassing Calcutta and the strong defensive positions there. By the beginning of June, the fighting reached Lucknow, and Indian nationalists backing the Japanese sensed a great victory should the ancient city be secured. The Commonwealth continued to pour troops into the Ganges valley to hold up the enemy, yet the British and their allies continued to suffer from a lack of air power. In Delhi, meanwhile, the Governor-General of India, Archibald Wavell, whose army had fought with distinction in Romania before being forced to surrender, begin a series of meetings with prominent leaders in the Indian National Congress (INC), including Maulana Azad and Rajendra Prasad. The British government’s offer to grant autonomy to India after the war in exchange for continued loyalty in the conflict with Japan was viewed with mixed reactions, some suspicious, some optimistic, and others hoping for more. While negotiations proceeded, the INC leaders did exact one notable concession from Wavell – the release of imprisoned Indian leaders, including Jawaharlal Nehru and Mohandas Gandhi. With Japan and the Indian National Army continuing to advance, however, the pressure on the British would only increase.

lucknow7lc.jpg

Japanese troops in action near Lucknow, May 1944

In Australia, Japanese forces were also advancing, driving the Australians out of Wagga Wagga and Darwin, and slowly overrunning the rest of the continent despite the vast distances involved. Only the fortified ports at Broome, Perth and Hobart still held out. Australia, of course, was very much on the mind of American commanders. In mid-May, having secured Hawaii with the recapture of Midway, Admiral Cook, Navy Chief of Staff, continued to press Washington to release more of the Home Fleet for operations in the Pacific. Despite the great resistance of the Lindbergh administration, which was wary of any sign of weakening the home defenses, they at last consented to releasing two of the four carriers stationed on the West Coast, provided that they first be used to secure the lower Aleutian Islands, which had been captured almost two years before.

With the ”home guard” guards deploying along the coast, Admiral Cook was also able to draw the rest of the Marines and more of the Army out of California to support continued operations, and twelve new divisions were transported from San Francisco to Hawaii during the month of May. The next phase of operations would include the initial diversionary attack on the Aleutians – Kiska, Adak, and Attu, and then the Pacific Fleet would resume its drive on Australia. Southwest of Baker lay the next series of islands, the Ellice Islands and the Samoans, which Cook planned on striking in June or July. Despite the continued Japanese attacks on Johnston Island, the U.S. was slowly improving its offensive position in the Pacific.

1647rw.jpg

[Most of the US bomber fleet is upgrading at this time]​

In South America, meanwhile, the government of Brazil, ”decrying the instabilities and dangers posed by our neighbors”, declared war on Colombia and Venezuela on May 8th, as an intervention to prevent leftist takeovers in either country. Although the United States did not make an official proclamation of support or send any form of tangible aid, that the country did not object was a sign of its passive acceptance of the Brazilian move. In essence, Brazil had become an anti-Communist proxy of the Lindbergh government.

All of these issues were part of the electoral furor that was engulfing the United States as November approached. Yet there also other more domestic problems that concerned the major parties contending for high office. The war in the Pacific had seen a small economic turnaround in the American industrial sector as the intensity and scale of the conflict exceeded most expectations, yet the United States was still in an economic slump that had been steady since 1938. An economy that had been recovering from the Great Depression in the years from 1933 to 1936 went into stagnation with the Landon reforms and the repeal of the New Deal. The war against Mexico, rather than stimulate the economy as many had expected, only served to hamper it, as the length of the war decreased confidence. Expected boons from the acquisition of vital resources in northern Mexico were cancelled out by the devastation causes by the hard fighting in provinces like Monterrey, where oil facilities were heavily damaged and would required expensive repairs.

labor8op.jpg

Economic decline, unemployment, and government anti-labor rules made domestic issues very important in the presidential election of 1944

The sudden shift from a recovering peacetime economy to a war-time industry had caused moderate unemployment almost around the same time as the Republican administration had acted against most social and labor protections, including the Wagner Act, Social Security, unemployment insurance, etc. Despite the initial tight budgets of the Landon administration, the Mexican War had caused major expenditures and deficit spending became a necessity to fully prosecute the war. Indeed, every budget from 1938 to 1944 saw increasing deficits as the United States slowly shook off its military lethargy. The labor sector became agitated. Major strikes in the coal and automobile industry had been suppressed violently by employers and the unions were a pressure cooker held under by fear of a wartime government that did not shrink from harsh measures – FBI Director Harry Bennett continued to be burned in effigy by labor leaders and was seen as a symbol of this trend.

Also a symbol was President Lindbergh himself, whose anti-communism had become more pronounced in the past two years, leading to tighter restrictions on labor unions, more surveillance on them, and increased agitation of an ”atmosphere of mistrust”, as one Lindbergh opponent put it. Continued moves against worker rights, the Workplace Efficiency Act and the reinstatement of Special House Committee for Un-American Activities (HUAC), only added to the volatility of the economic issue.

The domestic issues clearly divided the National Party against the Democrats, anti-communism against labor. To most Democrats, it was folly to move against supposed leftists at a time when the United States was in a major war against a fascist government. Each candidate, Wallace, Warren, and Wickard, invoked this vein often, calling Lindbergh an opportunist who has seeking a scapegoat for his own administration’s failures and an excuse to expand the controls of the federal government. Wickard, the most radical of the three, called for a ”national labor coalition” to serve as a pressure point against the government to stand firm against federal encroachment and to restore all the losses in privileges that had been incurred in the past eight years. As influential as Lindbergh’s ally Hearst was in the press, the unions had major influence in many key states that would be strategic in November. The mobilization of the unions would make the Democrats a major contender in the election.

hearst22bt.jpg

Union agitation challenged the influence of the President Lindbergh’s economic advisor, William Randolph Hearst

The Republicans leaned more towards the Lindbergh position, primarily by virtue of their past associations with the president, their firm opposition to the Democratic support of labor, and because most of the things objected to by the Democratic candidates were programs put into place by the Landon Administration. The Just and Proper Deal, which was in essence a negation of FDR’s new Deal, was the hallmark of the Republican Party in the late 1930s and early 1940s. To protect this, which they considered an achievement which undid the ”social mistakes of 1933”, the Republicans would continue to position themselves against the Democrats. Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr., the Massachusetts Senator was less vocal on the labor issue, confining his domestic rhetoric to increased tax reform, which was considered necessary as ‘real revenue’ had dropped steadily since 1937. Dewey, however, took a stronger position, less anti-communist in nature, but very much supportive of what he called ”free business” and ”a check on union intransigence”. Dewey, like many others, was keeping a close eye on Europe, where German and Soviet continued their titanic clash. Communism in Venezuela and Colombia was far less of a threat, despite its proximity, than any threat which might emerge out of industrialized Europe.

Yet as May turned into June, few if any of the military questions in the world were being settled, and this only made domestic aspects of the 1944 election that much more important as November came near.
 
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Semi-Lobster

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Mettermrck said:
Semi-Lobster: That would just be insane if the Japs landed in South Africa. You'd think the British would cave before then once India and Australia were lost. Manchukuo is still independent. I had thought there something in CORE that allowed the Japanese to swallow them, but nothing so far

I was reffering to what happpened to the Japanese provinces directly to the west of Manchukuo, in your map they're all of a sudden Nationalist Chinese
 

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Dan Cook said:
The Kiri event gives back occupied China to the Nat. Chinese.

Really? I didn't know that! Is that supposed to happen because the idea of Japan giving back territory to China and taking a few coastal provinces is bewilderingly odd. I need to go over the events more!
 

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Good updates. A couple of questions about the US economy. So would it be correct to say that the US has been in a depression for 15 years? Also, if the US has been at war for about 6 years straight wouldn't they be about bankrupt, especially while being at war during a depression?
 

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Damn those vacations, I've missed Yamamoto's raid on Hollywood! :D

I can picture him (played by Alec Baldwin, of course), when young marine from Osaka asks him:


"Yamamoto-san, but if I run out of bullets - what should I do?"

Then, Yamamoto answers:

"I don't know, son... but if I was there, I would charge Venice Beach with bayonet in my hand trying to make as much damage as possible."


Great update! :D