"1) Three simultaneous nuclear blasts decimate the city of Dallas"
Really? Ok, that's an - despite unlikely - good start.
"2) United States accuses North Korea of leaking the neccessary nuclear information and materials to some Fatwah Jihad Forever organization."
A very, very, very, very, very stupid thing to do, but quite probable.
"3) United States conducts a massive bombing campaign of North Korea in response, but does not declare war"
Nah-nah. A crapload of those bombers would be shot down by North Korean tripple-A and interceptor aircraft. If a single bomb is dropped on North Korean soil they'll emmideatly blitz through the DMZ and launch a few hundred thousand artillery shells at ROK and US positions.
Basically, that would be a DOW by the US. Bombing a country is a quite vulgar way to DOW, btw.
"4) China declares solidarity with North Korea over the US agression without presenting and proof or reason to the global community."
Probable.
"5) North Korea declares war, and gets an event to get a few nukes. The AI or player uses them. Honolulu and Seol are in ruins (or wherever they send them). China does not get any because they don't like the idea of every city in the world glowing with radiation."
NK won't use nukes unless
A) Kim feels that he can't win using conventional means
B) A stupid son'f a bitch in the chain of command uses them without his permission.
Kim knows that nukes are a last resort and a ticket to suicide. Don't portray him like a complete idiot just because he's ruthless.
"6) US, Australia, UK declare war. Germany & Co pressure rest of EU to stay neutral."
If the US hasn't got any evidence of NK supplying some terrorist group with nukes, I doubt that GB will DOW. Blair is being grilled by the media after his WMD lies. The Brit's won't therefore be as easy to get into war. Basically, this'd mean that in the scenario itself GB gets an event on whether to support the US or not. If yes (60% chance of AI using this?) they get a massive dissent hit. If no, the conservatives react with some anger (big but much smaller dissent hit). Dunno about Australia, though.
Germany and France would be strongly against the war, though. Correct.
"7) North Korea, with Chinese support, sweeps through South Korea."
Most probable. Chance that the US/ROK will get slaughtered: 98%
"8) Vietnam and Laos declae Solidarity with China and their Asian Brothers."
Quite likely.
"9) Failed US landing in Hanoi: 50,000 US Soldiers dead, 80,000 Vietnamese and Chinese."
The US should be able to choose whether to do that or not. But it'd most certainly end in failure. Sino-Viet losses would be smaller, thoug. 40-60K. US losses would also be smaller. More POWs...
"10) Tensions between Pakistan and India continue to rise. United States warns India that they will support Pakistan and Russia warns Pakistan that they will support India."
China will also support India.
"11) China offers Indonesia the countries of East Timor and Papua New Guinea, as well as weapons and advisors, if they join them in a military alliance. Indonesia Agrees."
Probable, but the Indonesian player should at least be allowed to choose whether to join or not.
"12) Indonesia sweeps through the western half of Papua New and the entirety of East Timor. In the large battle of Port Moresby, Australian troops manage to become victorious through superior naval support. East Timor is Annexed."
Probable.
"13) China offers India their claims on Chinese territory, as well as some advanced electronic technology to support any "Pakistani agressions". "
Go on...
14) In the second battle of Port Moresby, the presence of Chinese tanks turns the tide in favor of the Indonesians. Papua New Guinea is Annexed.
Probable.
15) Skirmishes in Kashmir, India backs down.
Backs down? Nah...
"16) France, Russia, Germany, Luxembourg, and Belgium form a military alliance. Go on a massive diplomatic campaign to bring in the rest of the countries. Over the next 6 month, Europe is close to united except for a select few."
I doubt it, but it'll be good for a game.
"17) Chinese assault on Taiwan fails miserably. Heads roll in Chinese army administration."
LOL! The Taiwanese would NEVER win there! Either it becomes a Chinese victory or a stalemate.
"18) Army coup in India supported by China creates a military regime."
Doubtful.
"19) Tensions europe over Kashmir and neither back down. More and more troops enter the skirmish until it becomes a war. With Chinese support, Pakistan become the Modern Day Scenario's Ethiopia. "
China wouldn't support Pakistan. They're allied with the country that they're nearly at war at for Christ sake!
"20) Successful US invasion of Haiku. Held for two weeks until Chinese and Indian planes establish air superiority and US troops forced to retreat. "
No comment.
"21) Russia gives the US one last chance to back down before their previous support for India goes all the way. US refuses, Russia declares war on India's enemies. Rest of Europe follows."
Like Jack said in Speed I, "He's crazy, not stupid!" . Putin would only aid India and at most send some "advisors". DOW? HA!
"22) Spain takes Gibraltar, Ireland takes Northern Ireland."
Good for them.
"23) British invasion of Ireland, all the major cities in Ireland fall."
... With heavy losses on both sides.
"24) EU invasion of Southern England, United Kingdom quickly withdraws troops from Ireland and manages to save London. The rest of the battles don't go as smoothly and London is surrounded."
IMPOSSIBLE! COMPLETELY REDICILOUS!
"25) English troops hold a line South of Scotland. Despite many assaults, EU troops can't break through."
England won't be invaded. No-one in the Europen leaderships would for a minute consider it.
"26) US forces to a reactionary, defensive role for several years. Whenever they build more units and train more infantry, those have to be sent to react to another assault in Asia, or be added to the lines in Scotland."
No offenses? That's not the US I know of. The US battle plan is what Patton said: "You won't hold any lines. Let the enemy do that. We'll crush them in a offensive" or something like that.
"27) Scotland falls, London still surrounded. US paradrops supplies and troops to reinforce London."
ROFL
"28) Chinese establish a beachhead in Southern Taiwan. Can't push to Taipai. Firebombs Taipai with a massive aircraft loss due to Taiwan's impressive anti-air system."
Didn't they already beat the Taiwanese badly? And you underestimate Chinese intelligence like hell now. They'd try to knock out as much of the Taiwanese AA/Interceptors before conducting such operations.