I wholeheartedly agree, that is why I said "looks like". We can't know the future after all.
I dont see a huge difference betwin CK2 (end life, not beginning, Rubidium explain very wells) or EUIV and Stellaris.
After the first full DLC, the full game with all DLC = 55$ (nova) + 9$ (Plantoid) + 11$ (Levi) + 20? (Bank) = 95$ after one year. It is a little expensive for have the ''full'' game. And in 2 or 3 years, the full game will be at around 200 $ too.
When you think about a DLC from EUIV or CK2, there is not a lot inside. But we had a free update and we ''forget'' they come with the DLC (now the free part is a part of the game and not a part of the DLC).
Remove the free part of the Bank update, and I am not sure this DLC will be really big as you explain. One space structure ? Few specific orders for purge/eat xeno ? One big unknow feature ? Not really huge for 20$. But with the free part, it is ok (and ''rich'' players paid for ''poor'' player for the free part).
I think in your mind you separate for CK2 or EUIV the free part and the expensive part, but you dont do same for Stellaris. The only ''big'' difference I see is we dont have 2-3 small DLC with a big DLC. I am happy about that, but it is not a big change in the policie.
Now now, the DLCs themselves are not big per se, but the updates bring much needed depth to the game for free. Just for that work, I believe they deserve compensation, even if it only brings me a few more neat features and I already have the other game changing features in a free patch. It's sort of a donation or incentive to continue with their work, instead of buying a digital good for my own enjoyment per se.
I disagree so much with OP.
First, what where Stellaris' DLCs so far? Plantoids (comparable to CK2 portrait packs, but worse, since there's less inner variation) ; Leviathans (which add cool creatures but isn't really worth more than those fancy Aztecs or Random New World) and we're awaiting a DLC with Banks. That DLC will feature Ascension Perks, orbital stations (which are clearly overhyped - they are nothing more than buildable "planets", guys... It's nice to have them, but really they are not game-changers). And this DLC isn't even out. My guess is that it will bring content in a similar way that CK2's and EU4's DLCs do - some shiny new features
Second, what's your problem with CK2 and EU4 DLCs? Did you just forgot what they brought to their respective games? You know you can't play anyone else than christians without DLCs in CK2, right? Someone who tells me that CK2 hasn't been through deep changes in gameplay through the years just doesn't know what he's talking about, or has a very short-termed memory.
Also, do you remember how Stellaris was hyped before its release, and how disappointed people were? Stellaris is at the beginning of its developpement. Compare with the situation of CK2 at the same stage, you'll find a very similar situation. You're just hyped because Wiz is very good at hyping people, and because you're a fan of Stellaris. Stellaris is a new franchise, Stellaris is beautiful, and we're still all waiting for that game to release its full potential. It's a travel to the unknown, and we know that's how Paradox works. That's why we're inclined to think that Stellaris is great and maybe different from other games. But let's not take the brilliance of the stars for a promise of greatness.
First, as I mentioned above, my payment will be more of a donation or incentive to continue with this method of good, meaty FREE updates (a complete overhaul of internal factions is a great step forward). Letting players who don't want to or can't pay for the new DLC actually be able to ENJOY these new features.
Second, my problem with CK2 and EU4 DLCs is that there comes a time when you can not play the game without them. What do I care if you bring in some cool new features for the muslims in a free patch if I'm locked out of playing as them unless I buy the DLC? Stellaris is bringing in new content in the free patch, while keeping bits out of it. Stellaris MAY (not WILL) be going to the right direction according to what I've seen so far. But, as I said, the future is uncertain, I am just expressing my hopes and seeing if others agree with me or not, so maybe Paradox has a look at this thread and says "hey, people seem to like this and the policy is working out for us." and continue with this trend. I insist that CK2 has gone through some deep changes and is a whole other story from what it was years ago, but I don't believe the changes are offered to the players the way they should be AKA how Stellaris may be doing with this expansion.
And as a response to your also: Yes, all games are hyped. CK2 was hyped, EU4 was hyped, Fallout 4 was hyped, Fable 2 was hyped. Hype (marketing) is generated to reach the maximum amount of sales regardless of wether the consumer truly desires the good in question or not, ugly but true. But call me a blind fanboy, I've been anything but that for the past few years, I do believe in Wiz's desire to bring us a fully fleshed out game in the best of his capability. Stellaris is probably his work-related ambition which he wants to shine in his CV for years to come. This is all conjectures, maybe Wiz is an EA-president tier devil on Earth, but it is the opinion I have formed for myself after following Stellaris' development and his earlier work on CK2 and seeing his modding (and AAR) work with Victoria and EU:Rome.
And last, if we don't take the brilliance of the stars for a promise of greatness every once in a while, we may quickly fall down the rabbit hole of hopelessness.