1942, December 29th:
- Admiral Marschal's gigantic fleet - 6 battleships, 7 battlecruiser, 2 pocket battleships, and four heavy cruisers - slashes into our task force just south of Iceland. Despite their miserable positioning (due most probably to lack of escorts), 14-inch shells, 12-inch shells, 10-inch shells, and those relative popguns, the 8-inch shells, smash all four of our destroyer flotillas into flaming wreckage, despite the valiant efforts of their heavy cruiser
Goeben, who inflicts the only significant damage the Germans sustain today.
- Well, at least we know the Germans are taking an interest. How lovely. Now, if they will only stick around long enough for our CAS to relocate and catch them, there might actually be some payback.
- Or not. They clearly plan to hunt convoys. We intend to hunt
them should they poke their ugly noses far enough southward.
1943, January 1st:
- Another year of war has passed; it's time to take stock. The news is almost uniformly bad. There are two absolute disasters that 1942 has wrought and they need to be treated in some detail.
- The first is that Russia is on the verge of a final collapse. German and Axis forces have breached the upper Volga line, demolishing the forts. Although they have not taken Moscow, the starvation and surrender of this pocketed city, 400 KM from the nearest organized Soviet forces, is inevitable eventually (HSR gives supplies to the Moscow pocket, and they last for quite a while, but not forever). Some good news on this front: the Soviets still hold the Caucasus in front of Baku, and also the bastion of Stalingrad. Brave Bear, fight on; we knew not how we needed you.
- There is probably nothing quite as disastrous as the Soviet surrender now possible, but the shutdown of British convoys comes close. The United Kingdom is no longer able to provide reliable supplies to any overseas theatre of war, which means trouble in India, trouble in Africa and the Levant, and a hideous loss of life in every isolated island and colony. The British still possess significant IC and manpower, but the very lifeline of their empire is crumbling.
- The third great Axis advance has been in India, where only massive American reinforcement has allowed the Allies to preserve the empire.
- The United States is attriting the Japanese faster than they are returning the favour, but the advantage is only slight. There has been absolutely no change in land holdings in the Pacific for a year now (the invasion of Taiwan seen on the industrial map is at least the third, and is even now suffering the same fate as the first two). India is almost entirely an American-Japanese fight and so far looks like a draw.
- The United Kingdom is half out of the war. No transports, few convoys, much-reduced navy; she can do little more than defend Britain and try to keep Italy in check in North Africa (with Allied air support).
Industry
- The relative industry of the Axis and Allies has not changed appreciably:
Force Comparisons and Changes
- The Axis continue to outmass the Allies on land and in the air, and match or almost so us at sea (more BB/BCs, and submarines, but fewer Carriers and destroyers, and much fewer transports.). Relative forces are mostly unchanged from a year ago.
- Russia has suffered a catastrophe on land, attrition at sea, and some expansion in the air.
Brazil's war
- The Brazilian Navy is not particularly pleased with itself. We have sunk one battleship, one battlecruiser, two heavy cruisers, and approximately ten other ships or flotillas this year, for a cost of approximately ten destroyer and two transport flotillas. Frankly, we can't afford this kind of kill ratio; we need to raise our game.
- The Army has little to report save for a somewhat weak campaign in North Africa which it would prefer not to talk too much about. It fully intends to turn in a rather more interesting report come this time next year.
- The Airforce, however, is in clover. We've wiped out approximately eight Italian divisions and look forward to killing many more.
Brazilian Technology
- Brazil is becoming an increasingly up-to-date combatant, capable of fielding land, air, and sea units either at, or at least not too far behind, the best in the world. The stars indicate areas of recent concentration. In order to achieve excellence in what we
had to have, we've sacrificed almost all of the armour and artillery techs, infantry and mountain troops, computing and cryptography, all classes of ships other than destroyers and battleships, all types of planes other than multi-role fighters and CAS, and accepted a "second-adopter" position in air and naval doctrines.
Domestic and Government Changes
- We again choose to Professionalize. For the first time, new Brazilian units will get an experience bonus. We sorely need this; new German and Japanese units start with 20 experience, and new Argentine units have 15.
- After several years with little change, some new Ministers appear to help take Brazil forward. Almeida retires (loaded with honors and appreciation) in favour of Washington Luis Pereira, an Administrative Genius, who will give us that extra bit of IC we need to mobilize more effectively.
- There is, after more than a year of growing frustration, an internal coup in
Itamaraty that replaces the lack-luster foreign minister Franco with Paso Fernandes Mora, an Ideological Crusader committed to victory and capable of closing deals far more efficiently. This is especially important to us, as we need to negotiate frequently just to keep our factories running, and must import every penny of the cost from the Americans.
- Henrique Leixeira Lott is also leaving us. He, like Almeida, goes heaped with honors. Replacing him is arguably the single most important person in government now: the re-vamped Gaspar Dutra, this time coming with a +25% bonus to manpower growth. This boosts our daily increase from 0.39 to 0.48, a critically important boost to our ability to sustain a lengthy, large-scale war.
- The one remaining poor performer in the Cabinet is Mesquito de Costa, who reduces consumer goods need slightly and promises (but almost never performs) special intelligence missions. We don't yet have anyone sufficiently better to warrant the dissent hit.
- Brazilian dissent jumps to 5%; this will take a while to bring back down because of our serial production runs. Dissent means that we need to be more cautious in seeking battle; HSR quadruples the effect of dissent on combat, from half to double.