I have 2 savegames that might be useful. At the beginning of September 1942, I have 96k-odd supplies. At 19 September '42, I have 27k-odd. Now, I wasn't assigning any IC to supply production, because I wanted to run down the stocks, but even if my defecit was 1000 a day (it wasn't) that wouldn't drop me 70k supplies. Would that pair be any use, Johan?
I have to say, the supply model is total rubbish (by which I mean utterly divorced from any reality of logistics, to the point where it really hurts the game). My troops in Jo'burg (next to a port: Durban) are now out of supply because I linked up with the push down from the Congo, so now all the suupplies landed at Durban have to go most of the way to Tangiers and then back through Darkest Africa, a round trip of around 14000km as the airliner flies. My African supply dump used to be at Umm Qasr, which at least was convenient to both east and west, but now the dump is (as near as dammit is to swearing) as far away from my next target (the Arabian peninsula) as it is possible for it to be.
Sure, Italy "shouldn't" (whatever that word might mean in the context of HOI3...) really have conquered all of Africa, but it shouldn't be the fact that supply suddenly has to travel 14000km "because them's the rules" instead of 500km (which might seem just a littlesaner) that stopped them. That just makes for a crappity game experience.
Edit: Have found the missing supplies. Discovered that every single outgoing convoy to an African port had been cancelled. Which is fair enough, since Khemisset (the aforementioned supply base, far away from anywhere useful) has 61k-odd supplies to dish out to my troops in Africa. So that 61k wasn't being included in the total. :-/ Which seems a little odd. But: why did the system allow Khemisset to get so disproportionately huge? Africa has maybe a quarter of my troops (at the moment, this is a pretty recent development; it's managed with about 5% til I had to race Germany for S. Afrika). Is it because the Gib-Tanger convoy and all the Iberia-Morocco convoies are so short that they cycle very fast?
How can I recover those supplies? Do I have to conquer Turkey and/or Persia and open up the dreaded land route? At least I've finished Africa now, and the Arabian peninsula won't take a huge force to subdue.
Edit: I just thought: if I don't connect Africa to the rest of the supply net, can I have 99999 supplies in the Roma net, and 60-odd k in the Africa net? That might be handy, if they would ever get delivered to the right place.