So I have a few colonies near the Aztecs with like 10,000 troops in the region. The Aztecs gave me military access and I scouted them and realized they only had like 9,000 troops. They are much larger than in 1444 since they annexed the country underneath them. They have like 10 ships but honestly i don't really care since they have no capacity to threathen my homeland. Also their ships seem to be in the Pacific so they would have to Round the Horn to get there. Is this attack probably going to be succesful?