What do you think the next expansion will entail?
I’ll do a semi-thorough speculation of the road map to place my bet.
These are all the possible things they’re working on, so let’s go step by step.
Major Expansion or Flavor Pack?
This question has an easy answer for me, the last major release was the Fate of Iberia, a Flavor Pack. They’ve said openly they’re alternating, which means whatever it is they’re working on now must be a major expansion.
Mechanics or Encompassing themes?
The DD gave us a big list of points they want to hit in CK3 in the future, however in my opinion, each individual docket item doesn’t have to be it’s own independent expansion, they could all be mechanics they’re exploring many of which can be included in one expansion. Royal Court for instance brought us the RC, Artifacts, and Cultural overhauls, three unrelated but woven together mechanics. I’m willing to bet that each “room” in the road map will be part of a similar mosaic for the expansion they come up in. This begs the question, however, do room positions matter? Are rooms closer together more likely to come out in the same expansion? In my analysis I will factor room closeness as an element, but will not say that it is a clear cut rule, as we simply don’t know.
What the hell are we getting then?
The DD was suspiciously candid about Byzantine flavor will be part of a major expansion rather than a flavor pack. Given the fanbase’s undying love for everything Eastern Rome, my bet this is coming sooner rather later. Details included in the DD talked about Imperial mechanics overhaul as well. Talked about having Byzantines play different than HRE, and having both play different than the Abbasids. It’s only natural that in the Byzantine Flavor/Imperial Government expansion, the Empire rework comes out as well. My theory is that Empires will have different mechanics based on government type, with the HRE getting some support as well. This way they can add flavor, and keep the sandbox nature of major expansions by giving imperial/clan/feudal/tribal/HRE different imperial mechanics from each other, but the same so the Abbasids and the Ottomans have the same Imperial Mechanic. This is my sure bet as to what’s coming out next, but I don’t think that’ll be it.
One more?
i honestly can see them including one, two at most other mechanics in the expansion I described, but I don’t know for sure which so I’ll give odds to the ones I think are most likely.
50% chance “Laws” - the DD expressed annoyance at the simplicity of Law Mechanics currently in the game, I’d say it’s pretty likely an update in government types also updates Laws. They also expressed a desire to overhaul war, but I think this is more likely in a future Crusade update than in an Imperial focused one.
25% chance “Clans” - If I’m right and the Imperial mechanics are tied to governments, then chances are above average that Clans will be touched up as well. I’m much less sure about this though.
10% Chance “Alliances” - I think it’s likely in a government-centered update we could get a touchup on alliances as well. This also fits into the Clans part, as alliances in the Islamic world were very different from those in Europe. This loses certainty because if I’m wrong about Clans, chances of alliances being touched up drop dramatically imo.
5% chance Religion - Could receive some love, but I honestly think it’s more like to come in the aforementioned “Crusades” update I’m assuming is separate from this one.
Place your bets, what do you all think?
I’ll do a semi-thorough speculation of the road map to place my bet.
These are all the possible things they’re working on, so let’s go step by step.
Major Expansion or Flavor Pack?
This question has an easy answer for me, the last major release was the Fate of Iberia, a Flavor Pack. They’ve said openly they’re alternating, which means whatever it is they’re working on now must be a major expansion.
Mechanics or Encompassing themes?
The DD gave us a big list of points they want to hit in CK3 in the future, however in my opinion, each individual docket item doesn’t have to be it’s own independent expansion, they could all be mechanics they’re exploring many of which can be included in one expansion. Royal Court for instance brought us the RC, Artifacts, and Cultural overhauls, three unrelated but woven together mechanics. I’m willing to bet that each “room” in the road map will be part of a similar mosaic for the expansion they come up in. This begs the question, however, do room positions matter? Are rooms closer together more likely to come out in the same expansion? In my analysis I will factor room closeness as an element, but will not say that it is a clear cut rule, as we simply don’t know.
What the hell are we getting then?
The DD was suspiciously candid about Byzantine flavor will be part of a major expansion rather than a flavor pack. Given the fanbase’s undying love for everything Eastern Rome, my bet this is coming sooner rather later. Details included in the DD talked about Imperial mechanics overhaul as well. Talked about having Byzantines play different than HRE, and having both play different than the Abbasids. It’s only natural that in the Byzantine Flavor/Imperial Government expansion, the Empire rework comes out as well. My theory is that Empires will have different mechanics based on government type, with the HRE getting some support as well. This way they can add flavor, and keep the sandbox nature of major expansions by giving imperial/clan/feudal/tribal/HRE different imperial mechanics from each other, but the same so the Abbasids and the Ottomans have the same Imperial Mechanic. This is my sure bet as to what’s coming out next, but I don’t think that’ll be it.
One more?
i honestly can see them including one, two at most other mechanics in the expansion I described, but I don’t know for sure which so I’ll give odds to the ones I think are most likely.
50% chance “Laws” - the DD expressed annoyance at the simplicity of Law Mechanics currently in the game, I’d say it’s pretty likely an update in government types also updates Laws. They also expressed a desire to overhaul war, but I think this is more likely in a future Crusade update than in an Imperial focused one.
25% chance “Clans” - If I’m right and the Imperial mechanics are tied to governments, then chances are above average that Clans will be touched up as well. I’m much less sure about this though.
10% Chance “Alliances” - I think it’s likely in a government-centered update we could get a touchup on alliances as well. This also fits into the Clans part, as alliances in the Islamic world were very different from those in Europe. This loses certainty because if I’m wrong about Clans, chances of alliances being touched up drop dramatically imo.
5% chance Religion - Could receive some love, but I honestly think it’s more like to come in the aforementioned “Crusades” update I’m assuming is separate from this one.
Place your bets, what do you all think?