I've run the tests in HOI3, and I can tell you that ultimately, CLs beat SHBBs and BBs when enough are brought to the fight.
Let's just say that 80 CLs versus 6 SHBBs plus 12 DD flotillas did not end well for the SHBBs. I have visions of the lookouts on Yamato seeing the wakes for 160 torpedoes heading towards the ship and, rather than warning the captain, instead composing a quick haiku on the futility of life before they impact.![]()
Firstly…
Where, exactly, did all those torpedoes come from?
What to do about them?
Step 1. Execute a turn towards & comb them.
Step 2. Take maybe two hits near the bow (those that were heading towards your stern now miss as you're not where they were heading and the Yamatos typically absorbed 10+ torpedoes & lots of bombs so a couple of torpedoes isn’t going to be a serious issue)
Step 3. Beat the crap out of anything stupid enough to stay in range or not fast enough to escape.
Although it's a hard concept to get your head around… the thought of a 65,000 ton battleship being able to "dodge" anything, torpedoes (particularly Allied torpedoes) fired beyond 5,000 yards aren't actually that difficult to avoid.
That said... 80 light cruisers to take-on 6 Yamatos doesn’t sound like a fair fight to me. A quick calculation on displacement says 124 DDs. That would be 25-30 destroyer flotillas, not 12.
1st scenario.
Let’s say 80 Clevelands @ 11,800 tons (& give them torpedoes for free) assuming 5 DDs per flotilla and assign two flotillas to each SHBB. Using Kagaros (@ 2,000 tons apiece) that’s 85,000 tons per unit giving 11 Yamatos & 22 flotillas of destroyers.
Even giving them torpedoes that they didn’t have, and accepting that the 5” guns from the destroyers aren’t going to achieve an awful lot against Clevelands, my money would still be on the 11 Yamatos & 110 Kageros carrying the awesome threat of 1,760 type 93 Long Lance.
Granted, the Yamatos wouldn’t be able to take many of the CLs down with gunfire before the rest got within torpedo range, but torpedoes at long range are easily avoided and the DDs would be firing volleys from the flanks forcing the CLs to continually turn to avoid/comb. So closing to close range would be difficult and, for a 600 foot long target, would be pretty much suicidal below 10,000 yards and they need to get within 5,000 to stand any real chance of hitting with their fictitious torpedoes.
End result. The Clevelands that don't get taken-out by long-range gunfire or the hundreds of torpedoes or concentrated 5" DD fire would only survive long enough to get taken out by close-range gunfire.
2nd scenario.
US CLs that actually had torpedoes.
80 Atlantas @ 6,000 tons.
Now we’re only talking about 6 Yamatos & 60 Kagaros.
This is not so clean cut. The Atlanta class, with a broadside of 12, rapid fire 5” DPs (only the first four were completed with the “wing” turrets) would have been undisputed N°1 destroyer killer (as demonstrated by Atlanta herself before being crippled by San Francisco) if they’d been employed in this roll. So they could destroy the screen while corralling & surrounding the SHBBs outside of effective range of the big guns.
I think this would turn in to an utterly chaotic brawl with torpedoes going in all directions as the SHBBs tried to escape & pick-off any CLAAs as they pass through the melee and approached.
The Atlantas though, would cripple many destroyers, very quickly and could leave them behind & impotent even if still afloat. I don’t think this would end well for the SHBBs.
But, the point here is that it all depends upon which ships.
And don't forget that the Atlantas were actually designed as destroyer flotilla leaders so... the scenario where the CLs win is actually a scenario where large DDs operated as zerglings win.