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Achab

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is it possible to change from a monarchy to republic?
if so how does this happen, revolts or a special type of civil war?

If more than 50% of your provinces is occupied by rebels (black/red banner) you have a 25% chance you change into a republic and your monarch gets executed. In the 2.31c beta patch (latest) the chance is 100%.
 

Achab

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Black/Red is Barbarians, Rebels use the opposite colours of your native banner.

For clarification of the banners:
Rebels: Red/Black (anarchist colours)
Barbarians: Black with white bovine skull
Civil war rebels: your own flag with inverted colours.

I was referring to the Red/Black rebels in my previous post.