Remember the rule of HOI4, "If a simple good idea was in AOD, that idea won't be in HOI4"
japan question
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Remember the rule of HOI4, "If a simple good idea was in AOD, that idea won't be in HOI4"
The company I work for was part of the Sakhalin-1 and -2 projects, building the immense concrete structure installed in the Arkutun-Dagi field offshore from Sakhalin as the base for the Berkut, an ice-resistant fixed platform designed to safely operate year-round in a seismically active area and able to withstand winter temperatures of 44 C° below zero, waves up to 18 meters and sea ice of up to two meters thick. This video shows the structure being floated out to sea and positioned on the sea bed.
http://vimeo.com/m/65553800
Then the drilling platform and living quarters were lifted on top of that.
From there the platform is drilling one of the deepest oil deposits in the world. So no way for Japan or anyone else to discover this oil was there in the 1930s - it was not discovered until 1989 - and no way to extract it until very recently. It has started producing the expected 4.5 million tonnes per year.
On the lend lease, Japan could only stop lend lease through the Far East, and I'm not sure that was significant. It could not do anything to prevent the overland supplies through the Middle East to the south of SOV, nor the North Atlantic convoys to Murmansk.
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For a country that only devoted some 25% of national outlays to the military (compared to 45-60% amongst the allies and comintern), the Japanese endured probably the most total mobilisation of their country. Wartime production is a lot more than resources. If the Japanese had held their supply lines open, they could have had all the oil they wanted from the Southern Area, but that wouldn't have been enough. An industrial economy requires a lot more than simple resources. It needs skilled labour, complex machine parts, efficient organisational methods and so on. The Japanese were focused on resources because that was something they could gain in the short run (and they critically underestimated the other things) but as things happened, they weren't nearly as important as the other things.
For example - Japan had a factory in Iwate prefecture that produced extremely complex variable pitch propellers for large aircraft. They brought in specialists from another firm to increase efficiency of production. The factory was totally destroyed in an earthquake (not a B-29 caused one) and work was wholly interrupted. A modern industrial machine requires complex parts that the Japanese were not particularly adept at making. The US superiority in cryptology and signals was not a lucky coincidence. Another example -in constructing their Type B Naval Cipher, which the US successfully broke into, the Japanese recruited one Teiji Takagi - a man who had no particular expertise in cryptology. When it came to their industry, especially their complex industry, the Japanese were amateurs. That was a lot more damaging than their resource scarcity.
Even for England, cut off from her Empire and besieged from the sea, production of aircraft wasn't nearly as much a problem as training and putting the pilots into the plane: and quite largely because of efficient organisation.
For example - Japan had a factory in Iwate prefecture that produced extremely complex variable pitch propellers for large aircraft. They brought in specialists from another firm to increase efficiency of production. The factory was totally destroyed in an earthquake (not a B-29 caused one) and work was wholly interrupted. A modern industrial machine requires complex parts that the Japanese were not particularly adept at making. The US superiority in cryptology and signals was not a lucky coincidence. Another example -in constructing their Type B Naval Cipher, which the US successfully broke into, the Japanese recruited one Teiji Takagi - a man who had no particular expertise in cryptology. When it came to their industry, especially their complex industry, the Japanese were amateurs. That was a lot more damaging than their resource scarcity.
Even for England, cut off from her Empire and besieged from the sea, production of aircraft wasn't nearly as much a problem as training and putting the pilots into the plane: and quite largely because of efficient organisation.
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That's like saying, that best German Iron Ore is mined in Sweden. Siberia, Urals and Caucasus are three separate regions.
Also, most Siberian oil today is gotten from West Siberia - some 4000 miles from Manchuria.
But all non-military. And if Japan had been willing to occupy Vladivostok or sink the Soviet convoys, then more would have been sent through the other routes. And the post referred to an invasion of SOV "They could have completely eliminated Allied Lend Lease to the USSR"..
It was the non-military L-L that Soviets asked for most - they were not amused with Allied tanks much. Also, my post was a reply to "not sure if it was significant" part.