I'm going to assume this is sarcasm given that you're wrong on every count.
While he was obviously sarcastic, to be fair there are no such statistics that can reflect the
current state of the game one way or the other, only expectations based on the
previous state of the game. AoW and its patches were amazing, and plenty of people will ride that excitement into buying ED. The question isn't whether people will buy ED, the question is whether ED will encourage or discourage people from buying DLC_NEXT.
@OP I find the game tends to rise and fall in enjoyment as more patches/changes roll out, rather like the stock market over time. AoW was a peak, and the game is in a "fun recession" right now. AE+Coalitions are out of whack, AI has gotten more idiotic in warfare, more arbitrary hard-rules are being imposed on the "sandbox" with little explanation, fun is being sacrificed for "art," features are getting axed for subpar replacements, and the devs are assuming a defensive attitude about everything (notice which posts they're choosing to respond to?).
I have no reason to purchase El Dorado, and my excitement for EU4 is really low atm. Of course I believe in Paradox (I bought Cities the
instantI learned it was under the Paradox umbrella), and I know that PDS in particular has a really good culture - just look at CK2, I check the forums every day for a new DLC and my money is practically burning a hole in my pocket! ...but I'm very upset with the direction EU4 is going.
I
will say Liberty Desire is awesome and its previous version was my number 1 complaint in AoW. Good things
are still happening here... but the general trend is down for now.