If Germany controlled all of Continental Europe, where are the likely points of Allied Attack?

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JodelDiplom

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The Allies just need to capture somewhere within range of the Romanian oil refineries. As the only refineries that the German's have access to in this scenario (the logistics needed to ship oil from the devastated Baku oil fields to the Russian refineries (also likely out of commission) then to Germany is difficult to say the least), their destruction robs the Wehrmacht of its major fuel source.

Otherwise an attritional campaign in France/Low countries is surprisingly viable. The Allies possessed vastly greater quantities of artillery at every level as well as near total air superiority. They can force the Germans into fighting at the end of heavily interdicted supply chains and use their massive material superiority to inflict heavy casualties on them. The loss of operational mobility caused by Allied interdiction will largely force the Germans into fighting WW1 mark 2, which they will likely lose for much the same reasons they lost the first one - Europe is not able to survive without imports and the Allies control the seas.

Or they could just nuke them in 1945/46
Didn't the Germans have refineries in Germany too? Wesseling near cologne ought to have had one. It's certainly a pretty ww2 petro industrial site and today one.of the bigger ones we have.
 

fredinno

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ok, I have a continuation for the TL here:
Didn't the Germans have refineries in Germany too? Wesseling near cologne ought to have had one. It's certainly a pretty ww2 petro industrial site and today one.of the bigger ones we have.
Refineries can't work without oil.

But I doubt Germany would bother restarting Baku without at least rebuilding the pipelines.
 

gagenater

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ok, I have a continuation for the TL here:

Refineries can't work without oil.

But I doubt Germany would bother restarting Baku without at least rebuilding the pipelines.

The word you are looking for is building pipelines. Oil from Baku was moved by tanker across the Caspian sea, the up the rivers of the USSR to Stalingrad and points north of there. If the Germans want a pipeline from Baku back to the western part of the continent of Europe that can't be easily interdicted by allied sea power they will have to start from scratch on that project.
 

Graf Zeppelin

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The word you are looking for is building pipelines. Oil from Baku was moved by tanker across the Caspian sea, the up the rivers of the USSR to Stalingrad and points north of there. If the Germans want a pipeline from Baku back to the western part of the continent of Europe that can't be easily interdicted by allied sea power they will have to start from scratch on that project.
Since you are the person to ask, how long would it take to build such a pipeline if the Reich really wants it. ?
 

Graf Zeppelin

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gagenater

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Thats very likely to late to make an impact.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Inch

The US built this project in just under a year of total construction time to convert it's flow of crude oil from Texas to the East coast of the US from tankers, to pipeline. It was ~ 1,400 miles (2,250 km) from Longview TX, to Norristown Il, then on to Pheonixville Pa where it more or less terminated to tie in to the existing east coast pipeline infrastructure. Baku to Ploesti is just under 3,000 km (1,800 miles) and not very useful. To go from Baku to Berlin would be 3,600 km (2,250 miles). At the time of the start of the project, the US already had the worlds largest and best developed pipeline industry (about 70% of world installed capacity) a as well as plenty of surplus labor, steel production capacity, the route was entirely internal, with no potential for sabotage, air raids or other disruptions, and most of it was through flat level soil.

Counting planning time, the project started in May of 1941, although you could say March of 1942 is a fairer start, since that's when it became obvious what was going to have to happen. First oil flowed in August 1943 so 17 months from March of 1942. The concurrent project to ship refined products along a similar but slightly longer route (little inch) from Texas coastal oil refineries to the same destination started at the same time and completed in March of 1944, so exactly two years.
 

Graf Zeppelin

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Inch

The US built this project in just under a year of total construction time to convert it's flow of crude oil from Texas to the East coast of the US from tankers, to pipeline. It was ~ 1,400 miles (2,250 km) from Longview TX, to Norristown Il, then on to Pheonixville Pa where it more or less terminated to tie in to the existing east coast pipeline infrastructure. Baku to Ploesti is just under 3,000 km (1,800 miles) and not very useful. To go from Baku to Berlin would be 3,600 km (2,250 miles). At the time of the start of the project, the US already had the worlds largest and best developed pipeline industry (about 70% of world installed capacity) a as well as plenty of surplus labor, steel production capacity, the route was entirely internal, with no potential for sabotage, air raids or other disruptions, and most of it was through flat level soil.

Counting planning time, the project started in May of 1941, although you could say March of 1942 is a fairer start, since that's when it became obvious what was going to have to happen. First oil flowed in August 1943 so 17 months from March of 1942. The concurrent project to ship refined products along a similar but slightly longer route (little inch) from Texas coastal oil refineries to the same destination started at the same time and completed in March of 1944, so exactly two years.
Thank you very much.
 

Graf Zeppelin

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So, basically, the earliest that the Baku oil could reach the German refineries would be about the same time as the Allies reach Berlin.
I still have my doubts the Allies could or even should fight their way to Berlin. I have however no doubt that there would be no Berlin anymore to fight to.
 

thedarkendstar

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I still have my doubts the Allies could or even should fight their way to Berlin. I have however no doubt that there would be no Berlin anymore to fight to.
I have a question myself if the Germans are doing badly enough in the west would there be any chance of Russia re-entering the war (assuming there is an army left to do anything)
 

thedarkendstar

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Define what you mean by "Russia"... In this scenario...
Well whats left in the Urals siberia Im sure the Germans would have had to keep forces there to counter any attempts by the red army to recapture territory again assuming it wasnt completely destroyed.
 

Easy-Kill

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While true regarding trucks on the other side Germany build 10-15 times more armored vehicles (Not tanks) than the British.
This comment piqued my interest. The Germans did have a more mechanised rather than motorised concept of infantry in their panzer divisions. However, the British had a lot of armoured cars and the Bren Gun Carrier, which was the most produced APC of all time (albeit out to the 1960s). Now, these tended to be either full wheeled or full tracked vehicles .

That said truck production was sub par back then on the German side of course. Having Soviet oil available however would have helped to utilize whats available for the German army.

Not to mention another gazillion captured ones when the Soviets drop the ball.

Another thing is since you love to throw around numbers so much.
Gemany was never that short on trucks historically, they captured so many that they could neglect this segment for other more important things. Or so they thought.
Now, I don't disagree that the 'numbers' themselves offer the full story. But, I am also not convinced that Germany was anywhere near as motorized as it should have been for a first rate military power. While the Panzer corps won the day in France, the vast majority of the German army was still confined to horse drawn carriage. This did not change with Barbarossa in 1941.

The real bottleneck was maintenance. To few workshops(albeit those they had been of high quality) to few spare parts and to many truck models in usage led to a higly ineficient truck usage and wastefull paterns.
I remember reading that the operational planning of the Wehrmacht prior to Barbarossa, was 500km, after which a rest and recoup was needed. Not because of the fuel or supply situation, but due to an inability to repair and refit forces on the move (i.e. the workshops).

Some interesting areas to research ... Do you have any tips on sources?
 

Graf Zeppelin

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Graf Zeppelin

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Now, I don't disagree that the 'numbers' themselves offer the full story. But, I am also not convinced that Germany was anywhere near as motorized as it should have been for a first rate military power. While the Panzer corps won the day in France, the vast majority of the German army was still confined to horse drawn carriage. This did not change with Barbarossa in 1941.
Yes indeed, Germany was a dwarf compared to the other Great powers regarding car manufacture. It was world leading in motorcycles and they put that into good use but it isnt a proper substitute for trucks of course.
 

Andre Bolkonsky

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That is specifically the argument behind the American's prosecution of the war. Simplify the design, multiple variations of the same platform. Dirt simple maintainence combined with well educated farm boys for whom working on a tractor was a good day.

And American's great hidden asset were the sheer plethora of machine tools they could deploy whereever and whenever they wanted. Upgrades and modifications made in the field were tested and the best made it back home and were incorporated into the next variant of the same design.
 

DoomBunny

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Yes indeed, Germany was a dwarf compared to the other Great powers regarding car manufacture. It was world leading in motorcycles and they put that into good use but it isnt a proper substitute for trucks of course.

Interesting side note, in the First World War, Italy outproduced Germany in motor vehicles. In fact, Italy outproduced pretty much everyone save Britain, a nation several orders higher in economic development, and about 1/5th larger in population.
 

Easy-Kill

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Yes indeed, Germany was a dwarf compared to the other Great powers regarding car manufacture.
Oh how times have changed :D

More seriously, I would like to understand how this was the case .There is no doubt that Germany was highly productive regarding military fighting vehicle production ... I wonder if it has something to do with the reallocation of Steel from the civilian to the military sectors?
 

JodelDiplom

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Oh how times have changed :D

More seriously, I would like to understand how this was the case .There is no doubt that Germany was highly productive regarding military fighting vehicle production ... I wonder if it has something to do with the reallocation of Steel from the civilian to the military sectors?
Germany didn't have much of a domestic car production in the interwar years. Trucks yes, some, but private automobile ownership was much lower than in France or UK.