HoI 4 - Hindenburg Disaster always happen

[Zerdur]

Description of issue
Hindenburg Disaster always happen

Game Version
Cornflakes v1.5.3 (30ec)

Enabled DLC
Together for Victory,
Death or Dishonor,
Waking the Tiger

Do you have mods enabled?
No

Description
I played at least 25+ games as germany with the objective of forming the HRE. In order to do that, the Hindenburg Disaster shouldnt fire. The chance of the needed event to happen is 30% (Hindenburg Incident), but it never even happed once. Thats really frustrating. My question is this a bug or its just "bad luck".

Steps to Reproduce


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[bitmode]

Directly on the first two tries I got the Hindenburg Disaster in one of them and Hindenburg Disaster Averted in the other. The chance for it to not happen 25 times is 1 in 10.000 though

 

[Zerdur]

Is it possible that the players doing could affect the Hindenburg event ? I always go down a certain path, (in terms of the Focus Tree, Construction, Production, Research, Laws & Goverment, Research & Production, Military Staff, Trade, Recruition and Justification of wars). I deinstalled the game and deleted all files on my pc related to paradox, just to assure there isnt something wrong with my files. After that I played other countries such as greece (not germany) and at the 4th game the needed event did fire. So i decided to play another rounds as germany, 8 games to be exact and the Hindenburg crashed every single time.

 

[Tristan Edge]

This is the event that decides if the Hindenburg dies or not, it's just a 30% chance to survive with no other factors so you are just very unlucky.

# Hindenburg Trigger (HIDDEN)
news_event = {
    id = news.51
    hidden = yes
  
    fire_only_once = yes
  
    trigger = {
        date > 1937.5.5
        date < 1939.5.5
        country_exists = USA
        country_exists = GER
        USA = { has_war = no }
        GER = { has_war = no }
        GER = { has_civil_war = no }
        NOT = { has_global_flag = hindenburg_destroyed }
        NOT = { has_global_flag = hindenburg_event_in_progress }
    }

    mean_time_to_happen = {
        days = 240
    }
  
    immediate = {
        random_list = {
            70 = { USA = { news_event = { id = news.42 } } }
            30 = { USA = { news_event = { id = news.43 } } }
        }
    }
  
    option = {
        name = news.51.a
    }
}