How can you declare on Crimea before they get any ally? Everytime I launch a game, they get one or more allies before the end of the waiting period on declaring wars. Usually Nogai or Kazan, and sometimes even Qara Qoyonlu. Even if Uzbek joins, which isn't given, it's a tough war to win.
Also, it's quite difficult to take either Ryazan or Odoyev early, as either is likely to be allied with Novgorod or Muscowy and those will actually join in.
That's exactly my experience too, and the reason why i read this thread.
Crimea allying both QQ and Khazan is standard in my eyes, and i also tried the start more then ten times at current patch + all DLC's but RoM.
One or the other will usually either remain independent or ally Novgorod. It doesn't matter too much if you take Odoyev or Ryazan first since you can easily get easy access to Moscow either way.
This is quiet random to me, sometimes both of them ally Muskovy.
Anyway, GH seems to me to be one of the most "lucky start required"-countries so far, as it is in a really tough position if Rivals/Allies don't turn to favor you.
My question is, though, how does the "best" army composition look for hordes?
All CAV? 50% CAV? No CAV at all?
I tried with a lot of horses most of the time, but even when plundering as much as i can an taking all the money i can get in peace deals, i simply can't maintain the army and expand it, when FL rises.