actually the example that was given was a bit off the mark (US invading canada), but if you instead change that to nationalist china DOW any of the chinese factions (like communist china) instead of relying on the events it becomes much more plausible.
kinda like a pig jumping off a cliff, denying them works most of the time (as it would likely result in death), but sometimes the cliff isn't tall enough to justify the denial.
of course other than say turkey and china i don't know of countries that it was plausible enough or world changing enough to be worth the investment in resources.
I don't think Nat. China can be called as a democratic nation. I don't know about HOI4, but IIRC in the previous games they had a right wing authoritarian government.
EDIT: Turkey was also an autocratic nation during this timeframe.
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