I am pretty sure what will happen will be Ukraine will receive war subsidies from NATO, EU and USA which it will spend on buildings especially the Trade and Tax line.
After a period of time it will agree to release Crimea as an independent state, that state will agree to vassalisation under Russia.
Unless the USA or Russia gets monarch goes insane and then we are all screwed.
What will happen to Crimea if it's released? Will it go back to Nomad tech group?