April 4th-5th 1943
Well it happened, my next cycle of attacks (and I didn’t waste anytime getting to it) has had to be cancelled due to the odds. I can’t afford a fight at equal numbers given the current combination of weather and terrain. Fortunately this is the one province I can afford to be stuck on so I don’t have to precipitate a wild retreat just yet. If Petal Throne forces build up here they may be able to launch attacks of their own which will precipitate a substantial withdrawal. Nice to have a bit more harmless excitement.
The new month has started nicely for anti-convoy activities although the majority of action is now solidly focused on the Malacca straits. The worry about this focus is that once the Kuala Lumpur convoy route is drained of transports we will stop sinking anything. The Convoy route to Kra is far harder to pin down and we could be left with a long slow process knocking out the last few convoy transports.
4:00 April 1, 1943: Our forces in South Malacca Strait have sunk 11 transports and 3 escorts
20:00 April 1, 1943: Our forces in South Malacca Strait have sunk 0 transports and 1 escorts
6:00 April 2, 1943: Our forces in Bangka Strait have sunk 11 transports and 3 escorts
19:00 April 2, 1943: Our forces in South Malacca Strait have sunk 2 transports and 0 escorts
11:00 April 3, 1943: Our forces in North Malacca Strait have sunk 0 transports and 1 escorts
19:00 April 3, 1943: Our forces in North Malacca Strait have sunk 0 transports and 1 escorts
19:00 April 3, 1943: Our forces in North Malacca Strait have sunk 0 transports and 1 escorts
6:00 April 4, 1943: Our forces in North Spratly Sea have sunk 12 transports and 2 escorts
Month so far – 36 transports and 12 escorts
Average 9 transports and 3 escorts per day
The naval build up in the Gulf of Tonkin is still drawing enemy forces, a wide variety of them. Whilst we aren’t sinking much I suspect their damage levels are rising sharply. There is a definite issue of whether to disperse to optimise naval combat or carry on regardless. If I disperse then the AI reaction may become reduced and hence the long-term effect would be minimal but if I remain concentrated the enemy naval ability is likely to remain existent (if not all that effective) for some time.
I have decided to go for the carry on regardless option with the attack on Haiphong. This is obviously pretty good whilst the naval support is in place but is going to be rather less ideal if we lose it. Fortunately the attack is strong enough that it won’t collapse when naval support is interrupted and no doubt Krelian’s fast learning of Jungle skills will help. The harsh penalties on the enemy units are limited in increasing the rate of combat so exhausting enemy org levels will take a considerable time. The penalties do affect their defensiveness so they are taking extra casualties as a result of the naval bombardment but even so the battle is looking like a multi-day affair.
The Petal Throne has managed a dramatic build up in the far north but we are in time on this occasion to throw them out but it is not as cheap as I would like. Temporary redirection of air power to interdiction helps and the enemy forces are soon in retreat under a hail of bombs.
Overall these defensive battles are consuming manpower on a greater scale than I am used to. The problem is driven by two issues. Firstly the combat odds are often not as good as I can achieve during a general offensive and secondly there are many repeat battles. This is not the sort of things that most players would worry about since there is no risk involved and manpower consumption is less than manpower income. However, I feel like I am using manpower on the same sort of scale as during Barbarossa (actually losses are rather less) whilst not in fact achieving very much. I am half inclined to execute a general withdrawal and leave the enemy to mill around in peace for a bit until I am ready to actually crush and destroy them. My military instincts are shouting that a stalemate like this means that either I am doing it wrong or I am losing and we all know which of those two is applicable.
The slightly unnerving appearance of enemy interceptors over the Malacca straits proves to be a non-issue since they have no org (and are obsolete). In fact my upgraded turbojet bomber groups (16/16) are pretty much a fair match for level V interceptors (15/9) so I’m currently not afraid of anything. Interceptors beware.
Through the night my naval support is disrupted at Haiphong with unfortunate consequences for casualty rates but this is not enough to affect the outcome of the battle. The allied naval mix remains impressive in its variety if not its effectiveness