I fail to see what a not-French-defeat would tangibly change. After all, this is far away from a British-defeat. The continental blockade was untenable and would have been untenable with or without a nominally-agreeing Russia.
The British Empire already held India and would have continued to hold India. A Russian invasion after Russia's defeat by France? Probably not. The supply lines would have turned it into a reversed Crimean War, a land connection without infrastructure is worse than a sea inbetween. Ships, after all, can be moved from any sea to any other, given time. Streets, on the other hand, do not tend to walk.
Furthermore, the beginning of the Industrial Revolution would certainly have to be dated earlier than 1836. As I noted before, 1821, savely after the Napoleonic Wars, is already a much better date. Napoleonic Wars included, as a precursor to the later Great Wars, should not be able to break too much (esp. not in the cultural, social and technological aspects; the changes would be mainly diplomatic in nature), so they may as well happen in-game. Looking at the Sixth Coalition and how many former (short-term) allies of France it included, the best of alternative outcomes would probably be a Status Quo anyway. Seeing how the Grande Armée had, if memory serves, lost more than half of its strength before its first great battle (this seems to work quite well in EU4, by the way; I would assume that winter attrition would be a serious threat in a hypothetical V3).
For the explicit goal of modelling the beginnings of the Industrial Revolution, one would, I dare say, obviously have to select a date suitable for the beginnings of the Industrial Revolution in Britain. Which would put a start date solely concentrated on that aspect to, what, 1780? 1760?
That's probably a bit too early for setting the political stage though, with Napoleon still an eleven-old (or not even conceived).
A date right inbetween the Coalition Wars, say 1810 (Russia quits the Continental Blockade) or 1812 (France starts the Sixth Coalition War vs. Russia) seems to be the literal non-plus-ultra for starting a game like this: Britain is already well-industrialised, a major political decision affecting all of Europe is about to escalate, most of the rest of the world has not yet decided on a stance towards industrialisation (but most european countries have started to adopt initial movements in that direction) and Britain is already the economic world power thanks to its cotton trade. It really is perfect, is it not?