[EotS] Enemy of the State - Israel 1950

[ThunderHawk3]

((As a reminder, factions, please get your orders in. @Michi2, @Caspoi, I need orders from you.))

 

[ThunderHawk3]

((Okay, I still haven't gotten anything from Michi2, so I assume he's inactive. If I don't get any orders in the next 24 hours, I'll skip the business faction's turn and the faction will elect a new leader thereafter.))

 

[ThunderHawk3]

((Since I haven't yet heard from Michi2, he's booted from the leadership of the Business Faction. The faction will hold an election to replace him later. The Business faction's turn is skipped. They'll get two orders next turn to compensate them for the skip this turn. The 1952 Factions update will follow shortly.))

 

[ThunderHawk3]

1952: Factions​

1. Israeli Sherman tanks, 1948.​

In 1952, Defense Minister and General Ishmael Leblin began refining Israel military doctrine with the publication of doctrine-related texts and memoranda that were distributed throughout the IDF and national guard. The storm of memoranda were extremely long, as Leblin and his staff had published a different doctrine for each branch of the service. The air force was to concentrate on air superiority followed by close air support once air superiority was achieved; the mechanized and armored forces were to learn blitzkrieg tactics, focusing on maneuver warfare, breakthrough, and encirclement tactics. The infantry were given courses in guerilla warfare, ambushes, urban combat, and harassment of the enemy, and the navy were assigned a defensive role. Curiously, Leblin prefaced all this with the declaration that Israel's overall military doctrine was offensive methodology and rapid first strikes.

Reaction to these new doctrines within the military itself were strictly neutral. Soldiers obeyed orders to learn the doctrines Leblin had prescribed without much commentary. However, Leblin's critics on the left seized on his emphasis on offensive warfare as proof that Herut was plotting a new series of land-grabbing wars against Israel's larger neighbors. Ex-military officers who had retired after the War of Independence also gave more muted criticism of Leblin, saying that his new doctrines relied on the armored and mechanized forces, which were still small after Leblin's expansions of 1950. Some argued that training the mechanized forces in maneuver warfare while the infantry learned ambush warfare meant that the infantry and mechanized forces were using entirely different doctrines. Naval veterans grumbled about the relegation of the navy to a defensive role in an otherwise offensive doctrine, complaining that the move was essentially Leblin demonstrating no confidence in the Navy. Nevertheless, Leblin's publications gave Israeli officers a doctrine and a strategy in the event of a new war - something Israel certainly had not had before.

[+5 Quality]

2. Israeli protest banner, 1952.​

Labor unions organized a series of marches and general strikes to oppose government policy, particularly to try to force the government to combat the black markets and rising crime, and to fortify the Egyptian border. Most Israelis were not actually hostile to the black markets, since they depended on the markets to get basic necessities that were otherwise in short supply due to Israel's import dependency and comparative poverty. However, labor unions were concerned they could undercut domestic factories and artisans. Moreover, fury on the left had been stoked by Leblin's emphasis on offensive warfare. The left did not wish to provoke another war with Egypt, Syria, or Jordan and criticized Leblin heavily for the move; many of the rallies focused on switching the IDF to a defensive posture and doctrine.

These rallies were particularly effective because Samson Rouvin, the head of Mapai, had presciently organized the rallies almost at the same time Leblin had announced the new offensive doctrine for the IDF, so the rallies went ahead at the exact moment the left was most concerned Leblin was building an army of conquest. The rallies were wildly successful as tens of thousands of anti-war protestors mobbed the streets of Tel Aviv to protest future wars of conquest against Israel's neighbors. Haifa saw similarly large protests against the black market (which threatened the legal trade that heavily went through Haifa). Other Israel cities saw protestors turn out in the thousands.

[-5 Approval. +1 Mapai votes at the next election. Will rise to +1.5 votes if the Black Market is still in effect at that time.]

--------------

((Several small errors in the stats from last update corrected. It's now time for the 1952 in the World update.

Also, the business faction needs to elect a new leader. I'll put aside the next two days as a declaration period for people to declare they're running for faction leadership and campaign. Afterwards, an actual vote will be conducted.))

Policies/disasters currently active:

Government:

1. Income Tax, economic policy: Every turn, -Debt equal to 10% of State Power, -Approval equal to half of the same, economic effects subject to change

2. House Construction, economic/social policy: Every turn, +Debt equal to 5% of State Power, +National Wealth, -Inequality equal to half of the same.

3. (None)

Nemesis:

1. Black Market, economic/diplomatic disaster: Every turn, +Crime, +Corruption, +International Hostility, -State Power, +Trade Relations equal to 3% of Crime. Also generates funds for the Nemesis.

Extra: Military Bloat, military disaster: Every turn, +3 Debt, +1 Military Quality, -1 National Wealth.

Static Modifiers:

Spoiler

1. Corruption: reduces State Power and National Wealth by 3% of Corruption, rounded up, every turn. It also has a chance, equal to corruption, of increasing Debt or decreasing Approval by 5% of Corruption every turn.

2. Health: has a chance of causing a pandemic each turn equal to (100-Health)/5%. Pandemics have various effects. They're never good.

3. Education: reduces Unemployment and increases National Wealth by 3% of Education every turn. Education also has a chance, equal to Education/5 as a %, of creating a technological breakthrough every turn. Breakthroughs have positive effects.

4. Inequality: reduces Approval by 3% of Inequality every turn. Inequality has a chance equal to Inequality/5 as a % to cause riots each turn. These increase crime and have other negative effects.

5. Unemployment and Inflation: both erode Approval by 3% every turn, and may trigger a Winter of Discontent, which will erode social stats.

6. International Hostility: May trigger economic sanctions.

7. Trade Relations: reduce Inflation and raises Unemployment and National Wealth by 3% of Trade Relations every turn.

8. National Optimism: Raise Approval by 3 or 4 (even chance, so an average of 3.5) every turn.

Stats

Spoiler

# of government Orders/turn: 3
# of government Policy Slots: 4

Political

-Approval: 77
-Corruption: 18
-State Power: 40

Social

-Health: 36
-Education: 60
-Inequality: 38
-Crime: 20

Economic

-National Wealth: 35
-Debt: 44
-Unemployment: 26
-Inflation: N/A

Military

-Quality: 48
-Quantity: 45
-Military Loyalty: 80
-Clout: 1

[Military Strength = Quality * Quantity/100, rounded up, btw]

Diplomatic

-International Hostility: 72
-Trade Relations: 16
-Foreign Influence: 20

Business:
-Wealth: 10
-Clout: 0

Labor Unions:

-Unionization: 30
-Clout: 0

Constitution:

Spoiler

Government Type: Parliamentary Republic
Title of Leader: Prime Minister (IC chosen by an apolitical President)
Name of Nation: State of Israel

Election Process: Vote by party; coalition of parties with a majority of the vote chooses the Prime Minister
Ballots: Public

Leader Term: 4 years
Supply Limit: 3 votes
Term Limit: None
Removal Process Mid-Term: No confidence by majority vote
If Leader Dies/Is Removed: New elections

Necessary Majority to Amend Constitution: Bare majority [Constitution is not codified]

Opposition Parties Allowed: Yes
Can Purge/Kill Players: No
Government Must Reveal Orders: Yes

Nemesis Stats:

Spoiler

1 order per turn
1 disaster slot

 

[BlackCrown]

Throughout my term, I have always worked to best serve Israel. I have housed many of our unhoused, employed the unemployed, and made great advances in our nation’s defensive force. I believe that, should I lead the Business faction, I can carry Israel to new illustrious heights. Thus, I declare that I, John Abrams, will run for Business Leader

 

[chopak]

To avoid suspection of corruption and conflict of interest that might arise if Abrams is elected head of Business. I, Izaak Blaumberg will run for Business Leader.

 

[ThunderHawk3]

((Alright, well, the business faction leadership election is open. The candidates are John Abrams ((Black Crown)) and Izaak Blaumberg ((chopak)). Members of the business faction can vote for one or the other. The election will last 4 days or until all business faction members have voted.

Sample Ballot: (business faction only)
Leader: John Abrams/Izaak Blaumberg

Additionally, I erroneously said that it was time for the 1952 in the World update at the time of the last update. It's actually the Nemesis' turn, and I await orders from the Nemesis. Sorry about that.))

 

[Cleeque]

Leader: John Abrams

 

[Andre Massena]

Leader: Izaak Blaumberg

 

[BlackCrown]

Leader: John Abrams

 

[chopak]

Leader: Izaak Blaumberg

 

[Dexander]

Leader: Izaak Blaumberg

 

[ThunderHawk3]

((@Cleeque - you're not in the business faction.

All members of the faction have voted and the vote is 3-1 in favor of Izaak Blaumberg ((chopak)) who is now leader of the business faction.

The Nemesis update will follow shortly.))

 

[ThunderHawk3]

1952: Nemesis​

1. Weapons sold on the Israeli black market.​

In 1952, Israel's black market situation worsened as arms began to appear on the market. Stalls filled with firearms, munitions, and explosives of various makes - British, American, Czechoslovak, Polish, and Soviet - could be found by a knowledgeable black market customer with relative ease. Although the majority appeared to have been imported recently, a small minority might even have come from IDF or national guard depots. Israeli authorities warned that the suddenly thriving trade in hundreds or thousands of black market firearms could put military-grade small arms in the hands of Palestinian and Arab nationalists, or even anti-state Jews. For the duration of 1952, though, nothing came of this black market arms trade. The Israeli government worried it was only a matter of time...

[No effect on stats for now.]

--------------

((Okay, now it really is time for the 1952 in the World update. The update will be probably tomorrow.))

Policies/disasters currently active:

Government:

1. Income Tax, economic policy: Every turn, -Debt equal to 10% of State Power, -Approval equal to half of the same, economic effects subject to change

2. House Construction, economic/social policy: Every turn, +Debt equal to 5% of State Power, +National Wealth, -Inequality equal to half of the same.

3. (None)

Nemesis:

1. Black Market, economic/diplomatic disaster: Every turn, +Crime, +Corruption, +International Hostility, -State Power, +Trade Relations equal to 3% of Crime. Also generates funds for the Nemesis.

Extra: Military Bloat, military disaster: Every turn, +3 Debt, +1 Military Quality, -1 National Wealth.

Static Modifiers:

Spoiler

1. Corruption: reduces State Power and National Wealth by 3% of Corruption, rounded up, every turn. It also has a chance, equal to corruption, of increasing Debt or decreasing Approval by 5% of Corruption every turn.

2. Health: has a chance of causing a pandemic each turn equal to (100-Health)/5%. Pandemics have various effects. They're never good.

3. Education: reduces Unemployment and increases National Wealth by 3% of Education every turn. Education also has a chance, equal to Education/5 as a %, of creating a technological breakthrough every turn. Breakthroughs have positive effects.

4. Inequality: reduces Approval by 3% of Inequality every turn. Inequality has a chance equal to Inequality/5 as a % to cause riots each turn. These increase crime and have other negative effects.

5. Unemployment and Inflation: both erode Approval by 3% every turn, and may trigger a Winter of Discontent, which will erode social stats.

6. International Hostility: May trigger economic sanctions.

7. Trade Relations: reduce Inflation and raises Unemployment and National Wealth by 3% of Trade Relations every turn.

8. National Optimism: Raise Approval by 3 or 4 (even chance, so an average of 3.5) every turn.

Stats

Spoiler

# of government Orders/turn: 3
# of government Policy Slots: 4

Political

-Approval: 77
-Corruption: 18
-State Power: 40

Social

-Health: 36
-Education: 60
-Inequality: 38
-Crime: 20

Economic

-National Wealth: 35
-Debt: 44
-Unemployment: 26
-Inflation: N/A

Military

-Quality: 48
-Quantity: 45
-Military Loyalty: 80
-Clout: 1

[Military Strength = Quality * Quantity/100, rounded up, btw]

Diplomatic

-International Hostility: 72
-Trade Relations: 16
-Foreign Influence: 20

Business:
-Wealth: 10
-Clout: 0

Labor Unions:

-Unionization: 30
-Clout: 0

Constitution:

Spoiler

Government Type: Parliamentary Republic
Title of Leader: Prime Minister (IC chosen by an apolitical President)
Name of Nation: State of Israel

Election Process: Vote by party; coalition of parties with a majority of the vote chooses the Prime Minister
Ballots: Public

Leader Term: 4 years
Supply Limit: 3 votes
Term Limit: None
Removal Process Mid-Term: No confidence by majority vote
If Leader Dies/Is Removed: New elections

Necessary Majority to Amend Constitution: Bare majority [Constitution is not codified]

Opposition Parties Allowed: Yes
Can Purge/Kill Players: No
Government Must Reveal Orders: Yes

Nemesis Stats:

Spoiler

1 order per turn
1 disaster slot

 

[ThunderHawk3]

1952 in the World​

1. Operation Hurricane, the first British nuclear weapon, tested in Australia.​

As the Korean War calmed and the tempo of fighting fell off, the nuclear arms race around the world also continued to accelerate. The United Kingdom tested its first nuclear bomb in October. With both West and East in possession of nuclear weapons, which were now finding their hands into a growing number of countries, the United States and Soviet Union began to chase even more powerful weapons. Ivy Mike, the world's first thermonuclear bomb, was tested by the United States on November 1st, propelling nuclear bombs to ever greater and more deadly heights of power. US nuclear bombers were placed in overseas bases that put them in range of striking Moscow, propelling the Cold War to new heights. Greece and Turkey join NATO, stoking Soviet fears that the United States is preparing to attack the Soviet Union from the south.

2. Order of Lenin awarded to Lydia Timashuk for uncovering the Doctors' Plot, a series of anti-Semetic attacks on Jewish doctors in the Soviet Union who supposedly plotted to kill senior Soviets.​

The Cold War also reached Israel. The government had remained fairly pro-Western, with Abrams apparently aligning the state with Western Europe, while Herut had long advocated a position of armed neutrality and apparently alliance with the non-Arab states of the eastern Mediterranean. Apparent US overtures to the new government of Egypt threatened to tip the balance towards the Soviet Union, but a radical reversal in Israeli thinking occurred in mid-1952, when news of a series of anti-Semetic trials in (the so-called Doctors' Plot) occurred in Moscow. The trial was seen as a modern pogrom by Israeli society at large, and attitudes to the Soviet Union worsened. Deputy Soviet Minister of State Security M. D. Ryumin would be arrested the next year for making up the plot; however, Israeli diplomats suspected Stalin himself had ordered the plot contrived for political reasons.

3. Mohammed Naguib and Gamal Abdel Nasser.​

Closer to Israel, the situation following was worsening. Following the Abrams' governments secret, but publicly exposed, attempts to interfere in the Egyptian National Revolution through British intermediaries, the Free Officers (led by Gen. Mohammed Naguib and Gamal Abdel Nasser), seize power on July 23rd. The dethroned Egyptian King Farouk, in an apparent fit of derangement and vainglory, declares himself descended from Muhammad from exile, apparently validating revolutionary propaganda that he was insane. Nasser's Free Officers are overtly hostile to Israel. Meanwhile, following the Jordanian assassination of the previous year, the mentally impaired King Talal of Jordan is forced to abdicate in favor of King Hussein, his son. Hussein, like Nasser, is thought to be even more hostile to Israel than his grandfather, King Abdullah, who led the Arab Legion - the most successful Arab force - during the 1948 War. King Abdullah was assassinated over mere rumors that he was seeking peace with Israel.

4. IDF soldiers detain an Arab man, suspected of being a Fedayeen infiltrator, on the border.​

Perhaps it came as no surprise that fighting across the Arab-Israeli border intensified in the wake of these events. Despite formal ceasefires Israel-Arab fighting had continued since 1949, typically involving troops on the borders (fighting in Jerusalem was common) or Arab infiltration attacks into Israel. In 1951, 118 Israelis, including 48 civilians were killed, as were 432 Palestinian-linked Fedayeen infiltrators (according to Israeli Army infiltrators). The tempo of fighting actually declined in 1952, to 68 Israelis (42 civilians) killed an estimated 396 Fedayeen[1], but a series of high-profile murders by suspected Fedayeen members in January of 1952 propelled the ongoing hostilities between Israel and its Arab neighbors, particularly Jordan and Egypt, into greater prominence. Palestinian Fedayeen attacks across both borders continued. Public outcry demanded a response.

[-5 Approval]

5. Jewish immigrants in an immigrant camp, or ma'abarah.​

Meanwhile, Israel's most recent aliyah seemed to have drawn to a close. While more than 170,000 immigrants had arrived in 1951 (mostly from Iraq [88,000] and Romania [47,000]), numbers dropped off to a mere 24,000 in 1952. The wave of immigration seemed to be at its end. This was good news for Israel's overcrowded ma'abarot immigrant camps and cities, but bad news for those who wanted to see Israel as a populous Jewish state - the population of Israel was still just 1.6 million - far smaller than the population of Cairo alone. Nevertheless, as the wave of immigrants dried up, Israel seemed to be on more stable footing for the forseeable future. Of course, the nearly 200,000 people who had arrived in the last two years still had to be housed, employed, and fed.

[+20 Unemployment, +20 Inequality, -5 National Wealth]

• UK King George VI dies and is succeeded by Queen Elizabeth II.
• The Bolivian National Revolution overthrows Hugo Ballivian's dictatorship of the previous year in favor of a socialist government.
• General Dwight Eisenhower is elected President of the United States.
• German Chancellor Konrad Adenauer survives an assassination attempt.
• The Winter Olympic Games open in Oslo and the Summer Games in Helsinki.
• Wernher von Braun publishes a series of articles in Collier's magazine entitled, "Man Will Conquer Space Soon!"
• An attempted coup in Indonesia is temporarily thwarted.
• The Great Smog of London kills thousands.
• The European Parliament opens.
• The last major battles of the Chinese Civil War are fought over islands in the East China Sea.

[1]The IDF assumed all unauthorized border crossers to be possible Fedayeen during this period and fired on them at-will. The number of persons who were actually Fedayeen is presumably lower.

--------------

((It's now 1953 and the government's turn.))

Policies/disasters currently active:

Government:

1. Income Tax, economic policy: Every turn, -Debt equal to 10% of State Power, -Approval equal to half of the same, economic effects subject to change

2. House Construction, economic/social policy: Every turn, +Debt equal to 5% of State Power, +National Wealth, -Inequality equal to half of the same.

3. (None)

Nemesis:

1. Black Market, economic/diplomatic disaster: Every turn, +Crime, +Corruption, +International Hostility, -State Power, +Trade Relations equal to 3% of Crime. Also generates funds for the Nemesis.

Extra: Military Bloat, military disaster: Every turn, +3 Debt, +1 Military Quality, -1 National Wealth.

Static Modifiers:

Spoiler

1. Corruption: reduces State Power and National Wealth by 3% of Corruption, rounded up, every turn. It also has a chance, equal to corruption, of increasing Debt or decreasing Approval by 5% of Corruption every turn.

2. Health: has a chance of causing a pandemic each turn equal to (100-Health)/5%. Pandemics have various effects. They're never good.

3. Education: reduces Unemployment and increases National Wealth by 3% of Education every turn. Education also has a chance, equal to Education/5 as a %, of creating a technological breakthrough every turn. Breakthroughs have positive effects.

4. Inequality: reduces Approval by 3% of Inequality every turn. Inequality has a chance equal to Inequality/5 as a % to cause riots each turn. These increase crime and have other negative effects.

5. Unemployment and Inflation: both erode Approval by 3% every turn, and may trigger a Winter of Discontent, which will erode social stats.

6. International Hostility: May trigger economic sanctions.

7. Trade Relations: reduce Inflation and raises Unemployment and National Wealth by 3% of Trade Relations every turn.

8. National Optimism: Raise Approval by 3 or 4 (even chance, so an average of 3.5) every turn.

Stats

Spoiler

# of government Orders/turn: 3
# of government Policy Slots: 4

Political

-Approval: 72
-Corruption: 18
-State Power: 40

Social

-Health: 36
-Education: 60
-Inequality: 58
-Crime: 20

Economic

-National Wealth: 30
-Debt: 44
-Unemployment: 46
-Inflation: N/A

Military

-Quality: 48
-Quantity: 45
-Military Loyalty: 80
-Clout: 1

[Military Strength = Quality * Quantity/100, rounded up, btw]

Diplomatic

-International Hostility: 72
-Trade Relations: 16
-Foreign Influence: 20

Business:
-Wealth: 10
-Clout: 0

Labor Unions:

-Unionization: 30
-Clout: 0

Constitution:

Spoiler

Government Type: Parliamentary Republic
Title of Leader: Prime Minister (IC chosen by an apolitical President)
Name of Nation: State of Israel

Election Process: Vote by party; coalition of parties with a majority of the vote chooses the Prime Minister
Ballots: Public

Leader Term: 4 years
Supply Limit: 3 votes
Term Limit: None
Removal Process Mid-Term: No confidence by majority vote
If Leader Dies/Is Removed: New elections

Necessary Majority to Amend Constitution: Bare majority [Constitution is not codified]

Opposition Parties Allowed: Yes
Can Purge/Kill Players: No
Government Must Reveal Orders: Yes

Nemesis Stats:

Spoiler

1 order per turn
1 disaster slot

 

[Andre Massena]

Orders: Use the newly increased labor supply to help grow Israel's industry, particularly foodstuff and textiles.

-David Rabinovich

 

[Caspoi]

Ishmael Leblin, Chief of General Staff and Minister of Defense in Israel​

"'For by stratagems you wage war.'
Members of the Knesset, in light of the current threats that our society faces, both in the form internal enemies against our great nation and ever more overtly hostile neighbors, I propose that we transform our Institute For Intelligence and Special Operations. While they have as of yet helped cooperate between the Army's Intelligence Department and Internal Security Service it is now to become a fully fledged secret service organization of its own, with its task being to seek out those that would attempt to hurt Israel, be they from within or without. They are to become a part of the prime ministers office and answer only to him. And with the authority delegated to me from him I can with full confidence say that 'they are to be granted more broad privileges as such, and are to work with the already established National Guard to root out and either cut off, eliminate, or arrest major suppliers on the blackmarket'. At long last we may uncover those that would seek to prey on Israel in bring them to light. I say to you let the enemies of Israel beware, for we will be watching them."

Order: To transform Mossad into its "modern" form and use them to cut off the Black Market.

 

[BlackCrown]

Capitalizing on our close relations with France and the US, and our recent, if controversial, cooperation with Great Britain, Abrams will attempt to improve relations and trade, while also attempting to dissuade slanderous rumors of the Israeli military among Western nations. While in West Germany, and with the mass-immigration into Israel nearly over, Abrams will also bring up the issue of repayment for Jew’s displaced by the Holocaust, and the cost of the Israeli government rehousing them.
Order: Improve relations and trade with the West and seek compensation from Germany

 

[ThunderHawk3]

((It's time to vote on the government's orders. As usual, three orders have been submitted and all require a simple majority to pass. I have lodged an inquiry with the government if the principle purpose of the diplomatic mission is to improve relations and trade or seek compensation from Germany; I haven't heard back yet but I'm going to go ahead and assume it's seek compensation from Germany, which is by far the more significant of two parts of the order.

Sample Ballot:
Industrial Development: Yes/No/Abstain
Mossad: Yes/No/Abstain
Seek Compensation from Germany: Yes/No/Abstain

The vote will last four days, until Wednesday 1/24, or until everyone has voted.))

 

[Caspoi]

Industrial Development: Yes
Mossad: Yes
Seek Compensation from Germany: Abstain